UK 10-year gilt yields slipped back toward 4.5%, near their lowest level since late January, as markets navigated renewed political uncertainty. Bond markets began the week under pressure following the resignation of Prime Minister Keir Starmer's chief of staff amid the Lord Peter Mandelson scandal, sparking speculation about Starmer’s own position. Yields swung sharply during Monday's session, climbing around eight basis points at their peak, particularly after Scottish Labour’s leader called for Starmer to step down. However, sentiment stabilized as cabinet members publicly reaffirmed their support for the prime minister, calming investors. Meanwhile, expectations for Bank of England rate cuts have strengthened. Although the central bank left its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75% in a split vote, policymakers struck a more dovish tone than anticipated, signaling that CPI inflation is likely to move back toward the 2% target from April.
The yield on United Kingdom 10Y Bond Yield eased to 4.50% on February 10, 2026, marking a 0.03 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.13 points, though it remains 0.01 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the UK 10 Year Bond Yield reached an all time high of 16.09 in November of 1981. UK 10 Year Bond Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on February 10 of 2026.
The yield on United Kingdom 10Y Bond Yield eased to 4.50% on February 10, 2026, marking a 0.03 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.13 points, though it remains 0.01 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The UK 10 Year Bond Yield is expected to trade at 4.48 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.28 in 12 months time.