The annual inflation rate in Canada rose to 2.2% in March of 2021 from 1.1% in February and slightly below market expectations of 2.3%. Still, it was the highest inflation rate since February of 2020, mainly attributable to a base-year effect caused by last year's very low index level amid the Covid-19 pandemic. Meantime, prices advanced faster primarily for transportation (7.1% vs 2.2% in February), of which gasoline (35.3% vs 5%), due to a base-year effect alongside growing global oil demand, as well as the continuation of production cuts by the OPEC. Upward pressure came also from costs of shelter (2.4% vs 1.4%), linked to higher homeowners' replacement costs. Excluding energy, inflation was 1.1%, slightly up from 1% in February. On a monthly basis, consumer prices increased 0.5%, the same pace as in the prior month and slightly below market consensus of a 0.6% rise. source: Statistics Canada

Inflation Rate in Canada averaged 3.10 percent from 1915 until 2021, reaching an all time high of 21.60 percent in June of 1920 and a record low of -17.80 percent in June of 1921. This page provides - Canada Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. Canada Inflation Rate - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on May of 2021.

Inflation Rate in Canada is expected to be 2.10 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Inflation Rate in Canada to stand at 2.10 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Canada Inflation Rate is projected to trend around 1.50 percent in 2022, according to our econometric models.

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Canada Inflation Rate

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
2.20 1.10 21.60 -17.80 1915 - 2021 percent Monthly
2002=100


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2021-01-20 01:30 PM Dec 0.7% 1% 1% 1%
2021-02-17 01:30 PM Jan 1% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8%
2021-03-17 12:30 PM Feb 1.1% 1% 1.3% 1.1%
2021-04-21 12:30 PM Mar 2.2% 1.1% 2.3% 2.1%
2021-05-19 12:30 PM Apr 2.2% 3.1% 3.2%
2021-06-16 12:30 PM May 2.8%
2021-07-28 12:30 PM Jun
2021-08-18 12:30 PM Jul


News Stream
Canada Inflation Rate at Over 1-Year High
The annual inflation rate in Canada rose to 2.2% in March of 2021 from 1.1% in February and slightly below market expectations of 2.3%. Still, it was the highest inflation rate since February of 2020, mainly attributable to a base-year effect caused by last year's very low index level amid the Covid-19 pandemic. Meantime, prices advanced faster primarily for transportation (7.1% vs 2.2% in February), of which gasoline (35.3% vs 5%), due to a base-year effect alongside growing global oil demand, as well as the continuation of production cuts by the OPEC. Upward pressure came also from costs of shelter (2.4% vs 1.4%), linked to higher homeowners' replacement costs. Excluding energy, inflation was 1.1%, slightly up from 1% in February. On a monthly basis, consumer prices increased 0.5%, the same pace as in the prior month and slightly below market consensus of a 0.6% rise.
2021-04-21
Canada February Inflation Rate Below Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in Canada rose to 1.1% in February of 2021 from 1% in January and below market expectations of 1.3%. Still, it is the steepest inflation rate in a year mainly due to higher gasoline prices (5%), which posted the first increase since February of 2020. Additional upward pressure came from costs of food (1.8%), of which food purchased from restaurants (2.9%) and food purchased from stores (1.3%); shelter (1.4%) and health and personal care (1.3%). Excluding gasoline, inflation was 1.0%, down from 1.3% in January. On a monthly basis, consumer prices were up 0.5%, following a 0.6% increase in the prior month and missing market expectations of 0.7%.
2021-03-17
Canada January Inflation Rate Above Forecasts
The annual inflation rate in Canada rose to 1% in January of 2021 from 0.7% in December and above market expectations of 0.9%. Prices rebounded for transportation (1% vs -0.6% in December), of which passenger vehicles (2.9% vs 2.5%), mainly attributable to higher availability of new model-year vehicles. In addition, costs fell less for gasoline (-3.3% vs -8.5%) and airfares (-5.5% vs -14.5%). Meantime, prices advanced faster for recreation, education and reading (2.9% vs 2%) and household operations, furnishings and equipment (1.4% vs 0.6%). On the other hand, inflation slowed further for food (1% vs 1.1%), namely meat (1.2% vs 2.5%) and fresh vegetables (0.2% vs 1.1%). Excluding gasoline, inflation rose to 1.3% in January, up from 1.0% in December. On a monthly basis, consumer prices increased 0.6%, the most since June, following a 0.2% drop in December and above market estimates of a 0.4% rise.
2021-02-17
Canada Inflation Rate Unexpectedly Eases to 0.7%
Annual inflation rate in Canada slowed to 0.7% in December of 2020 from 1% in November, which was the highest since February of 2020. Figures came below forecasts of 1%, mainly due to lower air transportation prices (-14.5%) amid falling demand. Also, food inflation slowed to 1.1%, the lowest reading since May of 2018, amid favourable weather conditions in growing regions in the United States and Mexico which contributed to the increased supply of fresh fruit and vegetables. On the other hand, upward pressure came from higher shelter prices (1.6%). Excluding gasoline, inflation was 1%, down from 1.3% in November.
2021-01-20

Canada Inflation Rate
In Canada, the most important categories in the CPI basket are Shelter (27.5 percent of the total weight) and Transportation (19.3 percent). Food accounts for 16.1 percent; Household Operations, Furnishings and Equipment for 11.8 percent; Recreation, Education and Reading for 11.8 percent; Clothing and Footwear for 5.7 percent; Health and Personal Care for 5 percent; Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco Products for the remaining 3 percent. The CPI basket is reviewed every four years on the basis of household surveys. The current weights are based on spending patterns in 2009.