Non farm payrolls in the United States increased by 155 thousand in November of 2018, following a downwardly revised 237 thousand in October and well below market expectations of 200 thousand. Job gains occurred in health care, in manufacturing, and in transportation and warehousing. Non Farm Payrolls in the United States averaged 127.08 Thousand from 1939 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 1115 Thousand in September of 1983 and a record low of -834 Thousand in October of 1949.

Non Farm Payrolls in the United States is expected to be 165.00 Thousand by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Non Farm Payrolls in the United States to stand at 179.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Non Farm Payrolls is projected to trend around 170.00 Thousand in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Non Farm Payrolls
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2018-09-07 12:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 201K 147K 191K 201K
2018-10-05 12:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 134K 270K 185K 195K
2018-11-02 12:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 250K 118K 190K 180K
2018-12-07 01:30 PM Non Farm Payrolls 155K 237K 200K 189K



US Economy Adds Less Jobs than Expected



Non farm payrolls in the United States increased by 155 thousand in November of 2018, following a downwardly revised 237 thousand in October and well below market expectations of 200 thousand. Job gains occurred in health care, in manufacturing, and in transportation and warehousing.

Health care employment rose by 32,000 in November. Within the industry, job gains occurred in ambulatory health care services (+19,000) and hospitals (+13,000). Over the year, health care has added 328,000 jobs.

In November, manufacturing added 27,000 jobs, with increases in chemicals (+6,000) and primary metals (+3,000). Manufacturing employment has increased by 288,000 over the year, largely in durable goods industries.

Employment in transportation and warehousing rose by 25,000 in November. Job gains occurred in couriers and messengers (+10,000) and in warehousing and storage (+6,000). Over the year, transportation and warehousing has added 192,000 jobs.

In November, employment in professional and business services continued on an upward trend (+32,000). The industry has added 561,000 jobs over the year.

Retail trade employment changed little in November (+18,000). Job growth occurred in general merchandise stores (+39,000) and miscellaneous store retailers (+10,000). These gains were offset, in part, by declines in clothing and clothing accessories stores (-14,000); electronics and appliance stores(-11,000); and sporting goods, hobby, and book stores (-11,000).

Employment in other major industries--including mining, construction, wholesale trade, information, financial activities, leisure and hospitality, and government--showed little change over the month.  

The average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls decreased by 0.1 hour to 34.4 hours in November. In manufacturing, both the workweek and overtime were unchanged (40.8 hours and 3.5 hours, respectively). The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls held at 33.7 hours. 

In November, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 6 cents to $27.35. Over the year, average hourly earnings have increased by 81 cents, or 3.1 percent. Average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees increased by 7 cents to $22.95 in November. 

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for October was revised down from +250,000 to +237,000, and the change for September was revised up from +118,000 to +119,000. With these revisions, employment gains in September and October combined were 12,000 less than previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.) After revisions, job gains have averaged 170,000 per month over the last 3 months.


BLS | Joana Taborda | joana.taborda@tradingeconomics.com
12/7/2018 1:37:50 PM



United States Labour Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Unemployment Rate 3.70 3.70 10.80 2.50 percent [+]
Non Farm Payrolls 155.00 237.00 1115.00 -834.00 Thousand [+]
Nonfarm Payrolls Private 161.00 251.00 1089.00 -821.00 Thousand [+]
Government Payrolls -6.00 -14.00 427.00 -260.00 Thousand [+]
Manufacturing Payrolls 27.00 26.00 572.00 -519.00 Thousand [+]
Initial Jobless Claims 231.00 235.00 695.00 162.00 Thousand [+]
Continuing Jobless Claims 1631.00 1705.00 6635.00 988.00 Thousand [+]
ADP Employment Change 179.00 225.00 384.00 -836.00 Thousand [+]
Employed Persons 156795.00 156562.00 156795.00 57635.00 Thousand [+]
Unemployed Persons 5975.00 6075.00 15352.00 1596.00 Thousand [+]
Average Hourly Earnings 0.20 0.10 0.60 -0.20 percent [+]
Average Weekly Hours 34.40 34.50 34.60 33.70 Hours [+]
Labor Force Participation Rate 62.90 62.90 67.30 58.10 percent [+]
Long Term Unemployment Rate 0.77 0.84 2.80 0.74 percent [+]
Youth Unemployment Rate 8.30 8.50 19.50 7.80 percent [+]
Labour Costs 109.05 108.81 109.60 17.00 Index Points [+]
Productivity 105.69 105.10 105.69 26.03 Index Points [+]
Job Vacancies 7070.00 7291.00 7313.00 2132.00 Thousand [+]
Job Offers 7079.00 6960.00 7293.00 2196.00 Thousand [+]
Challenger Job Cuts 53073.00 75644.00 248475.00 15100.00 Persons [+]
Wages 22.95 22.88 22.95 2.50 USD/Hour [+]
Wage Growth 4.60 4.79 13.78 -5.88 percent [+]
Wages in Manufacturing 21.82 21.67 21.82 1.27 USD/Hour [+]
Minimum Wages 7.25 7.25 7.25 0.25 USD/Hour [+]
Employment Cost Index 0.80 0.60 1.60 0.20 percent [+]
Population 325.72 323.41 325.72 76.09 Million [+]
Retirement Age Women 66.00 66.00 66.00 66.00 [+]
Retirement Age Men 66.00 66.00 66.00 66.00 [+]
Employment Rate 60.60 60.60 64.70 55.00 percent [+]
Full Time Employment 129755.00 129212.00 129755.00 64640.00 Thousand [+]
Part Time Employment 27039.00 27297.00 28134.00 10086.00 Thousand [+]
Living Wage Family 2380.00 2270.00 2380.00 2160.00 USD/Month [+]
Living Wage Individual 1660.00 1560.00 1660.00 1450.00 USD/Month [+]
Wages High Skilled 4520.00 4330.00 4950.00 4330.00 USD/Month [+]
Wages Low Skilled 1960.00 1760.00 2340.00 1760.00 USD/Month [+]


United States Non Farm Payrolls

Nonfarm payrolls is an employment report released monthly, usually on the first Friday of every month, and heavily affects the US dollar, the bond market and the stock market. Current Employment Statistics (CES) program from the U.S. Department of Labor Bureau of Labor Statistics, surveys about 141,000 businesses and government agencies, representing approximately 486,000 individual work sites, in order to provide detailed industry data on employment, hours, and earnings of workers on nonfarm payrolls. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Non Farm Payrolls - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Non Farm Payrolls - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on December of 2018.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
155.00 237.00 1115.00 -834.00 1939 - 2018 Thousand Monthly




Country Last Previous
Brazil 57.73 Oct/18
Canada 16658.00 Aug/18
France 25173.60 Sep/18
Switzerland 5070.00 Sep/18
United States 155.00 Nov/18


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