Week Ahead - Aug 31st

Global markets are underpinned by long-term interest rates, which remained elevated at the turn of September amid high energy prices, ample AI-related corporate debt issuance, and wide budget deficits against signs of resilient economic growth. Economic data from the US will be centered on the labor market as FOMC members note the US is at full employment, headlined by the BLS Employment Situation report. ISM PMIs are also featured. In Europe, Eurozone inflation and unemployment rates are awaited. PMIs will also be the focus in China for its first batch of August data. A busy week in Japan will include retail sales, the unemployment rate, industrial production, and consumer confidence. GDP data is due from Brazil, India, and Australia, while central banks in Canada and New Zealand will decide on policy.
Andre Joaquim | andre.joaquim@tradingeconomics.com
8/28/2026 5:53:32 PM
Americas
Next week, traders will be watching second-quarter results from companies including Broadcom, Dell, Palo Alto Networks, and Snowflake. The main economic focus will be Friday's US employment report. The economy is expected to have added 45,000 jobs in August, following an unexpected loss of 23,000 jobs in July. The unemployment rate is forecast to edge up to 4.2% from 4.1%, while average hourly earnings growth is expected to accelerate to 0.2% month over month from 0.1%. Earlier in the week, the ISM manufacturing and services PMIs are expected to point to another month of expansion. Investors will also assess the JOLTS report, with job openings forecast to rise to 7.39 million in July from 7.36 million in June. Other releases on the US calendar include the ADP employment report, July trade balance, factory orders and the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index. The Federal Reserve's Beige Book, along with speeches from several Fed officials, including Governors Michael Barr and Christopher Waller, will be closely scrutinized for further clues on the outlook for US interest rates. Elsewhere in America, the Bank of Canada is widely expected to leave its policy rate unchanged at 2.25% when it meets on Wednesday. Canada will also release employment, trade and Ivey PMI data, alongside the S&P Global PMI surveys. In Mexico, investors will receive consumer and business sentiment data, while Brazil will publish second-quarter GDP, industrial production, trade balance and S&P Global PMI figures.

New York City, US

Europe
Flash inflation data will be the main focus in Europe next week, with Eurozone annual inflation expected to accelerate to 3.2% in August, matching the May reading and reaching its highest level since September 2023. German inflation is also forecast to edge up to 2.9%, while price growth in Italy is expected to accelerate further. These figures follow higher-than-expected readings from Spain and France, adding to concerns about renewed inflationary pressures. Key inflation releases are also due from Switzerland and Turkey. On the growth side, updated manufacturing and services PMI figures for Spain, Italy and Switzerland will provide further insight into economic momentum, following strong manufacturing readings and more moderate services growth across the region. Germany's factory orders are expected to show no growth in July after two consecutive monthly increases. Eurozone unemployment is forecast to remain at 6.3% for a fifth month, while Italy's rate is expected to rise to 5.8%. Other releases include retail sales, UK mortgage data and house prices, Spain's labour-market figures, and GDP, and trade data from Turkey and Switzerland.

Berlin, Germany

Asia Pacific
In China, investors will focus next week on official and private manufacturing and services PMI reports for August to assess the health of the world's second-largest economy. In Japan, a broad range of economic reports are due, including the latest industrial production, retail sales, consumer confidence, housing starts and household spending data. In India, GDP data is expected to show economic growth slowed to 7.1% in Q2 from 7.8% in Q1. Other key releases include Q2 current account data and final PMI reports for August. In Australia, attention will center on Q2 GDP figures, along with the latest trade, building permits, current account, commodity prices and industrial activity data. Elsewhere in the region, trade figures are due from South Korea, Indonesia and Vietnam, while inflation data are expected from South Korea, Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines. Manufacturing PMI reports are also scheduled for Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Hong Kong, Singapore and Vietnam. Finally, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to raise its cash rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%, while Bank Negara Malaysia is likely to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.75%.

Shanghai, China






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Friday August 28 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate YoY Prel AUG 2.4% 2.1% 2.2%
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate MoM Prel AUG 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
07:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate MoM Prel AUG 0.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5%
07:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate YoY Prel AUG 4.3% 3.6% 4.2% 4.3%
07:00 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Final JUL $-7.34B $-10.37B $-7.4B $-7.4B
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployed Persons AUG 2.996M 2.993M 3.0M
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Change AUG 4K 6K 5K 7.0K
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Rate AUG 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 6.3%
09:00 AM
EA
Economic Sentiment AUG 98.4 97.1 ® 97.5 97.1
09:00 AM
IT
Business Confidence AUG 89.9 89.7 ® 90 89.9
09:00 AM
IT
Consumer Confidence AUG 94.5 94.2 95 94.5
10:30 AM
IN
Industrial Production YoY JUL 6.7% 8.8% ® 6% 5.7%
10:30 AM
IN
Manufacturing Production YoY JUL 7.3% 9.5% ® 5.5%
11:15 AM
ES
Business Confidence AUG -3.9 -2.6 -3
12:30 PM
CA
GDP Growth Rate Annualized Q2 3.3% 0.3% ® 3.4% 3.4%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 0.8% 0.1% ® 0.8%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM JUN 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM Prel JUL 0.0% 0.1%
01:45 PM
US
Chicago PMI AUG 47.1 57.6 58.3 56.1
02:00 PM
US
Fed Chair Warsh Speech
02:00 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls Annual Revision Prel -79K -911K
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final AUG 51.7 55.2 51.0 51.0
04:30 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
CN
National People's Congress
US
Jackson Hole Symposium
Saturday August 29 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
US
Jackson Hole Symposium
Sunday August 30 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
11:50 PM
JP
Industrial Production MoM Prel JUL 0.1% 1.9% -0.6% -0.5%
11:50 PM
JP
Retail Sales YoY JUL 4% 0.6% ® 3% 1.0%
Monday August 31 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Company Gross Profits QoQ Q2 1.8% -1.5% ® 2% 2.5%
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Manufacturing PMI AUG 49.8 49.2 49.7 49.9
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Non Manufacturing PMI AUG 49.0 49.0 49.5 50.4
05:00 AM
JP
Housing Starts YoY JUL 8.2% 18.6% 7.9% 13.0%
07:00 AM
TR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 1.1% 0.3% ® 1.0%
07:00 AM
TR
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 2.3% 2.6% ® 2.9% 2.9%
07:00 AM
TR
Unemployment Rate JUL 8.1% 7.6% 7.7%
10:30 AM
IN
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 7.8% 7.8% 7.1% 7.2%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Prel AUG 2.9% 2.8% 3.0% 3.0%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate MoM Prel AUG 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3%
12:00 PM
ZA
Balance of Trade JUL ZAR20.14B ZAR17.23B ® ZAR19.0B
02:30 PM
US
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index AUG 11.6 1.3 0.7
11:50 PM
JP
Capital Spending YoY Q2 1.6% 0% 0.2% 0.3%
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 01 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Exports YoY AUG 68.7% 63% ® 62.6%
12:30 AM
KR
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI AUG 53.2
01:30 AM
AU
Building Permits MoM Prel JUL -3.6% 6.9% ® -4.8% -3.6%
01:45 AM
CN
RatingDog Manufacturing PMI AUG 51 51.2
04:00 AM
ID
Balance of Trade JUL $0.13B $-0.45B $-0.3B $-0.3B
04:00 AM
ID
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.19% 2.88% 3.13% 3.2%
05:00 AM
JP
Consumer Confidence AUG 35.5 34.9 35 35
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales MoM JUL -3.4% 0.0% ® 0.4% 0.5%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales YoY JUL -2.5% 0.6% ® 0.2%
06:00 AM
RU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI AUG 50.4
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices MoM AUG 0.2% -0.1% ® 0.1% 0.1%
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices YoY AUG 1.6% 1.4% ® 2.1% 1.9%
07:15 AM
ES
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI AUG 50.1 50.5
07:45 AM
IT
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI AUG 51.5 51.5
08:30 AM
IT
Unemployment Rate JUL 5.8% 5.8% ® 5.8% 5.7%
08:30 AM
GB
BoE Consumer Credit JUL £2.006B £1.865B ® £1.8B £1.9B
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Approvals JUL 56.05K 58.22K ® 59.4K 57.9K
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Lending JUL £4.29B £7.68B ® £4.6B
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate YoY Flash AUG 3.3% 2.9% 3.3% 3.2%
09:00 AM
EA
Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash AUG 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate MoM Flash AUG 0.4% 0.2% 0.4%
09:00 AM
EA
Unemployment Rate JUL 6.4% 6.4% ® 6.3% 6.3%
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate YoY Prel AUG 3.3% 2.9% 3.1%
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate MoM Prel AUG 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 0.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3%
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.7%
12:00 PM
IN
Current Account Q2 $-4.2B $6.5B ® $ -7.4B
12:00 PM
MX
Business Confidence AUG 48.1 48 47.7
01:05 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
01:30 PM
CA
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI AUG 52.7
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing PMI AUG 54.6 55.6 55.2 55
02:00 PM
US
JOLTs Job Openings JUL 7.271M 7.182M ® 7.3M 7.4M
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing Employment AUG 51.2 52.8 52.5
08:50 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change AUG/28 -2.6M 4.2M -0.8M
11:00 PM
AU
Ai Group Industry Index AUG -3.5 -26.2 ® -32
11:00 PM
KR
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.1% 2.8% 3.2% 3.1%
Wednesday September 02 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
01:30 AM
AU
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 2.1% 2.5% 1.8% 1.6%
01:30 AM
JP
BoJ Takada Speech
07:00 AM
ES
Unemployment Change AUG 44.419K 19.517K ® 15.4K 22.0K
10:30 AM
ZA
Business Confidence Q3 38 39 34
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate AUG/28 6.79% 6.78%
12:00 PM
BR
Industrial Production MoM JUL 0.2% -1.6% ® 1.2%
12:15 PM
US
ADP Employment Change AUG 38K 46K ® 47K 51.0K
01:45 PM
CA
BoC Interest Rate Decision 2.25% 2.25% 2.25% 2.25%
02:00 PM
US
Factory Orders MoM JUL 0.9% -0.2% ® 0.6% 0.4%
02:30 PM
CA
BoC Press Conference
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change AUG/28 -4.45M 0.095M -1.1M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change AUG/28 -1.173M -2.536M -1.9M
04:00 PM
RU
Unemployment Rate JUL 2.3% 2.2% 2.2%
Thursday September 03 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:00 AM
AU
RBA Jones Speech
01:30 AM
AU
Balance of Trade JUL A$1.923B A$2.341B ® A$1.40B A$1.1B
01:45 AM
CN
RatingDog Services PMI AUG 50.6 50.8
05:15 AM
AU
RBA Hunter Speech
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 1.84% 1.78% 1.93% 1.8%
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 31.51% 31.75% 31.62% 31.5%
07:15 AM
ES
S&P Global Services PMI AUG 59 59.4
07:45 AM
IT
S&P Global Services PMI AUG 53.6 52.3
09:15 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Prel AUG $-5.24B $-7.34B $-7.0B
12:00 PM
MX
Consumer Confidence AUG 46.1 45.2 ® 44.7
12:30 PM
CA
Balance of Trade JUL C$0.77B C$4.2B ® C$3.6B C$3.2B
12:30 PM
US
Balance of Trade JUL $-88.6B $-71.2B ® $-90B $-91.2B
12:30 PM
US
Exports JUL $310.7B $314.7B ® $308.5B
12:30 PM
US
Fed Waller Speech
12:30 PM
US
Imports JUL $399.3B $388.5B ® $399.7B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims AUG/29 206K 204K ® 205K 203.0K
01:00 PM
BR
S&P Global Services PMI AUG 51
02:00 PM
US
ISM Services PMI AUG 55.4 54.1 54.3 54
07:00 PM
US
Fed Hammack Speech
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending MoM JUL 0.5% -6.4% 2.6% 3.6%
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending YoY JUL -3.6% -3.3% -1.6% -1.0%
Friday September 04 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
Factory Orders MoM JUL 2.5% 3.7% ® 0.3% -0.6%
08:00 AM
IT
Retail Sales MoM JUL -0.4% -0.2% ® 0.2% 0.2%
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Construction PMI AUG 45.5 45
08:50 AM
GB
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
09:00 AM
EA
Retail Sales MoM JUL -0.6% 0.2% ® 0.3% 0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate AUG 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4%
12:30 PM
CA
Employment Change AUG -41.7K 75.1K 15K 10.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Full Time Employment Chg AUG -35.9K 38.6K 4.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Part Time Employment Chg AUG -5.8K 36.6K 6.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate AUG 65% 65.1% 65.2%
12:30 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls AUG 162K 21K ® 56K 42.0K
12:30 PM
US
Unemployment Rate AUG 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings MoM AUG 0.3% 0.2% ® 0.3% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings YoY AUG 3.1% 3.2% 3% 3.1%
12:30 PM
US
Participation Rate AUG 61.6% 61.4% 61.4%
02:00 PM
CA
Ivey PMI s.a AUG 64.3 55.1 56.2 55.7
06:00 PM
BR
Balance of Trade AUG $7.39B $6.56B ® $7.14B $7.3B
Sunday September 06 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
OP
OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting
Monday September 07 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
Industrial Production MoM JUL -1.1% 0.0% ® 0.1% 0.3%
06:00 AM
GB
Lloyds House Price Index MoM AUG -0.2% -0.1% ® 0.2% 0.1%
06:00 AM
GB
Lloyds House Price Index YoY AUG -0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
08:30 AM
GB
Chancellor John Healey Speech
11:01 PM
GB
BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY AUG 0.5% 1% 1.2% 1.2%
11:50 PM
JP
Current Account JUL ¥2989B ¥-92B ® ¥2870B ¥2800.0B
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Annualized Final Q2 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 1.1%
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
Tuesday September 08 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change SEP -5.2% 6% -3.6%
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index SEP 84.4 88.9 85.7
01:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence AUG -8 -6 -8
03:00 AM
CN
Balance of Trade AUG $119.1B $112.5B $119.1B $120.0B
03:00 AM
CN
Exports YoY AUG 25% 23.9% 25%
03:00 AM
CN
Imports YoY AUG 28.2% 27.5% 30%
03:20 AM
AU
RBA Hunter Speech
06:00 AM
DE
Balance of Trade JUL €21.3B €15.4B €16B €17.5B
06:00 AM
DE
Exports MoM JUL -0.8% 0.9% 0%
06:45 AM
FR
Balance of Trade JUL €-6.7B €-5.8B €-6B €-6.1B
09:00 AM
ZA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 -0.2% 0.4% ® -0.1% -0.2%
09:00 AM
ZA
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 0.9% 1.9% 1.2% 1.0%
09:30 AM
AU
RBA Hauser Speech
11:00 PM
KR
Unemployment Rate AUG 2.7% 2.8% 2.7%
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Wednesday September 09 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7%
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.4% -0.1% 0.3% 0.2%
01:30 AM
CN
PPI YoY AUG 3.8% 3.5% 3.7% 3.6%
06:45 AM
FR
Industrial Production MoM JUL -0.4% -0.1% ® 0.3% 0.4%
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate SEP/04 6.85% 6.79%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.2% 0.03% 0.25% 0.2%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.26% 3.12% 3.30% 3.3%
12:15 PM
US
ADP Employment Change Weekly 12K 10K ®
05:00 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
09:00 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change SEP/04 -0.3M -2.6M -1.3M
11:01 PM
GB
RICS House Price Balance AUG -28% -29% ® -31% -28%
Thursday September 10 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
07:00 AM
TR
Industrial Production YoY JUL -0.3% -1.3% ® -1.7%
08:00 AM
IT
Industrial Production MoM JUL 0.7% -1.1% ® 0.3% 0.6%
10:30 AM
ES
Consumer Confidence JUL 84.1 81.2 81.5
11:00 AM
TR
TCMB Interest Rate Decision 37% 37% 37% 37.0%
12:15 PM
EA
Deposit Facility Rate 2.5% 2.25% 2.5% 2.5%
12:15 PM
EA
ECB Interest Rate Decision 2.65% 2.4% 2.65% 2.65%
12:30 PM
US
PPI MoM AUG 0.4% 0.1% ® 0.4% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core PPI MoM AUG 0.2% 0.3% ® 0.3% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims SEP/05 206K 207K ® 205K 209.0K
12:45 PM
EA
ECB Press Conference
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales AUG 3.98M 4.06M 3.98M 4.05M
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales MoM AUG -2% -1.7% -0.2%
04:00 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change SEP/04 -0.391M -4.45M -1.6M
04:00 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change SEP/04 1.269M -1.173M -1.4M
Friday September 11 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
GB
GDP MoM JUL 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0.1%
06:00 AM
GB
GDP 3-Month Avg JUL 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
06:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance JUL £-20.97B £-23.01B £-22.3B £-22.0B
06:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance Non-EU JUL £-9.66B £-10.45B £-9.3B
06:00 AM
GB
Industrial Production MoM JUL 0.2% -0.2% -0.2% 0.2%
06:00 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production MoM JUL 0.9% -0.5% 0.2% 0.4%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate MoM AUG -0.32% 0.07% -0.29% -0.3%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 4.22% 4.44% 4.27% 4.2%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY AUG 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.4%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
12:30 PM
US
CPI AUG 334.98 333.92 334.85 334.9
12:30 PM
US
CPI s.a AUG 334.131 332.81 334.14
02:00 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel SEP 47.8 51.7 51 51.5
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate MoM AUG -0.1% 0.5% -0.1% -0.2%
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 6.3% 6% 6.3% 6.3%
06:00 PM
US
Monthly Budget Statement AUG $-167B $-432B $-404B $-380.0B
Saturday September 12 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
10:15 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
Monday September 14 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
02:30 AM
AU
RBA Hunter Speech
09:00 AM
CN
New Yuan Loans AUG CNY60B CNY-340B CNY400B CNY 450.0B
10:30 AM
IN
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 4.82% 4.44% ® 4.8% 4.7%
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3% 3% 3.0% 3.0%
12:30 PM
CA
Core Inflation Rate YoY AUG 2.4% 2.3% 2.3%
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate MoM AUG -0.1% 0.5% 0% 0.1%
03:15 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
05:30 PM
BR
Business Confidence SEP 44.9 46.3 45.7
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 15 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
House Price Index YoY AUG -3% -3.2% -3.1%
02:00 AM
CN
Industrial Production YoY AUG 5.2% 4.5% 4.8% 5.0%
02:00 AM
CN
Retail Sales YoY AUG 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0%
02:00 AM
CN
Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY AUG -7.2% -6.7% -7.2% -6.6%
06:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices MoM AUG 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
06:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices YoY AUG 6.8% 5.3% 6.2%
06:00 AM
GB
Unemployment Rate JUL 4.9% 4.9% 5% 5.0%
06:00 AM
GB
Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) JUL 3.9% 4.2% ® 3.9% 4.0%
06:00 AM
GB
Employment Change JUL 67K 83K 70.0K
08:00 AM
IT
Balance of Trade JUL €8.24B €4.343B ® €4.77B €4.0B
08:45 AM
IN
Balance of Trade AUG $-26.86B $-31.98B $-33.0B
09:00 AM
EA
Balance of Trade JUL €14.2B €7.2B ® €14.4B
09:00 AM
EA
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index SEP 25.8 31.4 39.9 38
09:00 AM
DE
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index SEP 34.7 34.2 37 34
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales MoM JUL -0.8% 0.3% ® -0.2% -0.1%
12:15 PM
US
ADP Employment Change Weekly 16.25K 12.25K ®
12:30 PM
US
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index SEP 7.60 20.60 14.75 14
09:00 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change SEP/11 7.14M -0.3M -1.8M
11:50 PM
JP
Balance of Trade AUG ¥-1105.6B ¥-638.3B ® ¥-1052.6B ¥-850.0B
11:50 PM
JP
Exports YoY AUG 19.3% 23.2% 18.2%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders MoM JUL -3.7% 9.7% -2.8% -3.4%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders YoY JUL 11.2% 16.9% 15.3% 12.0%
Wednesday September 16 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.1% 2.9% 3.1% 3.1%
06:00 AM
GB
Core Inflation Rate YoY AUG 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6%
06:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5%
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production MoM JUL -0.1% -0.1% ® -0.2% -0.6%
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate SEP/11 6.97% 6.85%
12:15 PM
CA
Housing Starts AUG 229K 229.4K ® 240K 232.0K
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales MoM AUG 1.2% -0.5% ® 0.8% 0.7%
12:30 PM
US
Export Prices MoM AUG 0.6% -1.4% ® 0.5% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Import Prices MoM AUG 0.7% -0.3% ® 0.4% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Control Group MoM AUG 1.4% -0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM AUG 1.4% -0.2% ® 0.5% 0.4%
02:00 PM
US
Business Inventories MoM JUL 0.8% 0.1% ® 0.3% 0.4%
02:00 PM
US
NAHB Housing Market Index SEP 32 35 34 34
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change SEP/11 -0.64M -0.391M -1.6M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change SEP/11 0.794M 1.269M -1M
05:00 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
06:00 PM
US
Fed Interest Rate Decision 4% 3.75% 4% 4%
06:00 PM
US
FOMC Economic Projections
06:30 PM
US
Fed Press Conference
08:00 PM
US
Net Long-term TIC Flows JUL $-27.9B $174.4B ® $146.3B
09:30 PM
BR
Interest Rate Decision 13.75% 14% 13.75% 13.75%
Thursday September 17 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
11:00 AM
GB
BoE Interest Rate Decision 3.75% 3.75% 3.75% 3.75%
11:00 AM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Cut 0/9 0/9 0/9 0/9
11:00 AM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Hike 3/9 3/9 3/9 3/9
11:00 AM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Unchanged 6/9 6/9 6/9 6/9
11:00 AM
GB
MPC Meeting Minutes
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits Prel AUG 1.394M 1.433M 1.41M 1.41M
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts AUG 1.275M 1.309M ® 1.31M 1.35M
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits MoM Prel AUG -2.7% 4.3% -1.6%
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts MoM AUG -2.6% -9% ® 9.0%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims SEP/12 196K 206K 208K 208.0K
12:30 PM
US
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index SEP 37.8 47.4 30.5 37
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales MoM AUG 0.3% -2.6% ® 2% 1.8%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales YoY AUG -4.7% -2.2% -0.7%
11:30 PM
JP
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 1.9% 1.9% 2.1%
11:30 PM
JP
Core Inflation Rate YoY AUG 1.7% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
Friday September 18 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
03:00 AM
JP
BoJ Interest Rate Decision 1.25% 1% 1.25% 1.25%
06:00 AM
DE
PPI YoY AUG 4.6% 3% 4.1% 4.0%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales MoM AUG 0.5% -0.5% -0.2% -0.1%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales YoY AUG 2.4% 1.2% ® 1.9% 2.0%
09:00 AM
CN
FDI (YTD) YoY AUG -5.3% -6.2% -5.8%
10:30 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index MoM AUG -0.1% -0.1% 0.0%
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production MoM AUG 0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
01:30 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
03:45 PM
US
Fed Schmid Speech
Sunday September 20 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 1Y 3.0% 3.0% 3% 3.0%
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 5Y SEP 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
Monday September 21 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
07:00 AM
TR
Business Confidence SEP 102.0 102.8 102.5
10:30 AM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
12:30 PM
US
Chicago Fed National Activity Index AUG -0.04 0.08 ® 0.2
07:00 PM
AU
RBA Hunter Speech
US
UN General Assembly
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 22 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
07:00 AM
TR
Consumer Confidence SEP 91.9 90.8 90
08:00 AM
ES
Balance of Trade JUL €-5.22B €-7.69B €-8.1B
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Industrial Trends Orders SEP -9 -25 -34 -40
11:00 AM
BR
BCB Copom Meeting Minutes
12:15 PM
US
ADP Employment Change Weekly 20K 16.25K
02:00 PM
EA
Consumer Confidence Flash SEP -16.5 -15.5 -16 -17
02:05 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
02:20 PM
US
Fed Jefferson Speech
05:00 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
07:30 PM
EA
ECB Nagel Speech
09:00 PM
KR
Consumer Confidence SEP 106.6 104.5 104.8
09:00 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change SEP/18 1.786M 7.14M -0.5M
11:00 PM
AU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 51.7
11:00 PM
AU
S&P Global Services PMI Flash SEP 52.5
US
UN General Assembly
Wednesday September 23 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Composite PMI Flash SEP 54.5
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 53.2
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Services PMI Flash SEP 54.7
07:15 AM
FR
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash SEP 48.7 49.1
07:15 AM
FR
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 50.9 51
07:15 AM
FR
S&P Global Services PMI Flash SEP 48.3 49.1
07:20 AM
ID
Interest Rate Decision 5.75% 5.75% 5.75% 5.75%
07:30 AM
DE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 54 54
07:30 AM
DE
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash SEP 51.8 51.7
07:30 AM
DE
S&P Global Services PMI Flash SEP 50 50.1
08:00 AM
EA
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash SEP 51.7 51.7
08:00 AM
EA
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 52.6 52.7
08:00 AM
EA
S&P Global Services PMI Flash SEP 51.5 51.5
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0% 0.2% 0.3%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 4.4% 4.3% 4.5% 4.6%
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 51.5 51.5
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Services PMI Flash SEP 52 52.3
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate SEP/18 7.12% 6.97%
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash SEP 55.2
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 53.6 53
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Services PMI Flash SEP 56 56.4
02:05 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change SEP/18 2.969M -0.64M -0.6M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change SEP/18 -1.686M 0.794M 0.1M
US
UN General Assembly
Thursday September 24 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
JP
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 55 55.2
12:30 AM
JP
S&P Global Services PMI Flash SEP 52.7
01:30 AM
AU
Employment Change AUG 39.5K -15.9K ® 20K 15.1K
01:30 AM
AU
Full Time Employment Chg AUG -6.3K 14.9K ®
01:30 AM
AU
Unemployment Rate AUG 4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5%
04:00 AM
EU
New Car Registrations YoY JUL 3% 13.6% 7.5%
04:00 AM
EU
New Car Registrations YoY AUG 4.5% 3% 11.0%
06:45 AM
FR
Business Confidence SEP 101 101 ® 102 102
06:45 AM
FR
Consumer Confidence SEP 86 86 85 86
08:00 AM
DE
Ifo Business Climate SEP 89.9 88.8 89 89
08:10 AM
US
Fed Williams Speech
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Distributive Trades SEP -55 -48 -50 -49
12:00 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM JUL -0.7% 0.5% -0.5% -0.6%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Final JUL -0.7% 0.6% -0.8% -0.8%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Prel AUG 1.3% -0.7% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Current Account Q2 $-246B $-212.6B ® $-255B $-249.0B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims SEP/19 197K 198K ® 201K 201.0K
12:50 PM
US
Fed Hammack Speech
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales AUG 0.684M 0.643M ® 0.62M 0.626M
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MoM AUG 6.4% -4.3% ® 3.2%
02:10 PM
US
Fed Paulson Speech
07:00 PM
MX
Interest Rate Decision 6.5% 6.5% 6.5% 6.5%
11:01 PM
GB
GfK Consumer Confidence SEP -13 -14 -16 -17
US
President Trump and President Xi Summit
US
UN General Assembly
BR
BCB National Monetary Council Meeting
Friday September 25 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
GfK Consumer Confidence OCT -30.6 -26.8 ® -27.4 -27.4
09:15 AM
US
Fed Williams Speech
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders MoM AUG 0% 0.9% ® -0.4% -0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM AUG 0.3% 0.7% ® 0.6% 0.4%
01:20 PM
US
Fed Schmid Speech
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final SEP 48.1 51.7 47.6 47.8
06:00 PM
US
Fed Hammack Speech
US
UN General Assembly
Sunday September 27 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
11:50 PM
JP
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Monday September 28 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
10:30 AM
IN
Industrial Production YoY AUG 8% 7.4% ® 6.5% 5.5%
10:30 AM
IN
Manufacturing Production YoY AUG 9% 8.2% ® 5.9%
11:15 AM
GB
Chancellor John Healey Speech
12:00 PM
MX
Balance of Trade AUG $0.605B $-0.848B $1.4B $1.0B
01:30 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
02:30 PM
US
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index SEP 9.8 11.6 1
05:30 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
09:00 PM
KR
Business Confidence SEP 79 81 84
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 29 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
04:30 AM
AU
RBA Interest Rate Decision 4.6% 4.35% 4.6% 4.6%
05:30 AM
AU
RBA Press Conference
07:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate MoM Prel SEP 0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
07:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate YoY Prel SEP 4.9% 4.3% 4.7% 4.7%
08:30 AM
GB
BoE Consumer Credit AUG £2.464B £2.097B ® £1.9B £1.9B
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Approvals AUG 54.92K 55.93K ® 56.1K 57.0K
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Lending AUG £4.41B £4.08B ® £4.4B £4.5B
09:00 AM
EA
Economic Sentiment SEP 97.9 98.4 99 98.5
10:00 AM
FR
Unemployment Benefit Claims AUG -61.3K 21.5K 15.0K
11:00 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
11:05 AM
ES
Business Confidence SEP -1.6 -3.8 ® -4.3
12:00 PM
BR
Unemployment Rate AUG 5.3% 5.3% 5.3% 5.3%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM JUL 0% 0.4% ® 0% 0.0%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM Prel AUG 0.2% 0% 0.2%
01:00 PM
US
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY JUL 2.5% 2.2% ® 2.2% 2.0%
02:00 PM
US
JOLTs Job Openings AUG 7.079M 7.335M ® 7.23M 7.24M
02:00 PM
US
CB Consumer Confidence SEP 81.9 88.6 ® 89.2 89
05:00 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
05:30 PM
US
Fed Musalem Speech
06:00 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
08:50 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change SEP/25 1.019M 1.786M -1.9M
11:50 PM
JP
Industrial Production MoM Prel AUG -1.7% -0.2% 1.7% 0.3%
11:50 PM
JP
Retail Sales YoY AUG 2.7% 3.7% ® 3.3% 3.5%
Wednesday September 30 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Building Permits MoM Prel AUG -6.1% -1.9% ® -2% -2.0%
01:30 AM
AU
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.4% 1% 0.5% 0.4%
01:30 AM
AU
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 4.0% 3.5% 4.1% 4.0%
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM AUG 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4%
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Trimmed Mean CPI YoY AUG 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.7%
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Manufacturing PMI SEP 50.1 49.8 50.1 50
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Non Manufacturing PMI SEP 50.2 49.0 49.3 49.6
01:45 AM
CN
RatingDog Manufacturing PMI SEP 51.6 51.5
01:45 AM
CN
RatingDog Services PMI SEP 51.1 51.7
05:00 AM
JP
Housing Starts YoY AUG 6.1% 8.2% 7% 8.0%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales MoM AUG 1.3% -3.2% ® 1.5% 1.5%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales YoY AUG -0.4% -2.2% ® 0.1% -1.0%
06:00 AM
GB
Current Account Q2 £-19.9B £-21.1B ® £-24.7B £ -23.0B
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate YoY Prel SEP 3% 2.4% 2.8% 2.8%
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate MoM Prel SEP -0.3% 0.7% -0.6% -0.6%
07:00 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Final AUG $-5.24B $-7.34B $-5.24B $-5.24B
07:00 AM
TR
Unemployment Rate AUG 7.8% 8.1% 8.4%
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployed Persons SEP 3.012M 3.0M ® 3M
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Change SEP 12K 5K ® 1K 2.0K
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Rate SEP 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4%
08:00 AM
IT
Business Confidence SEP 91.9 90.2 ® 90.5 89.1
08:00 AM
IT
Consumer Confidence SEP 91.2 94.5 94 94.1
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate YoY Prel SEP 4.2% 3.3% 3.8% 3.8%
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate MoM Prel SEP 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3%
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate SEP/25 7.3% 7.12%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Prel SEP 3.3% 2.9% 3.2% 3.1%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate MoM Prel SEP 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4%
12:00 PM
ZA
Balance of Trade AUG ZAR20.47B ZAR18.04B ® ZAR 3.5B
12:15 PM
US
ADP Employment Change SEP 90K 36K ® 70K 49.0K
12:30 PM
US
Core PCE Price Index MoM AUG 0.2% 0.1% ® 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 2.2% 2.5% 1.5% 1.5%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Income MoM AUG 0.2% 0.3% ® 0.4% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Spending MoM AUG 0.9% 0.1% ® 0.8% 0.6%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Price Index QoQ Final Q2 6.1% 3.6% 6.4% 6.4%
12:30 PM
US
Goods Trade Balance Adv AUG $-132.6B $-118.9B ® $-115B $-90.0B
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index MoM AUG 0.3% 0.1% ® 0.4% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index YoY AUG 3.4% 3.4% ® 3.7% 3.8%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv AUG 0.1% 0.8% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv AUG 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7%
01:45 PM
US
Chicago PMI SEP 58.8 47.1 51.2 46.9
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change SEP/25 0.922M 2.969M -0.3M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change SEP/25 -1.684M -1.686M -0.5M
04:00 PM
RU
Unemployment Rate AUG 2.2% 2.3% 2.2% 2.3%
05:30 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
09:10 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
10:00 PM
US
Fed Kashkari Speech
11:50 PM
JP
Tankan Large Manufacturers Index Q3 24 22 25 23
11:50 PM
JP
BoJ Summary of Opinions
Thursday October 01 2026 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Exports YoY SEP 83.5% 68.7% 61.7%
12:30 AM
KR
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI SEP 54.9
01:30 AM
AU
Balance of Trade AUG A$0.495B A$1.351B ® A$2B A$2.2B
04:00 AM
ID
Balance of Trade AUG $3.55B $0.13B $0.6B $ 1.3B
04:00 AM
ID
Inflation Rate YoY SEP 3.28% 3.19% 3.3% 3.4%
06:00 AM
RU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI SEP 49
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices MoM SEP -0.2% 0.2% 0% 0.1%
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices YoY SEP 0.8% 1.6% 1.3% 1.5%
07:00 AM
EA
ECB General Council Meeting
07:15 AM
ES
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI SEP 50.1 50.4
07:45 AM
IT
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI SEP 50 51.4
08:00 AM
IT
Unemployment Rate AUG 6.2% 6% ® 5.7% 5.8%
09:00 AM
EA
Unemployment Rate AUG 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4%
12:00 PM
MX
Business Confidence SEP 48 48 ® 48.2
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims SEP/26 197K 198K ® 200K 195.0K
01:05 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
01:05 PM
US
Fed Collins Speech
01:05 PM
US
Fed Schmid Speech
01:30 PM
CA
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI SEP 52.9
01:30 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing PMI SEP 54.5 54.6 55 54.7
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing Employment SEP 52.7 51.2 51.5
07:30 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
10:45 PM
US
Fed Logan Speech
11:00 PM
KR
Inflation Rate YoY SEP 2.9% 3.1% 2.9% 3.3%
11:30 PM
JP
Unemployment Rate AUG 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%



About our calendar

Trading Economics provides its users with a near real-time economic calendar updated 24 hours a day. Actual values are based on official sources, not third party data providers. Previous values are available before an economic indicator is reported and marked as revised (*) accordingly. Survey consensus figures are provided displaying the average forecast among a representative group of economists. We also provide forecasts which are driven by our analysts’ expectations and technically projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model.

The event release time is colored according to its importance.
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