United States Consumer Sentiment  Forecast


United States Consumer Sentiment
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Consumer Confidence in the United States is expected to be 94.00 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Consumer Confidence in the United States to stand at 93.10 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Consumer Sentiment is projected to trend around 86.70 in 2020, according to our econometric models.


United States Consumer Last Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 2020
Consumer Confidence 95.9 94 94.5 93 93.1 86.7
Retail Sales MoM 0.4 0.41 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.4
Retail Sales YoY 5.4 2.9 2.7 3.1 3 4
Retail Sales Ex Autos 0.4 0.44 0.4 0.36 0.36 0.4
Consumer Spending 11917 12044 12101 12155 12206 12496
Disposable Personal Income 14566 14596 14598 14597 14595 14579
Personal Spending 0.6 0.48 0.46 0.46 0.7 0.5
Personal Income 0.3 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.4 0.44
Personal Savings 2.9 3.26 3.41 3.52 3.64 4.41
Consumer Credit 28 13.35 10.17 8.97 8.34 7.7
Private Sector Credit 9099 8744 8557 8461 8412 8325
Bank Lending Rate 4.4 4.15 4.25 4.73 4.75 5.25
Economic Optimism Index 55.1 51.41 50.95 50.62 50.37 49.68
Redbook Index 3.4 3.79 3.19 2.84 2.64 2.36
Chain Store Sales 6028 6277 6381 6464 6495 6512
Gasoline Prices 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.63 0.58
Households Debt To Gdp 78.2 80.2 80.3 76.24 81.2 82.6
Consumer Confidence Current Conditions 113 110 109 108 107 103
Consumer Confidence Economic Expectations 80.2 80.13 79.83 79.58 79.36 78.42
Consumer Confidence Price Trends 2.7 2.81 2.85 2.89 2.94 3.23