Cocoa futures hovered around $5,400 a tonne, holding close to their lowest since early October, pressured by a sustained increase in ICE inventories. The volume of cocoa held in ICE-monitored warehouses has grown throughout the year, reaching a 2.5-year high of 3,688,949 bags by October 29. Meanwhile, farmers in Ivory Coast, the world's largest cocoa producer, reported that despite below-average rainfall across most growing regions, conditions remained adequate to support the current September-to-February main crop. The outlook for the broader 2026/27 season, however, is less encouraging. StoneX projects global production to decline by 9.6% to 4.74 million tonnes, potentially turning a 494,000-tonne surplus in 2025/26 into a 64,000-tonne deficit. Output is expected to contract across several major producers, including Ivory Coast, Ghana, Ecuador and Indonesia, amid weather disruptions associated with El Niño.
Cocoa fell to 5,453 USD/T on October 30, 2026, down 0.06% from the previous day. Over the past month, Cocoa's price has risen 1.34%, but it is still 11.35% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Historically, Cocoa reached an all time high of 12906.00 in December of 2024. Cocoa - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on November 1 of 2026.
Cocoa fell to 5,453 USD/T on October 30, 2026, down 0.06% from the previous day. Over the past month, Cocoa's price has risen 1.34%, but it is still 11.35% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Cocoa is expected to trade at 5275.60 USD/MT by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 4479.09 in 12 months time.