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Week Ahead - Aug 25th
The outlook on global rates will remain the focus next week as markets gauge the sustainability of the Federal Reserve's dovish signals in its Jackson Hole Symposium. The spotlight in the US will be on personal income, spending, and PCE price indexes, in addition to updated estimates on the Q2 GDP. Other key data includes durable goods orders for the impact of tariffs, a batch of figures on housing prices and sales, consumer confidence surveys, and Fed activity indexes. Also, Nvidia earnings offer fresh insights on global artificial intelligence sentiment after the chip sector underperformed other equities in recent sessions. GDP data will also be due from Canada and India. China will post its official PMI in its first batch of data from August, and Japan will release its month-end data dump. In Europe, the ECB meeting accounts may give hints on whether policymakers see further cutting room, while inflation rates in key Eurozone economies will also be featured.
Andre Joaquim | andre.joaquim@tradingeconomics.com
8/22/2025 6:15:23 PM
Americas
In the US, earnings results by Nvidia will take the spotlight as a benchmark for artificial intelligence demand for investors across the globe. The chip-designing giant, which has the world's largest market cap with a 31% jump this year, is expected to deliver a 47% surge in profits and update guidance on chip demand, datacenter needs, and the impact of trade curbs between the US and China. Meanwhile, the Personal Income and Outlays July report will headline the week on the economic front. Personal income is expected to grow by 0.4% and personal spending is set to rise 0.5%, while both headline and core PCE price indexes should increase by 0.3%. This will be preluded by the second estimate of the Q2 GDP, with the first estimate pointing to a 3% annualized rebound. In turn, durable goods orders are expected to contract 4%, although aggregates excluding transportation are set to remain steady. On the housing front, upcoming releases include new home sales, the S&P/Case Schiller price index, and pending home sales. Additionally, The CB consumer confidence index and final reading of the Michigan consumer confidence index will form the schedule for leading indicators, while the Chicago Fed, Chicago PMI, and Dallas Fed activity indexes will feature regional surveys. In Canada, markets await the second quarter GDP and current account for the impact of the trade war with the US. Elsewhere, Mexico will post its trade balance and join Brazil in updating its unemployment rate.
Europe
In Europe, attention will turn to the ECB's July meeting accounts, which are expected to give hints on whether the central bank has ended its easing cycle after eight cuts in the past year lowered borrowing costs to their weakest since 2022. On the data front, inflation figures from the region's largest economies will be closely watched. Germany's CPI is forecast to tick higher to 2.1%, Spain's to 2.8%, while Italy (1.7%) and France (1%) are seen unchanged. German sentiment gauges will also be in focus: the GfK consumer climate may edge higher from a four-month low, but the Ifo business climate is expected to slip to a three-month trough. Labor data are set to show Germany's unemployment rate steady at 6.3%, with jobless numbers nearing three million, while retail sales likely extended gains for a second month. Across the Euro Area, investors will parse business surveys and car registrations, while France reports jobless claims. Elsewhere, Switzerland releases Q2 GDP and KOF leading indicators, and Turkey updates unemployment data. In the UK, a quieter week is ahead with only the CBI distributive trades survey and Nationwide housing prices.
Asia Pacific
In China, investors will watch and official PMI readings for the latest gauge of the world's second-largest economy, while industrial profits could indicate the impact of capacity cuts on margins. Japan faces a busy week of economic releases, including industrial production, retail sales, unemployment, consumer confidence, and Tokyo inflation. In India, attention will center on second-quarter GDP, alongside industrial production, and government budget updates. Australia's focus will be on the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy meeting minutes, with expectations building for a rate cut next month. Key data releases will also include the monthly CPI indicator and capital expenditure figures. Elsewhere in the region, central banks in South Korea and the Philippines are expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Singapore will publish its latest inflation report, while Hong Kong, Thailand, and the Philippines will release new trade figures.
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Friday August 22 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Friday August 22 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:00 AM
US
Jackson Hole Symposium
06:45 AM
FR
Business Confidence
AUG
96
96
96
95
09:00 AM
CN
FDI (YTD) YoY
JUL
-13.4%
-15.2%
-13.0%
09:00 AM
EA
Negotiated Wage Growth
Q2
3.95%
2.46%
®
2.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
JUN
1.9%
-0.3%
®
1.1%
0.7%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Final
JUN
1.5%
-1.2%
®
1.5%
1.6%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Prel
JUL
-0.8%
1.5%
-0.4%
02:00 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
02:30 PM
CA
Senior Loan Officer Survey
Saturday August 23 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Saturday August 23 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:00 AM
US
Jackson Hole Symposium
04:25 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
Monday August 25 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Monday August 25 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
07:00 AM
TR
Business Confidence
AUG
100.6
100.2
99.9
08:00 AM
DE
Ifo Business Climate
AUG
89.0
88.6
88.6
87
12:30 PM
US
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
JUL
-0.19
-0.18
®
-0.2
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales
JUL
0.652M
0.656M
®
0.63M
0.62M
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MoM
JUL
-0.6%
4.1%
®
-1.1%
02:30 PM
US
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index
AUG
-1.8
0.9
0.2
09:00 PM
KR
Consumer Confidence
AUG
111.4
143.0
®
111.3
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday August 26 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Tuesday August 26 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Meeting Minutes
06:45 AM
FR
Consumer Confidence
AUG
87
88
®
90
88
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders MoM
JUL
-2.8%
-9.4%
®
-4%
-2.5%
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM
JUL
1.1%
0.3%
®
0.2%
-0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
01:00 PM
US
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY
JUN
2.1%
2.8%
2.1%
2.7%
02:00 PM
US
CB Consumer Confidence
AUG
97.4
98.7
®
96.2
96
06:45 PM
CA
BoC Macklem Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change
AUG/22
-0.974M
-2.4M
-1.7M
09:00 PM
KR
Business Confidence
AUG
70
68
69
Wednesday August 27 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Wednesday August 27 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Construction Work Done QoQ
Q2
3.0%
-0.3%
®
0.7%
0.5%
01:30 AM
AU
Monthly CPI Indicator
JUL
2.8%
1.9%
2.3%
2.0%
06:00 AM
DE
GfK Consumer Confidence
SEP
-23.6
-21.7
®
-22
-21.3
10:00 AM
FR
Unemployment Benefit Claims
JUL
52.9K
-21.6K
-14.0K
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Distributive Trades
AUG
-32
-34
-33
-30
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
AUG/22
6.69%
6.68%
12:00 PM
MX
Balance of Trade
JUL
$-0.017B
$0.514B
$0.3B
$ 0.3B
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
AUG/22
-2.392M
-6.014M
-2M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
AUG/22
-1.236M
-2.72M
-2.5M
04:00 PM
RU
Unemployment Rate
JUL
2.2%
2.2%
2.2%
2.2%
04:45 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
Thursday August 28 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Thursday August 28 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:00 AM
KR
Interest Rate Decision
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
01:30 AM
JP
BoJ Nakagawa Speech
04:00 AM
EU
New Car Registrations YoY
JUL
7.4%
-7.3%
1.0%
07:00 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Final
JUL
$-6.4B
$-8.2B
$-6.4B
08:00 AM
IT
Business Confidence
AUG
87.4
87.8
87.2
87.6
08:00 AM
IT
Consumer Confidence
AUG
96.2
97.2
96.6
97
09:00 AM
EA
Economic Sentiment
AUG
95.2
95.7
®
96
96
10:30 AM
IN
Industrial Production YoY
JUL
3.5%
1.5%
2.1%
2.0%
10:30 AM
IN
Manufacturing Production YoY
JUL
5.4%
3.7%
®
2.9%
11:00 AM
ES
Business Confidence
AUG
-6.7
-4.8
®
-4.4
11:30 AM
EA
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
12:00 PM
MX
Unemployment Rate
JUL
2.8%
2.7%
2.9%
2.8%
12:30 PM
CA
Current Account
Q2
C$-21.2B
C$-1.3B
®
C$-19.4B
C$ -15.0B
12:30 PM
US
GDP Growth Rate QoQ 2nd Est
Q2
3.3%
-0.5%
3.1%
3.0%
12:30 PM
US
Corporate Profits QoQ Prel
Q2
2%
-3.3%
1.8%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Price Index QoQ 2nd Est
Q2
2%
3.8%
2%
2.0%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims
AUG/23
229K
234K
®
230K
237.0K
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales MoM
JUL
-0.4%
-0.8%
-0.1%
-0.2%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales YoY
JUL
0.7%
-2.8%
0.4%
10:00 PM
US
Fed Waller Speech
11:30 PM
JP
Unemployment Rate
JUL
2.3%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
11:50 PM
JP
Industrial Production MoM Prel
JUL
-1.6%
2.1%
-1%
-0.5%
11:50 PM
JP
Retail Sales YoY
JUL
0.3%
1.9%
®
1.8%
2.2%
Friday August 29 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Friday August 29 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
05:00 AM
JP
Consumer Confidence
AUG
34.9
33.7
33.5
34.2
05:00 AM
JP
Housing Starts YoY
JUL
-9.7%
-15.6%
-9.6%
-9.0%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales MoM
JUL
-1.5%
1%
-0.4%
-0.3%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales YoY
JUL
1.9%
2.4%
®
2.6%
2.0%
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate YoY Prel
AUG
0.9%
1%
1%
1.1%
06:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate MoM Prel
AUG
0.4%
0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
07:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate MoM Prel
AUG
0%
-0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
07:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate YoY Prel
AUG
2.7%
2.7%
2.8%
2.8%
07:00 AM
TR
Unemployment Rate
JUL
8.0%
8.4%
®
8.7%
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployed Persons
AUG
2.957M
2.966M
®
3.0M
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Change
AUG
-9K
2K
10K
1.0K
07:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Rate
AUG
6.3%
6.3%
6.3%
6.3%
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate YoY Prel
AUG
1.6%
1.7%
1.7%
1.8%
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate MoM Prel
AUG
0.1%
0.4%
0.2%
0.3%
10:30 AM
IN
GDP Growth Rate YoY
Q2
7.8%
7.4%
6.7%
7.1%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Prel
AUG
2.2%
2%
2.1%
2.1%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate MoM Prel
AUG
0.1%
0.3%
0%
0.1%
12:00 PM
ZA
Balance of Trade
JUL
ZAR20.29B
ZAR20.96B
®
ZAR 18.0B
12:30 PM
CA
GDP Growth Rate Annualized
Q2
-1.6%
2.0%
®
-0.6%
-0.3%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Q2
-0.4%
0.5%
0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM
JUN
-0.1%
-0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM Prel
JUL
0.1%
0.1%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core PCE Price Index MoM
JUL
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Income MoM
JUL
0.4%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Spending MoM
JUL
0.5%
0.4%
®
0.5%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Goods Trade Balance Adv
JUL
$-103.6B
$-84.85B
$-89.5B
$-87.0B
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index MoM
JUL
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index YoY
JUL
2.6%
2.6%
2.6%
2.6%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv
JUL
0.1%
-0.1%
0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv
JUL
0.2%
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
01:45 PM
US
Chicago PMI
AUG
41.5
47.1
46
46
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final
AUG
58.2
61.7
58.6
58.6
Sunday August 31 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Sunday August 31 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Manufacturing PMI
AUG
49.4
49.3
49.5
49.7
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Non Manufacturing PMI
AUG
50.3
50.1
50.3
50.4
11:50 PM
JP
Capital Spending YoY
Q2
7.6%
6.4%
6.2%
6.0%
Monday September 01 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Monday September 01 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Exports YoY
AUG
1.3%
5.8%
®
3%
3.3%
12:30 AM
KR
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
AUG
48.3
48.0
48.8
01:30 AM
AU
Building Permits MoM Prel
JUL
-8.2%
12.2%
®
-4.8%
-4.0%
01:30 AM
AU
Company Gross Profits QoQ
Q2
-2.4%
-1.0%
®
1.2%
0.5%
01:45 AM
CN
RatingDog Manufacturing PMI
AUG
50.5
49.5
49.5
49.7
04:00 AM
ID
Balance of Trade
JUL
$4.18B
$4.11B
$6.0B
04:00 AM
ID
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
2.31%
2.37%
2.4%
06:00 AM
RU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
AUG
48.7
47.0
46.7
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices MoM
AUG
-0.1%
0.5%
®
0.2%
0.5%
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices YoY
AUG
2.1%
2.4%
4.2%
07:00 AM
TR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Q2
1.6%
0.7%
®
1.1%
07:00 AM
TR
GDP Growth Rate YoY
Q2
4.8%
2.3%
®
4.1%
3.8%
07:15 AM
ES
HCOB Manufacturing PMI
AUG
54.3
51.9
52
52
07:45 AM
IT
HCOB Manufacturing PMI
AUG
50.4
49.8
49.8
49.5
08:00 AM
IT
Unemployment Rate
JUL
6.0%
6.2%
®
6.2%
6.3%
08:30 AM
GB
BoE Consumer Credit
JUL
£1.622B
£1.471B
®
£1.35B
£1.3B
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Approvals
JUL
65.35K
64.57K
®
64.4K
64.0K
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Lending
JUL
£4.52B
£5.39B
®
£3.4B
£2.5B
09:00 AM
EA
Unemployment Rate
JUL
6.2%
6.3%
®
6.2%
6.2%
11:00 AM
IN
Current Account
Q2
$-2.4B
$13.5B
$ -8.3B
12:00 PM
MX
Business Confidence
AUG
49.4
49.4
49.5
05:30 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
11:00 PM
KR
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
1.7%
2.1%
2%
2.0%
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 02 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Tuesday September 02 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
JP
BoJ Himino Speech
07:00 AM
ES
Unemployment Change
AUG
21.9K
-1.4K
14.2K
12.0K
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate YoY Flash
AUG
2.1%
2%
2%
2.1%
09:00 AM
EA
Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash
AUG
2.3%
2.3%
2.2%
2.3%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate MoM Flash
AUG
0.2%
0%
0.2%
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Q2
0.4%
1.3%
®
0.3%
0.3%
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate YoY
Q2
2.2%
2.9%
2.2%
2.1%
01:30 PM
CA
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
AUG
48.3
46.1
46.8
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing PMI
AUG
48.7
48.0
49
48.2
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing Employment
AUG
43.8
43.4
43.2
11:00 PM
AU
Ai Group Industry Index
AUG
-13.9
-3.2
-2.6
Wednesday September 03 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Wednesday September 03 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Q2
0.6%
0.3%
®
0.5%
0.4%
01:30 AM
AU
GDP Growth Rate YoY
Q2
1.8%
1.4%
®
1.6%
1.6%
01:45 AM
CN
RatingDog Services PMI
AUG
53.0
52.6
52.5
52.4
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate MoM
AUG
2.04%
2.06%
1.79%
1.8%
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
32.95%
33.52%
32.6%
32.7%
07:15 AM
ES
HCOB Services PMI
AUG
53.2
55.1
54.9
54.9
07:30 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
07:30 AM
GB
BoE L Mann Speech
07:45 AM
IT
HCOB Services PMI
AUG
51.5
52.3
51.5
52
08:00 AM
AU
RBA Bullock Speech
08:30 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Prel
AUG
$-4.2B
$-6.4B
$-5.8B
10:30 AM
ZA
Business Confidence
Q3
39
40
38
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
AUG/29
6.64%
6.69%
12:00 PM
BR
Industrial Production MoM
JUL
-0.2%
0%
®
-0.2%
-0.2%
12:00 PM
MX
Consumer Confidence
AUG
46.7
46
®
46
01:00 PM
BR
S&P Global Services PMI
AUG
49.3
46.3
47
01:00 PM
US
Fed Musalem Speech
01:15 PM
GB
BOE Gov Bailey Speech
02:00 PM
US
JOLTs Job Openings
JUL
7.181M
7.357M
®
7.4M
7.3M
02:00 PM
US
Factory Orders MoM
JUL
-1.3%
-4.8%
-1.4%
-1.1%
05:30 PM
US
Fed Kashkari Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change
AUG/29
0.622M
-0.974M
-3.4M
Thursday September 04 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Thursday September 04 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Balance of Trade
JUL
A$7.310B
A$5.366B
®
A$5B
A$5.25B
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Construction PMI
AUG
45.5
44.3
45
45
09:00 AM
EA
Retail Sales MoM
JUL
-0.5%
0.6%
®
-0.2%
-0.1%
12:15 PM
US
ADP Employment Change
AUG
54K
106K
®
65K
65.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Balance of Trade
JUL
C$-4.94B
C$-5.98B
®
C$-4.75B
C$-6.1B
12:30 PM
US
Balance of Trade
JUL
$-78.3B
$-59.1B
®
$-75.7B
$-79.3B
12:30 PM
US
Exports
JUL
$280.5B
$279.7B
®
$277.1B
12:30 PM
US
Imports
JUL
$358.8B
$338.8B
®
$356.4B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims
AUG/30
237K
229K
230K
232.0K
02:00 PM
US
ISM Services PMI
AUG
52.0
50.1
51
50.7
04:00 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
AUG/29
2.415M
-2.392M
-1.8M
04:00 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
AUG/29
-3.795M
-1.236M
-1.2M
04:05 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
06:00 PM
BR
Balance of Trade
AUG
$6.13B
$5.71B
®
$4.9B
11:00 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending MoM
JUL
1.7%
-5.2%
1.3%
1.4%
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending YoY
JUL
1.4%
1.3%
2.3%
2.5%
AU
RBA Hauser Speech
Friday September 05 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Friday September 05 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
Factory Orders MoM
JUL
-2.9%
-0.2%
®
0.5%
1.5%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales MoM
JUL
0.6%
0.3%
®
0.2%
0.3%
06:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index MoM
AUG
0.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.2%
06:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index YoY
AUG
2.2%
2.5%
®
2%
2.3%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales YoY
JUL
1.1%
0.9%
®
1.3%
1.2%
06:45 AM
FR
Balance of Trade
JUL
€-5.6B
€-7.2B
®
€-6.1B
€-6.5B
08:00 AM
IT
Retail Sales MoM
JUL
0.0%
0.7%
®
0.4%
0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate
AUG
7.1%
6.9%
7%
7.0%
12:30 PM
CA
Employment Change
AUG
-65.5K
-40.8K
7.5K
30.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Full Time Employment Chg
AUG
-6K
-51K
12.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Part Time Employment Chg
AUG
-59.7K
10.3K
50.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate
AUG
65.1%
65.2%
65.3%
12:30 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls
AUG
22K
79K
®
75K
75.0K
12:30 PM
US
Unemployment Rate
AUG
4.3%
4.2%
4.3%
4.2%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings MoM
AUG
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings YoY
AUG
3.7%
3.9%
3.7%
3.9%
12:30 PM
US
Participation Rate
AUG
62.3%
62.2%
62.1%
02:00 PM
CA
Ivey PMI s.a
AUG
50.1
55.8
53.1
52
Sunday September 07 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Sunday September 07 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
11:50 PM
JP
Current Account
JUL
¥2684B
¥1348B
¥3366B
¥3100.0B
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Annualized Final
Q2
2.2%
0.3%
®
1%
1.0%
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final
Q2
0.5%
0.1%
®
0.3%
-0.4%
OP
OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting
Monday September 08 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Monday September 08 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
03:00 AM
CN
Balance of Trade
AUG
$102.33B
$98.24B
$99.2B
$95.0B
03:00 AM
CN
Exports YoY
AUG
4.4%
7.2%
5%
6.6%
03:00 AM
CN
Imports YoY
AUG
1.3%
4.1%
3%
5.0%
06:00 AM
DE
Balance of Trade
JUL
14.7B
15.4B
®
€15.4B
€21.4B
06:00 AM
DE
Exports MoM
JUL
-0.6%
1.1%
®
2.5%
06:00 AM
DE
Industrial Production MoM
JUL
1.3%
-0.1%
®
1%
1.1%
10:00 AM
ES
Consumer Confidence
JUL
82.9
76.1
77
05:00 PM
FR
No-Confidence Vote on PM Bayrou
11:01 PM
GB
BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY
AUG
2.9%
1.8%
2%
1.6%
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 09 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Tuesday September 09 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change
SEP
-3.1%
5.7%
1.0%
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index
SEP
95.4
98.5
99.4
01:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence
AUG
4
8
®
8
06:45 AM
FR
Industrial Production MoM
JUL
-1.1%
3.7%
®
-1.8%
-1.8%
09:30 AM
ZA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Q2
0.8%
0.1%
0.5%
0.5%
09:30 AM
ZA
GDP Growth Rate YoY
Q2
0.6%
0.8%
1.3%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate MoM
AUG
0.06%
0.27%
0.06%
0.0%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
3.57%
3.51%
3.57%
3.5%
02:00 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls Annual Revision
-911K
-818K
03:15 PM
GB
BoE Breeden Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change
SEP/05
1.25M
0.622M
11:00 PM
KR
Unemployment Rate
AUG
2.6%
2.5%
2.5%
Wednesday September 10 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Wednesday September 10 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
-0.4%
0%
-0.2%
-0.1%
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate MoM
AUG
0.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.3%
01:30 AM
CN
PPI YoY
AUG
-2.9%
-3.6%
-2.9%
-3.0%
07:00 AM
TR
Industrial Production YoY
JUL
5.0%
8.5%
®
7.5%
08:00 AM
IT
Industrial Production MoM
JUL
0.4%
0.2%
-0.1%
0.0%
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
SEP/05
6.49%
6.64%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate MoM
AUG
-0.11%
0.26%
-0.15%
-0.2%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
5.13%
5.23%
5.1%
5.0%
12:30 PM
US
PPI MoM
AUG
-0.1%
0.7%
®
0.3%
0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Core PPI MoM
AUG
-0.1%
0.7%
®
0.3%
0.4%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
SEP/05
3.939M
2.415M
-1.1M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
SEP/05
1.458M
-3.795M
-0.1M
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate MoM
AUG
-0.4%
0.6%
-0.1%
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
8.1%
8.8%
8.4%
11:01 PM
GB
RICS House Price Balance
AUG
-19%
-13%
-10%
-13.0%
Thursday September 11 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Thursday September 11 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Connolly Speech
08:00 AM
FR
IEA Oil Market Report
11:00 AM
TR
TCMB Interest Rate Decision
40.5%
43%
41%
41.0%
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales MoM
JUL
-0.3%
-0.1%
-0.3%
-0.2%
12:15 PM
EA
Deposit Facility Rate
2%
2%
2%
2%
12:15 PM
EA
ECB Interest Rate Decision
2.15%
2.15%
2.15%
2.15%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM
AUG
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
3.1%
3.1%
3.1%
3.1%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM
AUG
0.4%
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
2.9%
2.7%
2.9%
2.8%
12:30 PM
US
CPI
AUG
323.98
323.05
323.89
323.6
12:30 PM
US
CPI s.a
AUG
323.364
322.132
®
323
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims
SEP/06
263K
236K
®
235K
240.0K
12:45 PM
EA
ECB Press Conference
01:45 PM
EA
ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections
02:00 PM
BR
Business Confidence
SEP
46.2
46.1
46
06:00 PM
US
Monthly Budget Statement
AUG
$-345B
$-291B
$-285.5B
$-310.0B
OP
OPEC Monthly Report
Friday September 12 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Friday September 12 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
02:00 AM
AU
RBA Jones Speech
06:00 AM
GB
GDP MoM
JUL
0%
0.4%
0%
0.1%
06:00 AM
GB
GDP 3-Month Avg
JUL
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
06:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance
JUL
£-22.24B
£-22.16B
£ -21.75B
£ -21.8B
06:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance Non-EU
JUL
£-10.16B
£-10.78B
£-10.2B
06:00 AM
GB
Industrial Production MoM
JUL
-0.9%
0.7%
0%
-0.1%
06:00 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production MoM
JUL
-1.3%
0.5%
0%
-0.3%
09:00 AM
CN
New Yuan Loans
AUG
CNY590B
CNY-50B
®
CNY800B
CNY1100.0B
10:30 AM
IN
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
2.07%
1.61%
®
2.1%
1.9%
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel
SEP
55.4
58.2
58
57
Monday September 15 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Monday September 15 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
House Price Index YoY
AUG
-2.5%
-2.8%
-2.6%
02:00 AM
CN
Industrial Production YoY
AUG
5.2%
5.7%
5.8%
5.1%
02:00 AM
CN
Retail Sales YoY
AUG
3.4%
3.7%
3.8%
5.0%
02:00 AM
CN
Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY
AUG
0.5%
1.6%
1.4%
1.4%
06:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices MoM
AUG
-0.6%
-0.1%
0.2%
-0.4%
06:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices YoY
AUG
0.7%
0.5%
0.9%
08:00 AM
IT
Balance of Trade
JUL
€7.908B
€5.384B
®
€5.5B
€6.2B
09:00 AM
EA
Balance of Trade
JUL
€12.4B
€8.0B
®
€11.7B
€11.5B
09:30 AM
IN
Balance of Trade
AUG
$-26.49B
$-27.35B
$-30.0B
12:30 PM
US
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
SEP
-8.70
11.90
5
10
06:30 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
11:50 PM
AU
RBA Hunter Speech
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 16 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Tuesday September 16 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
05:45 AM
AU
RBA Hauser Speech
06:00 AM
GB
Unemployment Rate
JUL
4.7%
4.7%
4.7%
4.7%
06:00 AM
GB
Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)
JUL
4.7%
4.6%
4.7%
4.5%
06:00 AM
GB
Employment Change
JUL
232K
239K
®
220K
150.0K
09:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production MoM
JUL
0.3%
-0.6%
®
0.4%
0.5%
09:00 AM
EA
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index
SEP
26.1
25.1
20.3
24
09:00 AM
DE
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index
SEP
37.3
34.7
26.3
26
12:00 PM
BR
Unemployment Rate
JUL
5.6%
5.8%
5.7%
5.8%
12:15 PM
CA
Housing Starts
AUG
245.8K
293.5K
®
277.5K
240.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
1.9%
1.7%
2%
1.8%
12:30 PM
CA
Core Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
2.6%
2.6%
®
2.7%
2.6%
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate MoM
AUG
-0.1%
0.3%
0%
-0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales MoM
AUG
0.6%
0.6%
®
0.2%
0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Export Prices MoM
AUG
0.3%
0.3%
®
0%
-0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Import Prices MoM
AUG
0.3%
0.2%
®
-0.1%
0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Control Group MoM
AUG
0.7%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
AUG
0.7%
0.4%
®
0.4%
0.0%
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production MoM
AUG
0.1%
-0.4%
®
-0.1%
0.0%
02:00 PM
US
Business Inventories MoM
JUL
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
02:00 PM
US
NAHB Housing Market Index
SEP
32
32
33
33
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change
SEP/12
-3.42M
1.25M
-1.6M
11:50 PM
JP
Balance of Trade
AUG
¥-242.5B
¥-118.4B
¥-513.6B
¥-450.0B
11:50 PM
JP
Exports YoY
AUG
-0.1%
-2.6%
-1.9%
Wednesday September 17 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Wednesday September 17 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
RBA Jones Speech
06:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
3.8%
06:00 AM
GB
Core Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
3.6%
3.8%
3.6%
3.7%
06:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate MoM
AUG
0.3%
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
07:30 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
07:30 AM
ID
Interest Rate Decision
4.75%
5.0%
5%
5.0%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate MoM
AUG
-0.1%
0.9%
0.4%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
3.3%
3.5%
3.6%
3.6%
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
SEP/12
6.39%
6.49%
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits Prel
AUG
1.312M
1.362M
1.37M
1.37M
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts
AUG
1.307M
1.429M
®
1.37M
1.37M
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits MoM Prel
AUG
-3.7%
-2.2%
0.6%
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts MoM
AUG
-8.5%
3.4%
®
-3.4%
01:45 PM
CA
BoC Interest Rate Decision
2.5%
2.75%
2.5%
2.5%
02:30 PM
CA
BoC Press Conference
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
SEP/12
-9.285M
3.939M
-1.5M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
SEP/12
-2.347M
1.458M
-0.7M
06:00 PM
US
Fed Interest Rate Decision
4.25%
4.5%
4.25%
4.25%
06:00 PM
US
FOMC Economic Projections
06:30 PM
US
Fed Press Conference
09:30 PM
BR
Interest Rate Decision
15%
15%
15%
15.0%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders MoM
JUL
-4.6%
3%
-1.7%
-1.3%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders YoY
JUL
4.9%
7.6%
5.4%
5.9%
Thursday September 18 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Thursday September 18 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
AU
Employment Change
AUG
-5.4K
26.5K
®
22K
15.0K
01:30 AM
AU
Full Time Employment Chg
AUG
-40.9K
63.6K
®
-10.0K
01:30 AM
AU
Unemployment Rate
AUG
4.2%
4.2%
4.2%
4.3%
11:00 AM
GB
BoE Interest Rate Decision
4%
4%
4%
4%
11:00 AM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Cut
2/9
5/9
2/9
2/9
11:00 AM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Hike
0/9
0/9
0/9
0/9
11:00 AM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Unchanged
7/9
4/9
7/9
7/9
11:00 AM
GB
MPC Meeting Minutes
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims
SEP/13
231K
264K
®
240K
250.0K
12:30 PM
US
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
SEP
23.2
-0.3
2.3
8
08:00 PM
US
Net Long-term TIC Flows
JUL
$49.2B
$151B
®
11:01 PM
GB
Gfk Consumer Confidence
SEP
-19
-17
-18
-17
11:30 PM
JP
Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
2.7%
3.1%
2.8%
11:30 PM
JP
Core Inflation Rate YoY
AUG
2.7%
3.1%
2.7%
2.8%
Friday September 19 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Friday September 19 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
03:50 AM
JP
BoJ Interest Rate Decision
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
06:00 AM
DE
PPI YoY
AUG
-2.2%
-1.5%
-1.7%
-1.6%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales MoM
AUG
0.5%
0.5%
®
0.3%
0.5%
06:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales YoY
AUG
0.7%
0.8%
®
0.6%
0.7%
06:45 AM
FR
Business Confidence
SEP
96
97
®
96
95
11:30 AM
CN
FDI (YTD) YoY
AUG
-12.7%
-13.4%
-13.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
JUL
-1.2%
2.2%
®
-0.7%
0.0%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Final
JUL
-0.8%
1.6%
®
-0.8%
-0.8%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Prel
AUG
1.0%
-0.8%
0.4%
06:30 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
Monday September 22 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Monday September 22 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 1Y
3.0%
3%
3.0%
3.0%
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 5Y
SEP
3.5%
3.5%
3.5%
3.5%
07:00 AM
TR
Consumer Confidence
SEP
83.9
84.3
84.8
12:30 PM
US
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
AUG
-0.12
-0.28
®
-0.17
01:45 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
02:00 PM
EA
Consumer Confidence Flash
SEP
-14.9
-15.5
-15.3
-15.6
02:00 PM
US
Fed Musalem Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Hammack Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Miran Speech
06:00 PM
GB
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
11:00 PM
AU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash
SEP
51.6
53.0
52.7
11:00 PM
AU
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
SEP
52
55.8
51
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday September 23 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Tuesday September 23 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Composite PMI Flash
SEP
61.9
63.2
62.9
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Manufacturing PMI Flash
SEP
58.5
59.3
59.5
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Services PMI Flash
SEP
61.6
62.9
62.5
07:15 AM
FR
HCOB Composite PMI Flash
SEP
48.4
49.8
49.7
49.9
07:15 AM
FR
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash
SEP
48.1
50.4
50.1
50.1
07:15 AM
FR
HCOB Services PMI Flash
SEP
48.9
49.8
49.6
49.9
07:30 AM
DE
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash
SEP
48.5
49.8
50
50
07:30 AM
DE
HCOB Composite PMI Flash
SEP
52.4
50.5
50.6
50.1
07:30 AM
DE
HCOB Services PMI Flash
SEP
52.5
49.3
49.5
49.9
08:00 AM
EA
HCOB Composite PMI Flash
SEP
51.2
51.0
51.1
50.9
08:00 AM
EA
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash
SEP
49.5
50.7
50.7
50.8
08:00 AM
EA
HCOB Services PMI Flash
SEP
51.4
50.5
50.5
50.9
08:00 AM
ES
Balance of Trade
JUL
€-4.01B
€-3.59B
€-2.8B
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash
SEP
46.2
47.0
47.1
47.5
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
SEP
51.9
54.2
53.5
53.8
09:00 AM
GB
BoE Pill Speech
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Industrial Trends Orders
SEP
-27
-33
-30
-30
11:00 AM
BR
BCB Copom Meeting Minutes
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index MoM
AUG
-0.3%
-0.1%
0.0%
0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Current Account
Q2
$-251.3B
$-439.8B
®
$-256.3B
$-315.0B
01:00 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash
SEP
53.6
54.6
®
54.6
54.1
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash
SEP
52
53.0
52
52
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
SEP
53.9
54.5
54
53
02:00 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
04:35 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change
SEP/19
-3.821M
-3.42M
09:00 PM
KR
Consumer Confidence
SEP
110.1
111.4
112
Wednesday September 24 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Wednesday September 24 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:30 AM
JP
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash
SEP
48.4
49.7
50.2
50.3
12:30 AM
JP
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
SEP
53.0
53.1
53.4
01:30 AM
AU
Monthly CPI Indicator
AUG
3%
2.8%
2.9%
3.0%
07:00 AM
TR
Business Confidence
SEP
100.2
100.6
101
08:00 AM
DE
Ifo Business Climate
SEP
87.7
88.9
®
89.3
89.2
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
SEP/19
6.34%
6.39%
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales
AUG
0.8M
0.664M
®
0.65M
0.64M
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MoM
AUG
20.5%
-1.8%
®
-1.8%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
SEP/19
-0.607M
-9.285M
0.8M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
SEP/19
-1.08M
-2.347M
0.4M
04:30 PM
GB
BoE Greene Speech
08:10 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
11:50 PM
JP
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Thursday September 25 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Thursday September 25 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
04:00 AM
EU
New Car Registrations YoY
AUG
5.3%
7.4%
9.1%
06:00 AM
DE
GfK Consumer Confidence
OCT
-22.3
-23.5
®
-23.3
-23
06:45 AM
FR
Consumer Confidence
SEP
87
87
87
86
10:00 AM
GB
CBI Distributive Trades
SEP
-29
-32
-26
-28
12:20 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders MoM
AUG
2.9%
-2.7%
®
-0.5%
-0.7%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final
Q2
3.8%
-0.6%
®
3.3%
3.3%
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM
AUG
0.4%
1%
®
0%
0.0%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Price Index QoQ Final
Q2
2.1%
3.6%
®
2%
2.0%
12:30 PM
US
Goods Trade Balance Adv
AUG
$-85.5B
$-102.8B
®
$-95.65B
$-93.0B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims
SEP/20
218K
232K
®
235K
240.0K
12:30 PM
US
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv
AUG
0.3%
0.2%
®
-0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv
AUG
-0.2%
0%
®
0.1%
-0.1%
01:00 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
01:45 PM
US
Existing Home Sales
AUG
4M
4.01M
3.96M
4.0M
01:45 PM
US
Existing Home Sales MoM
AUG
-0.2%
2%
-0.2%
02:00 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
05:00 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
07:00 PM
MX
Interest Rate Decision
7.5%
7.75%
7.5%
7.5%
07:30 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
09:00 PM
KR
Business Confidence
SEP
70
70
72
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Actual values
are based on official sources, not third party data providers.
Previous values
are available before an economic indicator is reported and marked as revised (*) accordingly.
Survey consensus
figures are provided displaying the average forecast among a representative group of economists. We also provide
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which are driven by our analysts’ expectations and technically projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model.
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Trading Economics provides data for 20 million economic indicators from 196 countries including actual values, consensus figures, forecasts, historical time series and news. Calendar - was last updated on Tuesday, May 12, 2026.
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