The RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index rose to 46.8 in October 2026 from 45.6 in the previous month, ahead of market expectations that it would worsen to 44.5, marking the highest level since March. The improvement was broad-based across all sections of the survey, with the six-month outlook index rising to 42.7 from 41.3 in September. Meanwhile, the personal financial outlook index rose to 53.4 from 52.7, and the gauge measuring confidence in federal economic policy rose to 44.4 from 42.9, despite the surge in volatility in Treasury securities. source: Technometrica Market Intelligence/RealClearMarkets

Economic Optimism Index in the United States increased to 46.80 points in October from 45.60 points in September of 2026. Economic Optimism Index in the United States averaged 49.01 points from 2001 until 2026, reaching an all time high of 62.90 points in March of 2002 and a record low of 35.80 points in August of 2011. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Economic Optimism Index - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on October of 2026.

Economic Optimism Index in the United States increased to 46.80 points in October from 45.60 points in September of 2026. Economic Optimism Index in the United States is expected to be 48.00 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the United States Economic Optimism Index is projected to trend around 50.00 points in 2027 and 51.00 points in 2028, according to our econometric models.



Calendar GMT Reference Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2026-09-01 02:10 PM
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
Sep 45.6 45.1 46.2 46.4
2026-10-06 02:00 PM
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
Oct 46.8 45.6 44.5 45.8
2026-11-03 03:00 PM
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index
Nov 46.8


Related Last Previous Unit Reference
Bank Lending Rate 7.00 6.75 percent Sep 2026
Chain Store Sales 3060.00 3024.00 USD Million Aug 2026
Michigan Consumer Sentiment 48.00 48.10 points Oct 2026
Consumer Credit Change 8.28 17.74 USD Billion Aug 2026
Consumer Spending 16788.70 16634.20 USD Billion Jun 2026
Credit Card Accounts 653.63 647.96 Million Jun 2026
Debt Balance Auto Loans 1.71 1.69 Trillion USD Jun 2026
Debt Balance Credit Cards 1.26 1.24 Trillion USD Jun 2026
Debt Balance Mortgages 13.12 13.19 Trillion USD Jun 2026
Debt Balance Student Loans 1.65 1.66 Trillion USD Jun 2026
Total Household Debt 18.77 18.78 USD Trillion Jun 2026
Disposable Personal Income 24223.20 24154.60 USD Billion Aug 2026
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index 46.80 45.60 points Oct 2026
Gasoline Prices 1.15 1.07 USD/Liter Sep 2026
Households Debt to GDP 67.20 68.10 percent of GDP Mar 2026
Michigan Consumer Expectations 48.80 46.30 points Oct 2026
Michigan Current Conditions 46.70 50.90 points Oct 2026
Personal Income MoM 0.20 0.30 percent Aug 2026
Personal Savings 4.10 4.60 percent Aug 2026
Personal Spending MoM 0.90 0.10 percent Aug 2026
Private Sector Credit 14092.60 14014.40 USD Billion Sep 2026
Redbook YoY 9.00 10.40 percent Oct 2026
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM 0.90 1.40 percent Sep 2026
Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM 0.20 1.10 percent Sep 2026
Retail Sales MoM 0.80 1.30 percent Sep 2026
Retail Sales YoY 6.30 5.60 percent Sep 2026
Used Car Prices MoM -1.10 -0.90 percent Sep 2026
Used Car Prices YoY -0.60 0.40 percent Sep 2026


United States Economic Optimism Index
RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index measures Americans' opinions and outlooks on the economy. The index is based on a nationwide survey of 1300 adults and evaluates six-month economic outlook, personal financial outlook, confidence in federal economic policies. Reading above 50 indicates optimism, and below 50 indicates pessimism.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
46.80 45.60 62.90 35.80 2001 - 2026 points Monthly

News Stream
US Economic Optimism Gauge Unexpectedly Increases
The RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index rose to 46.8 in October 2026 from 45.6 in the previous month, ahead of market expectations that it would worsen to 44.5, marking the highest level since March. The improvement was broad-based across all sections of the survey, with the six-month outlook index rising to 42.7 from 41.3 in September. Meanwhile, the personal financial outlook index rose to 53.4 from 52.7, and the gauge measuring confidence in federal economic policy rose to 44.4 from 42.9, despite the surge in volatility in Treasury securities.
2026-10-06
US Economic Optimism Recovers Less than Expected
The RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index rose to 45.6 in September of 2026 from 45.1 in the previous month, missing expectations of 46.2, but still enough to mark the highest level since March. The gain was caried by greater confidence among investors and higher-income households, offsetting a deterioration in sentiment for non-investors and lower-income households. The six-month outlook rose to 41.3 from 39.9, and the personal financial outlook index fell to 52.7 from 53. Meanwhile, the index measuring confidence in economic policy by the federal government rose to 42.9 from 42.3.
2026-09-01
US Economic Sentiment Slips In August
The RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index edged down to 45.1 in August 2026 from 45.5 in July, missing market expectations of 47.5 and remaining below the neutral 50 mark. The Six-Month Economic Outlook index fell to 39.9 from 42.1, reflecting weaker expectations for the economy. Meanwhile, the Personal Financial Outlook, which measures households' expectations for their finances over the next six months, rose to 53 from 52.2, remaining the only component above the neutral threshold. Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, a measure of views on the effectiveness of government economic policies, also improved slightly, edging up to 42.3 from 42.1.
2026-08-04