US 10-Year Yield Hovers Near 2-Month High

2026-07-23 01:53 By Czyrill Jean Coloma 1 min. read

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note traded around 4.65% on Thursday, hovering near its highest level in over two months as heightened geopolitical tensions fueled further gains in oil prices.

President Trump said the US would target Iranian infrastructure in response to every attack on Strait of Hormuz vessels, while Tehran warned of retaliation against regional energy assets.

The latest impasse followed signals from both the US and Iran that renewed peace talks were unlikely in the near term, despite diplomatic efforts to revive negotiations.

Elsewhere, Yemen’s Houthi rebels claimed responsibility for attacks on two Saudi tankers, heightening concerns over risks to Red Sea shipping routes.

Meanwhile, markets broadly expect the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates unchanged at next week’s meeting, although uncertainty over the policy outlook has grown amid unclear signals from new Chair Kevin Warsh.

Traders are now pricing in a 61% probability of a rate hike in September.



News Stream
US 10-Year Yield Hovers Near 2-Month High
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note traded around 4.65% on Thursday, hovering near its highest level in over two months as heightened geopolitical tensions fueled further gains in oil prices. President Trump said the US would target Iranian infrastructure in response to every attack on Strait of Hormuz vessels, while Tehran warned of retaliation against regional energy assets. The latest impasse followed signals from both the US and Iran that renewed peace talks were unlikely in the near term, despite diplomatic efforts to revive negotiations. Elsewhere, Yemen’s Houthi rebels claimed responsibility for attacks on two Saudi tankers, heightening concerns over risks to Red Sea shipping routes. Meanwhile, markets broadly expect the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates unchanged at next week’s meeting, although uncertainty over the policy outlook has grown amid unclear signals from new Chair Kevin Warsh. Traders are now pricing in a 61% probability of a rate hike in September.
2026-07-23
Treasury Yields Continue to Rise
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note rose for a third consecutive session to 4.64% on Wednesday, reaching a fresh two-month high, as persistent hostilities in the Middle East continued to drive oil prices higher. Both the US and Iran signaled that a resumption of peace talks is unlikely in the near term despite ongoing mediation efforts. The rise in oil prices kept fears of renewed inflationary pressures elevated, although both the June CPI and PPI reports came in softer than expected last week. Meanwhile, investors await next week's Federal Reserve policy meeting, with policymakers now in their customary pre-meeting blackout period. The Fed is widely expected to leave the federal funds rate unchanged. However, markets continue to price in the possibility of policy tightening later this year, with traders assigning roughly a 61% probability of a rate hike at the September meeting.
2026-07-22
US 10Y Bond Yield Hits 8-week High
US 10 Year Government Bond Yield increased to 4.65%, the highest since May 2026. Over the past 4 weeks, US 10 Year Note Bond Yield gained 14.70 basis points, and in the last 12 months, it increased 26.10 basis points.
2026-07-22