Actual
5.2490
Daily Change
0.01%
Monthly
0.49%
Yearly
1.10%
Q3 Forecast
5.2105
US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Summary

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note resumed its climb to 5.28% on Tuesday, holding at 2007 highs, while the 30-year rate surpassed 5.6% to touch a 2002 dot-com bust level. Global government bonds have come under pressure as Middle East-driven oil price gains fuel expectations that central banks, including the Federal Reserve, will raise interest rates further. Swaps traders are pricing in nearly a full percentage point of Fed rate hikes over the coming year. In the US, strong economic activity, along with concerns over large fiscal deficits and rising government debt, is also weighing on the bond market. Still, the latest data offered some signs of weakness, with both job openings and CB consumer confidence surprising on the downside. Attention now turns to Wednesday’s PCE report and Friday’s jobs data for further clues on the economy and the Fed’s policy path.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Stats

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 5.25% on September 29, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.49 points and is 1.10 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on September 29 of 2026.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Forecast

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 5.25% on September 29, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.49 points and is 1.10 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is expected to trade at 5.21 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.95 in 12 months time.



Bonds Yield Day Month Year Date
US 10Y 5.25 0.005% 0.493% 1.097% Sep/29
US 4W 3.94 -0.016% 0.183% -0.179% Sep/29
US 8W 4.08 -0.016% 0.266% 0.003% Sep/29
US 3M 4.16 0.002% 0.337% 0.222% Sep/29
US 6M 4.37 -0.034% 0.383% 0.528% Sep/29
US 52W 4.47 -0.060% 0.327% 0.840% Sep/29
US 2Y 4.88 -0.052% 0.529% 1.266% Sep/29
US 3Y 4.98 -0.035% 0.573% 1.357% Sep/29
US 5Y 5.06 -0.022% 0.543% 1.309% Sep/29
US 7Y 5.15 -0.009% 0.527% 1.214% Sep/29
US 20Y 5.62 0.003% 0.413% 0.911% Sep/29
US 30Y 5.57 0.019% 0.327% 0.841% Sep/29
US 10Y TIPS 2.89 -0.013% 0.447% 1.102% Sep/29
US 5Y TIPS 2.70 -0.012% 0.514% 1.416% Sep/29
US 30Y TIPS 3.29 -0.014% 0.278% 0.797% Sep/29



Related Last Previous Unit Reference
United States Inflation Rate 3.40 3.40 percent Aug 2026
United States Fed Funds Interest Rate 4.00 3.75 percent Sep 2026
United States Unemployment Rate 4.10 4.10 percent Aug 2026

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield
Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
5.25 5.24 15.82 0.32 1912 - 2026 percent Daily

News Stream
Government Bond Sell-Off Continues
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note resumed its climb to 5.28% on Tuesday, holding at 2007 highs, while the 30-year rate surpassed 5.6% to touch a 2002 dot-com bust level. Global government bonds have come under pressure as Middle East-driven oil price gains fuel expectations that central banks, including the Federal Reserve, will raise interest rates further. Swaps traders are pricing in nearly a full percentage point of Fed rate hikes over the coming year. In the US, strong economic activity, along with concerns over large fiscal deficits and rising government debt, is also weighing on the bond market. Still, the latest data offered some signs of weakness, with both job openings and CB consumer confidence surprising on the downside. Attention now turns to Wednesday’s PCE report and Friday’s jobs data for further clues on the economy and the Fed’s policy path.
2026-09-29
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Down After Sharp Rise
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note edged down to 5.21% on Tuesday, pausing the previous session’s sharp rise, which saw the benchmark yield climb 8bps to its highest level since mid-2007, with traders continuing to price in the prospect of further tightening by the Fed. Little progress has been made in US-Iran talks aimed at ending the conflict and fully reopening the Strait of Hormuz. The situation continues to put upward pressure on oil prices, raising concerns that inflation could accelerate. Meanwhile, strong economic activity in the US, along with concerns over large fiscal deficits and rising government debt, is also weighing on the bond market. A series of key economic data releases this week will provide further insight into the health of the US economy. Swaps traders are pricing in nearly a full percentage point of Fed rate hikes over the coming year. The benchmark 10-year yield is up nearly 46 basis points in September.
2026-09-29
US 10-Year Yield Holds at Multi-Decade Highs
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note strengthened above 5.2% on Tuesday, approaching its highest levels since 2002 as markets anticipated further Federal Reserve tightening to combat energy-driven inflation linked to persistent US-Iran uncertainty. Markets are currently pricing in roughly a 70% probability of a Fed rate increase in October. Oil prices extended their gains after Iranian officials reportedly cast doubt on the prospects of reaching an agreement before the US midterm elections in November, following President Trump’s rejection of Tehran’s latest proposal. Meanwhile, investors are preparing for a busy week of key economic releases, including the PCE inflation report and monthly jobs data, which are expected to offer further insight into the health of the US economy and shape Fed expectations. Strong economic data, worsening fiscal conditions, and rising US government debt have also put pressure on the Treasury market in recent weeks.
2026-09-29