The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note edged down to 4.3% on Thursday after rising to as high as 4.38% early in the session, as a report that Iran is drafting a protocol with Oman to monitor traffic through the Strait of Hormuz offered some relief. However, volatility is expected to persist amid escalating rhetoric from President Trump and as crude prices remain near 2022 highs.Oil prices surged following Trump’s pledge to take more aggressive action against Iran. High energy prices are fuelling worries about an inflation spiral which could prompt the Fed to adopt a more hawkish stance. Earlier this week, Fed Chair Powell said officials may need to respond to the economic effects of the conflict, though not at this stage, adding that current policy is well positioned to allow a wait-and-see approach. Markets currently expect the Fed to keep the federal funds rate unchanged this year.
The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.31% on April 2, 2026, marking a 0.02 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.23 points and is 0.25 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on April 2 of 2026.
The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.31% on April 2, 2026, marking a 0.02 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.23 points and is 0.25 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is expected to trade at 4.31 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.18 in 12 months time.