United States Wholesale Inventories  Forecast 2016-2020

Wholesale Inventories in the United States is expected to be 0.10 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate Wholesale Inventories in the United States to stand at -0.01 in 12 months time. In the long-term, the United States Wholesale Inventories is projected to trend around 0.20 percent in 2020, according to our econometric models.

United States Wholesale Inventories
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Forecast Actual Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020 Unit
Wholesale Inventories -0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 -0.01 0.2 percent
United States Wholesale Inventories Forecasts are projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using our analysts expectations. We model the past behaviour of United States Wholesale Inventories using vast amounts of historical data and we adjust the coefficients of the econometric model by taking into account our analysts assessments and future expectations. The forecast for - United States Wholesale Inventories - was last predicted on Tuesday, May 30, 2017.
United States Business Last Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 2020
Business Confidence 54.8 53.1 52.4 51.5 52 52
Services PMI 54 53.6 52.4 52.7 52.9 54.8
Non Manufacturing PMI 57.5 57.3 57.5 57.07 57.2 57.04
Manufacturing PMI 52.5 53.7 53.8 53 52.7 53
Composite Pmi 53.9 53.8 53.8 52 52.4 55.1
Industrial Production 2.2 1.5 2 3 2.4 1.1
Industrial Production Mom 1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2
Manufacturing Production 1.7 1.8 2.1 2 2.73 1.9
Capacity Utilization 76.7 75.8 75.9 76 77.67 78
Durable Goods Orders -0.7 0.4 0.3 -1.2 0.32 0.4
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense -0.8 0.45 0.28 0.34 0.32 0.31
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation -0.4 -0.1 0.2 0.1 0.23 0.1
Factory Orders Ex Transportation 0 0.17 0.23 0.26 0.26 0.26
New Orders 478185 483180 485033 485742 486016 486188
Factory Orders 0.5 -0.1 0.4 -0.5 0.28 0.2
Business Inventories 0.2 0.2 0.1 -0.8 0.22 0.2
Changes in Inventories 4.3 69.32 33.6 70.07 29.83 72.03
Wholesale Inventories -0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 -0.01 0.2
Bankruptcies 23591 23120 22994 22746 22761 22830
Corporate Profits 1571 1599 1574 1593 1579 1585
NFIB Business Optimism Index 104 106 101 95 94 97
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index -1 12 9 8 7 5
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 38.8 16 12 9 8 6.3
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index 1 10 6 4 3 3
Ism New York Index 55.8 55.08 55.78 55.75 55.65 55.7
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index 16.8 15 14.3 14 15 2
Chicago Fed National Activity Index 0.49 0.13 0.09 0.05 0.2 0.05
Chicago Pmi 58.3 57.4 55 54 53 58.12
Total Vehicle Sales 16.88 19 15 14 18 18.7
Car Production 3.54 3.92 3.86 3.61 3.89 4.04
Car Registrations 569 588 560 543 547 545
Crude Oil Stocks Change -4.43 1.5 1 -0.5 0.23 0.1
Natural Gas Stocks Change 75 79.67 82.41 82.51 82.52 82.52
Gasoline Stocks Change -787 20.44 22.53 22.53 22.53 22.53
Leading Economic Index 181 180 178 176 174 165
Small Business Sentiment 51.67 54.03 52.71 52.53 53.49 54.76
Steel Production 6717 6320 6400 6470 6910 7150
Mining Production 7.3 7.68 8.48 2 8.82 1
Corruption Index 74 75.5 75.5 75.5 75.5 75.5
Corruption Rank 18 16 16 16 16 16
Competitiveness Index 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.73 5.69
Competitiveness Rank 3 3 3 3 3 3
Ease of Doing Business 8 7 7 7 6 6