Actual
1.7000
Daily Change
0.0020
Monthly
-0.05%
Yearly
-0.09%
Q3 Forecast
1.6810
China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - Summary

China’s 10-year government bond yield held its decline around 1.70% on Friday, as persistent economic weakness fueled expectations for more policy support. Industrial profits rose 17.6% year-on-year to CNY 4.58 trillion in the first seven months of 2026, easing from an 18.7% gain in the January–June period. The slowdown pointed to mounting pressure on profitability due to subdued domestic demand and the fading boost from earlier oil price gains. The figures added to concerns over China’s growth outlook after July data showed industrial output, retail sales, and fixed-asset investment all undershot expectations. Earlier this week, the People’s Bank of China kept its key lending rates at record lows, holding the one-year LPR at 3.0% and the five-year LPR at 3.5%, signaling a sustained cautious stance. Investors are watching the National People’s Congress Standing Committee meeting, which ends August 28, for fresh measures to support growth.

China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - Stats

The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.70% on August 28, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.05 points and is 0.09 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the China 10-Year Government Bond Yield reached an all time high of 4.80 in September of 2007. China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on August 29 of 2026.

China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - Forecast

The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield eased to 1.70% on August 28, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.05 points and is 0.09 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The China 10-Year Government Bond Yield is expected to trade at 1.68 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1.57 in 12 months time.



Bonds Yield Day Month Year Date
China 10Y 1.70 0.002% -0.048% -0.085% Aug/28
China 52W 1.26 0.051% 0.080% -0.116% Aug/28
China 20Y 2.18 0.031% -0.050% 0.075% Aug/28
China 2Y 1.29 0.034% 0.007% -0.124% Aug/28
China 30Y 2.19 0.002% -0.043% 0.114% Aug/28
China 3Y 1.30 0.038% -0.052% -0.128% Aug/28
China 5Y 1.46 0.048% -0.051% -0.173% Aug/28
China 7Y 1.56 0.031% -0.008% -0.185% Aug/28



Related Last Previous Unit Reference
China Inflation Rate 0.50 1.00 percent Jul 2026
China Loan Prime Rate 3.00 3.00 percent Aug 2026
China Unemployment Rate 5.20 5.00 percent Jul 2026

China 10-Year Government Bond Yield
Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
1.70 1.70 4.80 1.59 2000 - 2026 percent Daily

News Stream
China 10Y Yield Holds Decline
China’s 10-year government bond yield held its decline around 1.70% on Friday, as persistent economic weakness fueled expectations for more policy support. Industrial profits rose 17.6% year-on-year to CNY 4.58 trillion in the first seven months of 2026, easing from an 18.7% gain in the January–June period. The slowdown pointed to mounting pressure on profitability due to subdued domestic demand and the fading boost from earlier oil price gains. The figures added to concerns over China’s growth outlook after July data showed industrial output, retail sales, and fixed-asset investment all undershot expectations. Earlier this week, the People’s Bank of China kept its key lending rates at record lows, holding the one-year LPR at 3.0% and the five-year LPR at 3.5%, signaling a sustained cautious stance. Investors are watching the National People’s Congress Standing Committee meeting, which ends August 28, for fresh measures to support growth.
2026-08-27
China 10Y Yield Rises After PBoC Decision
China's 10-year government bond yield rose to around 1.68% on Wednesday, staying away from a recently reached one-year low after the People's Bank of China left its benchmark lending rates unchanged at record lows for the fifteenth consecutive month. The central bank left the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) at 3.0% and the five-year LPR at 3.5%, signaling a measured policy approach as it reiterated its commitment to maintaining an accommodative monetary stance. Meanwhile, expectations for additional stimulus measures remain elevated following a string of weak July economic indicators, including softer industrial output, retail sales, and fixed-asset investment data. Markets are now turning their attention to the National People's Congress Standing Committee meeting in Beijing from August 25 to 28, where investors will watch closely for fresh policy guidance and potential stimulus measures to support economic recovery.
2026-08-20
China 10Y Bond Yield Hits 12-month Low
China 10 Year Government Bond Yield decreased to 1.68%, the lowest since July 2025. Over the past 4 weeks, China 10Y Bond Yield lost 6.40 basis points, and in the last 12 months, it decreased 9.10 basis points.
2026-08-18