The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell around 7bps to 4.34% on Wednesday, extending a 2bps decline in the previous session, as a sharp drop in oil prices eased inflation concerns. Oil came under pressure amid hopes that the conflict with Iran could be nearing an end. Axios reported that the White House believes it is close to reaching an agreement with Iran on a preliminary memorandum of understanding to halt the war and set the stage for more detailed nuclear negotiations, citing two US officials and other sources. In addition, the US said its offensive operations against Iran had concluded and announced a temporary pause in “Project Freedom.” The decline in oil prices helped ease fears of renewed inflationary pressures. Investors are now awaiting the Treasury’s Refunding Announcement, after estimates released on Monday showed the US Treasury expects to borrow $189 billion in the second quarter, $79 billion more than previously projected in February.
The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.35% on May 6, 2026, marking a 0.08 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.05 points and is 0.07 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on May 6 of 2026.
The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.35% on May 6, 2026, marking a 0.08 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.05 points and is 0.07 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is expected to trade at 4.34 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.15 in 12 months time.