The annual core inflation in the Euro Area, which excludes volatile prices of energy, food, alcohol & tobacco and at which the ECB looks in its policy decisions, is likely to ease to 1 percent in March 2020, the lowest since last September and slightly below market forecasts of 1.1 percent.

Core Inflation Rate in the Euro Area averaged 1.39 percent from 1997 until 2020, reaching an all time high of 2.60 percent in March of 2002 and a record low of 0.60 percent in January of 2015. This page provides the latest reported value for - Euro Area Core Inflation Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. Euro Area Core Inflation Rate - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on April of 2020. source: Eurostat

Core Inflation Rate in Euro Area is expected to be 1.10 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Core Inflation Rate in Euro Area to stand at 1.30 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the Euro Area Core Inflation Rate is projected to trend around 1.50 percent in 2021, according to our econometric models.

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Euro Area Core Inflation Rate

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
1.00 1.20 2.60 0.60 1997 - 2020 percent Monthly
2015=100


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2020-02-21 10:00 AM Core Inflation Rate YoY Final Jan 1.1% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1%
2020-03-03 10:00 AM Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash Feb 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1%
2020-03-18 10:00 AM Core Inflation Rate YoY Final Feb 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2%
2020-03-31 09:00 AM Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash Mar 1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1%
2020-04-17 09:00 AM Core Inflation Rate YoY Final Mar 1.2% 1% 1%
2020-04-30 09:00 AM Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash Apr
2020-05-20 09:00 AM Core Inflation Rate YoY Final Apr
2020-05-29 09:00 AM Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash May

Euro Area Prices Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Inflation Rate 0.70 1.20 5.00 -0.60 percent [+]
Inflation Rate Mom 0.50 0.20 1.30 -1.50 percent [+]
Consumer Price Index CPI 104.56 104.37 105.44 70.40 points [+]
Core Consumer Prices 103.31 102.91 104.83 75.10 points [+]
Core Inflation Rate 1.00 1.20 2.60 0.60 percent [+]
GDP Deflator 105.64 105.08 105.64 72.24 points [+]
Producer Prices 104.10 104.70 106.20 49.10 points [+]
Producer Prices Change -1.30 -0.70 10.80 -8.20 percent [+]
Import Prices 100.50 100.40 101.50 93.30 points [+]
Food Inflation 1.80 1.70 6.90 -1.60 percent [+]
CPI Housing Utilities 105.42 105.70 105.70 60.35 points [+]
CPI Transportation 106.33 106.86 107.87 66.00 points [+]


Euro Area Core Inflation Rate
In Euro Area, the core inflation rate is calculated using the weighted average of the Harmonised Index of Consumer Price (HICP) aggregates, excluding energy, food, alcohol & tobacco that face volatile price movements.