Actual
4.9560
Daily Change
-0.0410
Monthly
0.26%
Yearly
0.80%
Q3 Forecast
4.9893
US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Summary

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell 4bps to 4.95% on Monday, as traders started the new week with another decline in oil prices, amid hopes that diplomatic efforts could lead to a resolution to the conflict with Iran. Oil prices have now fallen for four consecutive sessions, easing some concerns over renewed inflationary pressures. Hopes of easing geopolitical tensions, supported by the summit between President Trump and President Xi as well as this week’s UN General Assembly, also helped improve investor sentiment. Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee said he remains open to the possibility that inflation will resume its decline towards the 2% target, but warned that interest rates may need to rise if that fails to materialise. Several other Fed officials are scheduled to speak this week, with markets closely watching their comments for further clues on the outlook for monetary policy. Traders currently expect the Fed to deliver another 25bps rate hike this year.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Stats

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.96% on September 21, 2026, marking a 0.04 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.26 points and is 0.80 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on September 22 of 2026.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Forecast

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.96% on September 21, 2026, marking a 0.04 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.26 points and is 0.80 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is expected to trade at 4.99 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.75 in 12 months time.



Bonds Yield Day Month Year Date
US 10Y 4.96 -0.041% 0.255% 0.803% Sep/21
US 4W 3.87 -0.005% 0.173% -0.210% Sep/21
US 8W 3.99 -0.007% 0.262% -0.054% Sep/21
US 3M 4.08 0.004% 0.284% 0.139% Sep/21
US 6M 4.29 0.016% 0.375% 0.443% Sep/21
US 52W 4.41 0.005% 0.392% 0.809% Sep/21
US 2Y 4.75 0.001% 0.521% 1.131% Sep/21
US 3Y 4.82 -0.016% 0.510% 1.227% Sep/21
US 5Y 4.83 -0.028% 0.424% 1.124% Sep/21
US 7Y 4.89 -0.036% 0.347% 0.983% Sep/21
US 20Y 5.33 0.0003% 0.070% 0.598% Sep/21
US 30Y 5.29 -0.039% 0.058% 0.519% Sep/21
US 10Y TIPS 2.63 -0.050% 0.252% 0.857% Sep/21
US 5Y TIPS 2.49 -0.047% 0.413% 1.253% Sep/21
US 30Y TIPS 3.04 -0.052% 0.057% 0.540% Sep/21



Related Last Previous Unit Reference
United States Inflation Rate 3.40 3.40 percent Aug 2026
United States Fed Funds Interest Rate 4.00 3.75 percent Sep 2026
United States Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.10 percent Aug 2026

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield
Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
4.96 5.00 15.82 0.32 1912 - 2026 percent Daily

News Stream
Treasury Yields Edge Down
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell 4bps to 4.95% on Monday, as traders started the new week with another decline in oil prices, amid hopes that diplomatic efforts could lead to a resolution to the conflict with Iran. Oil prices have now fallen for four consecutive sessions, easing some concerns over renewed inflationary pressures. Hopes of easing geopolitical tensions, supported by the summit between President Trump and President Xi as well as this week’s UN General Assembly, also helped improve investor sentiment. Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee said he remains open to the possibility that inflation will resume its decline towards the 2% target, but warned that interest rates may need to rise if that fails to materialise. Several other Fed officials are scheduled to speak this week, with markets closely watching their comments for further clues on the outlook for monetary policy. Traders currently expect the Fed to deliver another 25bps rate hike this year.
2026-09-21
US 10-Year Yield Eases Ahead of Fed Remarks
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell by about 3 basis points to 4.97% on Monday as investors awaited several appearances by Federal Reserve officials this week for further clues on the monetary policy outlook. On Sunday, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said inflation remains too high and that price pressures have expanded beyond the oil-price shock linked to the Iran war. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee is scheduled to speak later Monday, followed by New York Fed President John Williams on Tuesday. Global bond yields also eased as oil prices fell for a fourth consecutive session, helping reduce inflation concerns. Last week, the benchmark yield surged to a 19-year high as the Fed raised interest rates and signaled at least one more hike this year, while Chair Warsh reiterated the central bank’s commitment to containing inflation.
2026-09-21
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Rebounds
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note edged up 7bps to 5% on Friday, recovering from an 8bps decline in the previous session, as traders digested a more hawkish Fed and reassessed the outlook for monetary policy. The central bank raised the target range for the federal funds rate by 25bps to 3.75%-4%, as expected. The Fed also signalled at least one more rate hike this year, while Chair Warsh reaffirmed the central bank’s commitment to taming inflation, helping to restore market confidence in its policy stance and credibility. The benchmark yield topped 5.04% ahead of the FOMC decision, its highest level since 2007, amid concerns over the Fed’s ability to bring inflation under control and persistently elevated oil prices. Meanwhile, oil prices were volatile on Friday after falling in the previous two sessions, amid concerns about supply from Saudi Arabia and as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remained elevated.
2026-09-18