Week Ahead - March 25th

This week, the focal point in the United States will revolve around the PCE Prices, alongside reports on personal income and spending and speeches by several Fed officials including Chair Powell drawing significant investor attention. Other key data points include durable goods orders, the final Q4 GDP growth reading, CB consumer confidence, corporate profits, and housing market indicators such as new and pending home sales. Internationally, the spotlight will shine on preliminary March inflation readings from Spain, France, Italy, and Poland, as well as interest rate decisions from Sweden and South Africa. In Germany, market watchers will be keen on updates regarding GFK consumer confidence, retail sales, and the unemployment rate. It will be a busy week in Japan with BoJ Summary of Opinions, unemployment rate, industrial production, retail sales, and housing starts. Finally, Canada will release its February GDP growth estimates.
Anna | anna@tradingeconomics.com
3/22/2024 4:58:21 PM
Americas
In the United States, all eyes are set to focus on the insights shared by Federal Reserve policymakers for further clarity on the central bank's future policy moves, with particular anticipation surrounding remarks from Chief Jerome Powell scheduled for Friday. In addition, key data to follow include PCE price indexes, personal income and outlays, and durable goods orders. Economists see a 0.4% uptick in PCE prices for February, a slight increase from the 0.3% recorded in January, with core prices expected to rise at a more moderate pace of 0.3%. Also, a 0.4% rise in consumer spending and a similar advance in income in expected. Additionally, durable goods orders are set to rebound by 1.3% in February, following the largest decline since April 2020. Investors will also closely monitor the final estimate of Q4 GDP, corporate profits, and Michigan consumer sentiment index. Also, in the focus will be key regional economic indicators (the Chicago PMI, Chicago Fed National Activity Index, and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index) and housing data (new and pending home sales, Case-Shiller home prices). Elsewhere in America, Canada is slated to release its monthly GDP figures, while both Mexico and Brazil will be publishing unemployment data. The US stock market will be closed on Friday in observance of the Good Friday holiday.

Europe
It will be a light week in terms of economic data in Europe due to the Easter break, with all major bourses closed for Good Friday and Easter Monday. Still, investors will be following preliminary March inflation figures for Spain, France, and Italy. Headline inflation is seen accelerating in Italy and Spain but it is expected to slow in France. Other data releases to follow include: economic business sentiment and final consumer confidence for the Euro Area; the GfK Consumer Confidence, retail sales, and unemployment rate for Germany; final GDP growth estimates for Spain; consumer confidence for France; business and consumer confidence for Italy; and monetary policy decisions from Hungary and Sweden. The National Bank of Hungary is expected to cut borrowing costs further by 75 basis points while the Riksbank will probably make no changes at this meeting. In the UK, final GDP growth figures for Q4, business investment, and the current account will take center stage.

Asia and Australia
A quieter week for Chinese economic releases will include this year’s industrial profits, but markets will pay close attention to potential stimulus announcements and how authorities will steer the yuan’s price after an unexpectedly weak fixing rocked the Asian foreign exchange market. In Japan, all eyes will be on minutes from the BoJ’s last meeting and the Summary of Opinions for insights on how the central bank may follow up on its historic interest rate hike. Other key Japanese releases include the unemployment rate, industrial production, and retail sales for February. Elsewhere, India will release its current account, South Korea will update confidence indicators, and Malaysia will divulge its CPI. In Australia, February’s inflation rate is expected to rise, while markets also await Westpac consumer confidence gauges.





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Friday March 22 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:01 AM
GB
Gfk Consumer Confidence MAR -21 -21 -19 -20
12:30 AM
AU
RBA Financial Stability Review
07:00 AM
TR
Business Confidence MAR 104.4 101.5 102
07:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales MoM FEB 0% 3.6% ® -0.3% -0.5%
07:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM FEB 0.2% 3.4% ® -0.1% -0.3%
07:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales YoY FEB -0.4% 0.5% ® -0.7% -1.0%
08:00 AM
EA
ECB General Council Meeting
09:00 AM
DE
Ifo Business Climate MAR 87.8 85.7 ® 86 86
10:20 AM
CN
FDI (YTD) YoY FEB -19.9% -11.7% -19%
11:00 AM
GB
CBI Industrial Trends Orders MAR -18 -20 -17
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM JAN 0.5% 0.6% -0.4% -0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM JAN -0.3% 0.9% -0.4% -0.1%
02:00 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
08:00 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
Sunday March 24 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
11:50 PM
JP
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Monday March 25 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
10:00 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
10:00 AM
ES
Consumer Confidence FEB 78.5 78.6 80
11:00 AM
GB
CBI Distributive Trades MAR 2 -7 -15
12:25 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
12:30 PM
US
Chicago Fed National Activity Index FEB 0.05 -0.54 ® -0.9
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales FEB 0.662M 0.664M ® 0.675M 0.67M
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MoM FEB -0.3% 1.7% ® 3%
02:30 PM
US
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index MAR -14.4 -11.3 -8
02:30 PM
US
Fed Cook Speech
09:00 PM
KR
Consumer Confidence MAR 100.7 101.9 102
11:30 PM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change MAR -1.8% 6.2% -1.6%
11:30 PM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index MAR 84.4 86 84.6
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday March 26 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
02:20 AM
AU
RBA Connolly Speech
07:00 AM
DE
GfK Consumer Confidence APR -27.4 -28.8 ® -27.9 -28
08:00 AM
ES
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q4 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6%
08:00 AM
ES
GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q4 2% 1.9% 2% 2.0%
11:00 AM
BR
BCB Copom Meeting Minutes
12:15 PM
CA
BoC Rogers Speech
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders MoM FEB 1.4% -6.9% ® 1.1% 0.7%
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM FEB 0.5% -0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
01:00 PM
IN
Current Account Q4 $-10.5B $-11.4B $-12.1B $-10.8B
01:00 PM
US
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price MoM JAN -0.1% -0.3% -0.1%
01:00 PM
US
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY JAN 6.6% 6.2% ® 6.7% 6.5%
02:00 PM
US
CB Consumer Confidence MAR 104.7 104.8 ® 107 106.5
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change MAR/22 9.337M -1.519M
09:00 PM
KR
Business Confidence MAR 71 70 69
Wednesday March 27 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Monthly CPI Indicator FEB 3.4% 3.4% 3.5% 3.6%
07:45 AM
FR
Consumer Confidence MAR 91 90 ® 90 90
08:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate MoM Prel MAR 0.8% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
08:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate YoY Prel MAR 3.2% 2.8% 3.2% 2.8%
10:00 AM
EA
Economic Sentiment MAR 96.3 95.5 ® 96.3 96
11:00 AM
FR
Unemployment Benefit Claims FEB -15.8K 2.5K 12.3K
12:00 PM
MX
Balance of Trade FEB $-0.585B $-4.315B $-0.2B $-2.75B
12:00 PM
MX
Unemployment Rate FEB 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 3.0%
12:55 PM
ES
Business Confidence MAR -5.4 -4.5 -6
01:00 PM
ZA
Interest Rate Decision 8.25% 8.25% 8.25% 8.25%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change MAR/22 3.165M -1.952M -1.275M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change MAR/22 1.299M -3.31M -1.65M
10:00 PM
US
Fed Waller Speech
11:50 PM
JP
BoJ Summary of Opinions
Thursday March 28 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Housing Credit MoM FEB 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
12:30 AM
AU
Retail Sales MoM Prel FEB 0.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3%
07:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales MoM FEB -1.9% -0.3% ® 0.3% 0.5%
07:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales YoY FEB -2.7% -1.2% ® -0.8% -0.8%
07:00 AM
GB
Current Account Q4 £-21.177B £-18.524B ® £-21.4B £ -19.5B
07:00 AM
GB
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q4 -0.3% -0.1% -0.3% -0.3%
07:00 AM
GB
GDP Growth Rate YoY Final Q4 -0.2% 0.2% -0.2% -0.2%
08:55 AM
DE
Unemployed Persons MAR 2.719M 2.714M ® 2.733M
08:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Change MAR 4K 12K ® 10K 20.0K
08:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Rate MAR 5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 6.0%
09:00 AM
IT
Business Confidence MAR 88.6 87.5 ® 87.6 88
09:00 AM
IT
Consumer Confidence MAR 96.5 97 97.5 97.2
11:00 AM
TR
MPC Meeting Summary
12:00 PM
BR
Unemployment Rate FEB 7.8% 7.6% 7.8% 7.8%
12:00 PM
ZA
Balance of Trade FEB ZAR14.04B ZAR-9.69B ® ZAR8.6B ZAR8.5B
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM JAN 0.6% -0.1% ® 0.4% 0.4%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM Prel FEB 0.4% 0.6% ® 0.1%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q4 3.4% 4.9% 3.2% 3.2%
12:30 PM
US
Corporate Profits QoQ Q4 3.9% 3.7% 3.3%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Price Index QoQ Final Q4 1.7% 3.3% 1.6% 1.7%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims MAR/23 210K 212K ® 215.0K 212.0K
01:45 PM
US
Chicago PMI MAR 41.4 44 46 46
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final MAR 79.4 76.9 76.5 76.5
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales MoM FEB 1.6% -4.7% ® 1.5% 1.1%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales YoY FEB -7% -8.7% ® 2.1%
11:30 PM
JP
Unemployment Rate FEB 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
11:50 PM
JP
Industrial Production MoM Prel FEB -0.1% -6.7% 1.4% 1.4%
11:50 PM
JP
Retail Sales YoY FEB 4.6% 2.1% ® 3% 2.9%
Friday March 29 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
05:00 AM
JP
Housing Starts YoY FEB -8.2% -7.5% -5.5% -4.2%
07:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate YoY Prel MAR 2.3% 3% 2.6% 2.8%
07:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate MoM Prel MAR 0.2% 0.9% ® 0.5% 0.7%
10:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate YoY Prel MAR 1.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.3%
10:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate MoM Prel MAR 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Core PCE Price Index MoM FEB 0.3% 0.5% ® 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Income MoM FEB 0.3% 1% 0.4% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Spending MoM FEB 0.8% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Goods Trade Balance Adv FEB $-91.84B $-90.51B ® $-88.0B
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index MoM FEB 0.3% 0.4% ® 0.4% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index YoY FEB 2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv FEB 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv FEB 0.5% -0.2% 0.1%
03:20 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
03:30 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
Sunday March 31 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Manufacturing PMI MAR 50.8 49.1 49.9 51
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Non Manufacturing PMI MAR 53.0 51.4 52
11:50 PM
JP
Tankan Large Manufacturers Index Q1 11 13 ® 10 11
Monday April 01 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Exports YoY MAR 3.1% 4.8% 5.2%
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI Final MAR 48.2 47.2 48.2
12:30 AM
KR
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI MAR 49.8 50.7 51
01:45 AM
CN
Caixin Manufacturing PMI MAR 51.1 50.9 51 51
04:00 AM
ID
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 3.05% 2.75% 2.91% 2.9%
06:00 AM
RU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI MAR 55.7 54.7 53.8
01:30 PM
CA
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI MAR 49.8 49.7 50.3
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final MAR 51.9 52.2 52.5
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing PMI MAR 50.3 47.8 48.4 48.3
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing Employment MAR 47.4 45.9 46
02:30 PM
CA
BoC Business Outlook Survey
10:00 PM
AU
Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI Final MAR 47.3 47.8 46.8
10:50 PM
US
Fed Cook Speech
11:00 PM
KR
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1%
Tuesday April 02 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
RBA Meeting Minutes
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices MoM MAR -0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4%
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices YoY MAR 1.6% 1.2% 2.4% 2.5%
07:00 AM
ES
Unemployment Change MAR -33.4K -7.452K 10K 7.0K
07:15 AM
ES
HCOB Manufacturing PMI MAR 51.4 51.5 51 52
07:45 AM
IT
HCOB Manufacturing PMI MAR 50.4 48.7 48.8 48.5
07:50 AM
FR
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final MAR 46.2 47.1 45.8 45.8
07:55 AM
DE
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final MAR 41.9 42.5 41.6 41.6
08:00 AM
EA
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Final MAR 46.1 46.5 45.7 45.7
08:30 AM
GB
BoE Consumer Credit FEB £1.378B £1.77B ® £1.6B £1.5B
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Approvals FEB 60.383K 56.087K ® 56.5K 57.0K
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Lending FEB £1.51B £-1.073B ® £-0.15B £-0.2B
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final MAR 50.3 47.5 49.9 49.9
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Prel MAR 2.2% 2.5% 2.2% 2.4%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate MoM Prel MAR 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7%
12:00 PM
MX
Business Confidence MAR 54.3 54.3 53
02:00 PM
US
JOLTs Job Openings FEB 8.756M 8.748M ® 8.75M 8.84M
02:00 PM
US
Factory Orders MoM FEB 1.4% -3.8% ® 1% 1.3%
02:10 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
04:05 PM
US
Fed Mester Speech
05:30 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change MAR/29 -2.286M 9.337M -2.000M
10:00 PM
AU
Ai Group Industry Index MAR -5.3 -14.9 -17
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Wednesday April 03 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Services PMI Final MAR 54.1 52.9 54.9
01:45 AM
CN
Caixin Services PMI MAR 52.7 52.5 52.7 52.6
05:00 AM
EA
ECB Holzmann Speech
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate MoM MAR 3.16% 4.53% 3.5% 3.6%
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 68.5% 67.07% 69.1% 69.0%
08:00 AM
IT
Unemployment Rate FEB 7.5% 7.3% ® 7.2% 7.1%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate YoY Flash MAR 2.4% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6%
09:00 AM
EA
Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash MAR 2.9% 3.1% 3% 2.8%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate MoM Flash MAR 0.8% 0.6% 0.9%
09:00 AM
EA
Unemployment Rate FEB 6.5% 6.5% ® 6.4% 6.4%
09:30 AM
DE
10-Year Bund Auction 2.38% 2.31%
12:00 PM
BR
Industrial Production MoM FEB -0.3% -1.5% ® 0.3% 0.2%
12:15 PM
US
ADP Employment Change MAR 184K 155K ® 148K 125.0K
01:00 PM
BR
S&P Global Services PMI MAR 54.8 54.6 53
01:45 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Composite PMI Final MAR 52.1 52.5 52.2
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Services PMI Final MAR 51.7 52.3 51.7
02:00 PM
US
ISM Services PMI MAR 51.4 52.6 52.7 52.4
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change MAR/29 3.21M 3.165M -1.511M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change MAR/29 -4.256M 1.299M -0.82M
04:00 PM
RU
Unemployment Rate FEB 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
04:00 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
04:10 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
05:10 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
08:30 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
10:00 PM
AU
Judo Bank Services PMI Final MAR 54.4 53.1 53.5
Thursday April 04 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Building Permits MoM Prel FEB -1.9% -2.5% ® 3.3% 2.5%
06:15 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Prel MAR $-7.52B $-7B ® $ -7.4B
07:15 AM
ES
HCOB Services PMI MAR 56.1 54.7 55.5 55.1
07:45 AM
IT
HCOB Services PMI MAR 54.6 52.2 53.2 52.4
07:50 AM
FR
HCOB Services PMI Final MAR 48.3 48.4 47.8 47.8
07:55 AM
DE
HCOB Services PMI Final MAR 50.1 48.3 49.8 49.8
08:00 AM
EA
HCOB Services PMI Final MAR 51.5 50.2 51.1 51.1
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Services PMI Final MAR 53.1 53.8 53.4 53.4
11:30 AM
EA
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
12:00 PM
MX
Consumer Confidence MAR 47.3 47.2 ® 43
12:30 PM
CA
Balance of Trade FEB C$1.39B C$0.61B ® C$0.8B C$0.5B
12:30 PM
US
Balance of Trade FEB $-68.9B $-67.6B ® $-67.3B $-68.0B
12:30 PM
US
Exports FEB $263.0B $257.2B $258.0B
12:30 PM
US
Imports FEB $331.9B $324.8B ® $326B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims MAR/30 221K 212K ® 214K 214.0K
04:15 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
04:45 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
06:00 PM
BR
Balance of Trade MAR $7.483B $5.447B $6.9B $ 7.7B
06:00 PM
US
Fed Mester Speech
11:20 PM
US
Fed Musalem Speech
11:30 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
Friday April 05 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Balance of Trade FEB A$7.280B A$10.058B ® A$10.4B A$9.9B
04:30 AM
IN
RBI Interest Rate Decision 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%
06:00 AM
DE
Factory Orders MoM FEB 0.2% -11.4% ® 0.8% 0.9%
06:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index MoM MAR -1% 0.3% ® 0.1% 0.3%
06:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index YoY MAR 0.3% 1.6% ® 1.45% 1.6%
06:45 AM
FR
Industrial Production MoM FEB 0.2% -0.9% ® 0.5% 0.7%
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Construction PMI MAR 50.2 49.7 50 50.5
09:00 AM
EA
Retail Sales MoM FEB -0.5% 0% ® -0.4% -0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate MAR 6.1% 5.8% 5.9% 5.8%
12:30 PM
CA
Employment Change MAR -2.2K 40.7K 25K 15.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate MAR 65.3% 65.3% 65.3%
12:30 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls MAR 303K 270K ® 200K 200.0K
12:30 PM
US
Unemployment Rate MAR 3.8% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings MoM MAR 0.3% 0.2% ® 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings YoY 4.1% 4.3% 4.1% 4.1%
12:30 PM
US
Fed Collins Speech
12:30 PM
US
Participation Rate MAR 62.7% 62.5% 62.5%
01:15 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
01:30 PM
IF
IMF/World Economic Outlook
02:00 PM
CA
Ivey PMI s.a MAR 57.5 53.9 54.2 54.4
04:00 PM
RU
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q4 4.9% 5.7% ® 5.5% 5%
04:15 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
Sunday April 07 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
11:50 PM
JP
Current Account FEB ¥2644.2B ¥438.2B ¥3112.5B ¥2610.0B
Monday April 08 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Home Loans MoM FEB 1.6% -0.9% ® 2.25% 2.2%
01:30 AM
AU
Investment Lending for Homes FEB 1.2% -0.8% ® 3.0%
06:00 AM
DE
Balance of Trade FEB €21.4B €27.5B €25.5B €25.1B
06:00 AM
DE
Exports MoM FEB -2% 6.3% -0.5%
06:00 AM
DE
Industrial Production MoM FEB 2.1% 1.3% ® 0.3% 0.3%
07:00 AM
TR
Industrial Production YoY FEB 11.5% 1.3% ® 4.9%
03:30 PM
GB
BoE Breeden Speech
11:00 PM
US
Fed Kashkari Speech
11:01 PM
GB
BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY MAR 3.2% 1% 1.8% 1.1%
Tuesday April 09 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change APR -2.4% -1.8% 0.5%
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index APR 82.4 84.4 84.8
01:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence MAR 1 0 -3
05:00 AM
JP
Consumer Confidence MAR 39.5 39.0 ® 39.7 40
06:45 AM
FR
Balance of Trade FEB €-5.2B €-7.2B ® €-7B €-6.6B
08:00 AM
EA
ECB Bank Lending Survey
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate MoM MAR 0.29% 0.09% 0.36% 0.4%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 4.42% 4.4% 4.5% 4.55%
02:10 PM
US
RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index APR 43.2 43.5 44.2 43
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change APR/05 3.034M -2.286M 2.415M
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Wednesday April 10 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
JP
BOJ Gov Ueda Speech
08:00 AM
IT
Retail Sales MoM FEB 0.1% 0% ® 0.2% 0.4%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate MoM MAR 0.16% 0.83% 0.25% 0.3%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 3.93% 4.5% 4.01% 4.1%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM MAR 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY MAR 3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 3.7%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM MAR 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 3.5% 3.2% 3.4% 3.4%
12:30 PM
US
CPI MAR 312.33 310.33 ® 312.098 312
12:30 PM
US
CPI s.a MAR 312.230 311.054 312
12:45 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
01:45 PM
CA
BoC Interest Rate Decision 5% 5% 5% 5.0%
01:45 PM
CA
BoC Monetary Policy Report
02:30 PM
CA
BoC Press Conference
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change APR/05 5.841M 3.21M 2.366M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change APR/05 0.715M -4.256M -1.32M
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate MoM MAR 0.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 7.8%
04:45 PM
US
Fed Goolsbe Speech
05:00 PM
US
10-Year Note Auction 4.560% 4.166%
06:00 PM
US
FOMC Minutes
06:00 PM
US
Monthly Budget Statement MAR $-236B $-296B $-197.5B $-340.0B
Thursday April 11 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5%
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate MoM MAR -1% 1% -0.5% -0.6%
01:30 AM
CN
PPI YoY MAR -2.8% -2.7% -2.8% -2.9%
08:00 AM
IT
Industrial Production MoM FEB 0.1% -1.4% ® 0.5% 0.6%
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales MoM FEB 1% 2.8% ® -1% -1.3%
12:15 PM
EA
Deposit Facility Rate 4% 4% 4% 4%
12:15 PM
EA
ECB Interest Rate Decision 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5%
12:30 PM
US
PPI MoM MAR 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Core PPI MoM MAR 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims APR/06 211K 222K ® 215K 218.0K
12:45 PM
EA
ECB Press Conference
12:45 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
01:00 PM
IF
IMF/World Economic Outlook
01:00 PM
RU
Balance of Trade FEB RUB7.65B RUB6.76B ® RUB5.0B
04:00 PM
US
Fed Collins Speech
04:30 PM
GB
BoE Greene Speech
05:00 PM
US
30-Year Bond Auction 4.671% 4.331%
05:30 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
11:00 PM
KR
Unemployment Rate MAR 2.8% 2.6% 2.80%
OP
OPEC Monthly Report
Friday April 12 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
SG
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv Q1 0.1% 1.2% 1.0%
12:00 AM
SG
GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv Q1 2.7% 2.2% 3% 2.9%
12:00 AM
SG
Monetary Policy Statement
01:00 AM
KR
Interest Rate Decision 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
06:00 AM
DE
Inflation Rate MoM Final MAR 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
06:00 AM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Final MAR 2.2% 2.5% 2.2% 2.2%
06:00 AM
GB
GDP MoM FEB 0.1% 0.3% ® 0.1% 0%
06:00 AM
GB
BoE Greene Speech
06:00 AM
GB
GDP 3-Month Avg FEB 0.2% 0% ® 0.1% 0.1%
06:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance FEB £-14.21B £-14.1B ® £-14.5B £-15.2B
06:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance Non-EU FEB £-2.9B £-3.34B ® £-3.7B
06:00 AM
GB
Industrial Production MoM FEB 1.1% -0.3% ® 0% 0.0%
06:00 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production MoM FEB 1.2% -0.2% ® 0.1% 0.0%
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate MoM Final MAR 0.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2%
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate YoY Final MAR 2.3% 3% 2.3% 2.3%
07:10 AM
CN
Balance of Trade MAR $58.55B $125.16B $70.2B $ 64B
07:10 AM
CN
Exports YoY MAR -7.5% 5.6% -3% -1.2%
07:10 AM
CN
Imports YoY MAR -1.9% -8.2% 1.2% 2.0%
08:00 AM
EA
ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
11:00 AM
CN
New Yuan Loans MAR CNY3090B CNY1450B CNY3560B CNY 3100.0B
12:30 PM
US
Export Prices MoM MAR 0.3% 0.7% ® 0.3% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Import Prices MoM MAR 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
12:45 PM
IN
Industrial Production YoY FEB 5.7% 3.8% 6% 5.6%
12:45 PM
IN
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 4.85% 5.09% 4.91% 5.0%
12:45 PM
IN
Manufacturing Production YoY FEB 5% 3.2% 5.8%
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel APR 77.9 79.4 79 79.5
06:30 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
07:30 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
Sunday April 14 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders MoM FEB 7.7% -1.7% -0.2%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders YoY FEB -1.8% -10.9% -8.0%
Monday April 15 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:30 AM
US
Fed Logan Speech
07:00 AM
TR
Unemployment Rate FEB 8.7% 9% ® 9.4%
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production MoM FEB 0.8% -3% ® 0.8% 1.1%
09:00 AM
IN
Balance of Trade MAR $-15.6B $-18.7B $-18.78B $ -16B
10:00 AM
EA
ECB Lane Speech
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales MoM MAR 0.7% 0.9% ® 0.3% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index APR -14.30 -20.90 -9 -10
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM MAR 1.1% 0.6% ® 0.4% 0.2%
02:00 PM
US
Business Inventories MoM FEB 0.4% 0% 0.3% 0.3%
02:00 PM
US
NAHB Housing Market Index APR 51 51 51 51
IF
IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday April 16 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
US
Fed Daly Speech
01:30 AM
CN
House Price Index YoY MAR -2.2% -1.4% -0.2%
02:00 AM
CN
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q1 5.3% 5.2% 5% 5.0%
02:00 AM
CN
Industrial Production YoY MAR 4.5% 7% 5.4% 5.3%
02:00 AM
CN
Retail Sales YoY MAR 3.1% 5.5% 4.5% 4.4%
02:00 AM
CN
Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY MAR 4.5% 4.2% 4.3% 4.2%
02:00 AM
CN
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q1 1.6% 1.2% ® 0.9%
02:00 AM
CN
Unemployment Rate MARCH 5.2% 5.3% 5.2% 5.20%
06:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices MoM MAR 0.2% -0.1% 0.1% 0.7%
06:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices YoY MAR -3% -3% -2.0%
06:00 AM
GB
Unemployment Rate FEB 4.2% 4.0% ® 4% 4.0%
06:00 AM
GB
Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) FEB 5.6% 5.6% 5.5% 5.6%
06:00 AM
GB
Employment Change FEB -156K -21K 110.0K
08:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate YoY Final MAR 1.2% 0.8% 1.3% 1.3%
09:00 AM
EA
Balance of Trade FEB €23.6B €11.6B ® €17.9B
09:00 AM
EA
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index APR 43.9 33.5 37.2 34
09:00 AM
DE
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index APR 42.9 31.7 35.9 32
09:00 AM
IT
Balance of Trade FEB €6.034B €2.495B ® €3.44B €3.2B
12:15 PM
CA
Housing Starts MAR 242.2K 260K ® 244K 263K
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 2.9% 2.8% 2.7%
12:30 PM
CA
Core Inflation Rate YoY MAR 2% 2.1% 1.8%
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate MoM MAR 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits Prel MAR 1.458M 1.523M ® 1.514M 1.51M
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits MoM Prel MAR -4.3% 2.3% ® -0.7%
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts MAR 1.321M 1.549M ® 1.48M 1.51M
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts MoM MAR -14.7% 12.7% ® -0.8%
01:00 PM
US
Fed Jefferson Speech
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production MoM MAR 0.4% 0.4% ® 0.4% 0.2%
04:30 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
05:00 PM
GB
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
05:15 PM
CA
BoC Gov Macklem Speech
05:15 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change APR/12 4.090M 3.034M
11:00 PM
JP
Reuters Tankan Index APR 9 10 9
11:50 PM
JP
Balance of Trade MAR ¥366.5B ¥-377.8B ® ¥ -280.0B
11:50 PM
JP
Exports YoY MAR 7.3% 7.8%
IF
IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings
Wednesday April 17 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 3.2% 3.4% 3.1% 3.1%
06:00 AM
GB
Core Inflation Rate YoY MAR 4.2% 4.5% 4.1% 4.3%
06:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate MoM MAR 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate MoM MAR 0.8% 1% 0.3%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 5.3% 5.6% 5.4%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate YoY Final MAR 2.4% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4%
02:00 PM
BR
Business Confidence APR 51.5 52.8 52.7
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change APR/12 2.735M 5.841M 1.6M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change APR/12 -1.154M 0.715M
04:00 PM
GB
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
06:00 PM
GB
BoE Haskel Speech
08:00 PM
US
Net Long-term TIC Flows FEB $71.5B $14B ® $40.2B
09:30 PM
US
Fed Mester Speech
11:15 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
IF
IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings
Thursday April 18 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Employment Change MAR -6.6K 117.6K ® 7.2K -20.0K
01:30 AM
AU
Full Time Employment Chg MAR 27.9K 79.4K ®
01:30 AM
AU
Part Time Employment Chg MAR -34.5K 38.2K ®
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Bulletin
01:30 AM
AU
Unemployment Rate MAR 3.8% 3.7% 3.9% 4.0%
01:30 AM
JP
BoJ Noguchi Speech
06:00 AM
EU
New Car Registrations YoY MAR -5.2% 10.1% -6%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims APR/13 212K 212K ® 215K 212.0K
12:30 PM
US
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index APR 15.5 3.2 1.5 1
01:05 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
01:15 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales MAR 4.19M 4.38M 4.2M 4.28M
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales MoM MAR -4.3% 9.5% -2.2%
03:00 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
09:45 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
11:30 PM
JP
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 2.7% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8%
11:30 PM
JP
Core Inflation Rate YoY MAR 2.6% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7%
IF
IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings
Friday April 19 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
PPI MoM MAR 0.2% -0.4% 0% 0.4%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales MoM MAR 0% 0.1% ® 0.3% 0.2%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM MAR -0.3% 0.3% ®
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales YoY MAR 0.8% -0.3% ® 0.7%
08:00 AM
ES
Balance of Trade FEB €-2.4B €-3.7B
09:15 AM
CN
FDI (YTD) YoY MAR -26.1% -19.9% -25.0%
10:00 AM
ES
Consumer Confidence MAR 82.5 78.5 84
02:15 PM
GB
BoE Breeden Speech
02:15 PM
GB
BoE Ramsden Speech
02:30 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
IF
IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings
IN
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Saturday April 20 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
IF
IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings
Monday April 22 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 1Y 3.45% 3.45% 3.45% 3.45%
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 5Y APR 3.95% 3.95% 3.95% 3.95%
04:00 AM
ID
Balance of Trade MAR $4.47B $0.83B ® $ 1.5B
07:00 AM
TR
Consumer Confidence APR 80.5 79.4 79.3
09:00 AM
EA
Government Budget to GDP 2023 -3.6% -3.7% ® -3.2%
09:00 AM
EA
Government Debt to GDP 2023 88.6% 90.8% ® 88.0%
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index MoM MAR 0% 0.1% 0.1% 0%
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index YoY MAR -0.4% -0.4% -0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Chicago Fed National Activity Index MAR 0.15 0.09 ® 0.09 0.09
02:00 PM
EA
Consumer Confidence Flash APR -14.7 -14.9 -14.7 -14.2
03:30 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
11:00 PM
AU
Judo Bank Manufacturing PMI Flash APR 49.9 47.3 47.9
11:00 PM
AU
Judo Bank Services PMI Flash APR 54.2 54.4 54
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday April 23 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI Flash APR 49.9 48.2 48 48.5
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Services PMI Flash APR 54.6 54.1 54
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Composite PMI Flash APR 62.2 61.8 61.6
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Manufacturing PMI Flash APR 59.1 59.1 58.3
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Services PMI Flash APR 61.7 61.2 61.4
07:15 AM
FR
HCOB Composite PMI Flash APR 49.9 48.3 49.9 49
07:15 AM
FR
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash APR 44.9 46.2 44.9 47
07:15 AM
FR
HCOB Services PMI Flash APR 50.5 48.3 48.9 49.1
07:30 AM
DE
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash APR 42.2 41.9 42.2 42.9
07:30 AM
DE
HCOB Composite PMI Flash APR 50.5 47.7 48.6 48.6
07:30 AM
DE
HCOB Services PMI Flash APR 53.3 50.1 50.6 50.7
08:00 AM
EA
HCOB Composite PMI Flash APR 51.4 50.3 50.8 50.9
08:00 AM
EA
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash APR 45.6 46.1 45.6 46.8
08:00 AM
EA
HCOB Services PMI Flash APR 52.9 51.5 51.8 51.8
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash APR 54 52.8 53
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash APR 48.7 50.3 50.3 50.5
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Services PMI Flash APR 54.9 53.1 53 53.3
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash APR 50.9 52.1 52.2
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash APR 49.9 51.9 52 52
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Services PMI Flash APR 50.9 51.7 52 51.8
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MAR 0.693M 0.637M ® 0.668M 0.68M
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MoM MAR 8.8% -5.1% ® 2.7%
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change APR/19 -3.23M 4.090M 1.8M
09:00 PM
KR
Consumer Confidence APR 100.7 100.7 100.5
Wednesday April 24 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Inflation Rate YoY Q1 3.6% 4.1% 3.4% 3.4%
01:30 AM
AU
Inflation Rate QoQ Q1 1% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7%
01:30 AM
AU
Monthly CPI Indicator MAR 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.2%
07:00 AM
TR
Business Confidence APR 106.1 104.4 104.3
07:30 AM
ID
Interest Rate Decision 6.25% 6% 6% 6%
08:00 AM
DE
Ifo Business Climate APR 89.4 87.9 ® 88.9 88.9
08:00 AM
IT
Business Confidence APR 87.6 88.4 ® 89.5 89.5
08:00 AM
IT
Consumer Confidence APR 95.2 96.5 96.9 97.2
09:30 AM
DE
10-Year Bund Auction 2.54% 2.38%
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Business Optimism Index Q2 9 -3 2
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Industrial Trends Orders APR -23 -18 -16 -16
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM FEB -0.3% 0.4% ® 0% 0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM FEB -0.1% -0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders MoM MAR 2.6% 0.7% ® 2.5% 2.2%
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM MAR 0.2% 0.1% ® 0.3% 0.3%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change APR/19 -6.368M 2.735M 1.6M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change APR/19 -0.634M -1.154M -1.4M
05:30 PM
CA
BoC Summary of Deliberations
09:00 PM
KR
Business Confidence APR 73 71 71
11:00 PM
KR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv Q1 1.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
11:00 PM
KR
GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv Q1 3.4% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6%
Thursday April 25 2024 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
GfK Consumer Confidence MAY -24.2 -27.3 ® -25.9 -25.8
06:45 AM
FR
Business Confidence APR 100 103 ® 102 102
10:00 AM
FR
Unemployment Benefit Claims MAR -8.4K -6.1K ® -10.0K
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Distributive Trades APR -44 2 -2 -5
11:00 AM
TR
TCMB Interest Rate Decision 50% 50% 50% 50%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv Q1 1.6% 3.4% 2.5% 2.3%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Price Index QoQ Adv Q1 3.1% 1.7% 3% 2.9%
12:30 PM
US
Goods Trade Balance Adv MAR $-91.83B $-91.84B $-91.2B $-90.3B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims APR/20 207K 212K 214K 213.0K
12:30 PM
US
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv MAR -0.1% 0.3% ® 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv MAR -0.4% 0.4% ® 0.2% 0.2%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales MoM MAR 3.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.9%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales YoY MAR 0.1% -7% -4.0%
11:01 PM
GB
Gfk Consumer Confidence APR -19 -21 -20 -19



About our calendar

Trading Economics provides its users with a near real-time economic calendar updated 24 hours a day. Actual values are based on official sources, not third party data providers. Previous values are available before an economic indicator is reported and marked as revised (*) accordingly. Survey consensus figures are provided displaying the average forecast among a representative group of economists. We also provide forecasts which are driven by our analysts’ expectations and technically projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model.

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