Week Ahead - March 10th

This week, investors will closely watch the US inflation rate, producer inflation, JOLTS job openings, and the Michigan consumer sentiment index for insights into the American economy. In the UK, key releases include January GDP growth, industrial production, and the goods trade balance. Germany will also report its trade balance and industrial production data. Meanwhile, Canada’s interest rate decision will be in focus. In China, CPI and PPI print as well as new yuan loans, money supply and car sales data. Will drive the headlines. Inflation figures are also expected from India, Brazil, Russia, and Poland, while industrial production data will be released for Turkey, Brazil, India, and the Euro Area. Additionally, Australia will publish NAB business confidence and Westpac consumer confidence.
Anna | anna@tradingeconomics.com
3/7/2025 4:13:11 PM
Americas
In the US, inflation data will take center stage, with markets closely watching for any signs whether tariffs are already driving costs higher. Both the headline and core CPI are expected to have risen by 0.3% month-over-month in February, slowing from 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively, in January. Meanwhile, the PPI is also projected to increase by 0.3%, easing from 0.4% in the previous month, while the core PPI is likely to hold steady at 0.3%. Traders will also monitor the JOLTS job openings report, along with preliminary figures for the Michigan consumer sentiment index. Additionally, key releases to watch include consumer inflation expectations, the NFIB Business Optimism Index, and the Monthly Budget Statement. Elsewhere in the Americas, the Bank of Canada is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points following unexpectedly weak Canadian jobs data and as US tariffs went into effect. Meanwhile, other key economic releases include inflation, producer prices, industrial production, and retail sales data for Brazil, inflation figures for Argentina, and industrial production data for Mexico. 

Europe
Industrial production in the Eurozone likely rebounded by 0.8% in January, recovering from a 1.1% decline in December. Similarly, Germany’s industrial output is expected to have risen by 1.5% in January after a 2.4% drop in December. Destatis will also publish Germany’s trade figures, final inflation data, and wholesale prices. Other notable European data releases include Italy’s producer prices and industrial production, Spain’s retail sales, final inflation figures for France and Spain, Norway’s inflation data, Sweden’s household spending, Turkey’s industrial production, and Russia’s inflation and trade balance. The UK is set for a busy week of economic updates. Fresh data is expected to provide insights into the country's economic performance, with GDP likely expanding by just 0.1% in January, slowing from a 0.4% increase in December 2024. Additionally, both manufacturing and industrial production are expected to have contracted again on an annual basis.

Asia and Australia
In China, investors await the conclusion of the Two Sessions conferences for more insights on how the government will finance its wider budget deficit, commodity production controls, and retaliation to US tariffs. Data spotlights will be shared between inflation prints, set to show that both consumer and producer prices deflated, and new credit aggregates, set to show that new yuan loans contracted on an annual basis. Meanwhile, Japan is expected to record its first current account deficit in two years, while household spending is forecasted to contract. In India, the headline inflation rate is due to ease toward the RBI's target mid-point of 4%, while industrial production is priced to have accelerated. Elsewhere in Asia, South Korea, Singapore, and Malaysia will release unemployment rates. In Australia, the focus will be on leading economic indicators with the Westpac Consumer Confidence index and the NAB business confidence index.





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Friday March 07 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
03:00 AM
CN
Balance of Trade JAN-FEB $170.52B $104.84B $142.4B $152.0B
03:00 AM
CN
Exports YoY JAN-FEB 2.3% 10.7% 5% 10.0%
03:00 AM
CN
Imports YoY JAN-FEB -8.4% 1% 1% 3.0%
07:00 AM
DE
Factory Orders MoM JAN -7.0% 5.9% ® -2.8% -3.2%
07:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index MoM FEB -0.1% 0.6% ® 0.3% 0.3%
07:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index YoY FEB 2.9% 2.9% ® 3.1% 3.0%
07:45 AM
FR
Balance of Trade JAN €-6.5B €-3.5B ® €-4.1B €-4.4B
09:30 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
10:00 AM
EA
GDP Growth Rate QoQ 3rd Est Q4 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Q4 0.2% 0.7% ® 0.5% 0.5%
12:00 PM
BR
GDP Growth Rate YoY Q4 3.6% 4% 4.1% 4.2%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate MoM FEB 0.28% 0.29% 0.27% 0.2%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate YoY FEB 3.77% 3.59% 3.77% 3.7%
01:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate FEB 6.6% 6.6% 6.7% 6.6%
01:30 PM
CA
Employment Change FEB 1.1K 76K 20K 15.0K
01:30 PM
CA
Full Time Employment Chg FEB -19.7K 35.2K 10.0K
01:30 PM
CA
Part Time Employment Chg FEB 20.8K 40.9K 5K
01:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate FEB 65.3% 65.5% 65.6%
01:30 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls FEB 151K 125K ® 160K 150.0K
01:30 PM
US
Unemployment Rate FEB 4.1% 4% 4% 4.0%
01:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings MoM FEB 0.3% 0.4% ® 0.3% 0.3%
01:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings YoY FEB 4% 3.9% ® 4.1% 4.1%
01:30 PM
US
Participation Rate FEB 62.4% 62.6% 62.6%
03:15 PM
US
Fed Bowman Speech
03:45 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
05:20 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
05:30 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
06:00 PM
BR
Balance of Trade FEB $-0.3B $2.26B ® $1.9B $1.8B
06:00 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
Sunday March 09 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate YoY FEB -0.7% 0.5% -0.5% -0.4%
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate MoM FEB -0.2% 0.7% -0.1% 0%
01:30 AM
CN
PPI YoY FEB -2.2% -2.3% -2.1% -2.0%
11:50 PM
JP
Current Account JAN ¥-257.6B ¥1077.3B ¥-230.5B ¥-70.0B
Monday March 10 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
07:00 AM
DE
Balance of Trade JAN €16B €20.7B €21B €21.5B
07:00 AM
DE
Exports MoM JAN -2.5% 2.5% ®
07:00 AM
DE
Industrial Production MoM JAN 2% -1.5% ® 1.5% 1.5%
07:00 AM
TR
Industrial Production YoY JAN 1.2% 7% 8.0%
12:00 PM
MX
Consumer Confidence FEB 46.3 46.6 ® 46
01:00 PM
EA
ECB Nagel Speech
11:30 PM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change MAR 4% 0.1% -0.3%
11:30 PM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index MAR 95.9 92.2 92
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending MoM JAN -4.5% 2.3% -1.9% -0.4%
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending YoY JAN 0.8% 2.7% 3.6% 3.6%
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Annualized Final Q4 2.2% 1.4% ® 2.8%
11:50 PM
JP
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q4 0.6% 0.4% ® 0.7% 0.7%
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday March 11 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:01 AM
GB
BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY FEB 0.9% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3%
12:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence FEB -1 5 ® 6
12:00 PM
BR
Industrial Production MoM JAN 0% -0.3% 0.5% 0.6%
02:00 PM
US
JOLTs Job Openings JAN 7.74M 7.508M ® 7.63M 7.5M
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change MAR/07 4.247M -1.455M 2.1M
Wednesday March 12 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Unemployment Rate FEB 2.7% 2.9% 3.0%
08:45 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
10:30 AM
IN
Industrial Production YoY JAN 5% 3.5% ® 3.5% 3.4%
10:30 AM
IN
Inflation Rate YoY FEB 3.61% 4.26% ® 4% 4.2%
10:30 AM
IN
Manufacturing Production YoY JAN 5.5% 3.4% ® 3.1%
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate MAR/07 6.67% 6.73%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate MoM FEB 1.31% 0.16% 1.3% 1.1%
12:00 PM
BR
Inflation Rate YoY FEB 5.06% 4.56% 5% 4.9%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM FEB 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY FEB 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 3.1%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM FEB 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY FEB 2.8% 3% 2.9% 2.9%
12:30 PM
US
CPI FEB 319.082 317.67 319.22 319.3
12:30 PM
US
CPI s.a FEB 319.775 319.086 320
01:45 PM
CA
BoC Interest Rate Decision 2.75% 3% 2.75% 2.75%
01:45 PM
EA
ECB Nagel Speech
02:30 PM
CA
BoC Press Conference
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change MAR/07 1.448M 3.614M 2M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change MAR/07 -5.737M -1.433M -2M
03:15 PM
EA
ECB Lane Speech
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate MoM FEB 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 1.0%
04:00 PM
RU
Inflation Rate YoY FEB 10.1% 9.9% 10.1% 10.3%
06:00 PM
US
Monthly Budget Statement FEB $-307B $-129B $-303.2B $-290.0B
OP
OPEC Monthly Report
Thursday March 13 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:01 AM
GB
RICS House Price Balance FEB 11% 21% ® 20% 20.0%
02:30 AM
AU
RBA Jones Speech
09:00 AM
FR
IEA Oil Market Report
09:50 AM
EA
ECB de Guindos Speech
10:00 AM
EA
Industrial Production MoM JAN 0.8% -0.4% ® 0.6% 0.9%
11:00 AM
TR
MPC Meeting Summary
12:30 PM
US
PPI MoM FEB 0% 0.6% ® 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core PPI MoM FEB -0.1% 0.5% ® 0.3% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims MAR/08 220K 222K ® 225K 230.0K
05:30 PM
EA
ECB de Galhau Speech
05:30 PM
EA
ECB Nagel Speech
Friday March 14 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
07:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices MoM FEB 0.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.4%
07:00 AM
DE
Wholesale Prices YoY FEB 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 1.4%
07:00 AM
GB
GDP MoM JAN -0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
07:00 AM
GB
GDP 3-Month Avg JAN 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3%
07:00 AM
GB
Industrial Production MoM JAN -0.9% 0.5% -0.1% -0.3%
07:00 AM
GB
Manufacturing Production MoM JAN -1.1% 0.7% 0% -0.2%
09:00 AM
CN
New Yuan Loans FEB CNY1010B CNY5130B CNY1275B CNY1800.0B
09:00 AM
IT
Industrial Production MoM JAN 3.2% -2.7% ® 1.5% 1.9%
09:20 AM
CN
FDI (YTD) YoY FEB -20.4% -13.4% -10.0%
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales MoM JAN -0.1% -0.3% ® -0.2% 0.1%
01:15 PM
EA
ECB Cipollone Speech
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel MAR 57.9 64.7 63.1 63.2
Monday March 17 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
House Price Index YoY FEB -4.8% -5% -4.7%
02:00 AM
CN
Industrial Production YoY JAN-FEB 5.9% 6.2% 5.3% 5%
02:00 AM
CN
Retail Sales YoY JAN-FEB 4% 3.7% 4% 3.7%
02:00 AM
CN
Fixed Asset Investment (YTD) YoY JAN-FEB 4.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.8%
04:00 AM
ID
Balance of Trade FEB $3.12B $3.49B ® $2.45B $1.0B
08:00 AM
EA
ECB de Guindos Speech
09:20 AM
IN
Balance of Trade FEB $-14.05B $-22.99B $-25.0B
12:15 PM
CA
Housing Starts FEB 229K 239.3K ® 250K 245.0K
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales MoM FEB 0.2% -1.2% ® 0.6% 0.5%
12:30 PM
US
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index MAR -20 5.7 -0.75 2
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Control Group MoM FEB 1% -1% ® 0.2% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM FEB 0.3% -0.6% ® 0.4% 0.2%
02:00 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
02:00 PM
US
Business Inventories MoM JAN 0.3% -0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
02:00 PM
US
NAHB Housing Market Index MAR 39 42 42 44
11:20 PM
AU
RBA Hunter Speech
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday March 18 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
08:30 AM
ES
Balance of Trade JAN €-6.19B €-4.12B € -4.3B
09:00 AM
IT
Balance of Trade JAN €-0.264B €5.82B ® €5.15B €4.5B
10:00 AM
EA
Balance of Trade JAN €1B €15.4B ® €14B €12.5B
10:00 AM
EA
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index MAR 39.8 24.2 39.6 38
10:00 AM
DE
ZEW Economic Sentiment Index MAR 51.6 26 48.1 45
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate YoY FEB 2.6% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Core Inflation Rate YoY FEB 2.7% 2.1% 2.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Inflation Rate MoM FEB 1.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.6%
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits Prel FEB 1.456M 1.473M 1.450M 1.471M
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts FEB 1.501M 1.35M ® 1.38M 1.34M
12:30 PM
US
Building Permits MoM Prel FEB -1.2% -0.6% -0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Export Prices MoM FEB 0.1% 1.3% -0.2% 0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Housing Starts MoM FEB 11.2% -11.5% ® -1.9%
12:30 PM
US
Import Prices MoM FEB 0.4% 0.4% ® -0.1% 0.1%
01:15 PM
US
Industrial Production MoM FEB 0.7% 0.3% ® 0.2% 0.4%
02:00 PM
BR
Business Confidence MAR 49.2 49.1 48.9
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change MAR/14 4.593M 4.247M 1.17M
11:50 PM
JP
Balance of Trade FEB ¥584.5B ¥-2,736.6B ® ¥722.8B ¥650.0B
11:50 PM
JP
Exports YoY FEB 11.4% 7.3% 12.1% 10.5%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders MoM JAN -3.5% -0.8% -0.5% -0.2%
11:50 PM
JP
Machinery Orders YoY JAN 4.4% 4.3% 6.9% 6.6%
Wednesday March 19 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
03:00 AM
JP
BoJ Interest Rate Decision 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
07:30 AM
ID
Interest Rate Decision 5.75% 5.75% 5.75% 5.75%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate MoM FEB 0.9% 0.3% 0.4%
08:00 AM
ZA
Inflation Rate YoY FEB 3.2% 3.2% 3.3%
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate MAR/14 6.72% 6.67%
12:00 PM
EA
ECB de Guindos Speech
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change MAR/14 1.745M 1.448M 1.1M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change MAR/14 -0.527M -5.737M -2.0M
06:00 PM
US
Fed Interest Rate Decision 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5%
06:00 PM
US
FOMC Economic Projections
06:30 PM
US
Fed Press Conference
08:00 PM
US
Net Long-term TIC Flows JAN $-45.2B $75B ® $101.1M
10:30 PM
BR
Interest Rate Decision 14.25% 13.25% 14.25% 14.25%
Thursday March 20 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Employment Change FEB -52.8K 30.5K ® 30K 35.0K
12:30 AM
AU
Full Time Employment Chg FEB -35.7K 36.9K ® 15.0K
12:30 AM
AU
Unemployment Rate FEB 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1%
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 1Y 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1%
01:15 AM
CN
Loan Prime Rate 5Y MAR 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6%
07:00 AM
DE
PPI YoY FEB 0.7% 0.5% 1% 1.0%
07:00 AM
GB
Unemployment Rate JAN 4.4% 4.4% 4.4% 4.4%
07:00 AM
GB
Average Earnings incl. Bonus (3Mo/Yr) JAN 5.8% 6.1% ® 5.9% 5.9%
07:00 AM
GB
Employment Change JAN 144K 88K ® 95K 80.0K
08:00 AM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
11:00 AM
EA
ECB Economic Bulletin
12:00 PM
GB
BoE Interest Rate Decision 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5%
12:00 PM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Cut 1/9 9/9 2/9
12:00 PM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Hike 0/9 0/9 0/9
12:00 PM
GB
BoE MPC Vote Unchanged 8/9 0/9 7/9
12:00 PM
GB
MPC Meeting Minutes
12:30 PM
GB
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
12:30 PM
US
Current Account Q4 $-303.9B $-310.3B ® $-325.5B $ -340.0B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims MAR/15 223K 221K ® 224K 225.0K
12:30 PM
US
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index MAR 12.5 18.1 8.5 11
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales FEB 4.26M 4.09M ® 3.95M 4.05M
02:00 PM
US
Existing Home Sales MoM FEB 4.2% -4.7% ® -0.7%
05:05 PM
CA
BoC Macklem Speech
11:30 PM
JP
Inflation Rate YoY FEB 3.7% 4% 4.2%
11:30 PM
JP
Core Inflation Rate YoY FEB 3% 3.2% 2.9% 2.8%
Friday March 21 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:01 AM
GB
Gfk Consumer Confidence MAR -19 -20 -21 -21
07:00 AM
TR
Consumer Confidence MAR 85.9 82.1 82.9
07:45 AM
FR
Business Confidence MAR 96 97 97 96
11:00 AM
GB
CBI Industrial Trends Orders MAR -29 -28 -30 -30
11:15 AM
ES
Consumer Confidence FEB 81.4 84.9 84.4
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index MoM FEB 0.1% -0.1% 0% 0.0%
12:30 PM
CA
New Housing Price Index YoY FEB 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM JAN 0.2% 2.9% ® -0.2% -0.5%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Final JAN -0.6% 2.6% ® -0.4% -0.4%
12:30 PM
CA
Retail Sales MoM Prel FEB -0.4% -0.6% ® 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Fed Golsbee Speech
01:05 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
03:00 PM
EA
Consumer Confidence Flash MAR -14.5 -13.6 -13 -14.0
Sunday March 23 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
10:00 PM
AU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash MAR 52.6 50.4 50.7
10:00 PM
AU
S&P Global Services PMI Flash MAR 51.2 50.8 50.9
Monday March 24 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI Flash MAR 48.3 49.0 49.2 49.4
12:30 AM
JP
Jibun Bank Services PMI Flash MAR 49.5 53.7 52.9
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Composite PMI Flash MAR 58.6 58.8 59.1
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Manufacturing PMI Flash MAR 57.6 56.3 56.5
05:00 AM
IN
HSBC Services PMI Flash MAR 57.7 59.0 59.4
08:15 AM
FR
HCOB Composite PMI Flash MAR 47 45.1 46.5 46.7
08:15 AM
FR
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash MAR 48.9 45.8 46.2 46.5
08:15 AM
FR
HCOB Services PMI Flash MAR 46.6 45.3 46.3 46.8
08:30 AM
DE
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash MAR 48.3 46.5 47 48
08:30 AM
DE
HCOB Composite PMI Flash MAR 50.9 50.4 51 51.1
08:30 AM
DE
HCOB Services PMI Flash MAR 50.2 51.1 51.6 51.5
09:00 AM
EA
HCOB Composite PMI Flash MAR 50.4 50.2 50.8 50.9
09:00 AM
EA
HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash MAR 48.7 47.6 48.2 48.3
09:00 AM
EA
HCOB Services PMI Flash MAR 50.4 50.6 51 51.1
09:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash MAR 44.6 46.9 46.4 47
09:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Services PMI Flash MAR 53.2 51 50.9 51.1
12:30 PM
US
Chicago Fed National Activity Index FEB 0.18 -0.08 ® 0.08
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash MAR 53.5 51.6 51.5
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash MAR 49.8 52.7 51.8 52.1
01:45 PM
US
S&P Global Services PMI Flash MAR 54.3 51 50.8 51.1
05:45 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
06:00 PM
GB
BoE Gov Bailey Speech
07:10 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
09:00 PM
KR
Consumer Confidence MAR 93.4 95.2 98
11:10 PM
AU
RBA Jones Speech
11:50 PM
JP
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday March 25 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
05:00 AM
EU
New Car Registrations YoY FEB -3.4% -2.6% -2%
07:00 AM
TR
Business Confidence MAR 104.1 102.4 102
09:00 AM
DE
Ifo Business Climate MAR 86.7 85.3 ® 86.7 87.9
11:00 AM
BR
BCB Copom Meeting Minutes
11:00 AM
GB
CBI Distributive Trades MAR -41 -23 -28 -30
12:40 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
01:00 PM
US
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price YoY JAN 4.7% 4.5% 4.8% 4.5%
01:05 PM
US
Fed Williams Speech
02:00 PM
US
CB Consumer Confidence MAR 92.9 100.1 ® 94 94.4
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales FEB 0.676M 0.664M ® 0.68M 0.66M
02:00 PM
US
New Home Sales MoM FEB 1.8% -6.9% ® 0.5%
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change MAR/21 -4.6M 4.593M -2.5M
09:00 PM
KR
Business Confidence MAR 68 65 68
Wednesday March 26 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Monthly CPI Indicator FEB 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6%
07:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate YoY FEB 2.8% 3% 2.9% 3.0%
07:00 AM
GB
Core Inflation Rate YoY FEB 3.5% 3.7% 3.6% 3.5%
07:00 AM
GB
Inflation Rate MoM FEB 0.4% -0.1% 0.5% 0.6%
07:45 AM
FR
Consumer Confidence MAR 92 93 94 94
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate MAR/21 6.71% 6.72%
11:20 AM
FR
Unemployment Benefit Claims FEB 67K 204.8K 65.0K
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders MoM FEB 0.9% 3.3% ® -1% -1.2%
12:30 PM
US
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM FEB 0.7% 0.1% ® 0.2% 0.2%
02:00 PM
US
Fed Kashkari Speech
02:10 PM
US
Fed Musalem Speech
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change MAR/21 -3.341M 1.745M -1.6M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change MAR/21 -1.446M -0.527M -1.6M
05:30 PM
CA
BoC Summary of Deliberations
GB
Spring Economic Statement
Thursday March 27 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
07:00 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Final FEB $-7.77B $-7.54B $-8.1B
07:00 AM
TR
Unemployment Rate FEB 8.2% 8.4% 8.4%
08:00 AM
EA
ECB General Council Meeting
11:00 AM
BR
BCB Monetary Policy Report
12:00 PM
MX
Balance of Trade FEB $2.212B $-4.558B $-1.1B $-0.9B
12:30 PM
US
GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q4 2.4% 3.1% 2.3% 2.3%
12:30 PM
US
Corporate Profits QoQ Q4 5.9% -0.4% -0.9%
12:30 PM
US
GDP Price Index QoQ Final Q4 2.3% 1.9% 2.4% 2.4%
12:30 PM
US
Goods Trade Balance Adv FEB $-147.91B $-155.57B ® $-134.5B $-136.0B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims MAR/22 224K 225K ® 225K 225.0K
12:30 PM
US
Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM Adv FEB 0.1% 0.5% 0.4%
12:30 PM
US
Wholesale Inventories MoM Adv FEB 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.6%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales MoM FEB 2% -4.6% 1.5% 2.9%
02:00 PM
US
Pending Home Sales YoY FEB -3.6% -5.2% -3.7%
06:05 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
07:00 PM
MX
Interest Rate Decision 9% 9.5% 9% 9.00%
08:30 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
11:50 PM
JP
BoJ Summary of Opinions
Friday March 28 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
07:00 AM
DE
GfK Consumer Confidence APR -24.5 -24.6 ® -23 -22
07:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales MoM FEB 1% 1.4% ® -0.3% -0.2%
07:00 AM
GB
Current Account Q4 £-21B £-12.5B ® £-24.5B £ -16.5B
07:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance JAN £-17.85B £-19.72B ® £-16.8B £-17.1B
07:00 AM
GB
Goods Trade Balance Non-EU JAN £-7.07B £-8.04B ® £ -8.0B
07:00 AM
GB
Retail Sales YoY FEB 2.2% 0.6% ® 0.5% 0.7%
07:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate YoY Prel MAR 0.8% 0.8% 1.0%
07:45 AM
FR
Inflation Rate MoM Prel MAR 0.2% 0% 0.4% 0.4%
08:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate MoM Prel MAR 0.1% 0.4% 0.3%
08:00 AM
ES
Inflation Rate YoY Prel MAR 2.3% 3% 2.7% 2.7%
08:55 AM
DE
Unemployed Persons MAR 2.922M 2.886M 2.892M
08:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Change MAR 26K 5K 10K 6.0K
08:55 AM
DE
Unemployment Rate MAR 6.3% 6.2% 6.2% 6.20%
09:00 AM
IT
Business Confidence MAR 86.0 86.9 ® 87.5 86.2
09:00 AM
IT
Consumer Confidence MAR 95 98.8 98.8 97.9
10:00 AM
EA
Economic Sentiment MAR 95.2 96.3 97 96.9
12:00 PM
BR
Unemployment Rate FEB 6.8% 6.5% 6.8% 6.8%
12:00 PM
IN
Current Account Q4 $-11.5B $-16.7B ® $ -12B $ -11.9B
12:00 PM
MX
Unemployment Rate FEB 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5%
12:00 PM
ES
Business Confidence MAR -5.4 -6.3 ® -6
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM JAN 0.4% 0.3% ® 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
CA
GDP MoM Prel FEB 0% -0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Core PCE Price Index MoM FEB 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Income MoM FEB 0.8% 0.7% ® 0.4% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Personal Spending MoM FEB 0.4% -0.3% ® 0.5% 0.5%
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index MoM FEB 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
12:30 PM
US
PCE Price Index YoY FEB 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
02:00 PM
US
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final MAR 57.0 64.7 57.9 57.9
04:15 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
07:30 PM
US
Fed Bostic Speech
Sunday March 30 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
11:50 PM
JP
Industrial Production MoM Prel FEB 2.5% -1.1% 2.3% 2.0%
11:50 PM
JP
Retail Sales YoY FEB 1.4% 4.4% ® 2% 2.2%
Monday March 31 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Manufacturing PMI MAR 50.5 50.2 50.5 50.5
01:30 AM
CN
NBS Non Manufacturing PMI MAR 50.8 50.4 50.5 50.5
05:00 AM
JP
Housing Starts YoY FEB 2.4% -4.6% -1.4% -1.1%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales MoM FEB 0.8% 0.7% ® 0% 0.1%
06:00 AM
DE
Retail Sales YoY FEB 4.9% 3.3% ® 3.2%
08:30 AM
GB
BoE Consumer Credit FEB £1.358B £1.701B ® £1.5B
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Approvals FEB 65.48K 66.04K ® 66K 67.0K
08:30 AM
GB
Mortgage Lending FEB £3.29B £4.23B ® £4.2B
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate YoY Prel MAR 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.9%
09:00 AM
IT
Inflation Rate MoM Prel MAR 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate YoY Prel MAR 2.2% 2.3% 2.2% 2.3%
12:00 PM
DE
Inflation Rate MoM Prel MAR 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
12:00 PM
ZA
Balance of Trade FEB ZAR20.9B ZAR-16.81B ® ZAR 10.0B
01:45 PM
US
Chicago PMI MAR 47.6 45.5 45.2 43
02:30 PM
US
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index MAR -16.3 -8.3 -12
11:30 PM
JP
Unemployment Rate FEB 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.6%
11:50 PM
JP
Tankan Large Manufacturers Index Q1 12 14 12 11
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday April 01 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Exports YoY MAR 3.1% 0.7% ® 3.5% 2.7%
12:30 AM
AU
Retail Sales MoM FEB 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
12:30 AM
KR
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI MAR 49.1 49.9 49
01:45 AM
CN
Caixin Manufacturing PMI MAR 51.2 50.8 51.1 51
04:30 AM
AU
RBA Interest Rate Decision 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1%
05:30 AM
AU
RBA Press Conference
06:00 AM
RU
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI MAR 48.2 50.2 54
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices MoM MAR 0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3%
06:00 AM
GB
Nationwide Housing Prices YoY MAR 3.9% 3.9% 3.8%
07:15 AM
ES
HCOB Manufacturing PMI MAR 49.5 49.7 50 50.3
07:45 AM
IT
HCOB Manufacturing PMI MAR 46.6 47.4 48 48.5
08:00 AM
IT
Unemployment Rate FEB 5.9% 6.2% ® 6.3% 6.3%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate YoY Flash MAR 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.1%
09:00 AM
EA
Core Inflation Rate YoY Flash MAR 2.4% 2.6% 2.5% 2.6%
09:00 AM
EA
Inflation Rate MoM Flash MAR 0.6% 0.4% 0.6%
09:00 AM
EA
Unemployment Rate FEB 6.1% 6.2% 6.2% 6.3%
12:00 PM
MX
Business Confidence MAR 49.7 50.2 ® 49
12:30 PM
EA
ECB President Lagarde Speech
01:30 PM
CA
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI MAR 46.3 47.8 47
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing PMI MAR 49 50.3 49.5 50
02:00 PM
US
JOLTs Job Openings FEB 7.568M 7.762M ® 7.63M 7.6M
02:00 PM
US
ISM Manufacturing Employment MAR 44.7 47.6 47.5
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change MAR/28 +6.037M -4.6M
10:00 PM
AU
Ai Group Industry Index MAR -22.2 -17.6 -17.8
11:00 PM
KR
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 2.1% 2% 2% 2.1%
11:25 PM
AU
RBA Kent Speech
Wednesday April 02 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Building Permits MoM Prel FEB -0.3% 6.9% ® -1.4% -2.4%
07:00 AM
ES
Unemployment Change MAR -13.3K -6K -2.5K -45.0K
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate MAR/28 6.7% 6.71%
12:00 PM
BR
Industrial Production MoM FEB -0.1% 0% 0.5% 0.3%
12:15 PM
US
ADP Employment Change MAR 155K 84K ® 105K 60.0K
02:00 PM
US
Factory Orders MoM FEB 0.6% 1.8% ® 0.5% 0.3%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change MAR/28 6.165M -3.341M -2M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change MAR/28 -1.551M -1.446M -1.9M
04:00 PM
RU
Unemployment Rate FEB 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.4%
08:30 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
US
Reciprocal Tariff Plan Announcement
Thursday April 03 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Balance of Trade FEB A$2.968B A$5.156B ® A$5.6B A$5.1B
12:30 AM
AU
RBA Financial Stability Review
01:45 AM
CN
Caixin Services PMI MAR 51.9 51.4 51.6 51.5
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate MoM MAR 2.46% 2.27% 3% 2.8%
07:00 AM
TR
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 38.1% 39.05% 38.9% 38.5%
07:15 AM
ES
HCOB Services PMI MAR 54.7 56.2 55.5 55.8
07:45 AM
IT
HCOB Services PMI MAR 52 53 52.5 52.9
12:30 PM
CA
Balance of Trade FEB C$-1.52B C$3.13B ® C$3.4B C$2.6B
12:30 PM
US
Balance of Trade FEB $-122.7B $-130.7B ® $-123.5B $-122B
12:30 PM
US
Exports FEB $278.5B $270.5B ® $271B
12:30 PM
US
Imports FEB $401.1B $401.2B $393B
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims MAR/29 219K 225K ® 225K 226.0K
01:00 PM
BR
S&P Global Services PMI MAR 52.5 50.6 49.8
02:00 PM
US
ISM Services PMI MAR 50.8 53.5 53 53
04:30 PM
US
Fed Jefferson Speech
06:30 PM
US
Fed Cook Speech
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending MoM FEB 3.5% -4.5% 0.5% 0.7%
11:30 PM
JP
Household Spending YoY FEB -0.5% 0.8% -1.7% -1.5%
EA
ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
OP
OPEC and non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting
Friday April 04 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
Factory Orders MoM FEB 0% -5.5% ® 3.5% 4.5%
06:45 AM
FR
Industrial Production MoM FEB 0.7% -0.5% ® 0.3% 0.5%
07:30 AM
DE
HCOB Construction PMI MAR 40.3 41.2 43
07:45 AM
TR
Balance of Trade Prel MAR $-7.3B $-7.77B $ -5.9B
08:00 AM
IT
Retail Sales MoM FEB 0.1% -0.4% 0.2% 0.5%
08:30 AM
GB
S&P Global Construction PMI MAR 46.4 44.6 46 46.1
12:00 PM
MX
Consumer Confidence MAR 46 46.3 45.8
12:30 PM
CA
Unemployment Rate MAR 6.7% 6.6% 6.7% 6.7%
12:30 PM
CA
Employment Change MAR -32.6K 1.1K 12K 25K
12:30 PM
CA
Full Time Employment Chg MAR -62K -19.7K 15K
12:30 PM
CA
Part Time Employment Chg MAR 29.5K 20.8K 10.0K
12:30 PM
CA
Participation Rate MAR 65.2% 65.3% 65.2%
12:30 PM
US
Non Farm Payrolls MAR 228K 117K ® 135K 100.0K
12:30 PM
US
Unemployment Rate MAR 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.2%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings MoM MAR 0.3% 0.2% ® 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Average Hourly Earnings YoY MAR 3.8% 4% 3.9% 4.0%
12:30 PM
US
Participation Rate MAR 62.5% 62.4% 62.4%
03:25 PM
US
Fed Chair Powell Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Barr Speech
04:45 PM
US
Fed Waller Speech
06:00 PM
BR
Balance of Trade MAR $8.15B $-0.32B ® $ 0.35B
Monday April 07 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
06:00 AM
DE
Balance of Trade FEB €17.7B €16.2B ® €17.8B €17.4B
06:00 AM
DE
Exports MoM FEB 1.8% 0% ® 1.5%
06:00 AM
DE
Industrial Production MoM FEB -1.3% 2% -1.1% -1.2%
06:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index MoM MAR -0.5% -0.2% ® 0.2% 0.2%
06:00 AM
GB
Halifax House Price Index YoY MAR 2.8% 2.8% ® 3.7%
09:00 AM
EA
Retail Sales MoM FEB 0.3% 0% ® 0.5% 0.6%
02:30 PM
CA
BoC Business Outlook Survey
02:30 PM
US
Fed Kugler Speech
11:50 PM
JP
Current Account FEB ¥4061B ¥-248.1B ® ¥3800B ¥3600B
BR
BCB Focus Market Readout
Tuesday April 08 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Change APR -6% 4% -0.9%
12:30 AM
AU
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index APR 90.1 95.9 95
01:30 AM
AU
NAB Business Confidence MAR -3 -2 -3
04:00 AM
ID
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 1.03% -0.09% 1.16% 1.3%
06:45 AM
FR
Balance of Trade FEB €-7.9B €-6.5B €-5.4B €-5.5B
02:00 PM
CA
Ivey PMI s.a MAR 51.3 55.3 53.2 48
06:00 PM
US
Fed Daly Speech
08:30 PM
US
API Crude Oil Stock Change APR/04 -1.057M 6.037M
Wednesday April 09 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
12:00 AM
KR
Unemployment Rate MAR 2.9% 2.7% 2.7%
04:30 AM
IN
RBI Interest Rate Decision 6% 6.25% 6% 6.0%
05:00 AM
JP
Consumer Confidence MAR 34.1 34.8 ® 34.7 34.3
06:15 AM
JP
BOJ Gov Ueda Speech
11:00 AM
US
MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate APR/04 6.61% 6.7%
12:00 PM
BR
Retail Sales MoM FEB 0.5% 0.2% ® 0.5% 0.2%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate MoM MAR 0.31% 0.28% 0.31% 0.3%
12:00 PM
MX
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 3.8% 3.77% 3.80% 3.8%
02:30 PM
US
EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change APR/04 2.553M 6.165M 2.2M
02:30 PM
US
EIA Gasoline Stocks Change APR/04 -1.6M -1.551M -1.7M
04:30 PM
US
Fed Barkin Speech
06:00 PM
US
FOMC Minutes
11:01 PM
GB
RICS House Price Balance MAR 2% 11% 8% 10.0%
Thursday April 10 2025 Actual Previous Consensus Forecast
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate YoY MAR -0.1% -0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
01:30 AM
CN
Inflation Rate MoM MAR -0.4% -0.2% -0.2% -0.4%
01:30 AM
CN
PPI YoY MAR -2.5% -2.2% -2.3% -2.0%
07:00 AM
TR
Industrial Production YoY FEB -1.9% 1.2% -2.0%
08:00 AM
IT
Industrial Production MoM FEB -0.9% 2.5% ® -1% -1.8%
10:00 AM
AU
RBA Bullock Speech
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate MoM MAR 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
12:30 PM
US
Core Inflation Rate YoY MAR 2.8% 3.1% 3% 3.0%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate MoM MAR -0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
12:30 PM
US
Inflation Rate YoY MAR 2.4% 2.8% 2.6% 2.5%
12:30 PM
US
CPI MAR 319.799 319.082 320.17 320.1
12:30 PM
US
CPI s.a MAR 319.615 319.775 320.1
12:30 PM
US
Initial Jobless Claims APR/05 223K 219K 223K 226.0K
01:30 PM
US
Fed Logan Speech
04:00 PM
US
Fed Goolsbee Speech
06:00 PM
US
Monthly Budget Statement MAR $-161B $-307B $-236.6B $-315.6B



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