US Economic Sentiment Weakens Further

2026-05-05 14:15 By Luisa Carvalho 1 min. read

The RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index eased further to 42.6 in May 2026, the lowest level since June 2024, down from 42.8 in April , though above the expected 42.

The index has now remained below the neutral 50 mark for nine consecutive months, indicating sustained pessimism.

The Six-Month Economic Outlook, which measures consumers’ views on the economy’s prospects over the next six months, fell 1.8% from 38.5 in April to 37.8 in May, its lowest level since June 2024.

The Personal Financial Outlook, which tracks Americans’ expectations for their own finances over the next six months, was broadly unchanged, edging up 0.2% from 50.2 to 50.3, remaining just above neutral.

Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, which gauges views on the effectiveness of government economic policy, was unchanged at 39.8 from April.



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US Economic Sentiment Weakens Further
The RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index eased further to 42.6 in May 2026, the lowest level since June 2024, down from 42.8 in April , though above the expected 42. The index has now remained below the neutral 50 mark for nine consecutive months, indicating sustained pessimism. The Six-Month Economic Outlook, which measures consumers’ views on the economy’s prospects over the next six months, fell 1.8% from 38.5 in April to 37.8 in May, its lowest level since June 2024. The Personal Financial Outlook, which tracks Americans’ expectations for their own finances over the next six months, was broadly unchanged, edging up 0.2% from 50.2 to 50.3, remaining just above neutral. Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, which gauges views on the effectiveness of government economic policy, was unchanged at 39.8 from April.
2026-05-05
US Economic Sentiment Falls to Near 2-Year Low
The RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index fell sharply to 42.8 in April 2026, the lowest level since June 2024, down from 47.5 in March and below expectations of 48.1, as concerns over the Middle East war and rising gasoline prices weighed on sentiment. The index has now remained below the neutral 50 mark for eight straight months, signaling persistent pessimism. The Six Month Economic Outlook dropped 10.5% to 38.5, reflecting growing doubts about the economy’s near-term prospects. The Personal Financial Outlook also weakened, slipping 7.6% to 50.2. Meanwhile, confidence in Federal Economic Policies deteriorated significantly, with the gauge falling to 39.8 from 45.1, highlighting rising skepticism over the government’s ability to manage economic challenges amid heightened uncertainty.
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US Economic Sentiment Slips In March
The RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index declined to 47.5 in March 2026 from 48.8 in February, missing market expectations of 50.1. The Six-Month Economic Outlook, which measures how consumers perceive the economy's prospects in the next six months, fell 1.8%, from 43.8 in February to 43.0 in March. The Personal Financial Outlook, a measure of how Americans feel about their own finances in the next six months, dropped 4.6% from its previous reading of 56.9 in February to 54.3 this month. Confidence in Federal Economic Policies, a proprietary RCM/TIPP measure of views on the effectiveness of government economic policies, slipped to 45.1 in March from 45.7 in February, a 1.3% drop.
2026-03-03