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US GDP Growth Rate Revised Lower in Q1
The US economy expanded an annualized 1.6% in Q1 2026, up from 0.5% in Q4 but below 2% in the advance estimate, primarily reflecting downward revisions to investment and consumer spending. Consumer spending rose 1.4%, less than 1.6% in the advance estimate. The rise was mainly supported by demand for services (1.8%) while goods remained subdued (0.4%). Also, gross private domestic investment rose 7%, below the 8.7% reported in the advance estimate. Business investment in equipment surged 17.2%, while spending on intellectual property products increased 11.6%. In contrast, investment in structures fell 5.4%, and residential investment declined 6.2%. Meanwhile, net trade contributed negatively to GDP (-1.25 pp), as exports rose by 13.1% (vs 12.9% in the first estimate) while imports jumped 21.1% (vs 21.4%). Government spending rose 4.4%, in line with the initial estimate, recovering from a 5.6% contraction in Q4, as activity resumed following the end of the government shutdown.
Published on 2026-05-28

US GDP Growth Rate Revised Lower in Q1
The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 1.6% in Q1 2026, up from 0.5% in the previous quarter but below 2% in the advance estimate. It primarily reflecting downward revisions to investment and consumer spending.
Published on 2026-05-28

US Q1 2026 GDP Growth Below Forecasts
The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.0% in Q1 2026, up from 0.5% in the previous quarter but below market expectations of 2.3%, according to a preliminary estimate. Government spending rebounded by 4.4%, recovering from a 5.6% contraction in Q4 2025, as activity resumed following the end of the government shutdown. Gross private domestic investment increased by 8.7%, compared to 2.3% in the previous quarter, with business investment in equipment and structures surging 10.4%, the fastest in nearly three years, driven in part by rapid spending on artificial intelligence technologies. Consumer spending, which accounts for roughly two-thirds of economic activity, rose at a slower pace of 1.6% in Q1, following a 1.9% increase in Q4, supported by demand for services. Net trade contributed negatively to GDP, as exports rose by 12.9% while imports jumped at a faster rate of 21.4%.
Published on 2026-04-30

US Q1 2026 GDP Growth Below Forecasts
The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.0% in Q1 2026, up from 0.5% in the previous quarter but below market expectations of 2.3%, according to a preliminary estimate. Compared to Q4 2025, the acceleration in Q1 reflected upturns in government spending and exports, as well as faster investment growth. These gains were partly offset by a slowdown in consumer spending, while imports rose.
Published on 2026-04-30

US Q1 2026 GDP Growth Below Forecasts
The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.0% in Q1 2026, up from 0.5% in the previous quarter but below market expectations of 2.3%, according to a preliminary estimate. Growth was driven by investment, exports, consumer spending, and government spending, while imports—which subtract from GDP—also increased. Compared to Q4 2025, the acceleration in Q1 reflected upturns in government spending and exports, as well as faster investment growth. These gains were partly offset by a slowdown in consumer spending, while imports rose.
Published on 2026-04-30

US Q1 2026 GDP Growth Below Forecasts
The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.0% in Q1 2026, up from 0.5% in the previous quarter but below market expectations of 2.3%, according to a preliminary estimate. Compared to Q4 2025, the acceleration in Q1 reflected upturns in government spending and exports, as well as faster investment growth. These gains were partly offset by a slowdown in consumer spending, while imports rose. Consumer spending, which accounts for roughly two-thirds of economic activity, rose at a stronger-than-expected 1.6% pace, supported by demand for services. Meanwhile, business investment in equipment and structures surged 10.4%, the fastest in nearly three years, driven in part by rapid spending on artificial intelligence technologies.
Published on 2026-04-30

US Q1 2026 GDP Growth Below Forecasts
The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.0% in Q1 2026, up from 0.5% in the previous quarter but below market expectations of 2.3%, according to a preliminary estimate. Growth was driven by investment, exports, consumer spending, and government spending, while imports, which subtract from GDP, also increased. Compared to Q4 2025, the acceleration in Q1 reflected upturns in government spending and exports, as well as faster investment growth. These gains were partly offset by a slowdown in consumer spending, while imports rose.
Published on 2026-04-30

US Q1 2026 GDP Growth Below Forecasts
The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.0% in Q1 2026, up from 0.5% in the previous quarter but below market expectations of 2.3%, according to a preliminary estimate. Growth was driven by investment, exports, consumer spending, and government spending, while imports, which subtract from GDP, also increased. Compared to Q4 2025, the acceleration in Q1 reflected upturns in government spending and exports, as well as faster investment growth. These gains were partly offset by a slowdown in consumer spending, while imports rose.
Published on 2026-04-30

US Economy Likely Rebounded in Q1
The U.S. economy likely expanded at an annualized 2.3% in Q1 2026, rebounding from a modest 0.5% gain in Q4 2025. The pickup partly reflects a bounce-back following the previous quarter’s government shutdown, with business investment in equipment providing support even as consumer spending softened. Net trade likely weighed on growth amid a surge in imports, although some of that increase may have been absorbed into inventories.
Published on 2026-04-30

US Economy Likely Rebounded in Q1
The US economy likely grew at an annualized rate of 2.3% in Q1 2026, rebounding sharply from the 0.5% expansion in Q4 2025. The recovery was partly fueled by a rebound after the previous quarter’s government shutdown. Business investment in equipment likely supported growth, while consumer spending softened. Net trade probably dragged on activity due to a surge in imports, though some of these inflows may have been absorbed into inventories.
Published on 2026-04-30

US Economy Likely Rebounded in Q1
The US economy likely grew at an annualized rate of 2.3% in Q1 2026, rebounding sharply from the 0.5% expansion in Q4 2025. The recovery was partly fueled by a rebound after the previous quarter’s government shutdown. Business investment in equipment likely supported growth, while consumer spending softened. Net trade probably dragged on activity due to a surge in imports, though some of these inflows may have been absorbed into inventories.
Published on 2026-04-30

US Q4 GDP Growth Revised Further Down
The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 0.5% in Q4 2025, revised down further from 0.7% in the second estimate and 1.4% in the preliminary reading, mainly due to a downward revision to investment. Consumer spending slowed more than anticipated (1.9% vs 2% in the second estimate), as purchases of both goods (0.3%) and services (2.7%) cooled. Fixed investment also increased less than expected (1.5% vs 1.6%), largely due to a sharp drop in structures (-6.5%) while investment in equipment (4.3%) and intellectual property products (5.4%) remained robust. Residential investment fell more than anticipated (-1.7% vs -0.5%). Exports declined 3.2%, compared to a 3.3% fall, marking the largest contraction since Q2 2023. Imports also fell slightly less than early estimated (-1.0% vs. -1.1%). Meanwhile, government spending and investment contracted sharply (-5.6% vs -5.8%), subtracting 0.99 pp from overall growth, due to the government shutdown. For 2025, the US economy expanded by 2.1%.
Published on 2026-04-09

US Q4 GDP Growth Revised Further Down
The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 0.5% in the final quarter of 2025, revised down further from 0.7% in the second estimate and 1.4% in the preliminary reading, mainly due to a downward revision to investment. This continues to mark the weakest growth since the first quarter of the year, when the economy contracted, and represents a sharp slowdown from the 4.4% expansion recorded in the previous quarter.
Published on 2026-04-09

US GDP Growth Revised Sharply Lower
The US economy expanded an annualized 0.7% in Q4 2025, the weakest performance since Q1 2025 and well below 1.4% in the advance estimate. Consumer spending slowed more than anticipated (2% vs 2.4% in the advance estimate), as purchases of both goods (0.4%) and services (2.7%) cooled. Fixed investment also increased less than expected (1.6% vs 2.6%), largely due to a sharper drop in structures (-7.1%) while investment in equipment (3.9%) and intellectual property products (5.7%) remained robust. Residential investment nearly stabilized (-0.5%). Exports declined at a faster pace of 3.3%, compared with the initial estimate of a 0.9% drop, marking the largest contraction since Q2 2023. Imports also fell (-1.1% vs. -1.3%). Meanwhile, government spending and investment contracted sharply (-5.8% vs -5.1%), subtracting 1.03 pp from overall growth, due to the government shutdown. For 2025, the US economy expanded by 2.1%, slightly below the initial estimate of 2.2% and down from 2.8% in 2024.
Published on 2026-03-13

US GDP Growth Revised Sharply Lower
The US economy expanded an annualized 0.7% in Q4 2025, the weakest performance since a contraction in the first quarter and well below 1.4% in the advance estimate. It reflected downward revisions to exports, consumer spending, government spending, and investment. Imports decreased less than previously estimated.
Published on 2026-03-13

US GDP Growth Revised Sharply Lower
The US economy expanded an annualized 0.7% in Q4 2025, the weakest performance since a contraction in the first quarter of 2025 and well below 1.4% in the advance estimate. It reflected downward revisions to exports, consumer spending, government spending, and investment. Imports decreased less than previously estimated.
Published on 2026-03-13

US GDP Growth Well Below Forecasts
The US economy expanded an annualized 1.4% in Q4 2025, the least since Q1 2025, following a 4.4% growth in Q3 and well below forecasts of 3%, the advance estimate showed. The contributors to the increase in real GDP were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports also decreased. Considering full 2025, the economy expanded 2.2%, below 2.8% in 2024, and primarily reflecting increases in consumer spending and investment.
Published on 2026-02-20

US GDP Growth Well Below Forecasts
The US economy expanded an annualized 1.4% in Q4 2025, the least since Q1 2025, following a 4.4% growth in Q3 and well below forecasts of 3%, the advance estimate showed. Consumer spending slowed to 2.4% from 3.5%, weighed down by a 0.1% decline in goods purchases, while services spending rose 3.4%. Meanwhile, exports fell 0.9% after surging 9.6% in Q3, and imports also declined, though at a slower pace (-1.3% vs -4.4%). Government spending and investment contracted sharply by 5.1%, reversing a 2.2% increase in Q3. On the other hand, fixed investment accelerated to 2.6% from 0.8%, driven by strong gains in intellectual property products (7.4% vs 5.6%) and equipment (3.2% vs 5.2%), as well as a more moderate decline in structures (-2.4% vs -5.0%). The drop in residential investment also eased, narrowing to -1.5% from -7.1%. Considering full 2025, the US economy expanded 2.2%, below 2.8% in 2024, and primarily reflecting increases in consumer spending and investment.
Published on 2026-02-20

US GDP Growth Well Below Forecasts
The US economy expanded an annualized 1.4% in Q4 2025, the least since Q1 2025, following a 4.4% growth in Q3 and well below forecasts of 3%, the advance estimate showed. Consumer spending slowed (2.4% vs 3.5%), weighed down by a 0.1% decline in goods purchases, while services spending rose 3.4%. Meanwhile, exports fell 0.9% after surging 9.6% in Q3, and imports also declined, though at a slower pace (-1.3% vs -4.4%). Government spending and investment contracted sharply by 5.1% (vs 2.2%), subtracting 0.9 pp from overall growth, due to the government shutdown. On the other hand, fixed investment accelerated (2.6% vs 0.8%), driven by strong gains in intellectual property products (7.4% vs 5.6%) and equipment (3.2% vs 5.2%), as well as a more moderate decline in structures (-2.4% vs -5.0%). The drop in residential investment also eased (-1.5% vs -7.1%). Considering full 2025, the US economy expanded 2.2%, below 2.8% in 2024, reflecting increases in consumer spending and investment.
Published on 2026-02-20

US GDP Growth Well Below Forecasts
The US economy expanded an annualized 1.4% in Q4 2025, the least since Q1 2025, following a 4.4% growth in Q3 and well below forecasts of 3%, the advance estimate showed. Consumer spending slowed (2.4% vs 3.5%), weighed down by a 0.1% decline in goods purchases, while services spending rose 3.4%. Meanwhile, exports fell 0.9% after surging 9.6% in Q3, and imports also declined, though at a slower pace (-1.3% vs -4.4%). Government spending and investment contracted sharply by 5.1% (vs 2.2%), subtracting 0.9 pp from overall growth, due to the government shutdown. On the other hand, fixed investment accelerated (2.6% vs 0.8%), driven by strong gains in intellectual property products (7.4% vs 5.6%) and equipment (3.2% vs 5.2%), as well as a more moderate decline in structures (-2.4% vs -5.0%). The drop in residential investment also eased (-1.5% vs -7.1%). Considering full 2025, the US economy expanded 2.2%, below 2.8% in 2024, reflecting increases in consumer spending and investment.
Published on 2026-02-20