Euro Area Retail Sales MoM

Eurozone's retail sales dropped 0.6 percent from a month earlier in July 2019, following an upwardly revised 1.2 percent growth in June and matching market expectations. That was the largest monthly fall in retail trade since December, led by a sharp decline in non-food sales (-1 percent vs 1.1 percent). Within non-food, sales were down for: textiles, clothing, footwear (-3.2 percent vs 4.5 percent); mail orders and internet (-1.5 percent vs 1.3 percent); electrical goods and furniture (-1 percent vs 0.7 percent); and pharmaceutical and medical goods (-1 percent vs -0.3 percent). In addition, food, drinks, tobacco trade dropped 0.3 percent (vs 1.3 percent in June) while fuel sales were flat (vs 1.8 percent in June). Year-on-year, retail trade growth eased to 2.2 percent from 2.8 percent in June, still beating market consensus of 2 percent. Retail Sales MoM in the Euro Area averaged 0.09 percent from 1995 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 2.80 percent in October of 1999 and a record low of -2 percent in May of 2011.

Retail Sales MoM in Euro Area is expected to be -0.70 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Retail Sales MoM in Euro Area to stand at 0.20 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Euro Area Retail Sales MoM is projected to trend around 0.50 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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Calendar	GMT		Actual	Previous	Consensus	TEForecast
2019-06-05	09:00 AM	Retail Sales MoM Apr	-0.4%	0%	-0.4%	0.2%
2019-07-04	09:00 AM	Retail Sales MoM May	-0.3%	-0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
2019-08-02	09:00 AM	Retail Sales MoM Jun	1.1%	-0.6%	0.2%	0.4%
2019-09-04	09:00 AM	Retail Sales MoM Jul	-0.6%	1.2%	-0.6%	-0.4%
2019-10-03	09:00 AM	Retail Sales MoM Aug		-0.6%		1%
2019-11-06	10:00 AM	Retail Sales MoM Sep				-0.7%
2019-12-05	10:00 AM	Retail Sales MoM Oct

Euro Area Consumer	Last	Previous	Highest	Lowest	Unit
Consumer Confidence	-7.10	-6.60	-1.40	-23.90	Index Points	[+]
Retail Sales MoM	-0.60	1.20	2.80	-2.00	percent	[+]
Retail Sales YoY	2.20	2.80	6.00	-4.60	percent	[+]
Consumer Spending	1429.75	1426.78	1429.75	1040.30	EUR Billion	[+]
Disposable Personal Income	1798017.00	1787679.00	1798017.00	1068215.00	EUR Million	[+]
Personal Savings	12.60	12.13	14.27	11.35	percent	[+]
Private Sector Credit	13710938.60	13661865.30	13710938.60	4998832.00	EUR Million	[+]
Bank Lending Rate	1.96	1.95	6.52	1.95	percent	[+]
Consumer Credit	713710.69	705648.37	713710.69	359891.93	EUR Million	[+]
Economic Optimism Index	103.10	102.70	118.10	68.30		[+]
Households Debt To GDP	57.70	57.60	64.10	46.30	percent of GDP	[+]
Households Debt To Income	93.49	94.00	98.13	71.02	percent	[+]
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions	-5.30	-9.20	-2.80	-65.40		[+]
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations	-0.50	-4.10	4.20	-43.70		[+]
Consumer Confidence Financial Expectations	-0.70	-0.90	4.90	-13.40		[+]
Consumer Confidence Major Purchases Expectations	-17.30	-18.10	-12.00	-28.20		[+]
Consumer Confidence Price Trends	20.70	20.60	54.80	-12.50	Index Points	[+]
Consumer Confidence Savings Expectations	-3.50	-5.20	1.30	-17.50		[+]
Consumer Confidence Unemployment Expectations	0.60	3.00	68.80	-1.70		[+]

In the Euro Area, retail sales show the evolution of the total amount of goods sold. Among them, food drinks and tobacco account for the highest share (39.3 percent); followed by electrical goods and furniture (12.0 percent share); computer equipment books and other (11.4 percent share); pharmaceutical and medical goods (9.9 percent share); textiles, clothing, footwear (9.2 percent share); auto fuel (9.1 percent share); other non-food products (6.0 percent share) and mail orders and internet (2.9 percent share). Among countries, Germany has the highest weight (25.9 percent), followed by France (21.7 percent), Italy (16.1 percent) and Spain (11.4 percent). Others are Netherlands (5.2 percent); Belgium (4.3 percent); Greece (3.0 percent); Austria (2.8 percent); Portugal (2.4 percent); Finland (1.8 percent); Ireland (1.7 percent); Luxembourg and Slovakia (0.8 percent each); Slovenia (0.6 percent); Lithuania (0.4 percent); Latvia and Cyprus (0.3 percent); Estonia (0.2 percent) and Malta (0.1 percent). This page provides the latest reported value for - Euro Area Retail Sales MoM - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. Euro Area Retail Sales MoM - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on September of 2019.