China's 10-year government bond yield rose toward 1.69% on Thursday but remained near its lowest level since July 2025 after the People's Bank of China left its benchmark lending rates unchanged at record lows for a fifteenth consecutive month. The central bank left the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) at 3.0% and the five-year LPR at 3.5%, signaling a measured policy approach as it reiterated its commitment to maintaining an accommodative monetary stance. Meanwhile, expectations for additional stimulus measures remain elevated following a string of weak July economic indicators, including softer industrial output, retail sales, and fixed-asset investment data. Looking ahead, markets are turning their attention to the National People's Congress Standing Committee meeting in Beijing from August 25 to 28, where investors will watch closely for fresh policy guidance and potential stimulus measures to support economic recovery.
The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield rose to 1.69% on August 20, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.05 points and is 0.09 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the China 10-Year Government Bond Yield reached an all time high of 4.80 in September of 2007. China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on August 20 of 2026.
The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield rose to 1.69% on August 20, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.05 points and is 0.09 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The China 10-Year Government Bond Yield is expected to trade at 1.66 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 1.56 in 12 months time.