Canada’s 10-year government bond yield fell below 3.40% in late June, the lowest in over three months, as evidence of low underlying inflation backed expectations that the Bank of Canada will refrain from raising rates this year. Core inflation measures tracked by the Bank of Canada remained close to the central bank’s 2% target in May, despite a surge in energy prices during the period. The reading aligned with the BoC’s earlier view that the conflict in Iran may have only transitory effects on headline inflation. The BoC kept its key interest rate unchanged at 2.25% at its latest meeting and signaled that risks remain balanced across its inflation and employment mandate amid an uncertain economic backdrop. Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve adopted a more hawkish tone at its latest meeting by projecting rate hikes by December. The shift prompted investors to scale back expectations for monetary easing, limiting declines in North American bond yields.
The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield held steady at 3.39% on June 26, 2026. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.08 points, though it remains 0.08 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield reached an all time high of 12.44 in March of 1985. Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June 27 of 2026.
The yield on Canada 10Y Bond Yield held steady at 3.39% on June 26, 2026. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.08 points, though it remains 0.08 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The Canada 10-Year Government Bond Yield is expected to trade at 3.39 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 3.18 in 12 months time.