The Bank of Japan left its key short-term interest rate unchanged at -0.1 percent at its March meeting, as widely expected. Policymakers also kept the target for the 10-year Japanese government bond yield at around zero percent, but offered weaker views on exports and output amid rising global headwinds. Interest Rate in Japan averaged 2.78 percent from 1972 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 9 percent in December of 1973 and a record low of -0.10 percent in January of 2016.

Interest Rate in Japan is expected to be -0.10 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Interest Rate in Japan to stand at -0.10 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Japan Interest Rate is projected to trend around 0.10 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

Japan Interest Rate
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2018-10-31 03:00 AM BoJ Interest Rate Decision -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
2018-12-20 03:00 AM BoJ Interest Rate Decision -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
2019-01-23 03:00 AM BoJ Interest Rate Decision -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
2019-03-15 03:00 AM BoJ Interest Rate Decision -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
2019-04-25 03:00 AM BoJ Quarterly Outlook Report
2019-04-25 03:00 AM BoJ Interest Rate Decision -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
2019-05-07 11:50 PM BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

BoJ Holds Rates, Lowers Export and Output Assessment

The Bank of Japan left its key short-term interest rate unchanged at -0.1 percent at its March meeting, as widely expected. Policymakers also kept the target for the 10-year Japanese government bond yield at around zero percent, but offered weaker views on exports and output amid rising global headwinds.

With regard to the amount of JGBs to be purchased, the bank will conduct buying at more or less the current pace -- an annual pace of increase of about 80 trillion yen.

The BoJ also determined by an unanimous vote to purchase exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and Japan real estate investment trusts (J-REITs) so that their amounts outstanding will increase at an annual paces of about JPY 6.0 trillion and about JPY 90 billion, respectively. With a view to lowering risk premia of asset prices in an appropriate manner, the bank may increase or decrease the amount of purchases depending on market conditions. As for CP and corporate bonds, the bank will maintain their amounts outstanding at about 2.2 trillion yen and about 3.2 trillion yen, respectively.

Excerpts from the Statement on Monetary Policy:

Japan's economy is expanding moderately, with a virtuous cycle from income to spending operating. Overseas economies have been growing moderately on the whole, although slowdown have been observed. In this situation, exports have shown some weakness recently. On the domestic demand side, business fixed investment has continued on an increasing trend, with corporate profits and business sentiment staying at a favorable level. Private consumption has been increasing moderately, albeit with fluctuations, against the background of steady improvement in the employment and income situation. Meanwhile, housing investment has been more or less flat. Public investment also has been more or less flat, remaining at a relatively high level. Reflecting these development in demand both at home and abroad, industrial production has been on a moderate increasing trend, although it has shown some weakness recently. Labor market conditions have continued to tighten steadily. Financial conditions are highly accommodative. On the price front, the year-on-year rate of change in the consumer price index (CPI, all items less fresh food) is in the range of 0.5-1.0 percent. Inflation expectations have been more or less unchanged.

With regard to the outlook, Japan's economy is likely to continue its moderate expansion. Domestic demand is likely to follow an uptrend, with a virtuous cycle from income to spending being maintained in both the corporate and household sectors, mainly against the background of highly accommodative financial conditions and the underpinnings through government spending. Although exports are projected to show some weakness for the time being, they areexpected to be on a  moderate increasing trend on the back of overseas economies growing moderately on the whole. The year-on-year rate of change in the CPI is likely to increase gradually toward 2 percent, mainly on the back of the output gap remaining positive and medium- to long-term inflation expectations rising.

Risks to the outlook include the following: the US macroeconomic policies and their impact on global financial markets; the consequences of protectionist moves and their effects; developments in emerging and commodity-exporting economies including the effects of the two aforementioned factors; negotiations on the United Kingdom's exit from the European Union (EU) and their effects; and geopolitical risks.

Bank of Japan l Rida Husna |
3/15/2019 4:56:40 AM

Japan Money Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Interest Rate -0.10 -0.10 9.00 -0.10 percent [+]
Interbank Rate -0.07 -0.07 8.50 -0.12 percent [+]
Money Supply M0 102118.70 101665.50 102487.90 2130.10 JPY Billion [+]
Money Supply M1 781407.90 773472.10 781407.90 3921.00 JPY Billion [+]
Money Supply M2 1012747.00 1010052.60 1015093.00 8404.00 JPY Billion [+]
Money Supply M3 1351005.60 1348817.50 1351005.60 1008505.00 JPY Billion [+]
Central Bank Balance Sheet 557034.30 561926.20 561926.20 4864.50 JPY Billion [+]
Foreign Exchange Reserves 1291813.00 1281846.00 1306668.00 455.00 USD Million [+]
Loans to Private Sector 465929.70 464496.10 536555.80 375948.90 JPY Billion [+]
Deposit Interest Rate 0.32 0.30 5.50 0.04 percent [+]
Foreign Stock Investment 528.50 1463.50 1577.40 -2162.40 JPY Billion [+]
Foreign Bond Investment 591.10 -1742.50 2549.70 -3072.10 JPY Billion [+]
Private Debt to GDP 229.40 227.00 291.90 227.00 percent [+]
Loan Growth 2.40 2.30 3.60 -5.00 percent [+]

Japan Interest Rate

In Japan, interest rates are set by the Bank of Japan's Policy Board in its Monetary Policy Meetings. The BoJ's official interest rate is the discount rate. Monetary Policy Meetings produce a guideline for money market operations in inter-meeting periods and this guideline is written in terms of a target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate. This page provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. Japan Interest Rate - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on April of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
-0.10 -0.10 9.00 -0.10 1972 - 2019 percent Daily

Country Last Previous
Argentina 67.12 Apr/19
Turkey 24.00 Mar/19
Mexico 8.25 Mar/19
Russia 7.75 Mar/19
South Africa 6.75 Mar/19
Brazil 6.50 Mar/19
India 6.00 Apr/19
Indonesia 6.00 Mar/19
China 4.35 Mar/19
Saudi Arabia 3.00 Mar/19
United States 2.50 Mar/19
Singapore 2.24 Mar/19
Canada 1.75 Mar/19
South Korea 1.75 Apr/19
Australia 1.50 Apr/19
United Kingdom 0.75 Mar/19
Euro Area 0.00 Apr/19
France 0.00 Apr/19
Germany 0.00 Apr/19
Italy 0.00 Apr/19
Netherlands 0.00 Apr/19
Spain 0.00 Apr/19
Japan -0.10 Mar/19
Switzerland -0.75 Mar/19