United States Durable Goods Orders

New orders for US manufactured durable goods unexpectedly rose 0.8 percent month-over-month in September of 2018, following an upwardly revised 4.6 percent rise in August and beating market expectations of a 1 percent drop. Transportation equipment drove the increase as orders for motor vehicles and parts went up 1.3 percent and orders for defense capital jumped 119.1 percent. Durable Goods Orders in the United States averaged 0.35 percent from 1992 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 23.50 percent in July of 2014 and a record low of -19 percent in August of 2014.

Durable Goods Orders in the United States is expected to be 2.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Durable Goods Orders in the United States to stand at 1.50 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Durable Goods Orders is projected to trend around 2.40 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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Calendar	GMT		Actual	Previous	Consensus	TEForecast
2018-08-24	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM	-1.7%	0.7%	-0.5%	-0.2%
2018-09-27	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM	4.5%	-1.2%	2%	1.2%
2018-10-25	12:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM	0.8%	4.6%	-1%	-1.8%
2018-11-21	01:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM		0.8%	-2.5%	-1.2%
2018-12-21	01:30 PM	Durable Goods Orders MoM				0.8%

US Durable Goods Orders Unexpectedly Increase

New orders for US manufactured durable goods unexpectedly rose 0.8 percent month-over-month in September of 2018, following an upwardly revised 4.6 percent rise in August and beating market expectations of a 1 percent drop. Transportation equipment drove the increase as orders for motor vehicles and parts went up 1.3 percent and orders for defense capital jumped 119.1 percent. Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, seen as a proxy for business spending plans, edged down 0.1 percent after a 0.2 percent drop in August.

Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.1 percent. Excluding defense, new orders decreased 0.6 percent. Transportation equipment, also up three of the last four months, led the increase, $1.8 billion or 1.9 percent to $97.4 billion.

Shipments of manufactured durable goods in September, up four of the last five months, increased $3.3 billion or 1.3 percent to $256.8 billion. This followed a 0.9 percent August increase. Transportation equipment, up three of the last four months, led the increase, $2.9 billion or 3.3 percent to $89.4 billion.

Unfilled orders for manufactured durable goods in September, up ten of the last eleven months, increased $9.4 billion or 0.8 percent to $1,186.1 billion. This followed a 0.9 percent August increase. Transportation equipment, up seven of the last eight months, led the increase, $7.9 billion or 1.0 percent to $818.7 billion.

Inventories of manufactured durable goods in September, up twenty of the last twenty-one months, increased $2.8 billion or 0.7 percent to $410.7 billion. This followed a 0.2 percent August decrease. Transportation equipment, up two of the last three months, led the increase, $1.2 billion or 0.9 percent to $130.5 billion.

Nondefense new orders for capital goods in September decreased $1.9 billion or 2.4 percent to $79.1 billion. Shipments increased $2.1 billion or 2.7 percent to $79.5 billion. Unfilled orders decreased $0.4 billion or 0.1 percent to $717.9 billion. Inventories increased $1.7 billion or 0.9 percent to $179.5 billion. Defense new orders for capital goods in September decreased $2.4 billion or 14.3 percent to $14.2 billion. Shipments increased $0.1 billion or 0.7 percent to $11.7 billion. Unfilled orders increased $2.4 billion or 1.6 percent to $154.4 billion. Inventories increased $0.2 billion or 0.8 percent to $22.8 billion.

US Census Bureau | Joana Taborda | joana.taborda@tradingeconomics.com
10/25/2018 12:44:09 PM

Recent Releases

US Durable Goods Orders Jump 4.5%
New orders for US manufactured durable goods surged 4.5 percent from a month earlier in August 2018, following a downwardly revised 1.2 percent drop in July and easily beating market expectations of a 2 percent growth. Transportation equipment drove the increase as volatile demand for civilian aircraft rose.
Published on 2018-09-27

US Durable Goods Orders Fall More than Expected
New orders for US manufactured durable goods declined 1.7 percent from a month earlier in July 2018, following a downwardly revised 0.7 percent advance in June and compared with market expectations of a 0.5 percent drop. Transportation equipment drove the decrease as volatile demand for civilian aircraft fell.
Published on 2018-08-24

US Durable Goods Orders Rebound Weaker than Expected
New orders for US manufactured durable goods rose 1 percent month-over-month in June 2018, following a downwardly revised 0.3 percent drop in May and missing market expectations of a 3 percent jump. Transportation equipment led the increase.
Published on 2018-07-26

US Durable Goods Orders Drop Less than Expected
New orders for US manufactured durable goods fell 0.6 percent month-over-month in May 2018, following a downwardly revised 1 percent drop in April while markets were expecting a bigger 1 percent decline. Transportation equipment led the decrease. Meanwhile, orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, a proxy for business spending plans, slipped 0.2 percent last month, after jumping by 2.3 percent in April.
Published on 2018-06-27

United States Business	Last	Previous	Highest	Lowest	Unit
Business Confidence	57.70	59.80	77.50	29.40	Index Points	[+]
Manufacturing PMI	55.70	55.60	57.90	50.70		[+]
Services PMI	54.80	53.50	61.00	49.30	Index Points	[+]
Non Manufacturing PMI	60.30	61.60	62.00	37.60		[+]
Composite Pmi	54.90	53.90	61.00	50.00	Index Points	[+]
Industrial Production	4.10	5.60	62.00	-33.70	percent	[+]
Industrial Production Mom	0.10	0.20	16.60	-10.40	percent	[+]
Manufacturing Production	2.70	3.80	67.90	-39.40	percent	[+]
Capacity Utilization	78.40	78.50	89.39	66.71	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders	0.80	4.60	23.50	-19.00	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense	-0.60	2.50	26.00	-19.70	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation	0.10	0.30	7.50	-6.80	percent	[+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation	0.40	0.40	4.60	-7.20	percent	[+]
New Orders	515334.00	510466.00	565232.00	223500.00	USD Million	[+]
Factory Orders	0.70	2.60	10.60	-10.00	percent	[+]
Business Inventories	0.30	0.50	1.30	-2.00	percent	[+]
Changes in Inventories	76.33	-36.81	166.37	-245.13	USD Billion	[+]
Wholesale Inventories	0.40	0.90	2.10	-2.00	percent	[+]
Bankruptcies	22103.00	22245.00	82446.00	19695.00	Companies	[+]
Corporate Profits	2007.53	1965.29	2007.53	14.70	USD Billion	[+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index	107.40	107.90	108.80	80.10	Index Points	[+]
Ism New York Index	69.80	72.50	88.80	23.40	percent	[+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index	12.90	22.20	58.50	-57.90	Index Points	[+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index	23.30	21.10	39.00	-35.10	Index Points	[+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	15.00	29.00	29.00	-44.00	Index Points	[+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index	0.17	0.27	2.77	-5.22		[+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	29.40	28.10	47.10	-60.10	Index Points	[+]
Chicago Pmi	58.40	60.40	81.00	20.70	Index Points	[+]
Car Production	2.64	2.78	9.92	1.29	Million Units	[+]
Car Registrations	443.14	445.58	1149.00	331.50	Thousand	[+]
Total Vehicle Sales	17.57	17.44	21.77	9.05	Million	[+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change	10.27	5.78	14.42	-15.22	BBL/1Million	[+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change	39.00	65.00	147.00	-359.00	Billion cf	[+]
Gasoline Stocks Change	-1411.00	1852.00	11456.00	-8428.00	Thousand Barrels	[+]
Leading Economic Index	124.26	123.89	124.26	46.91	Index Points	[+]
Internet Speed	18747.58	17235.62	18747.58	3609.31	KBps	[+]
IP Addresses	128949703.00	127873899.00	146874246.00	89399946.00	IP	[+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change	-1.55	8.79	14.30	-12.40	BBL/1Million	[+]
Crude Oil Rigs	888.00	886.00	1609.00	98.00		[+]
Corruption Index	75.00	74.00	78.00	71.00	Points	[+]
Corruption Rank	16.00	18.00	24.00	14.00		[+]
Competitiveness Index	85.64	84.84	85.64	5.42	Points	[+]
Competitiveness Rank	1.00	1.00	7.00	1.00		[+]
Ease of Doing Business	8.00	6.00	8.00	4.00		[+]
Steel Production	7251.00	7461.00	11951.00	3799.00	Thousand Tonnes	[+]
Mining Production	13.10	15.10	108.20	-28.80	percent	[+]

Durable Goods Orders refer to new orders placed with manufacturers for delivery of hard goods which meant to last at least three years. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Durable Goods Orders - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Durable Goods Orders - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on November of 2018.