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US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US slowed to 2.4% in January 2026, marking its lowest level since May, down from 2.7% in each of the previous two months and below forecasts of 2.5%. The deceleration largely reflects base effects, as higher readings from a year ago drop out of the annual calculation. On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 0.2%, below 0.3% in December and forecasts of 0.3%. The index for shelter rose 0.2% and was the largest factor in the all items monthly increase.
Published on 2026-02-13

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US slowed to 2.4% in January 2026, marking its lowest level since May, down from 2.7% in each of the previous two months and below forecasts of 2.5%. The deceleration largely reflects base effects, as higher readings from a year ago drop out of the annual calculation. On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 0.2%, below 0.3% in December and forecasts of 0.3%. The index for shelter rose 0.2% and was the largest factor in the all items monthly increase. Meanwhile, annual core inflation eased to 2.5%, its lowest reading since March 2021, compared with 2.6% in the prior month and in line with market expectations. On a monthly basis, core CPI increased by 0.3%, slightly above December’s 0.2% rise.
Published on 2026-02-13

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US slowed to 2.4% in January 2026, its lowest level since May, down from 2.7% in each of the previous two months and below forecasts of 2.5%. The deceleration largely reflects base effects, as higher readings from a year ago drop out of the annual calculation. Price pressures eased notably in the energy sector, with prices falling 0.1%, after a 2.3% rise in December, led by gasoline (-7.5% vs -3.4%) and fuel oil (-4.2% vs 7.4%). Prices of natural also rose at a slightly slower pace (9.8% vs 10.8%). A decline was also seen in prices for used cars and trucks (-2% vs 1.6%) while inflation slowed for food (3.1% vs 2.9%) and shelter (3% vs 3.2%). On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 0.2%, below 0.3% in December and forecasts of 0.3%. Annual core inflation eased to 2.5%, its lowest reading since March 2021, compared with 2.6% in the prior month and in line with expectations. On a monthly basis, core CPI increased by 0.3%, slightly above 0.2% in December.
Published on 2026-02-13

US Inflation Rate Seen Little Changed in January
The annual inflation rate in the US likely slowed to 2.5% in January 2026, marking its lowest level since May, down from 2.7% in each of the previous two months. The deceleration largely reflects base effects, as higher readings from a year ago drop out of the annual calculation. On a monthly basis, the CPI is estimated to have risen by 0.3%, matching December’s increase. Food and electricity prices are expected to have moved higher, while gasoline prices likely declined. There are also indications that core goods prices may have firmed, as companies potentially used the start of the new calendar year to implement tariff-related price adjustments. Meanwhile, annual core inflation is projected to ease to 2.5%, its lowest reading since March 2021, compared with 2.6% in the prior month. On a monthly basis, core CPI is expected to have increased by 0.3%, slightly above December’s 0.2% rise.
Published on 2026-02-13

US Inflation Rate Seen Little Changed in January
The annual inflation rate in the US likely slowed to 2.5% in January 2026, marking its lowest level in seven months, down from 2.7% in each of the previous two months. The deceleration largely reflects base effects, as higher readings from a year ago drop out of the annual calculation. On a monthly basis, the CPI is estimated to have risen by 0.3%, matching December’s increase. Food and electricity prices are expected to have moved higher, while gasoline prices likely declined. There are also indications that core goods prices may have firmed, as companies potentially used the start of the new calendar year to implement tariff-related price adjustments. Meanwhile, annual core inflation is projected to ease to 2.5%, its lowest reading since March 2021, compared with 2.6% in the prior month. On a monthly basis, core CPI is expected to have increased by 0.3%, slightly above December’s 0.2% rise.
Published on 2026-02-13

US Inflation Rate Stable at 2.7%, Core Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US remained at 2.7% in December 2025, the same as in November and in line with market expectations. The energy index increased 2.3% and the food index went up 3.1%. Meanwhile, the core annual rate also remained at 2.6%, the lowest since 2021, compared to forecasts it would rise to 2.7%. Compared to the previous month, the CPI edged up 0.3% as anticipated, with shelter costs rising 0.4% and being the largest factor in the all items monthly increase.
Published on 2026-01-13

US Inflation Rate Stable at 2.7%, Core Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US remained at 2.7% in December 2025, the same as in November and in line with market expectations. Price pressures eased notably in the energy sector, with prices rising at a much slower pace (2.3% vs. 4.2%), driven by a decline in gasoline prices (-3.4% vs. +0.9%) and a moderation in fuel oil inflation (7.4% vs. 11.3%), while natural gas prices rose more sharply (10.8% vs. 9.1%). Prices also increased at a slower rate for used cars and trucks (1.6% vs. 3.6%). By contrast, price gains accelerated for food (3.1% vs. 2.6%) and shelter (3.2% vs. 3.0%). Meanwhile, the annual core inflation rate remained unchanged at 2.6%, the lowest level since 2021, below expectations for a rise to 2.7%. On a monthly basis, the CPI edged up 0.3%, in line with forecasts, with shelter costs rising 0.4% and accounting for the largest contribution to the overall increase. The core rate came in at 0.2%, below forecasts of 0.3%.
Published on 2026-01-13

US Inflation Rate Likely Steady, Core Seen Rising
The annual inflation rate in the US likely remained at 2.7% in December 2025, while the core rate probably edged up to 2.7% from 2.6% in November which was the lowest level since early 2021. On a month-over-month basis, headline CPI is expected to have increased by 0.3%, with core CPI also seen rising by 0.3%, driven mainly by higher goods prices. Month-over-month figures for November were not published by the BLS, as the agency was unable to collect data during the government shutdown. The December report may point to a reversal of the downward inflationary pressures observed in November; however, concerns over data quality remain as distortions linked to the shutdown may still be affecting the figures.
Published on 2026-01-13

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US came in at 2.7% in December 2025, the lowest since July, below forecast of 3.1% and 3% reported for September. The energy index increased 4.2% and food prices rose 2.6%. The BLS did not collect data for October 2025 as a result of the 43-day shutdown.
Published on 2025-12-18

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US came in at 2.7% in December 2025, the lowest since July, below forecast of 3.1% and 3% reported for September. The energy index increased 4.2%, with gasoline rising 0.9%, fuel oil soaring 11.3% and natural gas 9.1%. Also food prices rose 2.6%, shelter cost was up 3% and other notable increases were recorded for medical care (2.9%), household furnishings and operations (4.6%), recreation (1.8%), and used cars and trucks (3.6%). The lowest price increases were recorded for apparel (0.2%) and new vehicles (0.6%). The BLS did not collect data for October 2025 as a result of the 43-day government shutdown. As a result, figures for October were missing and the monthly rates for November were not released. Meanwhile, annual core inflation came in at 2.6%, much lower than forecasts of 3%.
Published on 2025-12-18

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US came in at 2.7% in December 2025, the lowest since July, below forecast of 3.1% and 3% reported for September. The energy index increased 4.2% and food prices rose 2.6%. The BLS did not collect data for October 2025 as a result of the 43-day shutdown. As a result, figures for October were missing.
Published on 2025-12-18

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US came in at 2.7% in December 2025, the lowest since July, below forecast of 3.1% and 3% reported for September. The energy index increased 4.2%, with gasoline rising 0.9%, fuel oil soaring 11.3% and natural gas gaining 9.1%. Also, food prices rose 2.6%, shelter cost was up 3% and other notable increases were recorded for medical care (2.9%), household furnishings and operations (4.6%), recreation (1.8%), and used cars and trucks (3.6%). The lowest price increases were recorded for apparel (0.2%) and new vehicles (0.6%). Meanwhile, annual core inflation came in at 2.6%, the lowest since March 2021, compared to forecasts of 3%.The BLS did not collect data for October 2025 as a result of the 43-day government shutdown. As a result, October figures were missing, and November monthly data were not released.
Published on 2025-12-18

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US came in at 2.7% in December 2025, the lowest since July, below forecast of 3.1% and 3% reported for September. The energy index increased 4.2%, with gasoline rising 0.9%, fuel oil soaring 11.3% and natural gas gaining 9.1%. Also, food prices rose 2.6%, shelter cost was up 3% and other notable increases were recorded for medical care (2.9%), household furnishings and operations (4.6%), recreation (1.8%), and used cars and trucks (3.6%). The lowest price increases were recorded for apparel (0.2%) and new vehicles (0.6%). Meanwhile, annual core inflation came in at 2.6%, the lowest since March 2021, compared to forecasts of 3%. The BLS did not collect data for October 2025 due to the 43-day government shutdown. As a result, October figures were missing, and November monthly data were not released. However, the BLS said that the CPI increased 0.2% over the 2 months from September to November 2025.
Published on 2025-12-18

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US came in at 2.7% in December 2025, the lowest since July, below forecast of 3.1% and 3% reported for September. The energy index increased 4.2% and food prices rose 2.6%. The BLS did not collect data for October 2025 as a result of the 43-day shutdown. As a result, figures for October were missing and the monthly rates for November were not released either. Meanwhile, annual core inflation came in at 2.6%, much lower than forecasts of 3%.
Published on 2025-12-18

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US came in at 2.7% in December 2025, the lowest since July, below forecast of 3.1% and 3% reported for September. The energy index increased 4.2% and food prices rose 2.6%.
Published on 2025-12-18

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US came in at 2.7% in December 2025, the lowest since July, below forecast of 3.1% and 3% reported for September. The energy index increased 4.2%, food prices rose 2.6% and shelter cost was up 3%. Other notable increases were recorded for medical care (2.9%), household furnishings and operations (4.6%), recreation (1.8%), and used cars and trucks (3.6%). The BLS did not collect data for October 2025 as a result of the 43-day government shutdown. As a result, figures for October were missing and the monthly rates for November were not released. Meanwhile, annual core inflation came in at 2.6%, much lower than forecasts of 3%.
Published on 2025-12-18

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US came in at 2.7% in December 2025, the lowest since July, below forecast of 3.1% and 3% reported for September. The energy index increased 4.2%, with gasoline rising 0.9%, fuel oil soaring 11.3% and natural gas gaining 9.1%. Also, food prices rose 2.6%, shelter cost was up 3% and other notable increases were recorded for medical care (2.9%), household furnishings and operations (4.6%), recreation (1.8%), and used cars and trucks (3.6%). The lowest price increases were recorded for apparel (0.2%) and new vehicles (0.6%). Meanwhile, annual core inflation came in at 2.6%, the lowest since March 2021, compared to forecasts of 3%. The BLS did not collect data for October 2025 as a result of the 43-day government shutdown. As a result, October figures were missing, and November monthly data were not released.
Published on 2025-12-18

US Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in the US came in at 2.7% in December 2025, the lowest since July, below forecast of 3.1% and 3% reported for September. The energy index increased 4.2%, with gasoline rising 0.9%, fuel oil soaring 11.3% and natural gas gaining 9.1%. Also, food prices rose 2.6%, shelter cost was up 3% and other notable increases were recorded for medical care (2.9%), household furnishings and operations (4.6%), recreation (1.8%), and used cars and trucks (3.6%). The lowest price increases were recorded for apparel (0.2%) and new vehicles (0.6%). Meanwhile, annual core inflation came in at 2.6%, the lowest since March 2021, compared to forecasts of 3%.The BLS did not collect data for October 2025 as a result of the 43-day government shutdown. As a result, October figures were missing, and November monthly data were not released.
Published on 2025-12-18

US Inflation Rate Seen Edging Up to 3.1%
The annual inflation in the US is expected to have risen to 3.1% in November 2025, which would mark the highest level since May 2024, up from 3.0% in September. Core inflation is forecast at 3.0%, unchanged from the September reading. The November CPI report was delayed by nearly a week, while the October report was cancelled altogether due to the government shutdown, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics was unable to retroactively collect the necessary data. As a result, there are doubts about the completeness of the November release. The BLS has said it will not publish one-month percentage changes for headline or core CPI for November 2025.
Published on 2025-12-18

US Inflation Rate Seen Edging Up to 3.1%
The annual inflation in the US is expected to have risen to 3.1% in November 2025, which would mark the highest level since May 2024, up from 3.0% in September. Core inflation is forecast at 3.0%, unchanged from the September reading. The November CPI report was delayed by nearly a week, while the October report was cancelled altogether due to the government shutdown, as the Bureau of Labor Statistics was unable to retroactively collect the necessary data. As a result, there are doubts about the completeness of the November release. The BLS has said it will not publish one-month percentage changes for headline or core CPI for November 2025 where the October 2025 data are missing.
Published on 2025-12-18