The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US fell to 47 in June, the lowest since September of 2016. It is the weakest reading under President Trump's administration as Americans turned more pessimistic about their personal finances (-3.1 to 49.8) and the federal policies subindex sank 5.1 points to 48.7. The outlook for the US economy was nearly unchanged (42.4 from 42.3), even as states let businesses reopen, employment jumped and the coronavirus stock market rally kept running. Also, there's an unusually large gap between how self-described stock-market investors and noninvestors feel about the outlook for the US economy, with stock market investors modestly optimistic (52.8) and non investors deeply pessimistic (42.1). Among income groups, only those earning above $75,000 remain optimistic (51.3). Pessimism is greatest among those earning below $30,000 (42.7) as job losses have been concentrated in lower-wage industries.

Economic Optimism Index in the United States averaged 49.93 from 2001 until 2020, reaching an all time high of 62.90 in March of 2002 and a record low of 35.80 in August of 2011. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on July of 2020. source: Technometrica Market Intelligence/The Investor's Business Daily

Economic Optimism Index in the United States is expected to be 51.00 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Economic Optimism Index in the United States to stand at 49.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is projected to trend around 49.00 in 2021 and 50.00 in 2022, according to our econometric models.

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United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
47.00 49.70 62.90 35.80 2001 - 2020 Monthly


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2020-03-03 03:00 PM Mar 53.9 59.8 58.1 54
2020-04-07 02:00 PM Apr 47.8 53.9 36
2020-05-05 02:00 PM May 49.7 47.8 34.8
2020-06-09 02:00 PM Jun 47 49.7 51
2020-07-07 02:00 PM Jul 47 46
2020-08-04 02:00 PM Aug
2020-09-08 02:00 PM Sep 47
2020-10-13 02:00 PM Oct
Go to our Calendar for more events. Or learn more about the Calendar API for direct access.


News Stream
US Economic Optimism Lowest since 2016
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US fell to 47 in June, the lowest since September of 2016. It is the weakest reading under President Trump's administration as Americans turned more pessimistic about their personal finances (-3.1 to 49.8) and the federal policies subindex sank 5.1 points to 48.7. The outlook for the US economy was nearly unchanged (42.4 from 42.3), even as states let businesses reopen, employment jumped and the coronavirus stock market rally kept running. Also, there's an unusually large gap between how self-described stock-market investors and noninvestors feel about the outlook for the US economy, with stock market investors modestly optimistic (52.8) and nonivestors deeply pessimistic (42.1). Among income groups, only those earning above $75,000 remain optimistic (51.3). Pessimism is greatest among those earning below $30,000 (42.7) as job losses have been concentrated in lower-wage industries.
2020-06-09
US Economic Optimism Index Recovers Slightly
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US rose to 49.7 in May of 2020 from 47.8 in the previous month, remaining in negative territory for the second consecutive month as Americans continue to feel the economic fallout from the coronavirus outbreak, particularly in the form of rapid job losses. The economic outlook gauge increased by 11.3% to 42.3 after two consecutive months of double-digit declines; and the outlook index for personal finances went up by 5.4% to 52.9 after its 18% drop in April. Meanwhile, the federal policies subindex declined by 2.4% to 53.8 in May.
2020-05-05
US Economic Optimism Index Slumps to 3-1/2-Year Low
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US dropped 6.2 points from the previous month to 47.8 in April 2020, falling into pessimistic territory for the first time since September 2016, as efforts to contain the rapid spread of Covid-19 threw more than 10 million people out of work. The economic outlook gauge tumbled 9.8 points to 38, the lowest level since October 2011, and the outlook index for personal finances sank 11 points to 50.2, the lowest since October 2013. Meanwhile, the federal policies subindex rose 2.5 points to 55.1, with the increase coming entirely among Democrats, which may reflect the federal rescue efforts.
2020-04-07
US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism at 4-Month Low
The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index in the US fell to 53.9 in March 2020 from February's 16-year high of 59.8 in the previous month and below market expectations of 58.1. It was the lowest reading since November last year, as the Six-Month Economic Outlook, a measure of how consumers feel about the economy’s prospects in the next six months, dropped to a pessimistic territory (47.8 from 57 in February) and the Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, a proprietary IBD/TIPP measure of views on how government economic policies are working, sank 5.3 points to 52.6. Also, the Personal Financial Outlook, a measure of how Americans feel about their own finances in the next six months went down 3.2 points to 61.2, still remaining optimistic.
2020-03-03

United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index measures Americans' opinions and outlooks on the economy. The index is based on a nationwide survey of 900 adults and evaluates six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, confidence in federal economic policies. Reading above 50 indicates optimism, and below 50 indicates pessimism.