The benchmark 10-year US yield eased toward 3.15% on Wednesday after hitting an intraday high of 3.259% in the previous session, as concerns over a slowing economy due largely to aggressive monetary tightening continued to dominate market sentiment. Highlighting such pessimism, data released Tuesday showed US consumer confidence dropped to 16-month low in June amid persistent inflation worries, while near-term expectations sank to a near decade low. Meanwhile, Federal Reserve policymakers promised further rapid interest rate hikes to bring down high inflation on Tuesday, but pushed back against growing fears among investors and economists that sharply higher borrowing costs will trigger a steep downturn. Investors now await comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell who is scheduled to give a speech at the European Central Bank forum on Wednesday.
Historically, the United States Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. United States Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on June of 2022.
The United States Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 3.26 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 3.66 in 12 months time.