United States Durable Goods Orders

New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose 0.4 percent from a month earlier in January of 2019, following an upwardly revised 1.3 percent advance in December and beating market expectations of a 0.5 percent drop. Transportation equipment, up five of the last six months, jumped 1.2 percent and drove the increase. Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, went up 0.8 percent, the highest gain since July and rebounding from a 0.9 percent fall in December. Durable Goods Orders in the United States averaged 0.33 percent from 1992 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 23.50 percent in July of 2014 and a record low of -19 percent in August of 2014.

Durable Goods Orders in the United States is expected to be -1.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Durable Goods Orders in the United States to stand at 2.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Durable Goods Orders is projected to trend around 2.40 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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Calendar	GMT		Actual	Previous	Consensus	TEForecast
2018-11-21	01:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM	-4.4%	-0.1%	-2.5%	-1.2%
2018-12-21	01:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM	0.8%	-4.3%	1.6%	0.8%
2019-02-21	01:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM	1.2%	1%	1.5%	2.5%
2019-03-13	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM	0.4%	1.3%	-0.5%	-0.9%
2019-04-02	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM		0.4%		0.7%
2019-04-25	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM				-1.5%
2019-05-24	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM

US Durable Goods Orders Unexpectedly Rise

New orders for US manufactured durable goods increased 0.4 percent from a month earlier in January of 2019, following an upwardly revised 1.3 percent advance in December and beating market expectations of a 0.5 percent drop. Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, went up 0.8 percent, the highest gain since July and rebounding from a 0.9 percent fall in December.

Transportation equipment, up five of the last six months, drove the increase, $1.0 billion or 1.2 percent to $90.9 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.1 percent, after an upwardly revised 0.3 percent rise in December and compared to forecasts of a 0.1 percent gain. Excluding defense, new orders increased 0.7 percent, following an upwardly revised 2.2 percent rise in the previous month.

Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in January, up following three consecutive monthly decreases, increased $1.4 billion or 0.1 percent to $1,181.9 billion. This followed a 0.1 percent December decrease. Transportation equipment, also up following three consecutive monthly decreases, led the increase, $0.9 billion or 0.1 percent to $811.6 billion.

Inventories of manufactured durable goods in January, up twenty-four of the last twenty-five months, increased $1.7 billion or 0.4 percent to $417.0 billion. This followed a 0.3 percent December increase. Transportation equipment, up four of the last five months, led the increase, $1.2 billion or 0.9 percent to $132.6 billion.

Nondefense new orders for capital goods in January increased $2.0 billion or 2.5 percent to $80.3 billion. Shipments decreased $1.3 billion or 1.6 percent to $78.4 billion. Unfilled orders increased $1.9 billion or 0.3 percent to $711.0 billion. Inventories increased $0.9 billion or 0.5 percent to $182.8 billion. Defense new orders for capital goods in January decreased $0.3 billion or 2.3 percent to $12.5 billion. Shipments increased $0.4 billion or 3.4 percent to $13.0 billion. Unfilled orders decreased $0.5 billion or 0.3 percent to $156.0 billion. Inventories increased $0.4 billion or 1.6 percent to $23.0 billion.

US Census Bureau | Joana Taborda | joana.taborda@tradingeconomics.com
3/13/2019 12:44:49 PM

News

US Durable Goods Orders Rise Less than Expected
New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose 1.2 percent from a month earlier in December 2018, following an upwardly revised 1 percent advance in November and missing market expectations of a 1.5 percent gain. Transportation equipment drove the increase.
Published on 2019-02-21

US Durable Goods Orders Rebound Weaker than Expected
New orders for US manufactured durable goods surged 0.8 percent from a month earlier in November 2018, following a downwardly revised 4.3 percent plunge in October and missing market expectations of a 1.6 percent advance. Transportation equipment drove the increase.
Published on 2018-12-21

US Durable Goods Orders Post Biggest Fall in Over a Year
New orders for US manufactured durable goods slumped 4.4 percent from a month earlier in October 2018, following a downwardly revised 0.1 percent decline in September and worse than market expectations of a 2.5 percent drop. It was the largest fall in durable goods orders since July 2017.
Published on 2018-11-21

US Durable Goods Orders Unexpectedly Increase
New orders for US manufactured durable goods unexpectedly rose 0.8 percent month-over-month in September of 2018, following an upwardly revised 4.6 percent rise in August and beating market expectations of a 1 percent drop. Transportation equipment drove the increase as orders for motor vehicles and parts went up 1.3 percent and orders for defense capital jumped 119.1 percent. Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, seen as a proxy for business spending plans, edged down 0.1 percent after a 0.2 percent drop in August.
Published on 2018-10-25

United States Business	Last	Previous	Highest	Lowest	Unit
Business Confidence	54.20	56.60	77.50	29.40	Index Points	[+]
Manufacturing PMI	52.50	53.00	57.90	50.70		[+]
Services PMI	54.80	56.00	61.00	49.30	Index Points	[+]
Non Manufacturing PMI	59.70	56.70	62.00	37.80		[+]
Composite Pmi	54.30	55.50	61.00	50.00	Index Points	[+]
Industrial Production	3.50	3.90	62.00	-33.70	percent	[+]
Industrial Production Mom	0.10	-0.40	16.60	-10.40	percent	[+]
Manufacturing Production	1.00	2.80	67.90	-39.40	percent	[+]
Capacity Utilization	78.23	78.26	89.39	66.71	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders	0.40	1.30	23.50	-19.00	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense	0.70	2.20	26.00	-19.70	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation	-0.10	0.30	7.50	-6.80	percent	[+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation	-0.20	-0.50	4.60	-7.20	percent	[+]
New Orders	499876.00	499194.00	565232.00	223500.00	USD Million	[+]
Factory Orders	0.10	0.10	10.60	-10.00	percent	[+]
Business Inventories	0.60	0.00	1.30	-2.00	percent	[+]
Changes in Inventories	97.07	89.77	166.37	-245.13	USD Billion	[+]
Wholesale Inventories	1.20	1.10	2.10	-2.00	percent	[+]
Bankruptcies	22232.00	22103.00	82446.00	19695.00	Companies	[+]
Corporate Profits	2076.82	2007.53	2076.82	14.70	USD Billion	[+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index	101.70	101.20	108.80	80.10	Index Points	[+]
Ism New York Index	61.10	63.40	88.80	23.40	percent	[+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index	13.70	-4.10	58.50	-57.90	Index Points	[+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index	3.70	8.80	39.00	-34.40	Index Points	[+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	16.00	-2.00	29.00	-44.00	Index Points	[+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index	-0.43	0.05	2.77	-5.25		[+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	13.10	1.00	47.10	-60.10	Index Points	[+]
Chicago Pmi	64.70	56.70	78.60	21.20	Index Points	[+]
Car Production	2.64	2.61	9.92	1.29	Million Units	[+]
Car Registrations	445.50	401.53	1149.00	331.50	Thousand	[+]
Total Vehicle Sales	16.57	16.70	21.77	9.05	Million	[+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change	-9.59	-3.86	14.42	-15.22	BBL/1Million	[+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change	-47.00	-204.00	147.00	-359.00	Billion cf	[+]
Gasoline Stocks Change	-4587.00	-4624.00	11456.00	-8428.00	Thousand Barrels	[+]
Leading Economic Index	125.13	124.80	125.13	46.91	Index Points	[+]
Internet Speed	18747.58	17235.62	18747.58	3609.31	KBps	[+]
IP Addresses	128949703.00	127873899.00	146874246.00	89399946.00	IP	[+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change	-2.13	-2.58	14.30	-12.40	BBL/1Million	[+]
Crude Oil Rigs	824.00	833.00	1609.00	98.00		[+]
Corruption Index	71.00	75.00	78.00	71.00	Points	[+]
Corruption Rank	22.00	16.00	24.00	14.00		[+]
Competitiveness Index	85.64	84.84	85.64	5.42	Points	[+]
Competitiveness Rank	1.00	1.00	7.00	1.00		[+]
Ease of Doing Business	8.00	6.00	8.00	4.00		[+]
Steel Production	7647.00	7568.00	11951.00	3799.00	Thousand Tonnes	[+]
Mining Production	12.50	15.40	108.20	-28.80	percent	[+]

Durable Goods Orders refer to new orders placed with manufacturers for delivery of hard goods which meant to last at least three years. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Durable Goods Orders - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Durable Goods Orders - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on March of 2019.