Canada’s 10-year government bond yield rose to 3.68%, approaching the over-two-month high of 3.72% touched on August 10th, following stronger-than-expected manufacturing sales data. Canadian factory sales rose 0.1% in June from May, beating expectations for a decline and marking a fifth consecutive monthly gain, while sales volumes increased 1.2%. Recent data also showed a stronger Canadian labor market, while Canada’s economy is estimated to have expanded at an annualized 3.4% in the second quarter, well above the Bank of Canada’s 2.5% forecast. The strong macroeconomic data raised expectations for a potential BoC rate hike if energy prices remain elevated. In July, the Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% for a sixth consecutive meeting, noting that the economy was adjusting to recent shocks and that energy-driven inflation pressures were easing. However, policymakers warned that inflation expectations remained elevated and questioned the durability of the recovery.
The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield rose to 3.72% on August 17, 2026, marking a 0.04 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.16 points and is 0.23 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield reached an all time high of 12.44 in March of 1985. Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on August 17 of 2026.
The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield rose to 3.72% on August 17, 2026, marking a 0.04 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.16 points and is 0.23 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield is expected to trade at 3.65 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 3.45 in 12 months time.