The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note edged lower to 4.67% on Friday, pausing after a four-session rally that had lifted the benchmark yield to its highest level since January 2025. Oil prices eased during the session, helping push yields slightly lower, although tensions in the Middle East remained elevated, with US President Trump saying he would soon decide whether to launch a "massive attack" on Iran. On the data front, flash S&P Global PMIs showed that US services sector activity strengthened in July, while manufacturing growth slowed and price pressures intensified. Investors are now turning their attention to next week's Federal Reserve policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to leave the federal funds rate unchanged, although markets are pricing in roughly a 35% probability of a rate hike. The probability of a September hike currently stands at nearly 80%.
The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.69% on July 24, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.29 points and is 0.30 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on July 25 of 2026.
The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.69% on July 24, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.29 points and is 0.30 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is expected to trade at 4.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.32 in 12 months time.