The Brazilian real strengthened to 5.06 per USD in July, the highest in seven weeks, on renewed carry-trade interest. Strikes between the US and Iran escalated and US officials downplayed the chances of diplomacy, increasing geopolitical concern and driving emerging-market investors to momentarily pivot away from the dollar. The high real interest rates by the Central Bank of Brazil made Brazilian real assets attractive among investors, as risks of high inflation and wide deficit spending by Brasilia drove the Selic rate to remain elevated. Still, foreign trade remains a key concern. Investors are awaiting measures from the government to mitigate the impact of new US tariffs. However, key exports including beef, coffee, rare earths, energy products, aircraft, and aircraft parts are exempt from the new 25% tariff.
The USD/BRL exchange rate fell to 5.0851 on July 24, 2026, down 0.29% from the previous session. Over the past month, the Brazilian Real has strengthened 2.10%, and is up by 8.62% over the last 12 months. Historically, the USDBRL reached an all time high of 6.75 in December of 2024. Brazilian Real - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on July 26 of 2026.
The USD/BRL exchange rate fell to 5.0851 on July 24, 2026, down 0.29% from the previous session. Over the past month, the Brazilian Real has strengthened 2.10%, and is up by 8.62% over the last 12 months. The Brazilian Real is expected to trade at 5.06 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4.91 in 12 months time.