Actual
4.7840
Daily Change
-0.0130
Monthly
0.11%
Yearly
0.56%
Q3 Forecast
4.6959
US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Summary

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose past 4.8% in September, the highest since October of 2023, amid the risk of higher rates by the Federal Reserve, soaring supply of corporate debt, and concerns of a higher federal deficit. The US and Iran reignited strikes against each other and prolonged the period of halted energy supply from GCC countries. The resulting jump in oil and product prices added inflationary risks as multiple FOMC members flagging the possibility of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve this month, including Chairman Warsh and regional Fed presidents. Meanwhile, estimates that AI companies raised $1.5 trillion in debt this year limited primary dealers' allocation for government securities, also lifting yields. Lastly, Treasuries came under pressure on reports that Japan could intervene on the yen to cap its fresh rebound. The jump in yields was extended despite Treasury Secretary Bessent announcing an increase in the buyback of long-term securities.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Stats

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.78% on September 2, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points and is 0.56 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on September 2 of 2026.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Forecast

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.78% on September 2, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points and is 0.56 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is expected to trade at 4.70 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.48 in 12 months time.



Bonds Yield Day Month Year Date
US 10Y 4.78 -0.013% 0.105% 0.563% Sep/02
US 4W 3.72 -0.020% 0.030% -0.530% Sep/02
US 8W 3.82 -0.003% 0.040% -0.392% Sep/02
US 3M 3.87 0.005% 0.089% -0.254% Sep/02
US 6M 4.02 -0.011% 0.071% 0.037% Sep/02
US 52W 4.16 0.013% 0.125% 0.387% Sep/02
US 2Y 4.39 -0.022% 0.138% 0.763% Sep/02
US 3Y 4.44 -0.026% 0.141% 0.850% Sep/02
US 5Y 4.54 -0.027% 0.140% 0.839% Sep/02
US 7Y 4.65 -0.025% 0.121% 0.725% Sep/02
US 20Y 5.26 -0.007% 0.027% 0.421% Sep/02
US 30Y 5.26 -0.017% 0.030% 0.361% Sep/02
US 10Y TIPS 2.44 0.002% 0.011% 0.635% Sep/02
US 5Y TIPS 2.16 -0.005% 0.012% 0.982% Sep/02
US 30Y TIPS 2.99 -0.005% -0.014% 0.383% Sep/02



Related Last Previous Unit Reference
United States Inflation Rate 3.40 3.50 percent Jul 2026
United States Fed Funds Interest Rate 3.75 3.75 percent Aug 2026
United States Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.20 percent Jul 2026

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield
Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
4.78 4.80 15.82 0.32 1912 - 2026 percent Daily

News Stream
US 10-Year Yield Rises to Near 3-Year High
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose past 4.8% in September, the highest since October of 2023, amid the risk of higher rates by the Federal Reserve, soaring supply of corporate debt, and concerns of a higher federal deficit. The US and Iran reignited strikes against each other and prolonged the period of halted energy supply from GCC countries. The resulting jump in oil and product prices added inflationary risks as multiple FOMC members flagging the possibility of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve this month, including Chairman Warsh and regional Fed presidents. Meanwhile, estimates that AI companies raised $1.5 trillion in debt this year limited primary dealers' allocation for government securities, also lifting yields. Lastly, Treasuries came under pressure on reports that Japan could intervene on the yen to cap its fresh rebound. The jump in yields was extended despite Treasury Secretary Bessent announcing an increase in the buyback of long-term securities.
2026-09-02
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Pulls Back After Five-Session Rise
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.79% on Wednesday, pausing after a five-session rally that pushed the yield above 4.81%, its highest level since October 2023. A modest pullback in oil prices offered some relief on inflationary pressures, although hostilities in the Middle East remained elevated and energy prices hovered near six-week highs. Markets are now pricing in a nearly 66% chance of a 25 bps rate hike by the Fed later this month, up sharply from around 40% last week. The shift in expectations followed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s commitment to combating inflation in his speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Investors are now awaiting Friday’s jobs report for further clues on the health of the labor market. The ADP report pointed to a further slowdown in private-sector employment growth in August.
2026-09-02
US 10-Year Yield Approaches 3-Year High
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note climbed above 4.8% on Wednesday, moving toward its highest level since October 2023 as surging oil prices intensified inflation concerns and reinforced expectations for an imminent Federal Reserve interest rate hike. Oil prices advanced for a third consecutive session amid escalating hostilities between the US and Iran, raising concerns over further disruptions to energy flows from the Middle East. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s commitment to combating inflation strengthened bets for a rate increase, with markets now pricing in around a 70% chance of a move this month. Fed Governor Michael Barr also said on Tuesday that the central bank should be prepared to raise interest rates if inflation fails to ease. Attention now turns to the ADP employment report due Wednesday and nonfarm payrolls on Friday for further clues on the Fed’s policy path.
2026-09-02