China’s 10-year government bond yield fell to around 1.81% on Friday, retreating from a one-month high reached in the previous session as investors returned from a week-long holiday with caution amid trade policy concerns, while the People's Bank of China kept rates unchanged for the ninth straight month. The PBoC held its one-year and five-year loan prime rates at 3% and 3.5%, respectively, indicating that authorities are in no rush to implement broad monetary easing after recent sector-targeted cuts. The decision also reflects a careful balance between supporting growth and maintaining financial stability. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump announced plans to raise a temporary 10% tariff on imports to 15% in response to a ruling by the Supreme Court. He further warned that countries backing away from recent trade deals could face even higher duties. Still, sentiment was aided by expectations that Trump’s new tax policies could boost Chinese exports.
The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.81% on February 27, 2026, marking a 0.02 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.01 points, though it remains 0.04 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the China 10-Year Government Bond Yield reached an all time high of 4.80 in September of 2007. China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on March 1 of 2026.
The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.81% on February 27, 2026, marking a 0.02 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.01 points, though it remains 0.04 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The China 10-Year Government Bond Yield is expected to trade at 1.82 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1.72 in 12 months time.