United States Balance of Trade  Forecast 2016-2020

Balance of Trade in the United States is expected to be -44200.00 USD Million by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Balance of Trade in the United States to stand at -50000.00 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Balance of Trade is projected to trend around -59000.00 USD Million in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Balance of Trade
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Forecast Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020 Unit
Balance of Trade -47617 -44200 -45000 -46700 -50000 -59000 USD Million
United States Balance of Trade Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United States Balance of Trade using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United States Balance of Trade - was last predicted on Tuesday, June 27, 2017.
United States Trade Last Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Balance of Trade -47617 -44200 -45000 -46700 -50000 -59000
Exports 190975 193800 194000 194300 195000 200000
Imports 238592 238000 239000 241000 245000 259000
Current Account -116781 -118000 -119000 -117000 -118200 -145000
Current Account to GDP -2.6 -2.8 -2.8 -2.8 -2.7 -3
External Debt -8109652 -8121829 -8186204 -8181299 -8092926 -8131045
Terms of Trade 99.25 99.09 99.24 99.34 99.45 99.42
Capital Flows 65766 -11646 3628 6322 6238 3556
Foreign Direct Investment 37539 39262 37692 30649 37396 35618
Net Long Term Tic Flows 1836 27562 21492 22356 22582 22537
Gold Reserves 8133 8133 8133 8133 8133 8133
Crude Oil Production 9098 8930 8930 9180 9086 9150
Tourism Revenues 20828 20894 20845 20881 20855 20866
Tourist Arrivals 6507601 6901950 6926394 6945690 6942028 6939692
Terrorism Index 4.88 4.79 4.61 4.96 4.97 5.03
Weapons Sales 9894 9549 9508 9467 9372 9574