Brazil’s Industrial Business Confidence Index fell 1.6 points to 46.6 in March 2026, marking its second straight decline and nearly erasing all gains since August 2025. The Current Conditions Index dropped to 42.1 from 43.8, reflecting worsening views on both the national economy and company-specific situations. The Expectations Index fell to 48.8 from 50.4, dipping below 50 for the first time since November 2025, signaling negative outlooks for the next six months. This shift reflects growing uncertainty among industrial leaders, driven by persistent macroeconomic headwinds, high interest rates, and geopolitical risks, particularly the Middle East conflict affecting global commodity markets and trade. Businesses are turning more cautious, with broader economic sentiment outweighing any remaining resilience in company-level forecasts. source: Confederacao Nacional da Industria (CNI)

Business Confidence in Brazil decreased to 46.60 points in March from 48.20 points in February of 2026. Business Confidence in Brazil averaged 53.97 points from 2004 until 2026, reaching an all time high of 68.30 points in January of 2010 and a record low of 34.50 points in April of 2020. This page provides - Brazil Business Confidence - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. Brazil Business Confidence - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on April of 2026.

Business Confidence in Brazil decreased to 46.60 points in March from 48.20 points in February of 2026. Business Confidence in Brazil is expected to be 47.50 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the Brazil Business Confidence is projected to trend around 48.50 points in 2027 and 52.00 points in 2028, according to our econometric models.



Calendar GMT Reference Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2026-02-19 04:25 PM
Business Confidence
Feb 48.2 48.5 48.8
2026-03-18 02:00 PM
Business Confidence
Mar 46.6 48.2 47.5
2026-04-10 02:00 PM
Business Confidence
Apr 46.6 46


Related Last Previous Unit Reference
Business Confidence 46.60 48.20 points Mar 2026
Capacity Utilization 75.00 73.40 percent Jan 2026
Car Production MoM 204300.00 159552.00 Units Feb 2026
New Car Registrations MoM 185200.00 170536.00 Units Feb 2026
Changes in Inventories -113828.00 16607.34 BRL Million Dec 2025
Composite Leading Indicator 102.81 102.37 points Feb 2026
Corruption Index 35.00 34.00 Points Dec 2025
Corruption Rank 107.00 107.00 Dec 2025
Industrial Production YoY -0.70 0.20 percent Feb 2026
Industrial Production MoM 0.90 2.10 percent Feb 2026
IBC-BR Economic Activity 0.80 -0.20 percent Jan 2026
Manufacturing Production -2.60 -1.80 percent Feb 2026
Mining Production 10.20 11.80 percent Feb 2026
Small Business Sentiment 47.90 47.90 points Jan 2026
Steel Production 2500.00 2700.00 Thousand Tonnes Feb 2026
Total Vehicle Sales 140548.00 125127.00 Units Feb 2026


Brazil Business Confidence
In Brazil, the Industrial Entrepreneur Confidence Index (ICEI) measures the current situation of businesses and their future prospects. The survey covers about 2,500 companies in the construction, mining, and manufacturing industries. The questionnaire is made by phone and focuses on: production trends in recent months, order books, export order books, stocks and production expectations. The indicator varies on a scale of 0 to 100 where 50 indicates neutrality, 0 indicates extreme lack of confidence and 100 extreme confidence.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
46.60 48.20 68.30 34.50 2004 - 2026 points Monthly

News Stream
Brazil’s Industrial Confidence Falls in March
Brazil’s Industrial Business Confidence Index fell 1.6 points to 46.6 in March 2026, marking its second straight decline and nearly erasing all gains since August 2025. The Current Conditions Index dropped to 42.1 from 43.8, reflecting worsening views on both the national economy and company-specific situations. The Expectations Index fell to 48.8 from 50.4, dipping below 50 for the first time since November 2025, signaling negative outlooks for the next six months. This shift reflects growing uncertainty among industrial leaders, driven by persistent macroeconomic headwinds, high interest rates, and geopolitical risks, particularly the Middle East conflict affecting global commodity markets and trade. Businesses are turning more cautious, with broader economic sentiment outweighing any remaining resilience in company-level forecasts.
2026-03-18
Brazil Industrial Confidence Slips Further in February
Brazil’s Industrial Business Confidence Index fell 0.3 point to 48.2 in February 2026, remaining below the 50-point threshold. The Current Conditions Index declined to 43.8, down 0.2 point from January. Entrepreneurs’ assessment of the broader Brazilian economy became slightly less negative (+0.6 point to 38.6), while perceptions of their own companies worsened (-0.6 point to 46.4). The Expectations Index also eased to 50.4, down 0.3 point. Expectations for firms weakened (-0.5 point to 54.3), while outlooks for the Brazilian economy improved marginally (+0.2 point to 42.7), though they remained in negative territory.
2026-02-19
Brazil Business Confidence Holds in Contraction in 2026
Brazil’s Industrial Entrepreneur Confidence Index rose to 48.5 in January 2026 from 48.0 in December, the index remaining below the 50-point threshold for all of 2025 and signaling persistent pessimism among industrial firms. The Current Conditions Index increased to 44.0; assessments of companies’ conditions improved by 0.8 points to 47.0, while views on the Brazilian economy deteriorated by 1.1 points to 38.0. The Expectations Index advanced to 50.7, standing just above the neutrality line. Expectations for the economy worsened by 0.4 points to 42.5, while expectations for companies rose 1.2 points to 54.8.
2026-01-21