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Week Ahead - March 10th
This week, investors will closely watch the US inflation rate, producer inflation, JOLTS job openings, and the Michigan consumer sentiment index for insights into the American economy. In the UK, key releases include January GDP growth, industrial production, and the goods trade balance. Germany will also report its trade balance and industrial production data. Meanwhile, Canada’s interest rate decision will be in focus. In China, CPI and PPI print as well as new yuan loans, money supply and car sales data. Will drive the headlines. Inflation figures are also expected from India, Brazil, Russia, and Poland, while industrial production data will be released for Turkey, Brazil, India, and the Euro Area. Additionally, Australia will publish NAB business confidence and Westpac consumer confidence.
Anna | anna@tradingeconomics.com
3/7/2025 4:13:11 PM
Americas
In the US, inflation data will take center stage, with markets closely watching for any signs whether tariffs are already driving costs higher. Both the headline and core CPI are expected to have risen by 0.3% month-over-month in February, slowing from 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively, in January. Meanwhile, the PPI is also projected to increase by 0.3%, easing from 0.4% in the previous month, while the core PPI is likely to hold steady at 0.3%. Traders will also monitor the JOLTS job openings report, along with preliminary figures for the Michigan consumer sentiment index. Additionally, key releases to watch include consumer inflation expectations, the NFIB Business Optimism Index, and the Monthly Budget Statement. Elsewhere in the Americas, the Bank of Canada is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points following unexpectedly weak Canadian jobs data and as US tariffs went into effect. Meanwhile, other key economic releases include inflation, producer prices, industrial production, and retail sales data for Brazil, inflation figures for Argentina, and industrial production data for Mexico.
Europe
Industrial production in the Eurozone likely rebounded by 0.8% in January, recovering from a 1.1% decline in December. Similarly, Germany’s industrial output is expected to have risen by 1.5% in January after a 2.4% drop in December. Destatis will also publish Germany’s trade figures, final inflation data, and wholesale prices. Other notable European data releases include Italy’s producer prices and industrial production, Spain’s retail sales, final inflation figures for France and Spain, Norway’s inflation data, Sweden’s household spending, Turkey’s industrial production, and Russia’s inflation and trade balance. The UK is set for a busy week of economic updates. Fresh data is expected to provide insights into the country's economic performance, with GDP likely expanding by just 0.1% in January, slowing from a 0.4% increase in December 2024. Additionally, both manufacturing and industrial production are expected to have contracted again on an annual basis.
Asia and Australia
In China, investors await the conclusion of the Two Sessions conferences for more insights on how the government will finance its wider budget deficit, commodity production controls, and retaliation to US tariffs. Data spotlights will be shared between inflation prints, set to show that both consumer and producer prices deflated, and new credit aggregates, set to show that new yuan loans contracted on an annual basis. Meanwhile, Japan is expected to record its first current account deficit in two years, while household spending is forecasted to contract. In India, the headline inflation rate is due to ease toward the RBI's target mid-point of 4%, while industrial production is priced to have accelerated. Elsewhere in Asia, South Korea, Singapore, and Malaysia will release unemployment rates. In Australia, the focus will be on leading economic indicators with the Westpac Consumer Confidence index and the NAB business confidence index.
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Friday March 07 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Friday March 07 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:00 AM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
03:00 AM
CN
Balance of Trade
JAN-FEB
$170.52B
$104.84B
$142.4B
$152.0B
03:00 AM
CN
Exports YoY
JAN-FEB
2.3%
10.7%
5%
10.0%
03:00 AM
CN
Imports YoY
JAN-FEB
-8.4%
1%
1%
3.0%
07:00 AM
DE
Factory Orders MoM
JAN
-7.0%
5.9%
®
-2.8%
-3.2%
07:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index MoM
FEB
-0.1%
0.6%
®
0.3%
0.3%
07:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index YoY
FEB
2.9%
2.9%
®
3.1%
3.0%
07:45 AM
FR
Balance of Trade
JAN
€-6.5B
€-3.5B
®
€-4.1B
€-4.4B
09:30 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
10:00 AM
EA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ 3rd Est
Q4
0.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.1%
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
Q4
0.2%
0.7%
®
0.5%
0.5%
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate YoY
Q4
3.6%
4%
4.1%
4.2%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate MoM
FEB
0.28%
0.29%
0.27%
0.2%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
3.77%
3.59%
3.77%
3.7%
01:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate
FEB
6.6%
6.6%
6.7%
6.6%
01:30 PM
CA
Employment Change
FEB
1.1K
76K
20K
15.0K
01:30 PM
CA
Full Time Employment Chg
FEB
-19.7K
35.2K
10.0K
01:30 PM
CA
Part Time Employment Chg
FEB
20.8K
40.9K
5K
01:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate
FEB
65.3%
65.5%
65.6%
01:30 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls
FEB
151K
125K
®
160K
150.0K
01:30 PM
US
Unemployment Rate
FEB
4.1%
4%
4%
4.0%
01:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings MoM
FEB
0.3%
0.4%
®
0.3%
0.3%
01:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings YoY
FEB
4%
3.9%
®
4.1%
4.1%
01:30 PM
US
Participation Rate
FEB
62.4%
62.6%
62.6%
03:15 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
03:45 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
05:20 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
05:30 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
06:00 PM
BR
Balance of Trade
FEB
$-0.3B
$2.26B
®
$1.9B
$1.8B
06:00 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
Sunday March 09 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Sunday March 09 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
-0.7%
0.5%
-0.5%
-0.4%
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate MoM
FEB
-0.2%
0.7%
-0.1%
0%
01:30 AM
CN
PPI YoY
FEB
-2.2%
-2.3%
-2.1%
-2.0%
11:50 PM
JP
Current Account
JAN
¥-257.6B
¥1077.3B
¥-230.5B
¥-70.0B
Monday March 10 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Monday March 10 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
07:00 AM
DE
Balance of Trade
JAN
€16B
€20.7B
€21B
€21.5B
07:00 AM
DE
Exports MoM
JAN
-2.5%
2.5%
®
07:00 AM
DE
Industrial Production MoM
JAN
2%
-1.5%
®
1.5%
1.5%
07:00 AM
TR
Industrial Production YoY
JAN
1.2%
7%
8.0%
12:00 PM
MX
Consumer Confidence
FEB
46.3
46.6
®
46
01:00 PM
EA
ECB Nagel Speech
11:30 PM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change
MAR
4%
0.1%
-0.3%
11:30 PM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index
MAR
95.9
92.2
92
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending MoM
JAN
-4.5%
2.3%
-1.9%
-0.4%
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending YoY
JAN
0.8%
2.7%
3.6%
3.6%
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Annualized Final
Q4
2.2%
1.4%
®
2.8%
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final
Q4
0.6%
0.4%
®
0.7%
0.7%
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday March 11 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Tuesday March 11 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:01 AM
GB
BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY
FEB
0.9%
2.5%
2.4%
2.3%
12:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence
FEB
-1
5
®
6
12:00 PM
BR
Industrial Production MoM
JAN
0%
-0.3%
0.5%
0.6%
02:00 PM
US
JOLTs Job Openings
JAN
7.74M
7.508M
®
7.63M
7.5M
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change
MAR/07
4.247M
-1.455M
2.1M
Wednesday March 12 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Wednesday March 12 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Unemployment Rate
FEB
2.7%
2.9%
3.0%
08:45 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
10:30 AM
IN
Industrial Production YoY
JAN
5%
3.5%
®
3.5%
3.4%
10:30 AM
IN
Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
3.61%
4.26%
®
4%
4.2%
10:30 AM
IN
Manufacturing Production YoY
JAN
5.5%
3.4%
®
3.1%
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
MAR/07
6.67%
6.73%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate MoM
FEB
1.31%
0.16%
1.3%
1.1%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
5.06%
4.56%
5%
4.9%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM
FEB
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
3.1%
3.3%
3.2%
3.1%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM
FEB
0.2%
0.5%
0.3%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
2.8%
3%
2.9%
2.9%
12:30 PM
US
CPI
FEB
319.082
317.67
319.22
319.3
12:30 PM
US
CPI s.a
FEB
319.775
319.086
320
01:45 PM
CA
BoC Interest Rate Decision
2.75%
3%
2.75%
2.75%
01:45 PM
EA
ECB Nagel Speech
02:30 PM
CA
BoC Press Conference
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
MAR/07
1.448M
3.614M
2M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
MAR/07
-5.737M
-1.433M
-2M
03:15 PM
EA
ECB Lane Speech
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate MoM
FEB
0.8%
1.2%
0.8%
1.0%
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
10.1%
9.9%
10.1%
10.3%
06:00 PM
US
Monthly Budget Statement
FEB
$-307B
$-129B
$-303.2B
$-290.0B
OP
OPEC Monthly Report
Thursday March 13 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Thursday March 13 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:01 AM
GB
RICS House Price Balance
FEB
11%
21%
®
20%
20.0%
02:30 AM
AU
RBA Jones Speech
09:00 AM
FR
IEA Oil Market Report
09:50 AM
EA
ECB de Guindos Speech
10:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production MoM
JAN
0.8%
-0.4%
®
0.6%
0.9%
11:00 AM
TR
MPC Meeting Summary
12:30 PM
US
PPI MoM
FEB
0%
0.6%
®
0.3%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core PPI MoM
FEB
-0.1%
0.5%
®
0.3%
0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims
MAR/08
220K
222K
®
225K
230.0K
05:30 PM
EA
ECB de Galhau Speech
05:30 PM
EA
ECB Nagel Speech
Friday March 14 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Friday March 14 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
07:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices MoM
FEB
0.6%
0.9%
0.2%
0.4%
07:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices YoY
FEB
1.6%
0.9%
0.2%
1.4%
07:00 AM
GB
GDP MoM
JAN
-0.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.1%
07:00 AM
GB
GDP 3-Month Avg
JAN
0.2%
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
07:00 AM
GB
Industrial Production MoM
JAN
-0.9%
0.5%
-0.1%
-0.3%
07:00 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production MoM
JAN
-1.1%
0.7%
0%
-0.2%
09:00 AM
CN
New Yuan Loans
FEB
CNY1010B
CNY5130B
CNY1275B
CNY1800.0B
09:00 AM
IT
Industrial Production MoM
JAN
3.2%
-2.7%
®
1.5%
1.9%
09:20 AM
CN
FDI (YTD) YoY
FEB
-20.4%
-13.4%
-10.0%
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales MoM
JAN
-0.1%
-0.3%
®
-0.2%
0.1%
01:15 PM
EA
ECB Cipollone Speech
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel
MAR
57.9
64.7
63.1
63.2
Monday March 17 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Monday March 17 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
House Price Index YoY
FEB
-4.8%
-5%
-4.7%
02:00 AM
CN
Industrial Production YoY
JAN-FEB
5.9%
6.2%
5.3%
5%
02:00 AM
CN
Retail Sales YoY
JAN-FEB
4%
3.7%
4%
3.7%
02:00 AM
CN
Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY
JAN-FEB
4.1%
3.2%
3.6%
3.8%
04:00 AM
ID
Balance of Trade
FEB
$3.12B
$3.49B
®
$2.45B
$1.0B
08:00 AM
EA
ECB de Guindos Speech
09:20 AM
IN
Balance of Trade
FEB
$-14.05B
$-22.99B
$-25.0B
12:15 PM
CA
Housing Starts
FEB
229K
239.3K
®
250K
245.0K
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales MoM
FEB
0.2%
-1.2%
®
0.6%
0.5%
12:30 PM
US
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index
MAR
-20
5.7
-0.75
2
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Control Group MoM
FEB
1%
-1%
®
0.2%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
FEB
0.3%
-0.6%
®
0.4%
0.2%
02:00 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
02:00 PM
US
Business Inventories MoM
JAN
0.3%
-0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
02:00 PM
US
NAHB Housing Market Index
MAR
39
42
42
44
11:20 PM
AU
RBA Hunter Speech
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday March 18 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Tuesday March 18 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
08:30 AM
ES
Balance of Trade
JAN
€-6.19B
€-4.12B
€ -4.3B
09:00 AM
IT
Balance of Trade
JAN
€-0.264B
€5.82B
®
€5.15B
€4.5B
10:00 AM
EA
Balance of Trade
JAN
€1B
€15.4B
®
€14B
€12.5B
10:00 AM
EA
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index
MAR
39.8
24.2
39.6
38
10:00 AM
DE
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index
MAR
51.6
26
48.1
45
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
2.6%
1.9%
2.2%
2.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Core Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
2.7%
2.1%
2.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate MoM
FEB
1.1%
0.1%
0.6%
0.6%
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits Prel
FEB
1.456M
1.473M
1.450M
1.471M
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts
FEB
1.501M
1.35M
®
1.38M
1.34M
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits MoM Prel
FEB
-1.2%
-0.6%
-0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Export Prices MoM
FEB
0.1%
1.3%
-0.2%
0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts MoM
FEB
11.2%
-11.5%
®
-1.9%
12:30 PM
US
Import Prices MoM
FEB
0.4%
0.4%
®
-0.1%
0.1%
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production MoM
FEB
0.7%
0.3%
®
0.2%
0.4%
02:00 PM
BR
Business Confidence
MAR
49.2
49.1
48.9
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change
MAR/14
4.593M
4.247M
1.17M
11:50 PM
JP
Balance of Trade
FEB
¥584.5B
¥-2,736.6B
®
¥722.8B
¥650.0B
11:50 PM
JP
Exports YoY
FEB
11.4%
7.3%
12.1%
10.5%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders MoM
JAN
-3.5%
-0.8%
-0.5%
-0.2%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders YoY
JAN
4.4%
4.3%
6.9%
6.6%
Wednesday March 19 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Wednesday March 19 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
03:00 AM
JP
BoJ Interest Rate Decision
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
07:30 AM
ID
Interest Rate Decision
5.75%
5.75%
5.75%
5.75%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate MoM
FEB
0.9%
0.3%
0.4%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
3.2%
3.2%
3.3%
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
MAR/14
6.72%
6.67%
12:00 PM
EA
ECB de Guindos Speech
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
MAR/14
1.745M
1.448M
1.1M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
MAR/14
-0.527M
-5.737M
-2.0M
06:00 PM
US
Fed Interest Rate Decision
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
06:00 PM
US
FOMC Economic Projections
06:30 PM
US
Fed Press Conference
08:00 PM
US
Net Long-term TIC Flows
JAN
$-45.2B
$75B
®
$101.1M
10:30 PM
BR
Interest Rate Decision
14.25%
13.25%
14.25%
14.25%
Thursday March 20 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Thursday March 20 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Employment Change
FEB
-52.8K
30.5K
®
30K
35.0K
12:30 AM
AU
Full Time Employment Chg
FEB
-35.7K
36.9K
®
15.0K
12:30 AM
AU
Unemployment Rate
FEB
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 1Y
3.1%
3.1%
3.1%
3.1%
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 5Y
MAR
3.6%
3.6%
3.6%
3.6%
07:00 AM
DE
PPI YoY
FEB
0.7%
0.5%
1%
1.0%
07:00 AM
GB
Unemployment Rate
JAN
4.4%
4.4%
4.4%
4.4%
07:00 AM
GB
Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr)
JAN
5.8%
6.1%
®
5.9%
5.9%
07:00 AM
GB
Employment Change
JAN
144K
88K
®
95K
80.0K
08:00 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
11:00 AM
EA
ECB Economic Bulletin
12:00 PM
GB
BoE Interest Rate Decision
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
4.5%
12:00 PM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Cut
1/9
9/9
2/9
12:00 PM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Hike
0/9
0/9
0/9
12:00 PM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Unchanged
8/9
0/9
7/9
12:00 PM
GB
MPC Meeting Minutes
12:30 PM
GB
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
12:30 PM
US
Current Account
Q4
$-303.9B
$-310.3B
®
$-325.5B
$ -340.0B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims
MAR/15
223K
221K
®
224K
225.0K
12:30 PM
US
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
MAR
12.5
18.1
8.5
11
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales
FEB
4.26M
4.09M
®
3.95M
4.05M
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales MoM
FEB
4.2%
-4.7%
®
-0.7%
05:05 PM
CA
BoC Macklem Speech
11:30 PM
JP
Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
3.7%
4%
4.2%
11:30 PM
JP
Core Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
3%
3.2%
2.9%
2.8%
Friday March 21 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Friday March 21 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:01 AM
GB
Gfk Consumer Confidence
MAR
-19
-20
-21
-21
07:00 AM
TR
Consumer Confidence
MAR
85.9
82.1
82.9
07:45 AM
FR
Business Confidence
MAR
96
97
97
96
11:00 AM
GB
CBI Industrial Trends Orders
MAR
-29
-28
-30
-30
11:15 AM
ES
Consumer Confidence
FEB
81.4
84.9
84.4
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index MoM
FEB
0.1%
-0.1%
0%
0.0%
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index YoY
FEB
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM
JAN
0.2%
2.9%
®
-0.2%
-0.5%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Final
JAN
-0.6%
2.6%
®
-0.4%
-0.4%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Prel
FEB
-0.4%
-0.6%
®
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Fed Golsbee Speech
01:05 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
03:00 PM
EA
Consumer Confidence Flash
MAR
-14.5
-13.6
-13
-14.0
Sunday March 23 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Sunday March 23 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
10:00 PM
AU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash
MAR
52.6
50.4
50.7
10:00 PM
AU
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
MAR
51.2
50.8
50.9
Monday March 24 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Monday March 24 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI Flash
MAR
48.3
49.0
49.2
49.4
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Services PMI Flash
MAR
49.5
53.7
52.9
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Composite PMI Flash
MAR
58.6
58.8
59.1
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Manufacturing PMI Flash
MAR
57.6
56.3
56.5
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Services PMI Flash
MAR
57.7
59.0
59.4
08:15 AM
FR
HCOB Composite PMI Flash
MAR
47
45.1
46.5
46.7
08:15 AM
FR
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash
MAR
48.9
45.8
46.2
46.5
08:15 AM
FR
HCOB Services PMI Flash
MAR
46.6
45.3
46.3
46.8
08:30 AM
DE
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash
MAR
48.3
46.5
47
48
08:30 AM
DE
HCOB Composite PMI Flash
MAR
50.9
50.4
51
51.1
08:30 AM
DE
HCOB Services PMI Flash
MAR
50.2
51.1
51.6
51.5
09:00 AM
EA
HCOB Composite PMI Flash
MAR
50.4
50.2
50.8
50.9
09:00 AM
EA
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash
MAR
48.7
47.6
48.2
48.3
09:00 AM
EA
HCOB Services PMI Flash
MAR
50.4
50.6
51
51.1
09:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash
MAR
44.6
46.9
46.4
47
09:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
MAR
53.2
51
50.9
51.1
12:30 PM
US
Chicago Fed National Activity Index
FEB
0.18
-0.08
®
0.08
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash
MAR
53.5
51.6
51.5
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash
MAR
49.8
52.7
51.8
52.1
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
MAR
54.3
51
50.8
51.1
05:45 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
06:00 PM
GB
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
07:10 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
09:00 PM
KR
Consumer Confidence
MAR
93.4
95.2
98
11:10 PM
AU
RBA Jones Speech
11:50 PM
JP
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday March 25 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Tuesday March 25 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
05:00 AM
EU
New Car Registrations YoY
FEB
-3.4%
-2.6%
-2%
07:00 AM
TR
Business Confidence
MAR
104.1
102.4
102
09:00 AM
DE
Ifo Business Climate
MAR
86.7
85.3
®
86.7
87.9
11:00 AM
BR
BCB Copom Meeting Minutes
11:00 AM
GB
CBI Distributive Trades
MAR
-41
-23
-28
-30
12:40 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
01:00 PM
US
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY
JAN
4.7%
4.5%
4.8%
4.5%
01:05 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
02:00 PM
US
CB Consumer Confidence
MAR
92.9
100.1
®
94
94.4
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales
FEB
0.676M
0.664M
®
0.68M
0.66M
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MoM
FEB
1.8%
-6.9%
®
0.5%
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change
MAR/21
-4.6M
4.593M
-2.5M
09:00 PM
KR
Business Confidence
MAR
68
65
68
Wednesday March 26 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Wednesday March 26 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Monthly CPI Indicator
FEB
2.4%
2.5%
2.5%
2.6%
07:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
2.8%
3%
2.9%
3.0%
07:00 AM
GB
Core Inflation Rate YoY
FEB
3.5%
3.7%
3.6%
3.5%
07:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate MoM
FEB
0.4%
-0.1%
0.5%
0.6%
07:45 AM
FR
Consumer Confidence
MAR
92
93
94
94
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
MAR/21
6.71%
6.72%
11:20 AM
FR
Unemployment Benefit Claims
FEB
67K
204.8K
65.0K
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders MoM
FEB
0.9%
3.3%
®
-1%
-1.2%
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM
FEB
0.7%
0.1%
®
0.2%
0.2%
02:00 PM
US
Fed Kashkari Speech
02:10 PM
US
Fed Musalem Speech
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
MAR/21
-3.341M
1.745M
-1.6M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
MAR/21
-1.446M
-0.527M
-1.6M
05:30 PM
CA
BoC Summary of Deliberations
GB
Spring Economic Statement
Thursday March 27 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Thursday March 27 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
07:00 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Final
FEB
$-7.77B
$-7.54B
$-8.1B
07:00 AM
TR
Unemployment Rate
FEB
8.2%
8.4%
8.4%
08:00 AM
EA
ECB General Council Meeting
11:00 AM
BR
BCB Monetary Policy Report
12:00 PM
MX
Balance of Trade
FEB
$2.212B
$-4.558B
$-1.1B
$-0.9B
12:30 PM
US
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final
Q4
2.4%
3.1%
2.3%
2.3%
12:30 PM
US
Corporate Profits QoQ
Q4
5.9%
-0.4%
-0.9%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Price Index QoQ Final
Q4
2.3%
1.9%
2.4%
2.4%
12:30 PM
US
Goods Trade Balance Adv
FEB
$-147.91B
$-155.57B
®
$-134.5B
$-136.0B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims
MAR/22
224K
225K
®
225K
225.0K
12:30 PM
US
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv
FEB
0.1%
0.5%
0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv
FEB
0.3%
0.8%
0.4%
0.6%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales MoM
FEB
2%
-4.6%
1.5%
2.9%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales YoY
FEB
-3.6%
-5.2%
-3.7%
06:05 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
07:00 PM
MX
Interest Rate Decision
9%
9.5%
9%
9.00%
08:30 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
11:50 PM
JP
BoJ Summary of Opinions
Friday March 28 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Friday March 28 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
07:00 AM
DE
GfK Consumer Confidence
APR
-24.5
-24.6
®
-23
-22
07:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales MoM
FEB
1%
1.4%
®
-0.3%
-0.2%
07:00 AM
GB
Current Account
Q4
£-21B
£-12.5B
®
£-24.5B
£ -16.5B
07:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance
JAN
£-17.85B
£-19.72B
®
£-16.8B
£-17.1B
07:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance Non-EU
JAN
£-7.07B
£-8.04B
®
£ -8.0B
07:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales YoY
FEB
2.2%
0.6%
®
0.5%
0.7%
07:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate YoY Prel
MAR
0.8%
0.8%
1.0%
07:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate MoM Prel
MAR
0.2%
0%
0.4%
0.4%
08:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate MoM Prel
MAR
0.1%
0.4%
0.3%
08:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate YoY Prel
MAR
2.3%
3%
2.7%
2.7%
08:55 AM
DE
Unemployed Persons
MAR
2.922M
2.886M
2.892M
08:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Change
MAR
26K
5K
10K
6.0K
08:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Rate
MAR
6.3%
6.2%
6.2%
6.20%
09:00 AM
IT
Business Confidence
MAR
86.0
86.9
®
87.5
86.2
09:00 AM
IT
Consumer Confidence
MAR
95
98.8
98.8
97.9
10:00 AM
EA
Economic Sentiment
MAR
95.2
96.3
97
96.9
12:00 PM
BR
Unemployment Rate
FEB
6.8%
6.5%
6.8%
6.8%
12:00 PM
IN
Current Account
Q4
$-11.5B
$-16.7B
®
$ -12B
$ -11.9B
12:00 PM
MX
Unemployment Rate
FEB
2.5%
2.7%
2.6%
2.5%
12:00 PM
ES
Business Confidence
MAR
-5.4
-6.3
®
-6
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM
JAN
0.4%
0.3%
®
0.3%
0.3%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM Prel
FEB
0%
-0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Core PCE Price Index MoM
FEB
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Income MoM
FEB
0.8%
0.7%
®
0.4%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Spending MoM
FEB
0.4%
-0.3%
®
0.5%
0.5%
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index MoM
FEB
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index YoY
FEB
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final
MAR
57.0
64.7
57.9
57.9
04:15 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
07:30 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
Sunday March 30 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Sunday March 30 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
11:50 PM
JP
Industrial Production MoM Prel
FEB
2.5%
-1.1%
2.3%
2.0%
11:50 PM
JP
Retail Sales YoY
FEB
1.4%
4.4%
®
2%
2.2%
Monday March 31 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Monday March 31 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Manufacturing PMI
MAR
50.5
50.2
50.5
50.5
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Non Manufacturing PMI
MAR
50.8
50.4
50.5
50.5
05:00 AM
JP
Housing Starts YoY
FEB
2.4%
-4.6%
-1.4%
-1.1%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales MoM
FEB
0.8%
0.7%
®
0%
0.1%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales YoY
FEB
4.9%
3.3%
®
3.2%
08:30 AM
GB
BoE Consumer Credit
FEB
£1.358B
£1.701B
®
£1.5B
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Approvals
FEB
65.48K
66.04K
®
66K
67.0K
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Lending
FEB
£3.29B
£4.23B
®
£4.2B
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate YoY Prel
MAR
2%
1.6%
1.6%
1.9%
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate MoM Prel
MAR
0.4%
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Prel
MAR
2.2%
2.3%
2.2%
2.3%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate MoM Prel
MAR
0.3%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
12:00 PM
ZA
Balance of Trade
FEB
ZAR20.9B
ZAR-16.81B
®
ZAR 10.0B
01:45 PM
US
Chicago PMI
MAR
47.6
45.5
45.2
43
02:30 PM
US
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index
MAR
-16.3
-8.3
-12
11:30 PM
JP
Unemployment Rate
FEB
2.4%
2.5%
2.5%
2.6%
11:50 PM
JP
Tankan Large Manufacturers Index
Q1
12
14
12
11
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday April 01 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Tuesday April 01 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Exports YoY
MAR
3.1%
0.7%
®
3.5%
2.7%
12:30 AM
AU
Retail Sales MoM
FEB
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
12:30 AM
KR
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
MAR
49.1
49.9
49
01:45 AM
CN
Caixin Manufacturing PMI
MAR
51.2
50.8
51.1
51
04:30 AM
AU
RBA Interest Rate Decision
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
05:30 AM
AU
RBA Press Conference
06:00 AM
RU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
MAR
48.2
50.2
54
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices MoM
MAR
0%
0.4%
0.2%
0.3%
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices YoY
MAR
3.9%
3.9%
3.8%
07:15 AM
ES
HCOB Manufacturing PMI
MAR
49.5
49.7
50
50.3
07:45 AM
IT
HCOB Manufacturing PMI
MAR
46.6
47.4
48
48.5
08:00 AM
IT
Unemployment Rate
FEB
5.9%
6.2%
®
6.3%
6.3%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate YoY Flash
MAR
2.2%
2.3%
2.3%
2.1%
09:00 AM
EA
Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash
MAR
2.4%
2.6%
2.5%
2.6%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate MoM Flash
MAR
0.6%
0.4%
0.6%
09:00 AM
EA
Unemployment Rate
FEB
6.1%
6.2%
6.2%
6.3%
12:00 PM
MX
Business Confidence
MAR
49.7
50.2
®
49
12:30 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
01:30 PM
CA
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
MAR
46.3
47.8
47
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing PMI
MAR
49
50.3
49.5
50
02:00 PM
US
JOLTs Job Openings
FEB
7.568M
7.762M
®
7.63M
7.6M
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing Employment
MAR
44.7
47.6
47.5
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change
MAR/28
+6.037M
-4.6M
10:00 PM
AU
Ai Group Industry Index
MAR
-22.2
-17.6
-17.8
11:00 PM
KR
Inflation Rate YoY
MAR
2.1%
2%
2%
2.1%
11:25 PM
AU
RBA Kent Speech
Wednesday April 02 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Wednesday April 02 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Building Permits MoM Prel
FEB
-0.3%
6.9%
®
-1.4%
-2.4%
07:00 AM
ES
Unemployment Change
MAR
-13.3K
-6K
-2.5K
-45.0K
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
MAR/28
6.7%
6.71%
12:00 PM
BR
Industrial Production MoM
FEB
-0.1%
0%
0.5%
0.3%
12:15 PM
US
ADP Employment Change
MAR
155K
84K
®
105K
60.0K
02:00 PM
US
Factory Orders MoM
FEB
0.6%
1.8%
®
0.5%
0.3%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
MAR/28
6.165M
-3.341M
-2M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
MAR/28
-1.551M
-1.446M
-1.9M
04:00 PM
RU
Unemployment Rate
FEB
2.4%
2.4%
2.3%
2.4%
08:30 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
US
Reciprocal Tariff Plan Announcement
Thursday April 03 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Thursday April 03 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Balance of Trade
FEB
A$2.968B
A$5.156B
®
A$5.6B
A$5.1B
12:30 AM
AU
RBA Financial Stability Review
01:45 AM
CN
Caixin Services PMI
MAR
51.9
51.4
51.6
51.5
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate MoM
MAR
2.46%
2.27%
3%
2.8%
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate YoY
MAR
38.1%
39.05%
38.9%
38.5%
07:15 AM
ES
HCOB Services PMI
MAR
54.7
56.2
55.5
55.8
07:45 AM
IT
HCOB Services PMI
MAR
52
53
52.5
52.9
12:30 PM
CA
Balance of Trade
FEB
C$-1.52B
C$3.13B
®
C$3.4B
C$2.6B
12:30 PM
US
Balance of Trade
FEB
$-122.7B
$-130.7B
®
$-123.5B
$-122B
12:30 PM
US
Exports
FEB
$278.5B
$270.5B
®
$271B
12:30 PM
US
Imports
FEB
$401.1B
$401.2B
$393B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims
MAR/29
219K
225K
®
225K
226.0K
01:00 PM
BR
S&P Global Services PMI
MAR
52.5
50.6
49.8
02:00 PM
US
ISM Services PMI
MAR
50.8
53.5
53
53
04:30 PM
US
Fed Jefferson Speech
06:30 PM
US
Fed Cook Speech
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending MoM
FEB
3.5%
-4.5%
0.5%
0.7%
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending YoY
FEB
-0.5%
0.8%
-1.7%
-1.5%
EA
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
OP
OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting
Friday April 04 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Friday April 04 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
Factory Orders MoM
FEB
0%
-5.5%
®
3.5%
4.5%
06:45 AM
FR
Industrial Production MoM
FEB
0.7%
-0.5%
®
0.3%
0.5%
07:30 AM
DE
HCOB Construction PMI
MAR
40.3
41.2
43
07:45 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Prel
MAR
$-7.3B
$-7.77B
$ -5.9B
08:00 AM
IT
Retail Sales MoM
FEB
0.1%
-0.4%
0.2%
0.5%
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Construction PMI
MAR
46.4
44.6
46
46.1
12:00 PM
MX
Consumer Confidence
MAR
46
46.3
45.8
12:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate
MAR
6.7%
6.6%
6.7%
6.7%
12:30 PM
CA
Employment Change
MAR
-32.6K
1.1K
12K
25K
12:30 PM
CA
Full Time Employment Chg
MAR
-62K
-19.7K
15K
12:30 PM
CA
Part Time Employment Chg
MAR
29.5K
20.8K
10.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate
MAR
65.2%
65.3%
65.2%
12:30 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls
MAR
228K
117K
®
135K
100.0K
12:30 PM
US
Unemployment Rate
MAR
4.2%
4.1%
4.1%
4.2%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings MoM
MAR
0.3%
0.2%
®
0.3%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings YoY
MAR
3.8%
4%
3.9%
4.0%
12:30 PM
US
Participation Rate
MAR
62.5%
62.4%
62.4%
03:25 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
04:45 PM
US
Fed Waller Speech
06:00 PM
BR
Balance of Trade
MAR
$8.15B
$-0.32B
®
$ 0.35B
Monday April 07 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Monday April 07 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
Balance of Trade
FEB
€17.7B
€16.2B
®
€17.8B
€17.4B
06:00 AM
DE
Exports MoM
FEB
1.8%
0%
®
1.5%
06:00 AM
DE
Industrial Production MoM
FEB
-1.3%
2%
-1.1%
-1.2%
06:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index MoM
MAR
-0.5%
-0.2%
®
0.2%
0.2%
06:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index YoY
MAR
2.8%
2.8%
®
3.7%
09:00 AM
EA
Retail Sales MoM
FEB
0.3%
0%
®
0.5%
0.6%
02:30 PM
CA
BoC Business Outlook Survey
02:30 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
11:50 PM
JP
Current Account
FEB
¥4061B
¥-248.1B
®
¥3800B
¥3600B
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday April 08 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Tuesday April 08 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change
APR
-6%
4%
-0.9%
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index
APR
90.1
95.9
95
01:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence
MAR
-3
-2
-3
04:00 AM
ID
Inflation Rate YoY
MAR
1.03%
-0.09%
1.16%
1.3%
06:45 AM
FR
Balance of Trade
FEB
€-7.9B
€-6.5B
€-5.4B
€-5.5B
02:00 PM
CA
Ivey PMI s.a
MAR
51.3
55.3
53.2
48
06:00 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change
APR/04
-1.057M
6.037M
Wednesday April 09 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Wednesday April 09 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Unemployment Rate
MAR
2.9%
2.7%
2.7%
04:30 AM
IN
RBI Interest Rate Decision
6%
6.25%
6%
6.0%
05:00 AM
JP
Consumer Confidence
MAR
34.1
34.8
®
34.7
34.3
06:15 AM
JP
BOJ Gov Ueda Speech
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate
APR/04
6.61%
6.7%
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales MoM
FEB
0.5%
0.2%
®
0.5%
0.2%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate MoM
MAR
0.31%
0.28%
0.31%
0.3%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate YoY
MAR
3.8%
3.77%
3.80%
3.8%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change
APR/04
2.553M
6.165M
2.2M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change
APR/04
-1.6M
-1.551M
-1.7M
04:30 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
06:00 PM
US
FOMC Minutes
11:01 PM
GB
RICS House Price Balance
MAR
2%
11%
8%
10.0%
Thursday April 10 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
Thursday April 10 2025
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate YoY
MAR
-0.1%
-0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate MoM
MAR
-0.4%
-0.2%
-0.2%
-0.4%
01:30 AM
CN
PPI YoY
MAR
-2.5%
-2.2%
-2.3%
-2.0%
07:00 AM
TR
Industrial Production YoY
FEB
-1.9%
1.2%
-2.0%
08:00 AM
IT
Industrial Production MoM
FEB
-0.9%
2.5%
®
-1%
-1.8%
10:00 AM
AU
RBA Bullock Speech
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM
MAR
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY
MAR
2.8%
3.1%
3%
3.0%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM
MAR
-0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY
MAR
2.4%
2.8%
2.6%
2.5%
12:30 PM
US
CPI
MAR
319.799
319.082
320.17
320.1
12:30 PM
US
CPI s.a
MAR
319.615
319.775
320.1
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims
APR/05
223K
219K
223K
226.0K
01:30 PM
US
Fed Logan Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
06:00 PM
US
Monthly Budget Statement
MAR
$-161B
$-307B
$-236.6B
$-315.6B
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Actual values
are based on official sources, not third party data providers.
Previous values
are available before an economic indicator is reported and marked as revised (*) accordingly.
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figures are provided displaying the average forecast among a representative group of economists. We also provide
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which are driven by our analysts’ expectations and technically projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model.
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Trading Economics provides data for 20 million economic indicators from 196 countries including actual values, consensus figures, forecasts, historical time series and news. Calendar - was last updated on Monday, June 1, 2026.
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