United States Durable Goods Orders

New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose 2.1 percent from a month earlier in July 2019, the most since August last year, following a downwardly revised 1.8 percent gain and beating market expectations of a 1.2 percent increase. Transportation equipment, up for two consecutive months, drove the increase. Meanwhile, demand for machinery declined. Durable Goods Orders in the United States averaged 0.31 percent from 1992 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 23.20 percent in July of 2014 and a record low of -18.40 percent in August of 2014.

Durable Goods Orders in the United States is expected to be 1.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Durable Goods Orders in the United States to stand at 0.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Durable Goods Orders is projected to trend around 0.30 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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Calendar	GMT		Actual	Previous	Consensus	TEForecast
2019-05-24	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM Apr	-2.1%	1.7%	-2%	-1.7%
2019-06-26	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM May	-1.3%	-2.8%	-0.1%	0.2%
2019-07-25	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM Jun	2%	-2.3%	0.7%	0.7%
2019-08-26	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM Jul	2.1%	1.8%	1.2%	0.8%
2019-09-27	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM Aug		2.1%	-1.2%	-1.2%
2019-10-24	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM Sep				1.5%
2019-11-27	01:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM Oct

US Durable Goods Orders Rise More than Expected

New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose 2.1 percent from a month earlier in July 2019, the most since August last year, following a downwardly revised 1.8 percent gain and beating market expectations of a 1.2 percent increase. Transportation equipment, up for two consecutive months, drove the increase. Meanwhile, demand for machinery declined.

Demand for transport equipment jumped 7.0 percent, after increasing 4.1 percent in the prior month, led by a rebound in defense aircraft and parts (34.4 percent vs -38.1 percent) while orders for civilian aircraft (47.8 percent vs 101.4 percent) and motor vehicles and parts (0.5 percent vs 2.7 percent) slowed. Demand also advanced for electrical equipment, appliances, and components (1.1 percent vs 0.8 percent) and rebounded for computers and electronic products (0.2 percent vs -1.5 percent). On the other hand, orders dropped for machinery (-0.6 percent vs 1.7 percent), primary metals (-1.0 percent vs 0.5 percent), and fabricated metal products (-0.9 percent vs 2.1 percent).

Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a closely watched proxy for business spending plans, went up 0.4 percent, easing from a 0.9 percent rise in June.

Excluding transportation, new orders decreased 0.4 percent (vs 0.8 percent in June). Excluding defense, new orders increased 1.4 percent (vs 3.1 percent in June).

Shipments of manufactured durable goods in July, down following two consecutive monthly increases, decreased $2.9 billion or 1.1 percent to $254.0 billion. This followed a 1.0 percent June increase. Transportation equipment, also down following two consecutive monthly increases, led the decrease, $1.8 billion or 2.1 percent to $86.4 billion.

Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in July, up following three consecutive monthly decreases, increased $0.7 billion or 0.1 percent to $1,161.6 billion. This followed a 0.6 percent June decrease. Fabricated metal products, up two consecutive months, led the increase, $0.4 billion or 0.4 percent to $86.5 billion.

Inventories of manufactured durable goods in July, up twelve of the last thirteen months, increased $1.5 billion or 0.4 percent to $427.3 billion. This followed a 0.3 percent June increase. Transportation equipment, also up twelve of the last thirteen months, led the increase, $1.4 billion or 1.0 percent to $141.1 billion.

Nondefense new orders for capital goods in July increased $3.6 billion or 5.0 percent to $75.8 billion. Shipments decreased $2.3 billion or 3.0 percent to $74.4 billion. Unfilled orders increased $1.4 billion or 0.2 percent to $693.6 billion. Inventories increased $1.4 billion or 0.7 percent to $190.5 billion. Defense new orders for capital goods in July increased $1.5 billion or 14.4 percent to $11.8 billion. Shipments decreased $0.3 billion or 2.3 percent to $12.6 billion. Unfilled orders decreased $0.8 billion or 0.5 percent to $155.9 billion. Inventories increased $0.3 billion or 1.3 percent to $24.0 billion.

US Census Bureau | Stefanie Moya | stefanie.moya@tradingeconomics.com
8/26/2019 1:00:09 PM

News

US Durable Goods Orders Rise the Most in Almost a Year
New orders for US manufactured durable goods jumped 2 percent from a month earlier in June 2019, reversing a 2.3 percent plunge in May and easily beating market expectations of a 0.7 percent growth.
Published on 2019-07-25

US Durable Goods Orders Drop for 2nd Straight Month
New orders for US manufactured durable goods fell 1.3 percent from a month earlier in May 2019, after a revised 2.8 percent plunge in April and worse than market expectations of a 0.1 percent drop. Transportation equipment, down three of the last four months, drove the decrease.
Published on 2019-06-26

US Durable Goods Orders Fall More than Expected
New orders for US manufactured durable goods fell 2.1 percent from a month earlier in April 2019, reversing a downwardly revised 1.7 percent growth in March and slightly worse than market expectations of a 2 percent drop. Transportation equipment, down two of the last three months, drove the decrease.
Published on 2019-05-24

US Durable Goods Orders Rise the Most in 7 Months
New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose 2.7 percent from a month earlier in March 2019, rebounding from a downwardly revised 1.1 percent fall in February and above market expectations of a 0.8 percent gain. It is the biggest increase since August last year, led by transportation equipment.
Published on 2019-04-25

United States Business	Last	Previous	Highest	Lowest	Unit
Business Confidence	49.10	51.20	77.50	29.40	Index Points	[+]
Manufacturing PMI	50.30	50.40	57.90	50.30		[+]
Services PMI	50.70	53.00	61.00	49.30	Index Points	[+]
Non Manufacturing PMI	56.40	53.70	62.00	37.80		[+]
Composite Pmi	50.70	52.60	61.00	50.00	Index Points	[+]
Industrial Production	0.40	0.50	62.00	-33.70	percent	[+]
Industrial Production Mom	0.60	-0.10	16.60	-10.40	percent	[+]
Manufacturing Production	-0.40	-0.50	67.90	-39.40	percent	[+]
Capacity Utilization	77.88	77.52	89.39	66.69	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders	2.10	1.80	23.20	-18.40	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense	1.40	3.10	25.50	-19.20	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation	-0.40	0.80	6.30	-10.20	percent	[+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation	0.30	-0.10	4.60	-7.00	percent	[+]
New Orders	500278.00	493817.00	565232.00	223500.00	USD Million	[+]
Factory Orders	1.40	0.50	10.40	-9.70	percent	[+]
Business Inventories	0.40	0.00	1.30	-2.00	percent	[+]
Changes in Inventories	69.03	116.00	173.21	-245.13	USD Billion	[+]
Wholesale Inventories	0.20	-0.10	2.10	-2.00	percent	[+]
Bankruptcies	22483.00	22157.00	82446.00	19695.00	Companies	[+]
Corporate Profits	1882.97	1791.42	1882.97	14.67	USD Billion	[+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index	103.10	104.70	108.80	80.10	Index Points	[+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index	2.00	4.80	39.00	-34.40	Index Points	[+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index	12.00	16.80	58.50	-57.90	Index Points	[+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	1.00	-12.00	27.00	-44.00	Index Points	[+]
Ism New York Index	50.30	43.50	88.80	23.40	percent	[+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index	-0.36	0.03	2.79	-5.28		[+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	2.70	-6.30	47.60	-59.90	Index Points	[+]
Chicago Pmi	50.40	44.40	78.60	21.20	Index Points	[+]
Car Production	2.67	2.62	9.92	1.29	Million Units	[+]
Car Registrations	417.60	466.07	1149.00	331.50	Thousand	[+]
Total Vehicle Sales	16.90	16.80	21.77	9.05	Million	[+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change	1.06	-6.91	14.42	-15.22	BBL/1Million	[+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change	84.00	78.00	147.00	-359.00	Billion cf	[+]
Gasoline Stocks Change	781.00	-682.00	11456.00	-8428.00	Thousand Barrels	[+]
Leading Economic Index	128.31	128.29	128.31	46.91	Index Points	[+]
Internet Speed	18747.58	17235.62	18747.58	3609.31	KBps	[+]
IP Addresses	128949703.00	127873899.00	146874246.00	89399946.00	IP	[+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change	0.59	-7.20	14.30	-12.40	BBL/1Million	[+]
Crude Oil Rigs	719.00	733.00	1609.00	98.00		[+]
Corruption Index	71.00	75.00	78.00	71.00	Points	[+]
Corruption Rank	22.00	16.00	24.00	14.00		[+]
Competitiveness Index	85.64	84.84	85.64	5.42	Points	[+]
Competitiveness Rank	1.00	1.00	7.00	1.00		[+]
Ease of Doing Business	8.00	6.00	8.00	4.00		[+]
Steel Production	7514.00	7276.00	11951.00	3799.00	Thousand Tonnes	[+]
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index	-2.00	-6.00	37.00	-32.00	Index Points	[+]
Mining Production	5.10	5.90	108.20	-28.80	percent	[+]

Durable Goods Orders refer to new orders placed with manufacturers for delivery of hard goods which meant to last at least three years. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Durable Goods Orders - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Durable Goods Orders - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on September of 2019.