Italy Inflation Rate  1962-2018 | Data | Chart | Calendar | Forecast

Italian consumer prices are expected to increase by 0.8 percent year-on-year in January of 2018, following a 0.9 percent gain in the previous month and in line with market expectations. It is the lowest inflation rate since December of 2016, as prices slowed for food, mostly unprocessed food and transport. Inflation Rate in Italy averaged 6.11 percent from 1962 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 25.64 percent in November of 1974 and a record low of -0.60 percent in January of 2015.

Italy Inflation Rate
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Italy Inflation Rate Eases to 13-Month Low in January


Italian consumer prices are expected to increase by 0.8 percent year-on-year in January of 2018, following a 0.9 percent gain in the previous month and in line with market expectations. It is the lowest inflation rate since December of 2016, as prices slowed for food, mostly unprocessed food and transport.

Year-on-year, prices are expected to advance at a softer pace for food and non-alcoholic beverages (1.3 percent compared to 1.5 percent in December), of which unprocessed food (0.1 percent compared to 2.4 percent) while processed food including alcohol went up faster (2.3 percent compared to 0.8 percent). In addition, cost is likely to slow for transport (1.6 percent compared to 2.8 percent) and restaurants and hotels (1.0 percent compared to 1.1 percent). Also, cost of health is expected to fall (-0.3 percent compared to 0.1 percent). On the other hand, prices are likely to rise further for housing and utilities (2.5 percent compared to 1.9 percent), as a result of higher price pressure of regulated energy products (5.2 percent compared to 3.7 percent). Additionally, cost is expected to increase at a faster pace for miscellaneous goods and services (1.1 percent compared to 0.6 percent) and recreation and culture (1.3 percent compared to 0.5 percent).

Annual core inflation rate, which excludes energy and unprocessed food is expected to advance further 0.6 percent from a 0.4 percent rise in the prior month. Excluding only energy, the inflation is likely to remain steady at 0.6 percent.

On a monthly basis, consumer prices are expected to ease 0.2 percent, after a 0.4 percent increase in December and below consensus.

The harmonized index is likely to fall 1.6 percent on the month (from a 0.3 percent gain in December) and rise sligthly to 1.1 percent on the year from 1.0 percent in the previous month.


Istat | Stefanie Moya | stefanie.moya@tradingeconomics.com
2/2/2018 10:42:44 AM



Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2018-01-05 10:00 AM Inflation Rate YoY Prel 0.9% 0.9% 1.1%
2018-01-16 09:00 AM Inflation Rate YoY Final 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
2018-02-02 10:00 AM Inflation Rate YoY Prel 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1%
2018-02-22 10:00 AM Inflation Rate YoY Final 0.9% 0.8% 0.8%
2018-02-28 10:00 AM Inflation Rate YoY Prel 0.80%
2018-03-16 09:00 AM Inflation Rate YoY Final


Italy Prices Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Inflation Rate 0.80 0.90 25.64 -0.60 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.20 0.40 3.50 -2.40 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 101.40 101.20 101.50 3.60 Index Points [+]
Harmonised Consumer Prices 100.50 102.10 102.30 67.50 Index Points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 101.10 101.00 101.70 69.10 Index Points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 0.60 0.40 3.06 0.20 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 107.41 107.19 107.41 63.97 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices 104.00 104.00 109.80 63.60 Index Points [+]
Producer Prices Change 2.00 2.50 9.20 -7.60 percent [+]
Export Prices 122.30 121.70 122.30 6.90 Index Points [+]
Import Prices 109.80 108.90 118.10 49.40 Index Points [+]
Food Inflation 1.30 1.50 6.26 -1.18 percent [+]
CPI Housing Utilities 101.80 100.50 101.80 56.90 Index Points [+]
CPI Transportation 101.70 102.90 106.20 61.90 Index Points [+]


Italy Inflation Rate

In Italy, the most important categories in the Consumer Price Index are: food and non-alcoholic beverages (16 percent of total weight); transport (14 percent); restaurants and hotels (11 percent) and housing, water, electricity and other fuels (11 percent). The index also includes: Miscellaneous goods and services (9 percent); health (9 percent); recreation and culture (8 percent); clothing and footwear (7 percent); and furnishing and household equipment (7 percent). Alcoholic beverages, tobacco, communication and education contribute with the remaining 7 percent. This page provides the latest reported value for - Italy Inflation Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. Italy Inflation Rate - actual data, historical chart and calendar of releases - was last updated on February of 2018.

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
0.80 0.90 25.64 -0.60 1962 - 2018 percent Monthly
2010=100




inflation rate by Country
Country Last
Australia 1.90 Dec/17
Brazil 2.86 Jan/18
Canada 1.90 Dec/17
China 1.50 Jan/18
Euro Area 1.30 Jan/18
France 1.40 Jan/18
Germany 1.60 Jan/18
India 5.07 Jan/18
Indonesia 3.25 Jan/18
Italy 0.80 Jan/18
Japan 1.00 Dec/17
Mexico 5.55 Jan/18
Netherlands 1.50 Jan/18
Russia 2.20 Jan/18
South Korea 1.00 Jan/18
Spain 0.60 Jan/18
Switzerland 0.70 Jan/18
Turkey 10.35 Jan/18
United Kingdom 3.00 Jan/18
United States 2.10 Jan/18


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