US 10-Year Yield Steadies Ahead of US-Iran Talks

2026-04-10 02:35 By Jam Kaimo Samonte 1 min. read

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note held steady around 4.29% on Friday as investors turned their attention to diplomatic talks in Islamabad this weekend, where Vice President JD Vance will lead a US delegation in discussions with Iranian officials.

Treasury yields have declined over the week after a two-week US-Iran ceasefire triggered a sharp drop in oil prices, easing concerns over resurgent inflation and the likelihood of additional interest rate hikes.

However, sentiment remained guarded amid Israeli strikes on Lebanon and ongoing shipping restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz that could complicate the fragile negotiations.

On the macro front, markets awaited the March CPI report due later today for fresh signals on how the Middle East conflict has affected price pressures.

Minutes from the FOMC’s March meeting indicated policymakers were wary that the war could sustain inflation and potentially require further tightening, although they still projected one rate cut this year.



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US 10-Year Yield Steadies Ahead of US-Iran Talks
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note held steady around 4.29% on Friday as investors turned their attention to diplomatic talks in Islamabad this weekend, where Vice President JD Vance will lead a US delegation in discussions with Iranian officials. Treasury yields have declined over the week after a two-week US-Iran ceasefire triggered a sharp drop in oil prices, easing concerns over resurgent inflation and the likelihood of additional interest rate hikes. However, sentiment remained guarded amid Israeli strikes on Lebanon and ongoing shipping restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz that could complicate the fragile negotiations. On the macro front, markets awaited the March CPI report due later today for fresh signals on how the Middle East conflict has affected price pressures. Minutes from the FOMC’s March meeting indicated policymakers were wary that the war could sustain inflation and potentially require further tightening, although they still projected one rate cut this year.
2026-04-10
Treasury Yields Little Changed as Ceasefire Monitored
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note was little changed at 4.3% on Thursday, the lowest since mid-March, as ivestors continued to monitor developments in the Middle East, where a recently announced ceasefire appeared increasingly fragile ahead of peace talks scheduled for Friday. The agreement showed signs of strain as Israel maintained its conflict with Hezbollah in Lebanon, while Tehran accused the US of violating the deal. The Strait of Hormuz also remained closed and oil prices marched higher again. On the data front, February PCE inflation rose in line with expectations, while Q4 GDP growth was revised lower and initial jobless claims edged up. Attention turns to the March CPI report due tomorrow for insights into how the Middle East conflict has impacted prices so far. Minutes from the FOMC’s March meeting showed policymakers were concerned that the war could lead to sustained inflation requiring further rate hikes, although they still expected one rate cut this year.
2026-04-09
US 10-Year Yield Rises Slightly
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note climbed to around 4.3%, recovering from three-week lows as a fragile US-Iran ceasefire kept investors cautious about inflation risks. Iranian media reported that oil tanker transit through the Strait of Hormuz remained suspended following fresh Israeli strikes on Lebanon, while a senior Iranian official said three provisions of the ceasefire proposal had already been violated. On Wednesday, Treasury yields had dropped sharply after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, prompting a sudden fall in oil prices and easing inflation concerns. Meanwhile, minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting showed that a growing number of members saw a potential rate hike as necessary to curb inflation, though many still hoped the next move could be a cut. Investors now await February personal spending and the PCE deflator on Thursday, followed by Friday’s CPI report, for further guidance.
2026-04-09