Cocoa futures eased to below $4,200 per tonne but stayed close to recent 3-month highs, supported by receding short covering while fundamentals stayed broadly supportive. Traders continued to closely monitor reports of irregular rainfall in parts of Ivory Coast and Ghana, as well as growing concerns about the potential return of adverse weather patterns linked to El Niño in the coming months. At the same time, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, have pushed up energy and transportation costs, increasing fertilizer prices and tightening global agricultural supply chains. This is raising concerns over output in key West African producers, particularly the Ivory Coast. Meanwhile, Ghana plans to raise $1 billion via domestic bonds to finance cocoa purchases ahead of the 2026/27 crop season, as it moves to restructure cocoa financing amid ongoing debt strains.
Cocoa fell to 4,526.71 USD/T on May 12, 2026, down 3.87% from the previous day. Over the past month, Cocoa's price has risen 34.52%, but it is still 53.28% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Historically, Cocoa reached an all time high of 12906 in December of 2024. Cocoa - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on May 12 of 2026.
Cocoa fell to 4,526.71 USD/T on May 12, 2026, down 3.87% from the previous day. Over the past month, Cocoa's price has risen 34.52%, but it is still 53.28% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Cocoa is expected to trade at 4077.86 USD/MT by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 3506.19 in 12 months time.