Italy Inflation Rate Rises to 3-Month High

Italy’s annual inflation rate is expected to pick up to 0.4 percent in November 2019 from 0.2 percent in the previous month and above market expectations of 0.3 percent, a preliminary estimate showed. It was the highest inflation since August, as higher costs of processed food including alcohol, non-durable goods and durable goods were only partially offset by a slowdown in prices of services related to transport.
Istat | Agna Gabriel | agna.gabriel@tradingeconomics.com 11/29/2019 10:40:48 AM
Year-on-year, prices are expected to increase faster for food & non-alcoholic beverages (1.3 percent from 0.8 percent in October), boosted by both processed food including alcohol (1.1 percent from 0.3 percent) and unprocessed food (1.2 percent from 1.1 percent); restaurant & hotels (1.6 percent from 1.4 percent); miscellaneous goods & services (1.8 percent from 1.5 percent); health (0.7 percent from 0.6 percent) and alcoholic beverages & tobacco (2.2 percent from 1.9 percent). In addition, cost should rebound for both recreation & culture (0.5 percent from -0.3 percent) and furniture & household equipment (0.4 percent from -0.1 percent). 

Meantime, inflation is seen steady for clothing & footwear (at 0.4 percent) while cost is expected to fall for transport (-0.3 percent from a flat reading), as services related to transport prices slowed (1.3 percent vs 1.8 percent); housing & utilities (-1.8 percent, the same as in October), dragged down by both regulated energy products (-7.9 percent vs -8.0 percent) and non-regulated energy products (-3.0 percent vs -3.1 percent) and communication (-5.8 percent from -7 percent). 

Annual core inflation rate, which excludes energy and unprocessed food, should rise to 1.0 percent in November from 0.7 percent in the previous month. Excluding only energy, inflation is also likely to advance to 1.0 percent from 0.7 percent. 

On a monthly basis, consumer prices should be flat, after decreasing 0.1 percent and against market expectations of a 0.1 percent drop.

The harmonized index of consumer prices is expected to advance 0.4 percent from the previous year (from 0.2 percent in October); and to decline 0.1 percent month-over-month (from 0.2 percent in October).

Italy Inflation Rate Rises to 3-Month High