UK year-ahead CPI inflation expectations fell to 3.3% in June 2026, down from 3.7% in the previous month, the Bank of England’s Decision Maker Panel survey showed. This marks the lowest level since February, before the Iran war disrupted energy supplies and pushed oil prices higher. Over the three months to June, average one-year expectations were unchanged at 3.7%, the highest since the November 2023–January 2024 period. source: Bank of England

DMP 1Y CPI Expectations in the United Kingdom averaged 4.38 percent from 2022 until 2026, reaching an all time high of 9.50 percent in September of 2022 and a record low of 2.50 percent in July of 2024. This page includes a chart with historical data for the United Kingdom Decision Maker Panel 1Y CPI Expectations. United Kingdom Decision Maker Panel 1Y CPI Expectations - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on July of 2026.



Calendar GMT Reference Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2026-06-05 08:30 AM
DMP 1Y CPI Expectations
May 3.7% 4.0% 4.2%
2026-07-03 08:30 AM
DMP 1Y CPI Expectations
Jun 3.3% 3.7% 3.7%
2026-07-24 08:30 AM
DMP 1Y CPI Expectations
Jul 3.3% 3.2%


Related Last Previous Unit Reference
CPI incl. Owner Occupiers' Housing Costs (CPIH) 142.10 141.80 points May 2026


United Kingdom Decision Maker Panel 1Y CPI Expectations
DMP 1Y CPI Expectations represent the anticipated rate of Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation over the next 12 months, as reported by UK businesses. These expectations are gathered through the Decision Maker Panel (DMP) — a monthly survey of Chief Financial Officers from small, medium, and large firms across the UK. The Bank of England uses the DMP to monitor economic conditions and gain insight into business sentiment and inflation expectations.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
3.30 3.70 9.50 2.50 2022 - 2026 percent Monthly
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