Business investment in the UK was flat at GBP 49.7 billion in the Q3 2019, matching preliminary estimates and following a 0.1% rise in Q2, which was earlier reported as a 0.4% fall. An increase in information and communication technology (ICT) equipment, other machinery and equipment, and intellectual property products (IPP) was not enough to offset a decline in transport equipment and other buildings and structures. Year-on-year, business investment went up 0.5%, first rise in six quarter, slightly below 0.6% in the preliminary figures and following a downwardly revised 0.4% drop in Q2. While, investments in transport equipment, IPP and other buildings and structures grew over this period; ICT equipment, other machinery, and equipment declined. Private Investment in the United Kingdom averaged 0.96 percent from 1967 until 2019, reaching an all time high of 51.50 percent in the first quarter of 1997 and a record low of -11.40 percent in the second quarter of 1985. source: Office for National Statistics

Private Investment in the United Kingdom is expected to be -0.80 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Private Investment in the United Kingdom to stand at 0.90 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United Kingdom Business Investment is projected to trend around 0.70 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

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United Kingdom Business Investment

Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
0.00 0.10 51.50 -11.40 1967 - 2019 percent Quarterly
Constant Prices 2013, SA


Calendar GMT Actual Previous Consensus TEForecast
2019-11-11 09:30 AM Business Investment YoY Prel Q3 -0.6% -1.4% -1.3% -1.4%
2019-11-11 09:30 AM Business Investment QoQ Prel Q3 0% -0.4% -0.5% -0.6%
2019-12-20 09:30 AM Business Investment QoQ Final Q3 0% 0.1% 0% 0%
2019-12-20 09:30 AM Business Investment YoY Final Q3 0.5% -0.4% -0.6% -0.6%
2020-02-11 09:30 AM Business Investment QoQ Prel Q4 0% -0.8%


News Stream
2019-11-11
UK Business Investment Stalls in Q3
Business investment in the United Kingdom was flat at GBP 49.2 billion in the three months to September 2019, after a 0.4 percent fall in the previous period and compared with market expectations of a 0.5 percent decline, a preliminary estimate showed. Year-on-year, business investment went down 0.6 percent, following a 1.4 percent decline in the second quarter of the year and compared with market forecasts of a 1.3 percent decrease. The Bank of England, in its latest Agents’ Summary of business conditions reported that investment intentions remained at a nine-year low; and members of the Bank of England Decision Maker Panel stated that their recent investment growth has been subdued.

2019-09-30
UK Business Investment Falls Less than Expected
Business investment in the United Kingdom shrank 0.4 percent on quarter in the April to June of 2019 period, compared with a preliminary estimate and market expectations of a 0.5 percent fall. This follows a 0.4 percent gain in the first quarter which was the only positive number since the last quarter of 2017. Positive contributions from transport equipment, and other buildings and structures were not enough to offset a fall in information and communication technology (ICT) equipment; other machinery and equipment; and intellectual property products. Year-on-year, business investment dropped 1.4 percent, the fifth straight decline, after a 1.6 percent fall in the first quarter of the year and compared to a preliminary estimate and market consensus of a 1.6 percent decrease.

2019-08-09
UK Business Investment Falls 0.5% QoQ in Q2
Business investment in the United Kingdom shrank 0.5 percent on quarter in the April to June of 2019 period, against market expectations of a 0.3 percent decline and following a 0.4 percent rise in the prior period, which followed four consecutive quarters of decline throughout 2018, preliminary estimates showed. The fall in the latest quarter was driven by declines in investment in buildings and to a lesser extent information and communication technology (ICT) equipment and other machinery and equipment. Year-on-year, business investment dropped 1.6 percent, following a 1.5 percent fall in the previous quarter. In addition, the Bank of England’s Agents’ Summary for the second quarter of 2019 recorded the lowest score for investment intentions since January 2010.

2019-06-28
UK Business Investment Rises Less than Expected
Business investment in the United Kingdom increased 0.4 percent in the first quarter of 2019, rebounding from a 0.9 percent fall in the previous period but below market expectations and a preliminary reading of a 0.5 percent gain, final figures showed. It is the first increase in business investment after four quarters of contraction, as buildings and structures; intellectual property products contributed positively while transport equipment partially offset the increase. Year-on-year, business investment went down 1.5 percent, after a 2.5 percent decrease in the last quarter of 2018 and compared to market forecasts and a preliminary 1.4 percent fall. The Bank of England, in its most recent Agents’ summary of business conditions, stated that “Brexit uncertainty as the main reason for holding back investment, with some choosing instead to build cash reserves or inventories. However, companies continued to invest in replacing essential kit, or in projects with a short pay-back period”.

2019-05-10
UK Business Investment Unexpectedly Rebounds in Q1
Business investment in the United Kingdom rose 0.5 percent in the first quarter of 2019, rebounding from a 0.9 percent fall in the previous period and beating market expectations of a 0.6 percent decline, a preliminary estimate showed. It is the first increase in business investment after four quarters of contraction, mainly due to information and communication technology, equipment and other machinery and equipment. Year-on-year, business investment went down 1.4 percent, after a 2.5 percent fall in the last quarter of 2018 and compared to market forecasts of a 2.7 percent decrease. The Bank of England, in its latest Agents’ summary of business conditions, reported that investment intentions fell sharply in manufacturing, with a modest decline in services. Political uncertainty continues to be cited as having a negative impact on investment.

2019-03-29
UK Business Investment Falls Less than Expected in Q4
Business investment in the United Kingdom contracted 0.9 percent in the last three months of 2018, down from a preliminary and market expectations of a 1.4 percent fall and following a 0.6 percent decline in the prior period, final estimates showed. It is the fourth consecutive quarter-on-quarter fall in business investment and the first time it drops for more than two straight quarters since the economic downturn of 2008, mostly due to information and communication technology, equipment and other machinery and equipment and intellectual property products. Year-on-year, business investment decreased a downwardly revised 2.5 percent, after a 1.3 percent fall in the Q3. Between 2017 and 2018, business investment declined by 0.4 percent. The Bank of England, in its latest Agents’ summary of business conditions, stated that “investment intentions eased further, with a growing proportion of contacts putting new capital investment on hold until there is greater clarity around Brexit”.


United Kingdom Business Investment
In the UK, business investment is net investment by private and public corporations. These include investments in transport, information and communication technology (ICT) equipment, other machinery and equipment, cultivated assets, intellectual property products (IPP, which includes investment in software, research and development, artistic originals and mineral exploration), and buildings and other structures. It does not include investment by central or local government, investment in dwellings, or the costs associated with the transfer of non-produced assets (such as land). .

United Kingdom Business Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit
Business Confidence -44.00 -32.00 55.00 -75.00 points [+]
Manufacturing PMI 47.50 48.90 61.50 34.40 points [+]
Services PMI 50.00 49.30 62.50 40.10 points [+]
Industrial Production -1.60 -0.60 22.60 -12.00 percent [+]
Industrial Production Mom -1.20 0.40 9.70 -7.80 percent [+]
Manufacturing Production -2.00 -0.30 19.60 -16.90 percent [+]
Capacity Utilization 81.50 79.00 85.20 38.00 percent [+]
New Orders 10875.00 10922.00 25109.00 9381.00 GBP Million [+]
Factory Orders -28.00 -26.00 21.00 -79.00 Net Balance [+]
Changes in Inventories -8400.00 360.00 11359.00 -9083.00 GBP Million [+]
Bankruptcies 4355.00 4338.00 6924.00 924.00 Companies [+]
Corporate Profits 114104.00 111745.00 115312.00 1024.00 GBP Million [+]
Zew Economic Sentiment Index -38.30 -47.20 61.00 -80.60 [+]
Car Production 107753.00 134752.00 185157.00 43773.00 Units [+]
Car Registrations 148997.00 156621.00 562337.00 33051.00 [+]
Small Business Sentiment -34.00 -24.00 40.00 -69.00 [+]
Internet Speed 16920.86 16337.23 16920.86 3085.89 KBps [+]
IP Addresses 27493519.00 26782989.00 27493519.00 13305856.00 IP [+]
Mining Production -2.50 -6.80 855.60 -90.50 percent [+]
Leading Economic Index 0.10 0.20 2.00 -2.00 percent [+]
Private Investment 0.00 0.10 51.50 -11.40 percent [+]
Steel Production 550.00 621.00 2848.00 131.00 Thousand Tonnes [+]
Competitiveness Index 81.20 81.99 82.11 5.18 Points [+]
Competitiveness Rank 9.00 8.00 13.00 2.00 [+]
Composite Pmi 49.30 49.30 61.80 47.60 points [+]
Crude Oil Rigs 10.00 13.00 32.00 3.00 [+]
Ease of Doing Business 8.00 9.00 11.00 5.00 [+]
Electricity Production 24869.00 24791.00 38520.00 16152.00 Gigawatt-hour [+]
Corruption Index 80.00 82.00 87.00 74.00 Points [+]
Corruption Rank 11.00 8.00 20.00 8.00 [+]