United States Capacity Utilization  Forecast


Capacity Utilization in the United States is expected to be 76.00 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Capacity Utilization in the United States to stand at 76.68 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Capacity Utilization is projected to trend around 78.00 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.


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United States Business Last Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 2020
Business Confidence 60.8 55 54 54.3 52 52
Manufacturing PMI 53.1 53 52.7 52.9 53.6 53
Non Manufacturing PMI 59.8 58 55.2 56 54 54.88
Services PMI 55.3 53.7 52.9 53 54.6 54.8
Composite Pmi 54.8 54 52.4 52.7 55 55.1
Industrial Production 1.6 3 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.1
Industrial Production Mom 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2
Manufacturing Production 1 2 1.7 1.7 2 1.9
Capacity Utilization 76 76 76.4 76.6 76.68 78
Durable Goods Orders 1.7 -1.2 0.39 0.33 0.32 0.4
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense 2.2 0.82 0.43 0.33 0.31 0.31
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0.2 0.1 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.1
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.4 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.26
New Orders 471684 470018 468286 466774 465295 452911
Factory Orders 1.2 -0.5 0.27 0.26 0.27 0.2
Business Inventories 0.7 -0.8 0.39 0.2 0.32 0.2
Changes in Inventories 5.5 65.2 14 7.5 19.5 75
Wholesale Inventories 0.9 0.4 -0.1 0.2 0.43 0.2
Bankruptcies 23443 24372 25248 26281 27410 37180
Corporate Profits 1644 1636 1634 1631 1628 1605
NFIB Business Optimism Index 103 106 104 100 102 97
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 27.9 19 15 10 13 6.3
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 19 14 15 11 10 3
Ism New York Index 49.7 54.39 54.83 55.11 55.28 55.53
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 30.2 25 19 12 11 5
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 21.3 14 15 14.5 11.65 2
Chicago Fed National Activity Index -0.31 0.05 0.2 0.2 -0.11 0.05
Chicago Pmi 65.2 54 53 53.5 57.1 54.43
Total Vehicle Sales 18.57 14 18 18 17.03 18.7
Car Production 2.8 3.61 3.89 3.89 3.31 4.04
Car Registrations 511 563 612 643 662 683
Crude Oil Stocks Change -5.73 -0.5 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.1
Natural Gas Stocks Change 51 25.14 10.02 4.4 2.32 1.09
Gasoline Stocks Change 908 10.49 7.82 7.81 7.81 7.81
Leading Economic Index 182 184 184 185 186 189
Small Business Sentiment 51.67 52.53 53.49 54.78 55.54 54.76
Steel Production 7064 6470 7314 7319 7317 7150
Mining Production 9.8 2 7 6.4 3.21 1
Ease of Doing Business 8 7 6 6 7 6
Competitiveness Index 5.85 5.7 5.73 5.73 5.77 5.86
Competitiveness Rank 2 3 3 3 2 3
Corruption Index 74 75.5 75.5 75.5 75 75.5
Corruption Rank 18 16 16 16 18 16