United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index  1967-2017 | Data

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index in the United States jumped to 0.65 in October of 2017 from an upwardly revised 0.36 in September, beating market expectations of 0.2. It is the highest reading since January of 2012, mainly due to a surge in the contribution from production-related indicators (0.53 in October from 0.18 in September). The sales, orders, and inventories category (0.05 from 0.08) and employment-related indicators (0.11 from 0.13) also contributed positively though the contribution edged down. On the other hand, the contribution of the personal consumption and housing category fell to –0.04 from –0.02. The index’s three-month moving average increased to 0.28 in October from 0.01 in September. Chicago Fed National Activity Index in the United States averaged 0 from 1967 until 2017, reaching an all time high of 2.73 in September of 1983 and a record low of -5.12 in December of 1974.

United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2017-09-25 12:30 PM Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.31 0.03 0.11
2017-10-23 12:30 PM Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.17 -0.37 -0.10 0.09
2017-11-21 01:30 PM Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.65 0.36 0.20 0.05
2017-12-21 01:30 PM Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.65 0.05
2018-01-26 01:30 PM Chicago Fed National Activity Index
2018-02-23 01:30 PM Chicago Fed National Activity Index


United States Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence 58.20 58.70 77.50 29.40 [+]
Manufacturing PMI 53.90 54.60 57.90 50.70 [+]
Services PMI 54.50 55.30 61.00 49.30 Index Points [+]
Non Manufacturing PMI 57.40 60.10 62.00 37.60 [+]
Composite Pmi 54.50 55.20 61.00 50.00 Index Points [+]
Industrial Production 2.90 2.10 62.00 -33.70 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom 0.90 0.40 16.60 -10.40 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production 2.50 1.40 67.90 -39.40 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 77.00 76.40 89.40 66.70 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders -1.20 2.20 22.10 -17.90 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense -0.80 2.40 24.80 -18.60 percent [+]
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.40 1.10 7.50 -6.80 percent [+]
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.80 1.10 4.60 -7.30 percent [+]
New Orders 479590.00 478455.00 565232.00 223500.00 USD Million [+]
Factory Orders -0.10 1.70 10.20 -9.40 percent [+]
Business Inventories 0.00 0.60 1.30 -2.00 percent [+]
Changes in Inventories 39.01 5.50 132.20 -206.10 USD Billion [+]
Wholesale Inventories -0.50 0.10 2.10 -2.00 percent [+]
Bankruptcies 23109.00 23443.00 82446.00 19695.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 1738.60 1643.80 1741.40 14.40 USD Billion [+]
NFIB Business Optimism Index 103.80 103.00 107.70 80.10 Index Points [+]
Ism New York Index 58.10 51.60 88.80 23.40 percent [+]
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 22.70 27.90 58.50 -57.90 Index Points [+]
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 19.40 30.20 38.99 -34.30 Index Points [+]
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 30.00 12.00 30.00 -44.00 Index Points [+]
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 19.40 27.60 46.60 -59.50 Index Points [+]
Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.65 0.36 2.73 -5.12 [+]
Chicago Pmi 63.90 66.20 78.80 21.40 Index Points [+]
Car Production 2.70 2.80 9.92 1.29 Million Units [+]
Car Registrations 513.74 511.18 1149.00 331.50 Thousand [+]
Total Vehicle Sales 17.48 18.10 21.77 9.05 Million [+]
Crude Oil Stocks Change -5.61 -3.43 14.42 -15.22 BBL/1Million [+]
Natural Gas Stocks Change 2.00 -33.00 147.00 -287.00 Billion cf [+]
Gasoline Stocks Change 6780.00 3627.00 11456.00 -8428.00 Thousand Barrels [+]
Leading Economic Index 183.53 182.70 183.53 70.21 Index Points [+]
Internet Speed 18747.58 17235.62 18747.58 3609.31 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 128949703.00 127873899.00 146874246.00 89399946.00 IP [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 751.00 749.00 1609.00 98.00 [+]
API Crude Oil Stock Change -5.48 1.82 14.30 -12.40 BBL/1Million [+]
Competitiveness Index 5.85 5.70 5.85 5.42 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 2.00 3.00 7.00 1.00 [+]
Corruption Index 74.00 76.00 78.00 71.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 18.00 16.00 24.00 14.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 6.00 8.00 8.00 4.00 [+]
Steel Production 6976.00 6716.00 11951.00 3799.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Mining Production 6.40 10.00 108.20 -28.80 percent [+]


United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) is designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure. The CFNAI is based on a weighted average of 85 existing monthly indicators of national economic activity. It has an average value of zero and a standard deviation of one. Since economic activity tends toward trend growth rate over time, a positive reading corresponds to growth above trend and a negative reading corresponds to growth below trend. This page provides the latest reported value for - United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on December of 2017.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
0.65 0.36 2.73 -5.12 1967 - 2017 Monthly




chicago fed national activity index by Country
Country Last
United States 0.65 Oct/17