Actual
5.1950
Daily Change
-0.04%
Monthly
0.21%
Yearly
1.16%
Q4 Forecast
5.1754
US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Summary

The US 10-year Treasury yield fell 5bps to 5.19% on Tuesday, retreating slightly from the 24-year highs touched earlier this month, as traders returned from a long weekend amid rising safe-haven demand and falling oil prices. Weakness in the tech sector, particularly semiconductor and chip stocks, amid renewed concerns over the AI trade, spread globally, prompting investors to seek safer assets. Meanwhile, oil prices declined after a three-day winning streak, providing additional support to the bond market. Investors are also awaiting key US inflation data this week, including Wednesday’s CPI report, for further clues on the trajectory of inflation and the Fed’s next policy steps. Meanwhile, traders have scaled back bets on another 25bps rate hike this month, with the probability of such a move currently standing at around 19%. For December, markets are pricing in a nearly 72% chance of a 25bps increase in the fed funds rate.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Stats

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 5.20% on October 13, 2026, marking a 0.04 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.21 points and is 1.16 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on October 13 of 2026.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Forecast

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 5.20% on October 13, 2026, marking a 0.04 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.21 points and is 1.16 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is expected to trade at 5.18 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.97 in 12 months time.



Bonds Yield Day Month Year Date
US 10Y 5.20 -0.040% 0.207% 1.162% Oct/13
US 4W 4.03 0.005% 0.158% -0.057% Oct/13
US 8W 4.06 0.008% 0.110% 0.031% Oct/13
US 3M 4.16 0.005% 0.123% 0.211% Oct/13
US 6M 4.33 0.005% 0.136% 0.506% Oct/13
US 52W 4.46 0.006% 0.092% 0.870% Oct/13
US 2Y 4.78 -0.028% 0.101% 1.285% Oct/13
US 3Y 4.90 -0.028% 0.133% 1.396% Oct/13
US 5Y 4.98 -0.035% 0.157% 1.372% Oct/13
US 7Y 5.09 -0.038% 0.179% 1.284% Oct/13
US 20Y 5.60 -0.037% 0.233% 1.013% Oct/13
US 30Y 5.56 -0.035% 0.206% 0.924% Oct/13
US 10Y TIPS 2.86 0.009% 0.281% 1.151% Oct/13
US 5Y TIPS 2.61 0.043% 0.252% 1.426% Oct/13
US 30Y TIPS 3.31 0.006% 0.247% 0.905% Oct/13



Related Last Previous Unit Reference
United States Inflation Rate 3.40 3.40 percent Aug 2026
United States Fed Funds Interest Rate 4.00 3.75 percent Sep 2026
United States Unemployment Rate 4.20 4.10 percent Sep 2026

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield
Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
5.20 5.24 15.82 0.32 1912 - 2026 percent Daily

News Stream
Treasury Yields Fall
The US 10-year Treasury yield fell 5bps to 5.19% on Tuesday, retreating slightly from the 24-year highs touched earlier this month, as traders returned from a long weekend amid rising safe-haven demand and falling oil prices. Weakness in the tech sector, particularly semiconductor and chip stocks, amid renewed concerns over the AI trade, spread globally, prompting investors to seek safer assets. Meanwhile, oil prices declined after a three-day winning streak, providing additional support to the bond market. Investors are also awaiting key US inflation data this week, including Wednesday’s CPI report, for further clues on the trajectory of inflation and the Fed’s next policy steps. Meanwhile, traders have scaled back bets on another 25bps rate hike this month, with the probability of such a move currently standing at around 19%. For December, markets are pricing in a nearly 72% chance of a 25bps increase in the fed funds rate.
2026-10-13
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Extends Slide
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell below 5.2% on Tuesday as bond trading resumed after a market holiday, extending its retreat from 24-year highs after the recent global bond selloff lost momentum. Investors also turned their attention to key inflation data due this week that could influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook. The US consumer price index report is scheduled for Wednesday, followed by producer inflation data on Thursday. Markets are pricing in roughly an 80% probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, while assigning nearly an 88% chance of a rate hike in December. Investors will also assess existing home sales figures and remarks from Fed officials Christopher Waller, Tom Barkin and Susan Collins on Tuesday. Meanwhile, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe continued to support elevated oil prices, adding to inflationary pressures.
2026-10-13
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Edges Up
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note edged up to 5.26% on Friday, following a volatile session on Thursday, when the benchmark yield fell 6 bps from its highest level since 2002. Investors continued to assess developments in the Middle East and their implications for energy prices and inflation. Oil prices eased after US President Trump pledged to refrain from attacking Iran until after the midterm elections. Nevertheless, markets continued to price in the possibility that the Fed would need to keep interest rates elevated for longer to contain persistent inflationary pressures. The probability of the Fed holding rates steady this month stood at around 81%, while the odds of a 25bps rate hike in December were approximately 69%. For the week, the 10-year Treasury yield was down about 5bps. The US Treasury cash market will be closed on Monday for a holiday, though Treasury futures trading will be open.
2026-10-09