United States Chicago PMI - Forecast

Chicago Pmi in the United States is expected to be 58.60 Index Points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Chicago Pmi in the United States to stand at 61.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Chicago PMI is projected to trend around 56.00 Index Points in 2020, according to our econometric models.


United States Chicago PMI
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United States Business Last Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 2020
Business Confidence 57.3 57 55 54 53 52
Manufacturing PMI 56.5 52.9 53.8 53 52.1 53
Services PMI 54.6 54 53.6 53.4 53.1 54.8
Non Manufacturing PMI 56.8 56 54 54.6 54 52
Composite Pmi 54.9 54 53.8 53.3 55.2 55.1
Industrial Production 3.5 4.9 3.5 3 2.9 1.1
Industrial Production Mom 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2
Manufacturing Production 1.8 3 2.8 2.1 1.8 1.9
Capacity Utilization 77.99 78.2 78.6 78.3 78.5 78
Durable Goods Orders 2.6 0.3 0.32 -0.3 0.32 0.4
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense 2.8 0.48 0.37 0.34 0.32 0.32
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation 0 0.2 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.1
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0.3 0.32 0.29 0.28 0.27 0.27
New Orders 507690 494174 492526 490898 489277 472770
Factory Orders 1.6 0.31 0.28 0.1 0.28 0.2
Business Inventories 0 0.4 0.3 -0.2 0.4 0.2
Changes in Inventories 33.07 7.5 19.5 69 25.49 75
Wholesale Inventories 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2
Bankruptcies 23106 24211 25056 26033 27097 37893
Corporate Profits 1767 1778 1775 1774 1771 1733
NFIB Business Optimism Index 105 105 102 103 104 97
Ism New York Index 64.3 59.4 56.8 55 56 55.9
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 34.4 20 21 21 25 16
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 20.1 20 18 21 19 10
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index -3 11 20 5 10 3
Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.34 0.4 0.15 0.9 0.7 0.05
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 21.8 33.6 31.4 27.9 20.1 12
Chicago Pmi 57.6 58.6 59 59.1 61 56
Car Production 3.08 3.89 3.09 3.97 3.09 4.04
Car Registrations 523 560 523 495 504 504
Total Vehicle Sales 17.15 18 16.98 19.4 16.79 18.7
Crude Oil Stocks Change -1.4 0.05 0.08 -2 0.08 0.1
Natural Gas Stocks Change 106 137 146 146 146 146
Gasoline Stocks Change -3790 201 -500 1000 18.97 500
Leading Economic Index 123 186 187 187 188 189
Internet Speed 18748 21703 21935 22058 22112 20025
IP Addresses 128949703 129416277 129348765 129285167 129225110 128764224
API Crude Oil Stock Change 4.85 0.35 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.3
Crude Oil Rigs 844 863 881 887 889 889
Corruption Index 75 74 74 74 75 76
Corruption Rank 16 16 17 16 17 16
Competitiveness Index 5.85 5.85 5.85 5.85 5.9 5.85
Competitiveness Rank 2 3 2 3 2 3
Ease of Doing Business 6 6 6 6 6 6
Steel Production 7261 6551 6491 6870 6556 7150
Mining Production 10.6 6.4 6.5 4 7 1