United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI index for the United States jumped to 59.7 in February of 2019 from 56.7 in January, beating market expectations of 57.3. The reading pointed to the strongest expansion in the services sector in three months, as business activity, new orders and employment rose faster. Service providers remained mostly optimistic about overall business conditions and the economy but showed concerns about the uncertainty of tariffs, capacity constraints and employment resources. Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States is reported by Institute for Supply Management.

Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States is expected to be 54.00 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States to stand at 53.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 50.00 in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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US Services Growth Beat Forecasts: ISM

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI index for the United States jumped to 59.7 in February of 2019 from 56.7 in January, beating market expectations of 57.3. The reading pointed to the strongest expansion in the services sector in three months, as business activity, new orders and employment rose faster. Service providers remained mostly optimistic about overall business conditions and the economy but showed concerns about the uncertainty of tariffs, capacity constraints and employment resources.

Faster increases were seen in business activity (64.7 from 59.7 in January), new orders (65.2 from 57.7), employment (55.2 from 57.8), backlogs of orders (55.5 from 52.5), new export orders (55 from 50.5) and supplier deliveries (53.5 from 51.5). Also, inventories rebounded (51 from 49) and price pressures slowed (54.4 from 59.4).

The 18 non-manufacturing industries reporting growth in February — listed in order — are: Transportation & Warehousing; Management of Companies & Support Services; Wholesale Trade; Mining; Educational Services; Utilities; Other Services; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Construction; Health Care & Social Assistance; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Public Administration; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Finance & Insurance; Information; Accommodation & Food Services; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; and Retail Trade.

ISM | Joana Taborda | joana.taborda@tradingeconomics.com
3/5/2019 3:12:41 PM

News

US Services Growth Slows for 2nd Month: ISM
The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI index for the United States fell to 56.7 in January of 2019 from 58 in December and below market expectations of 57.2. The reading pointed to the weakest expansion in the services sector in six months. While respondents showed concerns about the impacts of the government shutdown they remain mostly optimistic about overall business conditions.
Published on 2019-02-05

US Services Growth Below Forecasts: ISM
The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI index for the United States fell to 57.6 in December of 2018 from 60.7 in November and below market expectations of 59. The reading pointed to the weakest expansion in the services sector in five months, amid a slowdown in business activity, employment, inventories and supplier deliveries.
Published on 2019-01-07

US Services Growth Beats Forecasts: ISM
The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI index for the United States edged up to 60.7 in November of 2018 from 60.3 in October, beating market expectations of 59.2. The non-manufacturing sector continued to reflect strong growth in November although concerns persist about employment resources and the impact of tariffs. Yet, respondents remain positive about current business conditions and the direction of the economy.
Published on 2018-12-06

US Services Slow Less than Expected: ISM
The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI index for the United States fell to 60.3 in October of 2018 from 61.6 in September, beating market expectations of 59.3. Production, new orders and employment slowed although general growth in the services sector remained strong. There are continued concerns about capacity, logistics and tariffs although the respondents are positive about current business conditions.
Published on 2018-11-05

United States Business	Last	Previous	Highest	Lowest	Unit
Business Confidence	54.20	56.60	77.50	29.40	Index Points	[+]
Manufacturing PMI	53.00	54.90	57.90	50.70		[+]
Services PMI	56.00	54.20	61.00	49.30	Index Points	[+]
Non Manufacturing PMI	59.70	56.70	62.00	37.80		[+]
Composite Pmi	55.50	54.40	61.00	50.00	Index Points	[+]
Industrial Production	3.50	3.90	62.00	-33.70	percent	[+]
Industrial Production Mom	0.10	-0.40	16.60	-10.40	percent	[+]
Manufacturing Production	1.00	2.80	67.90	-39.40	percent	[+]
Capacity Utilization	78.23	78.26	89.39	66.71	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders	0.40	1.30	23.50	-19.00	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense	0.70	2.20	26.00	-19.70	percent	[+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation	-0.10	0.30	7.50	-6.80	percent	[+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation	-0.20	-0.50	4.60	-7.20	percent	[+]
New Orders	499876.00	499194.00	565232.00	223500.00	USD Million	[+]
Factory Orders	0.10	0.10	10.60	-10.00	percent	[+]
Business Inventories	0.60	0.00	1.30	-2.00	percent	[+]
Changes in Inventories	97.07	89.77	166.37	-245.13	USD Billion	[+]
Wholesale Inventories	1.10	0.40	2.10	-2.00	percent	[+]
Bankruptcies	22232.00	22103.00	82446.00	19695.00	Companies	[+]
Corporate Profits	2076.82	2007.53	2076.82	14.70	USD Billion	[+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index	101.70	101.20	108.80	80.10	Index Points	[+]
Ism New York Index	61.10	63.40	88.80	23.40	percent	[+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index	-4.10	17.00	58.50	-57.90	Index Points	[+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index	3.70	8.80	39.00	-34.40	Index Points	[+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index	16.00	-2.00	29.00	-44.00	Index Points	[+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index	-0.43	0.05	2.77	-5.25		[+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index	13.10	1.00	47.10	-60.10	Index Points	[+]
Chicago Pmi	64.70	56.70	78.60	21.20	Index Points	[+]
Car Production	2.64	2.61	9.92	1.29	Million Units	[+]
Car Registrations	445.50	401.53	1149.00	331.50	Thousand	[+]
Total Vehicle Sales	16.57	16.70	21.77	9.05	Million	[+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change	-9.59	-3.86	14.42	-15.22	BBL/1Million	[+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change	-204.00	-149.00	147.00	-359.00	Billion cf	[+]
Gasoline Stocks Change	-4587.00	-4624.00	11456.00	-8428.00	Thousand Barrels	[+]
Leading Economic Index	125.13	124.80	125.13	46.91	Index Points	[+]
Internet Speed	18747.58	17235.62	18747.58	3609.31	KBps	[+]
IP Addresses	128949703.00	127873899.00	146874246.00	89399946.00	IP	[+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change	-2.13	-2.58	14.30	-12.40	BBL/1Million	[+]
Crude Oil Rigs	833.00	834.00	1609.00	98.00		[+]
Corruption Index	71.00	75.00	78.00	71.00	Points	[+]
Corruption Rank	22.00	16.00	24.00	14.00		[+]
Competitiveness Index	85.64	84.84	85.64	5.42	Points	[+]
Competitiveness Rank	1.00	1.00	7.00	1.00		[+]
Ease of Doing Business	8.00	6.00	8.00	4.00		[+]
Steel Production	7647.00	7568.00	11951.00	3799.00	Thousand Tonnes	[+]
Mining Production	12.50	15.40	108.20	-28.80	percent	[+]

The Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business® is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (Business Activity, New Orders, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Inventory Change, Inventory Sentiment, Imports, Prices, Employment and Supplier Deliveries) this report shows the percentage reporting each response, and the diffusion index. An index reading above 50 percent indicates that the non-manufacturing economy in that index is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining. Orders to the service producers make up about 90 percent of the US economy. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on March of 2019.