The Turkish lira approached 50 per US dollar in October 2026, hitting a fresh record low as authorities maintained a controlled pace of depreciation while intervening in foreign exchange markets to prevent a sharper decline. The lira remains exposed to carry-trade positioning, with investors borrowing in lower-yielding currencies to invest in Turkish assets offering higher returns. At its October meeting, the Central Bank of Turkey cut its benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 36%, as expected, marking its first rate cut since the war with Iran began. The decision followed a further easing in inflation, which slowed to 29.73% in September, its lowest level in nearly five years.. The easing cycle is expected to continue into 2027, with the policy rate forecast to fall to 28% by year-end. Meanwhile, the investment fund sector is facing a crisis after regulators ordered the liquidation of 131 funds.
The USD/TRY exchange rate rose to 49.6267 on October 22, 2026, up 0.15% from the previous session. Over the past month, the Turkish Lira has weakened 1.86%, and is down by 18.23% over the last 12 months. Historically, the USDTRY reached an all time high of 49.65 in October of 2026. Turkish Lira - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on October 22 of 2026.
The USD/TRY exchange rate rose to 49.6267 on October 22, 2026, up 0.15% from the previous session. Over the past month, the Turkish Lira has weakened 1.86%, and is down by 18.23% over the last 12 months. The Turkish Lira is expected to trade at 49.44 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 49.13 in 12 months time.