US 10-Year Treasury Yield Drops to 3-Week Low

2026-10-15 02:32 By Jam Kaimo Samonte 1 min. read

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell to around 5.11% on Thursday, hitting a three-week low and marking a sharp reversal after reaching as high as 5.33% in the previous session following the release of strong inflation data.

The decline came as a deepening selloff in equity markets, led by technology and artificial intelligence stocks, drove investors toward safe-haven government bonds.

Data released Wednesday showed that annual headline inflation accelerated to 3.7% in September, exceeding forecasts of 3.6%, while core inflation edged up to 2.6%, above expectations of 2.5%.

Chicago Fed's Austan Goolsbee described the figures as “discouraging” and warned that the rapid expansion of AI-related infrastructure could also be overheating the economy.

However, some policymakers continued to advocate a cautious approach toward further rate increases, with markets currently pricing in roughly a 73% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged this month.



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US 10-Year Treasury Yield Drops to 3-Week Low
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell to around 5.11% on Thursday, hitting a three-week low and marking a sharp reversal after reaching as high as 5.33% in the previous session following the release of strong inflation data. The decline came as a deepening selloff in equity markets, led by technology and artificial intelligence stocks, drove investors toward safe-haven government bonds. Data released Wednesday showed that annual headline inflation accelerated to 3.7% in September, exceeding forecasts of 3.6%, while core inflation edged up to 2.6%, above expectations of 2.5%. Chicago Fed's Austan Goolsbee described the figures as “discouraging” and warned that the rapid expansion of AI-related infrastructure could also be overheating the economy. However, some policymakers continued to advocate a cautious approach toward further rate increases, with markets currently pricing in roughly a 73% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged this month.
2026-10-15
Treasury Yields Jump After Hot CPI Report
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note surged up to 10bps to 5.3% on Wednesday, approaching again highs last seen in early 2002, after the latest US inflation report came in hotter than expected. While higher energy prices were the main driver, the data also pointed to relatively broad-based inflationary pressures. Annual inflation accelerated to 3.7%, above forecasts of 3.6%, while the annual core inflation rate edged up to 2.6%, exceeding expectations of 2.5%. Monthly core CPI inflation also came in above forecasts at 0.3%. The report strengthened expectations of another Federal Reserve rate hike this month, with the probability of such a move rising to around 50%, up from approximately 22% before the release.
2026-10-14
US 10-Year Yield Steadies Ahead of CPI Report
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note held steady at around 5.21% on Wednesday as investors awaited September’s consumer inflation report for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision. New York Fed President John Williams reiterated that one more rate hike may be appropriate this year, while further tightening would likely be unnecessary in 2027. Meanwhile, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said inflation expectations remained “well anchored.” Additional remarks from Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin and Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman are expected later in the day. Markets are currently pricing in roughly a 77% probability that the Fed will leave rates unchanged this month, while assigning an 88% chance of a rate hike in December. Treasury yields have retreated in recent sessions as the global bond selloff eased, while heightened volatility in equity markets has boosted demand for bonds as a safe-haven asset.
2026-10-14