US 10-Year Yield Steadies Ahead of Fed Decision

2026-07-29 01:56 By Jam Kaimo Samonte 1 min. read

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note steadied around 4.62% on Wednesday as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision, with policymakers widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged.

However, markets continue to price in about a one-third chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike, reflecting an unusually high level of uncertainty this close to a policy meeting compared with recent years.

Traders also assign roughly an 80% probability to a rate increase in September, reinforcing expectations that borrowing costs could remain elevated.

Investors also monitored rebounding oil prices and renewed inflation concerns after fresh hostilities flared in the Middle East.

The US military said it had successfully intercepted what it described as a surprise Iranian attack targeting US troops stationed across the Middle East, reigniting regional tensions.



News Stream
US 10-Year Yield Steadies Ahead of Fed Decision
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note steadied around 4.62% on Wednesday as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision, with policymakers widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged. However, markets continue to price in about a one-third chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike, reflecting an unusually high level of uncertainty this close to a policy meeting compared with recent years. Traders also assign roughly an 80% probability to a rate increase in September, reinforcing expectations that borrowing costs could remain elevated. Investors also monitored rebounding oil prices and renewed inflation concerns after fresh hostilities flared in the Middle East. The US military said it had successfully intercepted what it described as a surprise Iranian attack targeting US troops stationed across the Middle East, reigniting regional tensions.
2026-07-29
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Falls for 3rd Session
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell for a third consecutive session to 4.59% on Tuesday, its lowest level in about a week, as lower oil prices continued to support demand for government bonds. The ceasefire between the US and Iran appeared to be holding, while discussions involving Saudi Arabia and Oman over the future of the Strait of Hormuz remained in focus. Investors are also turning their attention to the Federal Reserve's two-day FOMC meeting, which begins today. The Fed is widely expected to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at tomorrow's policy decision, with markets assigning roughly a 35% probability of a rate hike. Traders will also closely scrutinise the voting split for clues on the likelihood of a September hike, which is currently priced at around 80%.
2026-07-28
US 10-Year Yield Steadies Ahead of Fed Meeting
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note held steady around 4.64% on Tuesday as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision, with markets pricing in an over one-third chance of a rate hike. That reflects an unusually high level of uncertainty this close to a Fed meeting compared with recent years. Citadel Securities also said it expects the Fed to raise interest rates this week to reinforce Chairman Kevin Warsh’s credibility in fighting inflation after the central bank chief repeatedly pledged to restore price stability. Meanwhile, the probability of a Fed rate hike in September currently stands at around 56%. On the geopolitical front, President Donald Trump said the US was engaged in "good talks" with Iran aimed at ending the Middle East conflict, sending oil prices lower and easing concerns over inflation and tighter monetary policy.
2026-07-28