Week Ahead - Aug 25th

The outlook on global rates will remain the focus next week as markets gauge the sustainability of the Federal Reserve's dovish signals in its Jackson Hole Symposium. The spotlight in the US will be on personal income, spending, and PCE price indexes, in addition to updated estimates on the Q2 GDP. Other key data includes durable goods orders for the impact of tariffs, a batch of figures on housing prices and sales, consumer confidence surveys, and Fed activity indexes. Also, Nvidia earnings offer fresh insights on global artificial intelligence sentiment after the chip sector underperformed other equities in recent sessions. GDP data will also be due from Canada and India. China will post its official PMI in its first batch of data from August, and Japan will release its month-end data dump. In Europe, the ECB meeting accounts may give hints on whether policymakers see further cutting room, while inflation rates in key Eurozone economies will also be featured.
Andre Joaquim | andre.joaquim@tradingeconomics.com
8/22/2025 6:15:23 PM
Americas
In the US, earnings results by Nvidia will take the spotlight as a benchmark for artificial intelligence demand for investors across the globe. The chip-designing giant, which has the world's largest market cap with a 31% jump this year, is expected to deliver a 47% surge in profits and update guidance on chip demand, datacenter needs, and the impact of trade curbs between the US and China. Meanwhile, the Personal Income and Outlays July report will headline the week on the economic front. Personal income is expected to grow by 0.4% and personal spending is set to rise 0.5%, while both headline and core PCE price indexes should increase by 0.3%. This will be preluded by the second estimate of the Q2 GDP, with the first estimate pointing to a 3% annualized rebound. In turn, durable goods orders are expected to contract 4%, although aggregates excluding transportation are set to remain steady. On the housing front, upcoming releases include new home sales, the S&P/Case Schiller price index, and pending home sales. Additionally, The CB consumer confidence index and final reading of the Michigan consumer confidence index will form the schedule for leading indicators, while the Chicago Fed, Chicago PMI, and Dallas Fed activity indexes will feature regional surveys. In Canada, markets await the second quarter GDP and current account for the impact of the trade war with the US. Elsewhere, Mexico will post its trade balance and join Brazil in updating its unemployment rate.


Europe
In Europe, attention will turn to the ECB's July meeting accounts, which are expected to give hints on whether the central bank has ended its easing cycle after eight cuts in the past year lowered borrowing costs to their weakest since 2022. On the data front, inflation figures from the region's largest economies will be closely watched. Germany's CPI is forecast to tick higher to 2.1%, Spain's to 2.8%, while Italy (1.7%) and France (1%) are seen unchanged. German sentiment gauges will also be in focus: the GfK consumer climate may edge higher from a four-month low, but the Ifo business climate is expected to slip to a three-month trough. Labor data are set to show Germany's unemployment rate steady at 6.3%, with jobless numbers nearing three million, while retail sales likely extended gains for a second month. Across the Euro Area, investors will parse business surveys and car registrations, while France reports jobless claims. Elsewhere, Switzerland releases Q2 GDP and KOF leading indicators, and Turkey updates unemployment data. In the UK, a quieter week is ahead with only the CBI distributive trades survey and Nationwide housing prices.


Asia Pacific
In China, investors will watch and official PMI readings for the latest gauge of the world's second-largest economy, while industrial profits could indicate the impact of capacity cuts on margins. Japan faces a busy week of economic releases, including industrial production, retail sales, unemployment, consumer confidence, and Tokyo inflation. In India, attention will center on second-quarter GDP, alongside industrial production, and government budget updates. Australia's focus will be on the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy meeting minutes, with expectations building for a rate cut next month. Key data releases will also include the monthly CPI indicator and capital expenditure figures. Elsewhere in the region, central banks in South Korea and the Philippines are expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Singapore will publish its latest inflation report, while Hong Kong, Thailand, and the Philippines will release new trade figures.





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Friday August 22 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
US
Jackson Hole Symposium
06:45 AM
FR
Business Confidence AUG 96 96 96 95
09:00 AM
CN
FDI (YTD) YoY JUL -13.4% -15.2% -13.0%
09:00 AM
EA
Negotiated Wage Growth Q2 3.95% 2.46% ® 2.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM JUN 1.9% -0.3% ® 1.1% 0.7%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Final JUN 1.5% -1.2% ® 1.5% 1.6%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Prel JUL -0.8% 1.5% -0.4%
02:00 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
02:30 PM
CA
Senior Loan Officer Survey
Saturday August 23 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
US
Jackson Hole Symposium
04:25 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
Monday August 25 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
07:00 AM
TR
Business Confidence AUG 100.6 100.2 99.9
08:00 AM
DE
Ifo Business Climate AUG 89.0 88.6 88.6 87
12:30 PM
US
Chicago Fed National Activity Index JUL -0.19 -0.18 ® -0.2
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales JUL 0.652M 0.656M ® 0.63M 0.62M
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MoM JUL -0.6% 4.1% ® -1.1%
02:30 PM
US
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index AUG -1.8 0.9 0.2
09:00 PM
KR
Consumer Confidence AUG 111.4 143.0 ® 111.3
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday August 26 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Meeting Minutes
06:45 AM
FR
Consumer Confidence AUG 87 88 ® 90 88
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders MoM JUL -2.8% -9.4% ® -4% -2.5%
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM JUL 1.1% 0.3% ® 0.2% -0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
01:00 PM
US
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY JUN 2.1% 2.8% 2.1% 2.7%
02:00 PM
US
CB Consumer Confidence AUG 97.4 98.7 ® 96.2 96
06:45 PM
CA
BoC Macklem Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change AUG/22 -0.974M -2.4M -1.7M
09:00 PM
KR
Business Confidence AUG 70 68 69
Wednesday August 27 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Construction Work Done QoQ Q2 3.0% -0.3% ® 0.7% 0.5%
01:30 AM
AU
Monthly CPI Indicator JUL 2.8% 1.9% 2.3% 2.0%
06:00 AM
DE
GfK Consumer Confidence SEP -23.6 -21.7 ® -22 -21.3
10:00 AM
FR
Unemployment Benefit Claims JUL 52.9K -21.6K -14.0K
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Distributive Trades AUG -32 -34 -33 -30
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate AUG/22 6.69% 6.68%
12:00 PM
MX
Balance of Trade JUL $-0.017B $0.514B $0.3B $ 0.3B
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change AUG/22 -2.392M -6.014M -2M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change AUG/22 -1.236M -2.72M -2.5M
04:00 PM
RU
Unemployment Rate JUL 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
04:45 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
Thursday August 28 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:00 AM
KR
Interest Rate Decision 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
01:30 AM
JP
BoJ Nakagawa Speech
04:00 AM
EU
New Car Registrations YoY JUL 7.4% -7.3% 1.0%
07:00 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Final JUL $-6.4B $-8.2B $-6.4B
08:00 AM
IT
Business Confidence AUG 87.4 87.8 87.2 87.6
08:00 AM
IT
Consumer Confidence AUG 96.2 97.2 96.6 97
09:00 AM
EA
Economic Sentiment AUG 95.2 95.7 ® 96 96
10:30 AM
IN
Industrial Production YoY JUL 3.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.0%
10:30 AM
IN
Manufacturing Production YoY JUL 5.4% 3.7% ® 2.9%
11:00 AM
ES
Business Confidence AUG -6.7 -4.8 ® -4.4
11:30 AM
EA
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
12:00 PM
MX
Unemployment Rate JUL 2.8% 2.7% 2.9% 2.8%
12:30 PM
CA
Current Account Q2 C$-21.2B C$-1.3B ® C$-19.4B C$ -15.0B
12:30 PM
US
GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est Q2 3.3% -0.5% 3.1% 3.0%
12:30 PM
US
Corporate Profits QoQ Prel Q2 2% -3.3% 1.8%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Price Index QoQ 2nd Est Q2 2% 3.8% 2% 2.0%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims AUG/23 229K 234K ® 230K 237.0K
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales MoM JUL -0.4% -0.8% -0.1% -0.2%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales YoY JUL 0.7% -2.8% 0.4%
10:00 PM
US
Fed Waller Speech
11:30 PM
JP
Unemployment Rate JUL 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
11:50 PM
JP
Industrial Production MoM Prel JUL -1.6% 2.1% -1% -0.5%
11:50 PM
JP
Retail Sales YoY JUL 0.3% 1.9% ® 1.8% 2.2%
Friday August 29 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
05:00 AM
JP
Consumer Confidence AUG 34.9 33.7 33.5 34.2
05:00 AM
JP
Housing Starts YoY JUL -9.7% -15.6% -9.6% -9.0%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales MoM JUL -1.5% 1% -0.4% -0.3%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales YoY JUL 1.9% 2.4% ® 2.6% 2.0%
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate YoY Prel AUG 0.9% 1% 1% 1.1%
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate MoM Prel AUG 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5%
07:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate MoM Prel AUG 0% -0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
07:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate YoY Prel AUG 2.7% 2.7% 2.8% 2.8%
07:00 AM
TR
Unemployment Rate JUL 8.0% 8.4% ® 8.7%
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployed Persons AUG 2.957M 2.966M ® 3.0M
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Change AUG -9K 2K 10K 1.0K
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Rate AUG 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3%
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate YoY Prel AUG 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 1.8%
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate MoM Prel AUG 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3%
10:30 AM
IN
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 7.8% 7.4% 6.7% 7.1%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Prel AUG 2.2% 2% 2.1% 2.1%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate MoM Prel AUG 0.1% 0.3% 0% 0.1%
12:00 PM
ZA
Balance of Trade JUL ZAR20.29B ZAR20.96B ® ZAR 18.0B
12:30 PM
CA
GDP Growth Rate Annualized Q2 -1.6% 2.0% ® -0.6% -0.3%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 -0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM JUN -0.1% -0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM Prel JUL 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core PCE Price Index MoM JUL 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Income MoM JUL 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Spending MoM JUL 0.5% 0.4% ® 0.5% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Goods Trade Balance Adv JUL $-103.6B $-84.85B $-89.5B $-87.0B
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index MoM JUL 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index YoY JUL 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv JUL 0.1% -0.1% 0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv JUL 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
01:45 PM
US
Chicago PMI AUG 41.5 47.1 46 46
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final AUG 58.2 61.7 58.6 58.6
Sunday August 31 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Manufacturing PMI AUG 49.4 49.3 49.5 49.7
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Non Manufacturing PMI AUG 50.3 50.1 50.3 50.4
11:50 PM
JP
Capital Spending YoY Q2 7.6% 6.4% 6.2% 6.0%
Monday September 01 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Exports YoY AUG 1.3% 5.8% ® 3% 3.3%
12:30 AM
KR
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI AUG 48.3 48.0 48.8
01:30 AM
AU
Building Permits MoM Prel JUL -8.2% 12.2% ® -4.8% -4.0%
01:30 AM
AU
Company Gross Profits QoQ Q2 -2.4% -1.0% ® 1.2% 0.5%
01:45 AM
CN
RatingDog Manufacturing PMI AUG 50.5 49.5 49.5 49.7
04:00 AM
ID
Balance of Trade JUL $4.18B $4.11B $6.0B
04:00 AM
ID
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 2.31% 2.37% 2.4%
06:00 AM
RU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI AUG 48.7 47.0 46.7
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices MoM AUG -0.1% 0.5% ® 0.2% 0.5%
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices YoY AUG 2.1% 2.4% 4.2%
07:00 AM
TR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 1.6% 0.7% ® 1.1%
07:00 AM
TR
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 4.8% 2.3% ® 4.1% 3.8%
07:15 AM
ES
HCOB Manufacturing PMI AUG 54.3 51.9 52 52
07:45 AM
IT
HCOB Manufacturing PMI AUG 50.4 49.8 49.8 49.5
08:00 AM
IT
Unemployment Rate JUL 6.0% 6.2% ® 6.2% 6.3%
08:30 AM
GB
BoE Consumer Credit JUL £1.622B £1.471B ® £1.35B £1.3B
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Approvals JUL 65.35K 64.57K ® 64.4K 64.0K
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Lending JUL £4.52B £5.39B ® £3.4B £2.5B
09:00 AM
EA
Unemployment Rate JUL 6.2% 6.3% ® 6.2% 6.2%
11:00 AM
IN
Current Account Q2 $-2.4B $13.5B $ -8.3B
12:00 PM
MX
Business Confidence AUG 49.4 49.4 49.5
05:30 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
11:00 PM
KR
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 1.7% 2.1% 2% 2.0%
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 02 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
JP
BoJ Himino Speech
07:00 AM
ES
Unemployment Change AUG 21.9K -1.4K 14.2K 12.0K
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate YoY Flash AUG 2.1% 2% 2% 2.1%
09:00 AM
EA
Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash AUG 2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.3%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate MoM Flash AUG 0.2% 0% 0.2%
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 0.4% 1.3% ® 0.3% 0.3%
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 2.2% 2.9% 2.2% 2.1%
01:30 PM
CA
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI AUG 48.3 46.1 46.8
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing PMI AUG 48.7 48.0 49 48.2
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing Employment AUG 43.8 43.4 43.2
11:00 PM
AU
Ai Group Industry Index AUG -13.9 -3.2 -2.6
Wednesday September 03 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 0.6% 0.3% ® 0.5% 0.4%
01:30 AM
AU
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 1.8% 1.4% ® 1.6% 1.6%
01:45 AM
CN
RatingDog Services PMI AUG 53.0 52.6 52.5 52.4
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 2.04% 2.06% 1.79% 1.8%
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 32.95% 33.52% 32.6% 32.7%
07:15 AM
ES
HCOB Services PMI AUG 53.2 55.1 54.9 54.9
07:30 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
07:30 AM
GB
BoE L Mann Speech
07:45 AM
IT
HCOB Services PMI AUG 51.5 52.3 51.5 52
08:00 AM
AU
RBA Bullock Speech
08:30 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Prel AUG $-4.2B $-6.4B $-5.8B
10:30 AM
ZA
Business Confidence Q3 39 40 38
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate AUG/29 6.64% 6.69%
12:00 PM
BR
Industrial Production MoM JUL -0.2% 0% ® -0.2% -0.2%
12:00 PM
MX
Consumer Confidence AUG 46.7 46 ® 46
01:00 PM
BR
S&P Global Services PMI AUG 49.3 46.3 47
01:00 PM
US
Fed Musalem Speech
01:15 PM
GB
BOE Gov Bailey Speech
02:00 PM
US
JOLTs Job Openings JUL 7.181M 7.357M ® 7.4M 7.3M
02:00 PM
US
Factory Orders MoM JUL -1.3% -4.8% -1.4% -1.1%
05:30 PM
US
Fed Kashkari Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change AUG/29 0.622M -0.974M -3.4M
Thursday September 04 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Balance of Trade JUL A$7.310B A$5.366B ® A$5B A$5.25B
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Construction PMI AUG 45.5 44.3 45 45
09:00 AM
EA
Retail Sales MoM JUL -0.5% 0.6% ® -0.2% -0.1%
12:15 PM
US
ADP Employment Change AUG 54K 106K ® 65K 65.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Balance of Trade JUL C$-4.94B C$-5.98B ® C$-4.75B C$-6.1B
12:30 PM
US
Balance of Trade JUL $-78.3B $-59.1B ® $-75.7B $-79.3B
12:30 PM
US
Exports JUL $280.5B $279.7B ® $277.1B
12:30 PM
US
Imports JUL $358.8B $338.8B ® $356.4B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims AUG/30 237K 229K 230K 232.0K
02:00 PM
US
ISM Services PMI AUG 52.0 50.1 51 50.7
04:00 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change AUG/29 2.415M -2.392M -1.8M
04:00 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change AUG/29 -3.795M -1.236M -1.2M
04:05 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
06:00 PM
BR
Balance of Trade AUG $6.13B $5.71B ® $4.9B
11:00 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending MoM JUL 1.7% -5.2% 1.3% 1.4%
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending YoY JUL 1.4% 1.3% 2.3% 2.5%
AU
RBA Hauser Speech
Friday September 05 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
Factory Orders MoM JUL -2.9% -0.2% ® 0.5% 1.5%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales MoM JUL 0.6% 0.3% ® 0.2% 0.3%
06:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index MoM AUG 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2%
06:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index YoY AUG 2.2% 2.5% ® 2% 2.3%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales YoY JUL 1.1% 0.9% ® 1.3% 1.2%
06:45 AM
FR
Balance of Trade JUL €-5.6B €-7.2B ® €-6.1B €-6.5B
08:00 AM
IT
Retail Sales MoM JUL 0.0% 0.7% ® 0.4% 0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate AUG 7.1% 6.9% 7% 7.0%
12:30 PM
CA
Employment Change AUG -65.5K -40.8K 7.5K 30.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Full Time Employment Chg AUG -6K -51K 12.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Part Time Employment Chg AUG -59.7K 10.3K 50.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate AUG 65.1% 65.2% 65.3%
12:30 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls AUG 22K 79K ® 75K 75.0K
12:30 PM
US
Unemployment Rate AUG 4.3% 4.2% 4.3% 4.2%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings MoM AUG 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings YoY AUG 3.7% 3.9% 3.7% 3.9%
12:30 PM
US
Participation Rate AUG 62.3% 62.2% 62.1%
02:00 PM
CA
Ivey PMI s.a AUG 50.1 55.8 53.1 52
Sunday September 07 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
11:50 PM
JP
Current Account JUL ¥2684B ¥1348B ¥3366B ¥3100.0B
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Annualized Final Q2 2.2% 0.3% ® 1% 1.0%
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 0.5% 0.1% ® 0.3% -0.4%
OP
OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting
Monday September 08 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
03:00 AM
CN
Balance of Trade AUG $102.33B $98.24B $99.2B $95.0B
03:00 AM
CN
Exports YoY AUG 4.4% 7.2% 5% 6.6%
03:00 AM
CN
Imports YoY AUG 1.3% 4.1% 3% 5.0%
06:00 AM
DE
Balance of Trade JUL 14.7B 15.4B ® €15.4B €21.4B
06:00 AM
DE
Exports MoM JUL -0.6% 1.1% ® 2.5%
06:00 AM
DE
Industrial Production MoM JUL 1.3% -0.1% ® 1% 1.1%
10:00 AM
ES
Consumer Confidence JUL 82.9 76.1 77
05:00 PM
FR
No-Confidence Vote on PM Bayrou
11:01 PM
GB
BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY AUG 2.9% 1.8% 2% 1.6%
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 09 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change SEP -3.1% 5.7% 1.0%
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index SEP 95.4 98.5 99.4
01:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence AUG 4 8 ® 8
06:45 AM
FR
Industrial Production MoM JUL -1.1% 3.7% ® -1.8% -1.8%
09:30 AM
ZA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q2 0.8% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5%
09:30 AM
ZA
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q2 0.6% 0.8% 1.3%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.06% 0.27% 0.06% 0.0%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.57% 3.51% 3.57% 3.5%
02:00 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls Annual Revision -911K -818K
03:15 PM
GB
BoE Breeden Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change SEP/05 1.25M 0.622M
11:00 PM
KR
Unemployment Rate AUG 2.6% 2.5% 2.5%
Wednesday September 10 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate YoY AUG -0.4% 0% -0.2% -0.1%
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3%
01:30 AM
CN
PPI YoY AUG -2.9% -3.6% -2.9% -3.0%
07:00 AM
TR
Industrial Production YoY JUL 5.0% 8.5% ® 7.5%
08:00 AM
IT
Industrial Production MoM JUL 0.4% 0.2% -0.1% 0.0%
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate SEP/05 6.49% 6.64%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate MoM AUG -0.11% 0.26% -0.15% -0.2%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 5.13% 5.23% 5.1% 5.0%
12:30 PM
US
PPI MoM AUG -0.1% 0.7% ® 0.3% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Core PPI MoM AUG -0.1% 0.7% ® 0.3% 0.4%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change SEP/05 3.939M 2.415M -1.1M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change SEP/05 1.458M -3.795M -0.1M
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate MoM AUG -0.4% 0.6% -0.1%
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 8.1% 8.8% 8.4%
11:01 PM
GB
RICS House Price Balance AUG -19% -13% -10% -13.0%
Thursday September 11 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Connolly Speech
08:00 AM
FR
IEA Oil Market Report
11:00 AM
TR
TCMB Interest Rate Decision 40.5% 43% 41% 41.0%
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales MoM JUL -0.3% -0.1% -0.3% -0.2%
12:15 PM
EA
Deposit Facility Rate 2% 2% 2% 2%
12:15 PM
EA
ECB Interest Rate Decision 2.15% 2.15% 2.15% 2.15%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 2.9% 2.7% 2.9% 2.8%
12:30 PM
US
CPI AUG 323.98 323.05 323.89 323.6
12:30 PM
US
CPI s.a AUG 323.364 322.132 ® 323
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims SEP/06 263K 236K ® 235K 240.0K
12:45 PM
EA
ECB Press Conference
01:45 PM
EA
ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections
02:00 PM
BR
Business Confidence SEP 46.2 46.1 46
06:00 PM
US
Monthly Budget Statement AUG $-345B $-291B $-285.5B $-310.0B
OP
OPEC Monthly Report
Friday September 12 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
02:00 AM
AU
RBA Jones Speech
06:00 AM
GB
GDP MoM JUL 0% 0.4% 0% 0.1%
06:00 AM
GB
GDP 3-Month Avg JUL 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
06:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance JUL £-22.24B £-22.16B £ -21.75B £ -21.8B
06:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance Non-EU JUL £-10.16B £-10.78B £-10.2B
06:00 AM
GB
Industrial Production MoM JUL -0.9% 0.7% 0% -0.1%
06:00 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production MoM JUL -1.3% 0.5% 0% -0.3%
09:00 AM
CN
New Yuan Loans AUG CNY590B CNY-50B ® CNY800B CNY1100.0B
10:30 AM
IN
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 2.07% 1.61% ® 2.1% 1.9%
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel SEP 55.4 58.2 58 57
Monday September 15 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
House Price Index YoY AUG -2.5% -2.8% -2.6%
02:00 AM
CN
Industrial Production YoY AUG 5.2% 5.7% 5.8% 5.1%
02:00 AM
CN
Retail Sales YoY AUG 3.4% 3.7% 3.8% 5.0%
02:00 AM
CN
Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY AUG 0.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4%
06:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices MoM AUG -0.6% -0.1% 0.2% -0.4%
06:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices YoY AUG 0.7% 0.5% 0.9%
08:00 AM
IT
Balance of Trade JUL €7.908B €5.384B ® €5.5B €6.2B
09:00 AM
EA
Balance of Trade JUL €12.4B €8.0B ® €11.7B €11.5B
09:30 AM
IN
Balance of Trade AUG $-26.49B $-27.35B $-30.0B
12:30 PM
US
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index SEP -8.70 11.90 5 10
06:30 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
11:50 PM
AU
RBA Hunter Speech
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 16 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
05:45 AM
AU
RBA Hauser Speech
06:00 AM
GB
Unemployment Rate JUL 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7%
06:00 AM
GB
Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) JUL 4.7% 4.6% 4.7% 4.5%
06:00 AM
GB
Employment Change JUL 232K 239K ® 220K 150.0K
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production MoM JUL 0.3% -0.6% ® 0.4% 0.5%
09:00 AM
EA
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index SEP 26.1 25.1 20.3 24
09:00 AM
DE
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index SEP 37.3 34.7 26.3 26
12:00 PM
BR
Unemployment Rate JUL 5.6% 5.8% 5.7% 5.8%
12:15 PM
CA
Housing Starts AUG 245.8K 293.5K ® 277.5K 240.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 1.9% 1.7% 2% 1.8%
12:30 PM
CA
Core Inflation Rate YoY AUG 2.6% 2.6% ® 2.7% 2.6%
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate MoM AUG -0.1% 0.3% 0% -0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales MoM AUG 0.6% 0.6% ® 0.2% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Export Prices MoM AUG 0.3% 0.3% ® 0% -0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Import Prices MoM AUG 0.3% 0.2% ® -0.1% 0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Control Group MoM AUG 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM AUG 0.7% 0.4% ® 0.4% 0.0%
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production MoM AUG 0.1% -0.4% ® -0.1% 0.0%
02:00 PM
US
Business Inventories MoM JUL 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
02:00 PM
US
NAHB Housing Market Index SEP 32 32 33 33
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change SEP/12 -3.42M 1.25M -1.6M
11:50 PM
JP
Balance of Trade AUG ¥-242.5B ¥-118.4B ¥-513.6B ¥-450.0B
11:50 PM
JP
Exports YoY AUG -0.1% -2.6% -1.9%
Wednesday September 17 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Jones Speech
06:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.8%
06:00 AM
GB
Core Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.6% 3.8% 3.6% 3.7%
06:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate MoM AUG 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3%
07:30 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
07:30 AM
ID
Interest Rate Decision 4.75% 5.0% 5% 5.0%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate MoM AUG -0.1% 0.9% 0.4%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 3.3% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6%
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate SEP/12 6.39% 6.49%
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits Prel AUG 1.312M 1.362M 1.37M 1.37M
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts AUG 1.307M 1.429M ® 1.37M 1.37M
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits MoM Prel AUG -3.7% -2.2% 0.6%
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts MoM AUG -8.5% 3.4% ® -3.4%
01:45 PM
CA
BoC Interest Rate Decision 2.5% 2.75% 2.5% 2.5%
02:30 PM
CA
BoC Press Conference
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change SEP/12 -9.285M 3.939M -1.5M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change SEP/12 -2.347M 1.458M -0.7M
06:00 PM
US
Fed Interest Rate Decision 4.25% 4.5% 4.25% 4.25%
06:00 PM
US
FOMC Economic Projections
06:30 PM
US
Fed Press Conference
09:30 PM
BR
Interest Rate Decision 15% 15% 15% 15.0%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders MoM JUL -4.6% 3% -1.7% -1.3%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders YoY JUL 4.9% 7.6% 5.4% 5.9%
Thursday September 18 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Employment Change AUG -5.4K 26.5K ® 22K 15.0K
01:30 AM
AU
Full Time Employment Chg AUG -40.9K 63.6K ® -10.0K
01:30 AM
AU
Unemployment Rate AUG 4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.3%
11:00 AM
GB
BoE Interest Rate Decision 4% 4% 4% 4%
11:00 AM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Cut 2/9 5/9 2/9 2/9
11:00 AM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Hike 0/9 0/9 0/9 0/9
11:00 AM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Unchanged 7/9 4/9 7/9 7/9
11:00 AM
GB
MPC Meeting Minutes
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims SEP/13 231K 264K ® 240K 250.0K
12:30 PM
US
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index SEP 23.2 -0.3 2.3 8
08:00 PM
US
Net Long-term TIC Flows JUL $49.2B $151B ®
11:01 PM
GB
Gfk Consumer Confidence SEP -19 -17 -18 -17
11:30 PM
JP
Inflation Rate YoY AUG 2.7% 3.1% 2.8%
11:30 PM
JP
Core Inflation Rate YoY AUG 2.7% 3.1% 2.7% 2.8%
Friday September 19 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
03:50 AM
JP
BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
06:00 AM
DE
PPI YoY AUG -2.2% -1.5% -1.7% -1.6%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales MoM AUG 0.5% 0.5% ® 0.3% 0.5%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales YoY AUG 0.7% 0.8% ® 0.6% 0.7%
06:45 AM
FR
Business Confidence SEP 96 97 ® 96 95
11:30 AM
CN
FDI (YTD) YoY AUG -12.7% -13.4% -13.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM JUL -1.2% 2.2% ® -0.7% 0.0%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Final JUL -0.8% 1.6% ® -0.8% -0.8%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Prel AUG 1.0% -0.8% 0.4%
06:30 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
Monday September 22 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 1Y 3.0% 3% 3.0% 3.0%
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 5Y SEP 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%
07:00 AM
TR
Consumer Confidence SEP 83.9 84.3 84.8
12:30 PM
US
Chicago Fed National Activity Index AUG -0.12 -0.28 ® -0.17
01:45 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
02:00 PM
EA
Consumer Confidence Flash SEP -14.9 -15.5 -15.3 -15.6
02:00 PM
US
Fed Musalem Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Hammack Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Miran Speech
06:00 PM
GB
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
11:00 PM
AU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 51.6 53.0 52.7
11:00 PM
AU
S&P Global Services PMI Flash SEP 52 55.8 51
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 23 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Composite PMI Flash SEP 61.9 63.2 62.9
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 58.5 59.3 59.5
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Services PMI Flash SEP 61.6 62.9 62.5
07:15 AM
FR
HCOB Composite PMI Flash SEP 48.4 49.8 49.7 49.9
07:15 AM
FR
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 48.1 50.4 50.1 50.1
07:15 AM
FR
HCOB Services PMI Flash SEP 48.9 49.8 49.6 49.9
07:30 AM
DE
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 48.5 49.8 50 50
07:30 AM
DE
HCOB Composite PMI Flash SEP 52.4 50.5 50.6 50.1
07:30 AM
DE
HCOB Services PMI Flash SEP 52.5 49.3 49.5 49.9
08:00 AM
EA
HCOB Composite PMI Flash SEP 51.2 51.0 51.1 50.9
08:00 AM
EA
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 49.5 50.7 50.7 50.8
08:00 AM
EA
HCOB Services PMI Flash SEP 51.4 50.5 50.5 50.9
08:00 AM
ES
Balance of Trade JUL €-4.01B €-3.59B €-2.8B
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 46.2 47.0 47.1 47.5
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Services PMI Flash SEP 51.9 54.2 53.5 53.8
09:00 AM
GB
BoE Pill Speech
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Industrial Trends Orders SEP -27 -33 -30 -30
11:00 AM
BR
BCB Copom Meeting Minutes
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index MoM AUG -0.3% -0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Current Account Q2 $-251.3B $-439.8B ® $-256.3B $-315.0B
01:00 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash SEP 53.6 54.6 ® 54.6 54.1
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 52 53.0 52 52
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Services PMI Flash SEP 53.9 54.5 54 53
02:00 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
04:35 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change SEP/19 -3.821M -3.42M
09:00 PM
KR
Consumer Confidence SEP 110.1 111.4 112
Wednesday September 24 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
JP
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash SEP 48.4 49.7 50.2 50.3
12:30 AM
JP
S&P Global Services PMI Flash SEP 53.0 53.1 53.4
01:30 AM
AU
Monthly CPI Indicator AUG 3% 2.8% 2.9% 3.0%
07:00 AM
TR
Business Confidence SEP 100.2 100.6 101
08:00 AM
DE
Ifo Business Climate SEP 87.7 88.9 ® 89.3 89.2
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate SEP/19 6.34% 6.39%
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales AUG 0.8M 0.664M ® 0.65M 0.64M
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MoM AUG 20.5% -1.8% ® -1.8%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change SEP/19 -0.607M -9.285M 0.8M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change SEP/19 -1.08M -2.347M 0.4M
04:30 PM
GB
BoE Greene Speech
08:10 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
11:50 PM
JP
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Thursday September 25 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
04:00 AM
EU
New Car Registrations YoY AUG 5.3% 7.4% 9.1%
06:00 AM
DE
GfK Consumer Confidence OCT -22.3 -23.5 ® -23.3 -23
06:45 AM
FR
Consumer Confidence SEP 87 87 87 86
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Distributive Trades SEP -29 -32 -26 -28
12:20 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders MoM AUG 2.9% -2.7% ® -0.5% -0.7%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q2 3.8% -0.6% ® 3.3% 3.3%
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM AUG 0.4% 1% ® 0% 0.0%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Price Index QoQ Final Q2 2.1% 3.6% ® 2% 2.0%
12:30 PM
US
Goods Trade Balance Adv AUG $-85.5B $-102.8B ® $-95.65B $-93.0B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims SEP/20 218K 232K ® 235K 240.0K
12:30 PM
US
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv AUG 0.3% 0.2% ® -0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv AUG -0.2% 0% ® 0.1% -0.1%
01:00 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
01:45 PM
US
Existing Home Sales AUG 4M 4.01M 3.96M 4.0M
01:45 PM
US
Existing Home Sales MoM AUG -0.2% 2% -0.2%
02:00 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
05:00 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
07:00 PM
MX
Interest Rate Decision 7.5% 7.75% 7.5% 7.5%
07:30 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
09:00 PM
KR
Business Confidence SEP 70 70 72



About our calendar

Trading Economics provides its users with a near real-time economic calendar updated 24 hours a day. Actual values are based on official sources, not third party data providers. Previous values are available before an economic indicator is reported and marked as revised (*) accordingly. Survey consensus figures are provided displaying the average forecast among a representative group of economists. We also provide forecasts which are driven by our analysts’ expectations and technically projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model.

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