The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note steadied around 4.57% on Wednesday after facing pressure in recent sessions as investors pondered US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans. Trump stated on Tuesday that he is considering a 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective as early as February 1, just one day after threatening Mexico and Canada with tariffs of around 25%. However, none of these threats have been implemented into policy yet, fueling hopes that the administration may adopt a more cautious stance on tariffs, potentially easing inflation concerns. Earlier this month, the benchmark 10-year yield surged to its highest level in over a year, driven by fears that Trump’s "America First" policies and pro-growth approach could spur inflation, possibly hindering the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut rates further. Despite these concerns, markets still expect the Fed to lower rates by July, with an additional rate cut by year-end remaining a possibility.
US 10 Year Note Bond Yield was 4.62 percent on Wednesday January 22, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on January 22 of 2025.
US 10 Year Note Bond Yield was 4.62 percent on Wednesday January 22, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield is expected to trade at 4.50 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.27 in 12 months time.