The Chinese economy advanced 6.2 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2019, slowing from a 6.4 percent expansion in the previous three-month period and matching market expectations. It was the lowest growth rate since the first quarter of 1992, amid ongoing trade tensions with the US, weakening global demand and alarming off-balance-sheet borrowings by local governments. GDP Annual Growth Rate in China averaged 9.49 percent from 1989 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 15.40 percent in the first quarter of 1993 and a record low of 3.80 percent in the fourth quarter of 1990.

GDP Annual Growth Rate in China is expected to be 6.20 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate GDP Annual Growth Rate in China to stand at 5.90 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the China GDP Annual Growth Rate is projected to trend around 5.60 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

China GDP Annual Growth Rate
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Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2018-10-19 02:00 AM GDP Growth Rate YoY Q3 6.5% 6.7% 6.6% 6.6%
2019-01-21 02:00 AM GDP Growth Rate YoY Q4 6.4% 6.5% 6.4% 6.5%
2019-04-17 02:00 AM GDP Growth Rate YoY Q1 6.4% 6.4% 6.3% 6.4%
2019-07-15 02:00 AM GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 6.2% 6.4% 6.2% 6.3%
2019-10-18 02:00 AM GDP Growth Rate YoY Q3 6.2% 6.2%



China Q2 GDP Growth Weakest in 27 Years

The Chinese economy advanced 6.2 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2019, slowing from a 6.4 percent expansion in the previous three-month period and matching market expectations. It was the lowest growth rate since the first quarter of 1992, amid ongoing trade tensions with the US, weakening global demand and alarming off-balance-sheet borrowings by local governments.

China's economy expanded 6.3 percent in the first half of the year, with final consumption accounting for 60.1 percent of the GDP.. The value added of the primary industry was up by 3.0 percent; the secondary industry by 5.8 percent; and the tertiary industry by 7.0 percent.

Industrial production grew 6 percent from a year earlier in the January to June period. For June only, factory output expanded 6.3 percent year-on-year in June 2019, accelerating from a 5 percent growth in the previous month and beating market consensus of 5.2 percent, boosted by increases in production of manufacturing (6.2 percent vs 5 percent in May), utilities (6.6 percent vs 5.9 percent) and mining (7.3 percent vs 3.9 percent). By industry, output growth accelerated for textiles (1.6 percent vs 0.7 percent); chemicals (5.4 percent vs 3.5 percent); ferrous metals (13.7 percent vs 11.7 percent); general equipment (2.6 percent vs 2.5 percent); transport equipment (14.5 percent vs 8.3 percent); machinery (11.3 percent vs 8.8 percent); and power equipment (5.6 percent vs 5 percent). Meanwhile, production slowed for non-metal minerals (9.5 percent vs 9.9 percent) and communication (10.4 percent vs 10.6 percent).

Retail sales rose 8.4 percent year-on-year in the first six months of the year. In June retail trade jumped 9.8 percent year-on-year in June 2019, after an increase of 8.6 percent in May and well above market expectations of 8.5 percent. That was the steepest advance in retail trade since March 2018, boosted by sales of automobiles (17.2 percent vs 2.1 percent); garments (5.2 percent vs 4.1 percent); cosmetics (22.5 percent vs 16.7 percent); jewelry (7.8 percent vs 4.7 percent); personal care (12.3 percent vs 11.4 percent); home appliances (7.7 percent vs 5.8 percent); office supplies (6.5 percent vs 3.1 percent); furniture (8.3 percent vs 6.1 percent); oil, oil products (3.5 percent vs 3.1 percent); and building materials (1.1 percent vs -1.1 percent). Meanwhile, sales of telecoms rose at a softer 5.9 percent, compared to 6.7 percent in May.

China's fixed-asset investment increased 5.8 percent year-on-year to CNY 29.91 trillion in the first half of 2019, compared to a 5.6 percent rise in the first five months of the year and beating market consensus of 5.6 percent, as private investment growth accelerated (5.7 percent vs 5.3 percent in January-May) while public investment lost momentum (6.9 percent vs 7.2 percent). By sector, fixed-asset investment went up faster for: manufacturing (3.0 percent vs 2.7 percent); transport, storage and postal industry (5.1 percent vs 5.0 percent); and water conservancy, environment and public facilities management (2.5 percent vs 1.4 percent). Meanwhile, fixed-asset investment expanded softer for mining (22.3 percent vs 26.1 percent) while declines were recorded in investment in both utilities (-0.5 percent vs 0.8 percent) and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry; fishery (-0.8 percent vs -2.7 percent).

Figures released earlier showed exports edged up 0.1 percent in the first half of the year while imports slumped 4.3 percent. For June only, exports fell 1.3 percent from a year earlier to USD 212.84 billion, after tariffs on USD 200 billion of Chinese goods were raised from 10 percent to 25 percent by Washington in May, while purchases tumbled 7.3 percent to USD 161.86 billion.

On a quarterly basis, the economy grew by 1.6 percent in the second quarter, the strongest pace of expansion since the third quarter of 2018.


Statistics China | Rida Husna | rida@tradingeconomics.com
7/15/2019 8:27:11 AM


News

China Q1 GDP Growth Beats Estimates
The Chinese economy advanced 6.4 percent year-on-year in the March quarter of 2019, the same pace as in the previous quarter but slightly above market expectations of a 6.3 percent expansion. Industrial output growth accelerated markedly and consumer demand strengthened amid government's pro-growth policies, which helped stabilize sentiments rattled by trade dispute with the US.
Published on 2019-04-17

China 2018 GDP Growth Weakest in 28 Years
The Chinese economy advanced 6.4 percent year-on-year in the December quarter of 2018, after a 6.5 percent growth in the previous quarter and matching market expectations. It was the lowest growth rate since the global financial crisis, amid intense trade dispute with the US, weakening domestic demand and alarming off-balance-sheet borrowings by local governments. Considering full 2018, the economy expanded 6.6 percent, the weakest pace since 1990.
Published on 2019-01-21

China Q3 GDP Growth Weakest Since Global Financial Crisis
The Chinese economy advanced 6.5 percent year-on-year in the September quarter of 2018, after a 6.7 percent growth in the previous period and missing market consensus of 6.6 percent. It was the lowest growth rate since the first quarter of 2009 during global financial crisis, amid intense tariff dispute with the US and alarming off-balance-sheet borrowings by local governments.
Published on 2018-10-19

China Q2 GDP Growth Slows to 6.7%
The Chinese economy advanced 6.7 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2018, easing from a 6.8 percent growth in the previous preiod and matching market consensus. It was the weakest pace of expansion since the third quarter of 2016 amid intensifying tariff battle with the US and efforts to deleverage debt and financial risks.
Published on 2018-07-16



China GDP Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
GDP Growth Rate 1.60 1.40 2.40 1.40 percent [+]
GDP Annual Growth Rate 6.20 6.40 15.40 3.80 percent [+]
GDP 13608.15 12143.49 13608.15 47.21 USD Billion [+]
Gross National Product 896915.60 820099.50 896915.60 679.10 CNY HML [+]
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 380771.80 349368.80 380771.80 80.70 CNY HML [+]
GDP per capita 7755.00 7308.10 7755.00 132.30 USD [+]
GDP per capita PPP 16186.80 15254.00 16186.80 1522.00 USD [+]
GDP Constant Prices 450933.00 213432.80 900309.50 5262.80 CNY HML [+]
GDP From Agriculture 23207.00 8769.40 64734.00 649.30 CNY HML [+]
GDP From Construction 27465.60 10528.60 61808.00 181.90 CNY HML [+]
GDP From Manufacturing 152993.70 72039.80 305160.00 2207.80 CNY HML [+]
GDP From Services 247743.00 122316.90 469574.60 2212.70 CNY HML [+]
GDP From Transport 20494.80 9552.80 40550.00 393.20 CNY HML [+]


China GDP Annual Growth Rate

In China, Gross Domestic Product is divided by three sectors: Primary, Secondary and Tertiary. The Primary Industry includes Farming, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery and accounts for around 9 percent of GDP. The Secondary sector, which includes Industry (40 percent of GDP) and Construction (9 percent of GDP) is the most important. The Tertiary sector accounts for the remaining 44 percent of total output and consist of Wholesale and Retail Trades; Transport, Storage, and Post; Financial Intermediation; Real Estate; Hotel and Catering Services and Others. This page provides - China GDP Annual Growth Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. China GDP Annual Growth Rate - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on August of 2019.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
6.20 6.40 15.40 3.80 1989 - 2019 percent Quarterly




Country Last Previous
China 6.20 Jun/19
India 5.80 Mar/19
Indonesia 5.05 Jun/19
Spain 2.30 Jun/19
United States 2.30 Jun/19
South Korea 2.10 Jun/19
Netherlands 2.00 Jun/19
Australia 1.80 Mar/19
Saudi Arabia 1.70 Mar/19
Switzerland 1.70 Mar/19
Canada 1.30 Mar/19
France 1.30 Jun/19
Japan 1.20 Jun/19
United Kingdom 1.20 Jun/19
Euro Area 1.10 Jun/19
Russia 0.90 Jun/19
Brazil 0.50 Mar/19
Germany 0.40 Jun/19
Singapore 0.10 Jun/19
Italy 0.00 Jun/19
South Africa 0.00 Mar/19
Mexico -0.70 Jun/19
Turkey -2.60 Mar/19
Argentina -5.80 Mar/19


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