The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI index for the United States edged up to 60.7 in November of 2018 from 60.3 in October, beating market expectations of 59.2. The non-manufacturing sector continued to reflect strong growth in November although concerns persist about employment resources and the impact of tariffs. Yet, respondents remain positive about current business conditions and the direction of the economy. Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States is reported by Institute for Supply Management.

Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States is expected to be 54.60 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Non Manufacturing PMI in the United States to stand at 56.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 52.00 in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI
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US Services Growth Beats Forecasts: ISM



The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI index for the United States edged up to 60.7 in November of 2018 from 60.3 in October, beating market expectations of 59.2. The non-manufacturing sector continued to reflect strong growth in November although concerns persist about employment resources and the impact of tariffs. Yet, respondents remain positive about current business conditions and the direction of the economy.

Faster increases were seen in business activity/production (65.2 from 62.5), new orders (62.5 from 61.5), invesntories (57.5 from 56) and backlogs of orders (55.5 from 53.5). On the other hand, employment (58.4 from 59.7), supplier deliveries (56.5 from 57.5) and new export orders (57.5 from 61) slowed and price pressures intensified (64.3 from 61.7). 

The 17 non-manufacturing industries reporting growth in November — listed in order — are: Educational Services; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Health Care & Social Assistance; Transportation & Warehousing; Construction; Wholesale Trade; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Management of Companies & Support Services; Information; Finance & Insurance; Retail Trade; Other Services; Mining; Accommodation & Food Services; Public Administration; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; and Utilities. The only industry reporting a decrease in November is Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting.


ISM | Joana Taborda | joana.taborda@tradingeconomics.com
12/6/2018 3:09:32 PM



United States Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 59.30 57.70 77.50 29.40 Index Points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 53.90 55.30 57.90 50.70 [+]
Services PMI 53.40 54.70 61.00 49.30 Index Points [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 60.70 60.30 62.00 37.60 [+]
Composite Pmi 53.60 54.70 61.00 50.00 Index Points [+]
Industrial Production 3.90 3.80 62.00 -33.70 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.60 -0.20 16.60 -10.40 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 2.00 2.20 67.90 -39.40 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 78.50 78.10 89.39 66.71 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders -4.40 -0.10 23.50 -19.00 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense -1.20 -1.40 26.00 -19.70 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.10 -0.60 7.50 -6.80 percent [+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.30 0.10 4.60 -7.20 percent [+]
New Orders 502677.00 515334.00 565232.00 223500.00 USD Million [+]
Factory Orders -2.10 0.20 10.60 -10.00 percent [+]
Business Inventories 0.60 0.50 1.30 -2.00 percent [+]
Changes in Inventories 86.65 -36.81 166.37 -245.13 USD Billion [+]
Wholesale Inventories 0.80 0.70 2.10 -2.00 percent [+]
Bankruptcies 22103.00 22245.00 82446.00 19695.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 2073.50 2007.53 2073.50 14.70 USD Billion [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 104.80 107.40 108.80 80.10 Index Points [+]
Ism New York Index 67.80 69.80 88.80 23.40 percent [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 12.90 22.20 58.50 -57.90 Index Points [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 10.90 23.30 39.00 -35.10 Index Points [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 14.00 15.00 29.00 -44.00 Index Points [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.24 0.14 2.77 -5.22 [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 17.60 29.40 47.10 -60.10 Index Points [+]
Chicago Pmi 66.40 58.40 81.00 20.70 Index Points [+]
Car Production 2.71 2.64 9.92 1.29 Million Units [+]
Car Registrations 436.69 443.14 1149.00 331.50 Thousand [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 17.49 17.57 21.77 9.05 Million [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change -1.21 -7.32 14.42 -15.22 BBL/1Million [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change -77.00 -63.00 147.00 -359.00 Billion cf [+]
Gasoline Stocks Change 2087.00 1699.00 11456.00 -8428.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Leading Economic Index 124.54 124.26 124.54 46.91 Index Points [+]
Internet Speed 18747.58 17235.62 18747.58 3609.31 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 128949703.00 127873899.00 146874246.00 89399946.00 IP [+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change -10.18 5.36 14.30 -12.40 BBL/1Million [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 873.00 877.00 1609.00 98.00 [+]
Corruption Index 75.00 74.00 78.00 71.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 16.00 18.00 24.00 14.00 [+]
Competitiveness Index 85.64 84.84 85.64 5.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 1.00 1.00 7.00 1.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 8.00 6.00 8.00 4.00 [+]
Steel Production 7571.00 7251.00 11951.00 3799.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Mining Production 13.20 13.60 108.20 -28.80 percent [+]


United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI

The Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business® is based on data compiled from purchasing and supply executives nationwide. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. For each of the indicators measured (Business Activity, New Orders, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders, Inventory Change, Inventory Sentiment, Imports, Prices, Employment and Supplier Deliveries) this report shows the percentage reporting each response, and the diffusion index. An index reading above 50 percent indicates that the non-manufacturing economy in that index is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally declining. Orders to the service producers make up about 90 percent of the US economy. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States ISM Non Manufacturing PMI - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on December of 2018.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
60.70 60.30 62.00 37.60 1997 - 2018 Monthly
SA




Country Last Previous
China 53.40 Nov/18
Japan 24.00 Dec/18
United States 60.70 Nov/18


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