United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities

United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities was 0.44% in April of 2026, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities reached a record high of 100.00 in March of 2020 and a record low of 0.02 in September of 1972. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2026.