United States Loans and Leases in Bank Credit - Forecast

Private Sector Credit in the United States is expected to be 9059.11 USD Billion by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Private Sector Credit in the United States to stand at 9014.66 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Loans and Leases in Bank Credit is projected to trend around 8942.54 USD Billion in 2020, according to our econometric models.


United States Loans and Leases in Bank Credit
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United States Consumer Last Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Consumer Confidence 97.8 99 97 93 95 86.7
Retail Sales MoM 0.6 0.32 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 4.5 3.7 5.2 4 4.2 4
Retail Sales Ex Autos 0.2 0.4 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.4
Consumer Spending 12035 12161 12214 12360 12336 13037
Disposable Personal Income 14795 14912 15017 15124 15230 16392
Personal Spending 0.2 0.33 0.33 0.7 0.33 0.5
Personal Income 0.4 0.32 0.31 0.4 0.31 0.31
Personal Savings 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 4.2
Consumer Credit 10.6 11.08 9.95 9.49 9.27 9.1
Private Sector Credit 9199 9059 9038 9024 9015 8943
Bank Lending Rate 4.58 4.25 4.75 4.75 4.94 5.25
Economic Optimism Index 52.6 54.08 53.07 52.3 51.72 49.94
Redbook Index 2.6 2.93 2.67 2.53 2.44 2.33
Chain Store Sales 3594 6178 6390 6481 6494 6505
Gasoline Prices 0.7 0.63 0.6 0.56 0.53 0.37
Households Debt To Gdp 78.5 80.3 78.36 81.2 78.24 82.6
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 113 113 113 113 113 113
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 80.2 82.69 82.73 82.74 82.74 82.74
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 2.7 2.66 2.66 2.66 2.66 2.66