Australia’s 10-year government bond yield held its recent decline to around 4.8%, staying near a three-month low as markets widely expect the Reserve Bank will hold policy rates next week. A series of softer economic releases, from GDP to housing prices, reinforced signs that the central bank’s three rate hikes earlier this year began to filter through the economy. Market pricing now ruled out a move at the June 16 meeting, while expectations for an August rate hike have eased sharply to around 35%, down from more than 80% a month ago. The May CPI report due on June 24, will be pivotal after an unexpectedly soft April inflation reading, as policymakers look for clearer evidence that price pressures remain strong. Meanwhile, growing optimism over an imminent US–Iran peace deal eased concerns about persistent inflation, after US President Donald Trump said an agreement could be reached as early as this weekend following his decision to postpone planned strikes on Iran.
The yield on Australia 10Y Bond Yield eased to 4.79% on June 12, 2026, marking a 0.04 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.28 points, though it remains 0.63 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield reached an all time high of 16.50 in August of 1982. Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June 12 of 2026.
The yield on Australia 10Y Bond Yield eased to 4.79% on June 12, 2026, marking a 0.04 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.28 points, though it remains 0.63 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield is expected to trade at 4.92 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.70 in 12 months time.