Canada's 10-year government bond yield fell to 3.45% from the two-year high of 3.7% touched on May 19th, tracking similar moves in the US as the outlook of soaring inflation was tamed by a pullback in energy prices. The US and Iran signaled they were closer to agreeing on a deal to end the war and restore energy supply from the key region. Despite fresh strikes that dented optimism on a deal, the drop in energy costs aligned with the Bank of Canada's signal that it does not see high energy prices spreading to inflation in core sectors of the economy. Likewise, the latest inflation report indicated that the Bank of Canada’s preferred core inflation gauges slowed more than expected to their lowest levels in five years. In turn, the GDP is expected to have been flat in the first quarter, also supporting the case for lower rates.
The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield eased to 3.41% on May 29, 2026, marking a 0.02 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.13 points, though it remains 0.22 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield reached an all time high of 12.44 in March of 1985. Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on May 31 of 2026.
The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield eased to 3.41% on May 29, 2026, marking a 0.02 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.13 points, though it remains 0.22 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield is expected to trade at 3.39 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 3.20 in 12 months time.