United Kingdom Economy is Gaining Traction

Recent data updates for U.K. show economy is picking up speed. In the second quarter, GDP growth accelerated to 0.6 percent qoq and 1.4 percent yoy. More importantly, both consumer and business confidence have been on an upward trend and new governor of the Bank of England confirmed that monetary policy will remain loose for some time and new measures will be undertaken to support growth.
Nuno Fontes | nuno@tradingeconomics.com
8/15/2013 2:40:31 PM

In Q2 of 2013, the GDP expanded 0.6 percent quarter-on-quarter and 1.4 percent year-on-year with the largest contribution coming from the service industries.


In June, the unemployment rate remined unchanged at 7.8 percent. In the same period, the number of unemployed persons has declined to 2.51 billion, down 4 thousand from the the previous period.


In July, consumer confidence jumped to its highest level in more than three years. In the same period, retail sales grew 3 percent yoy, the highest rate since January of 2011, helped by increasing sales of food, alcohol and clothing.

In Q3, the CBI business confidence indicator rose to its highest level since Q2 of 2012. In June, industrial production rose 1.2 percent yoy, strongest growth since January of 2011.

Credit rating downgrades and QE policy led to pound depreciation against the dollar. Yet, weak sterling is not a concern for the Bank of England as it is likely to make exports cheaper and spur growth.

The benchmark interest rate is set at an all-time low of 0.5 percent since March of 2009 and the asset purchases programme is at a record high of £375 billion per month. In July inflation rate edged down to 2.8 percent which gives the BoE some leeway to provide extra stimulus for the economy.