The euro weakened to the $1.04 mark, edging close to the 5-year low of $1.035 hit in May amid higher demand for the dollar's safety and the monetary policy disparity between the ECB and the Fed. Investors’ preference toward the safer dollar grew as concerns of an energy crisis in Europe threaten the Eurozone’s economy ahead of the winter. Confidence in the currency bloc was also dented after ECB President Lagarde said that she believes it is unlikely that the Eurozone will go back to an environment with low inflation. Earlier, the ECB’s chief had confirmed a 25bps rate hike in July after multiple ECB policymakers called for a steeper increase. Conversely, Cleveland Fed President Mester backed a 75bps rate hike in the Fed’s next meeting should economic conditions remain unchanged.
Historically, the Euro Dollar Exchange Rate - EUR/USD reached an all time high of 1.87 in July of 1973.The euro was only introduced as a currency on the first of January of 1999. However, synthetic historical prices going back much further can be modeled if we consider a weighted average of the previous currencies. Euro Dollar Exchange Rate - EUR/USD - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June of 2022.
The Euro Dollar Exchange Rate - EUR/USD is expected to trade at 1.04 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1.01 in 12 months time.