The US unemployment rate came in at 3.8 percent in March 2019, unchanged from the previous month's figure and in line with market expectations. The number of unemployed persons decreased by 24 thousand to 6.2 million while employment dropped by 201 thousand to 156.7 million. The participation rate fell to 63 percent in March from 63.2 in February. Unemployment Rate in the United States averaged 5.76 percent from 1948 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 10.80 percent in November of 1982 and a record low of 2.50 percent in May of 1953.

Unemployment Rate in the United States is expected to be 3.80 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Unemployment Rate in the United States to stand at 4.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Unemployment Rate is projected to trend around 3.90 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Unemployment Rate
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-01-04 01:30 PM Unemployment Rate 3.9% 3.7% 3.7% 3.97%
2019-02-01 01:30 PM Unemployment Rate 4% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9%
2019-03-08 01:30 PM Unemployment Rate 3.8% 4% 3.9% 3.9%
2019-04-05 12:30 PM Unemployment Rate 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.80%
2019-05-03 12:30 PM Unemployment Rate 3.8% 3.8%
2019-06-07 12:30 PM Unemployment Rate 3.9%
2019-07-05 12:30 PM Unemployment Rate 3.80%



US Jobless Rate Holds Steady at 3.8%

The US unemployment rate came in at 3.8 percent in March 2019, unchanged from the previous month's figure and in line with market expectations. The number of unemployed persons decreased by 24 thousand to 6.2 million while employment dropped by 201 thousand to 156.7 million.

Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rates for adult men (3.6 percent), adult women (3.3 percent), teenagers (12.8 percent), Whites (3.4 percent), Blacks (6.7 percent), Asians (3.1 percent), and Hispanics (4.7 percent) showed little or no change in March.

In March, the number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) was essentially unchanged at 1.3 million and accounted for 21.1 percent of the unemployed.

The labor force participation rate fell 0.2 percentage points to 63.0 percent and has shown little movement on net over the past 12 months. The employment-population ratio edged down 0.1 percentage points to 60.6 percent in March and has been either 60.6 percent or 60.7 percent since October 2018.

The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) was little changed at 4.5 million in March. These individuals, who would have preferred full-time employment, were working part time because their hours had been reduced or they were unable to find full-time jobs.

There were 1.4 million persons marginally attached to the labor force, little different from a year earlier. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.) These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey. Among the marginally attached, there were 412,000 discouraged workers in March, about unchanged from a year earlier. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.) Discouraged workers are persons not currently looking for work because they believe no jobs are available for them. The remaining 944,000 persons marginally attached to the labor force in March had not searched for work for reasons such as school attendance or family responsibilities.


BLS | Joana Ferreira | joana.ferreira@tradingeconomics.com
4/5/2019 12:42:59 PM



United States Labour Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Unemployment Rate 3.80 3.80 10.80 2.50 percent [+]
Non Farm Payrolls 196.00 33.00 1118.00 -1959.00 Thousand [+]
Nonfarm Payrolls Private 182.00 28.00 1092.00 -811.00 Thousand [+]
Government Payrolls 14.00 5.00 427.00 -260.00 Thousand [+]
Manufacturing Payrolls -6.00 1.00 572.00 -519.00 Thousand [+]
Initial Jobless Claims 202.00 212.00 695.00 162.00 Thousand [+]
Continuing Jobless Claims 1717.00 1755.00 6635.00 988.00 Thousand [+]
ADP Employment Change 129.00 197.00 360.00 -706.00 Thousand [+]
Employed Persons 156748.00 156949.00 156949.00 57635.00 Thousand [+]
Unemployed Persons 6211.00 6235.00 15352.00 1596.00 Thousand [+]
Average Hourly Earnings 0.10 0.40 0.60 -0.20 percent [+]
Average Weekly Hours 34.50 34.40 34.60 33.70 Hours [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 63.00 63.20 67.30 58.10 percent [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 0.80 0.78 4.40 0.08 percent [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 8.90 9.10 19.50 7.80 percent [+]
Labour Costs 109.78 109.25 109.78 17.00 Index Points [+]
Productivity 106.10 105.61 106.10 26.03 Index Points [+]
Job Vacancies 7484.00 6890.00 7484.00 2132.00 Thousand [+]
Job Offers 7581.00 7479.00 7626.00 2264.00 Thousand [+]
Challenger Job Cuts 60587.00 76835.00 248475.00 15100.00 Persons [+]
Wages 23.24 23.18 23.24 2.50 USD/Hour [+]
Wage Growth 4.20 4.24 13.78 -5.88 percent [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 21.93 21.89 21.94 1.27 USD/Hour [+]
Minimum Wages 7.25 7.25 7.25 0.25 USD/Hour [+]
Employment Cost Index 0.70 0.80 1.60 0.20 percent [+]
Population 325.72 323.41 325.72 76.09 Million [+]
Retirement Age Women 66.00 66.00 66.00 66.00 [+]
Retirement Age Men 66.00 66.00 66.00 66.00 [+]
Employment Rate 60.60 60.70 64.70 55.00 percent [+]
Full Time Employment 129969.00 130159.00 130159.00 64640.00 Thousand [+]
Part Time Employment 26938.00 26878.00 28134.00 10086.00 Thousand [+]
Living Wage Family 2380.00 2270.00 2380.00 2160.00 USD/Month [+]
Living Wage Individual 1660.00 1560.00 1660.00 1450.00 USD/Month [+]
Wages High Skilled 4520.00 4330.00 4950.00 4330.00 USD/Month [+]
Wages Low Skilled 1960.00 1760.00 2340.00 1760.00 USD/Month [+]


United States Unemployment Rate

In the United States, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Unemployment Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Unemployment Rate - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on April of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
3.80 3.80 10.80 2.50 1948 - 2019 percent Monthly




Country Last Previous
South Africa 27.10 Dec/18
Spain 14.45 Dec/18
Turkey 13.50 Dec/18
Brazil 12.40 Feb/19
Italy 10.70 Feb/19
Argentina 9.10 Dec/18
France 8.80 Dec/18
Euro Area 7.80 Feb/19
Saudi Arabia 6.00 Dec/18
Canada 5.80 Mar/19
Indonesia 5.34 Sep/18
Australia 4.90 Feb/19
Russia 4.90 Feb/19
United Kingdom 3.90 Jan/19
China 3.80 Dec/18
United States 3.80 Mar/19
South Korea 3.70 Feb/19
India 3.53 Dec/18
Netherlands 3.40 Feb/19
Mexico 3.30 Feb/19
Germany 3.10 Feb/19
Switzerland 2.50 Mar/19
Japan 2.30 Feb/19
Singapore 2.20 Dec/18


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